schoolboij:

But buhari himself is corrupt according to recent revelations.

Receive sense. What event, I laugh in swahli,

TrueSenator:
Osibanjo is the only APC leader that was able to unite everyone in a highly tensed season and in very a short time. He was everywhere across the country sometimes spending nights with governors from the oposition.... even Reno Omokri commended him openly.....We know he stands no chance due to geographical reasons. I think he is the only HOPE for APC because Nigerians are silently waiting for 2019 to exercise their rights.

The only reason why I am looking in Atiku's direction is his ability to unite Nigerians. The greatest problem facing us as a country is TRUST and UNITY.....corruption is a common threat to both united and disunited nation. Let's face the real threat by voting in someone who can unite everyone.

Lol, you missed it. Anybody who fights corruption will face the highest resistance of his life. The number of Nigerians that get involve in corrupt practices is overwhelming. Those who are corrupt will fight you tooth and nail. They know you have limited fund and time. They will fight you spiritually, physically and morally. They will turn your sincerity to a fault, you will look confused and at a point lose hope if you aint a dogged fighter. The biggest threat to our unity and trust is corruption.

2kass:
The last thread for the worst was only created to Castigate Buhari...

If President Buhari should die today, I am very sure that in the next 7 yrs we will be crying about how great he was and how he was able to stop the wastages in Government.

I know that I will be quoted and insulted, but I can assure you that you wouldn't get a response from me.

Give your likes to the dudes that castigate the current regime, it wouldn't make today turn May 2019.

We are in it together. Una case just be like pple wey dey curse NEPA since 1982, yet NEPA still never improve.

Not supporting failure but U all need to take a chill pill mehnnnn

It takes a man of open mind to know that we are at serious cross road. Anywhere there was financial recklessness and financial prudence takes over, there will be lots of anger. I cannot enjoy 5m every month without anything significant to show for it and all of a sudden i cannot lay my hand on 100k not to talk of 1m. I will be frustrated and angry. PMB will definitely have his weakness at least i don't t him to be perfect. All i see his creating a bad precedence in the polity.
Today we say Fulani will always support Fulani, that means those of us from the south should not vote PDP too cos their next Presidential Candidate will be from the north and every possibility a Fulani Man. Remember Atiku is fulani from Adamawa.

clevvermind:
BUHARI HAS NO ATOM OF INTEGRITY.

Yes he does not have, at least in the depth of your heart if you remove the hate in you maybe you will see clearly. The way Nigerian Youth's Talk this days is alarming.

Desyner:
Does infrastructure like feedinga and paying idle hands sound good to you ?

We all need to understand the cycle of development and economics. Feeding program is a good venture if we embrace and understand the good about it. We criticize everything, without taking a deep look at the merit and demerit.
Let share my view on feeding program; Feeding School Children is a program that creates a value chain of development, job creating and economic activities. Feeding children means foodstuffs needs to be purchased, somebody has to cultivate them, somebody has to transport them, somebody will cook the food, somebody will be incharge of payment children will be encourage to go back to school or willing to learn, etc
Back to Osun State, the feeding program ensured that 60% of the food stuffs were sourced locally, from Chicken, Fish, eggs, cocoa-yam, etc. What these implies, is that more people are encouraged to go into farming cos there is a sure market for their products.
Your understanding of Infrastructure is interesting, U speak of the government embarking on projects it cannot fund directly, to be sincere no serious business man funds capital/infrastructural project with liquid cash,they are most time funded with loans (debt). I guess you don't have a picture of how Osun state was before and how it is now. If the Government decide not to do any meaningful project in 2017, it won't still be able to pay salaries.
I agree with you that if the position pushed by the initial speaker is right Osun state is not economically viable. I think you are correct. The fact is Osun is not economically viable, for Osun to be economically viable, the government that will do that should forget 2nd term, forget the hate they spill against him/her. The first hurdle is 60 -70% of the work force should go, increase their wages and provided JD (Job Description), Restructure the Civil Service, make the civil service a place information can be gotten easily without any delay. Osun situation is complex.
I guess with my submission you will say i am wicked, but the fact remains with the current over bloated and inefficient civil servants, anybody who leads Osun will get his fingers burnt.

Fixing power is a very big challenge that somehow compliment the high consumption of energy (pms). 60% of Nigerians that live in urban areas uses generator. If the power sector works the demand for pms will drop drastically. The proposal by VP is a fast and quick way of fixing power sector. But in the power sector there are two school of thoughts;
1. Need a National grid to monitor the distribution of power by building big power plants.
2. The building of small power plants and eliminate the huge cost of transmission and power loss along the line.

These is a big challenge, both of them have their advantages and disadvantages which can not be elaborated because of time. I belong to the school that believes small power plants should be built to solve the immediate challenge of the country. States that are buoyant can build their own power plant and supply their states and if the have enough can sell to the FG or to other states. With these system it will reduce the burden on the FG to provide power to the whole Nation. Over time they can even interconnect these smaller power plant in a ring form.
Also, private investors can be encourage to build small power plants to power industrial area. Power plants generating 33kv or 11kv should be encouraged, these will eliminate the huge investment in transmission but will require also investment in stability of the power system.

I still have a challenge in the source of power. The challenge of pipeline is yet to be resolve and also storage of gas within residential or urban centres are very dangerous. Using Solar and wind are very expensive. The best alternative is thermal, hydro and coal.
The coal power plant should be encouraged because of the huge deposit of coal we have in eastern Nigeria. Nuclear should be out of it cos we are yet to manage the hazards generated from our crude oil fields.

The Challenge the present government has now is how to enlighten the populace against the believe that subsidy must be removed. The so-called cabal has succeeded in that part which will be difficult to change. If the New govt removes it without addressing some of the question you raised in your phase 1, we are definitely creating another market cartel in the PMS market like the Diesel market.
{before we say we remove subsidy, we should be sure of the quantity of fuel we consume daily, the quantity we require with a period of time, the quantity we have subsidies as at present, the expected quantity. If all these are done, it will give us a clear view if we really pay subsidy, need to pay subsidy or remove subsidy. Cos from most position, we just keep importing without having a concrete record on our daily consumption.}
I believe the FG should streamline the number of Licensed Importers and ensure that certain guidelines are set before they are licensed to import fuel. The licensed importers will be given a grace period that after proper consultation will have a deadline that will ensure local production. Therefore the FG will encourage smaller refineries to be built and create a legal frame work for easy operation of the private sector in the system. The FG needs to be sincere and train it staffs to ensure they meet up with the challenge. Bottle necks on importation, port clearance, licenses approval etc should be worked on to easy and interest investors.

barcanista:
Which court vindicated him? Are we talking of election matters or incompetence, maladministration and mismanagement of Aregbesola's government? Which state legislators? You mean his fellow APC legislators? It is clear that you are one of the problems of your state. Anyway, I'm only concerned cos of the good hearted Ósun people and not for your kind. May God Help Osun

It quite unfortunate the kind of youth we groom in this country. Over 22 states in Nigeria can not pay salaries due to the dwindling price of crude oil. The FG borrowed 478 billion to pay salaries. If the FG can borrow such huge fund where will states borrow to pay? The polite question to ask is what lead to the FG that has the responsibility of generating major revenue (solid minerals and other sources) except taxes failed in its function.
The challenge today tells us we need to practice fiscal federalism or reduce the revenue sharing formula where the FG takes 52.7% of the total revenue generated by the country.
Osun State might not be able to pay salaries due to the present state of the Nation and it is disheartening such is happening. I expect robust and constructive analysis that can save us from recurrence of such. Not all these unfounded lies we peddle about just because we want pull a man down. You can not take the developmental strides away from Aregbe. Your state Bayelsa with the enormous resources, low population and few towns can not boast of the development achieved by APC in Osun state.

@jpphilips:
I respect your knowledge of Energy, Power and the Economy. I read your article, it really hit the points and belief i have about the challenges in our energy and power sector. You indirectly did not want to state that you don't believe in the subsid but technically created a platform to determine how much we need daily for consumption and how much compensation (subsidy) needed by the govt to pay for imported fuel.
I am challenged by your wonderful writeup. Kudo's.

barcanista:
And they couldn't achieve any of these in any of the states they govern? Make una better deliever sha

Can you be sincere, some of the social welfare policies were picked from their states. From Job creation, security, industrialization, agric etc.

aguiyi:


you will look very foolish to believe that junk story from Nigeria media.

how many of them have a name and a means of livelihood that is not traceable to the state government.

who are this his faceless siblings that we dont see on tv but only hear about in print media.

Muazu sold out and that is a fact. this is the first time a PDP party chairman with all the available resources will lose his local govt to an opposition. Fayose is not the only one accusing him, he is the only bold and fearless of them all and i love him for that.

You sound funny, you call the news that don't go down well with you junk. Lets leave that for the gods. (the challenge during his fathers funeral is also junk).
Back to you calling Muazu a sell out, it tell you are not a good man of Nigeria Political History. All elections conducted in Bauchi State except for 2007 Buhari has always won with wide margin. In 2011, GMB did not have the financial muscle and party structure like APC provided him in the last March election, yet GEJ could not score 19% of the total vote. Total vote cast at 2011 presidential election is 1,610,094. CPC scored -1,315,209 while PDP scored - 258,404. while in 2015 Vote Cast - 1,039,775: APC - 931,598, PDP - 86,085, with a better structure how do you expect GEJ to score better with respect to the believe that GEJ is the alleged sponsor terror against their people. The state governor declared curfew, the citizens defiled it and guard the INEC office for 3 days. In 2011 PDP would have lost the governorship election also but due to the election violence, the PDP capitalised on it to clamp down on most of the opposition by arresting them and putting them in the coolers till after the governorship election.

HzRF:

Let me ask are u from Osun or in Osun cuz
If u are in Osun Ife don't wanna hear APC not after rigging their son out
Fadahunsii will massacre omoworare some1 can't win ordinary primary after 3yrs as a senator
Kayode oduoye even oba ikirun (APC campaign member) can't hold him
Goan check his rally and what pple are saying

Ifedayo lg where I hail from senator adeyeye can only win 1 lg out of 3 in ora where he comes from oke ila is going for PDP
Ede lg adeleke has told the king to talk to bello and reconcile them cuz what happened in gov poll still surprise him and he knws if ede vote is divided his chances will be slimmer
Am telling u this so that u won't be shocked when u heared Osun result

It is complete waste of time arguing with you. Osun PDP knows they cannot win, they are only banking on providing 25% of the vote of Osun.
Adeleke would call for reconciliation with bello, are u for real. A zone that boast of Adeleke, Peter Power and the ourgoing senator mudasiru. Who in that zone can confront the fire power of these three individual. abeg park well. Dis discussion is not for kids but for real open minded and constructive men.

HzRF:

U are right even my dad co-worker who's a stinkly APC will vote him cuz he's a good man
Ife is PDP mere hearing omisore is enough just like buahri in North

Another area is ikirun where PDP will win oduoye is just mouthed (thanks to kangaroo APC primaries)
This factors and some others am telling many Osun vote will be split and APC won't have a field day rigging

I laugh at ur analysis. Fadanhunsi is not a match of Aregbe in ilesha while Omisore cannot deliver IFE to PDP. Omisore election is different frm Presidential election. My question is what will be the achievement of GEJ in Osun or IFE that will warrant them to vote him.
Which of the Oduoye, the late Oduoye or which one. Story for the gods, Osun is locked down for APC.

1wolex85:


I am still amazed how anyone thinks Osoba will work for GEJ/PDP! This makes no sense to anybody that knows Ogun politics. Osoba decamping is purely local politics, the worst he can do is to be indifferent to the presidential polls but he wont work for PDP.

In Lagos, if you call koro and george, i agree, but fasheun and adams? guy, haba! these ones hae no political influence whatsoever. the upn fasheun is trying to revive cant even win councillorship with fasheun's influence or rather lack of it in his own ward. Even Bode George has won his polling booth on lagos island only a few times (i think its even once,2011 presidential elections). When you talk about grassroot mobilisation, only koro has got it going on in pdp, maybe aero in alimosho also.
I dont know much about the rest of the states but please just drop the afenifere nonsense, name one of them that has won any election since 1999, just one!, anyway na next week, we can come back to this thread then.
I just saw something you wrote about ogun state, that Amosun won with Osoba structure! I laugh in spanish. Go back to the 2007 elections, DD direct riding on Aremo's structure came a distant 3rd, SIA brought a totally unknown party in the SW (ANPP) and came second (some still believe he won that election, there were so may irregularities that the appeal court even ordered a retrial by the election tribunal before daniel finally won at the appeal court at the second time of asking). Guy, you dey really underrate Amosun o!

He does not have a good understanding and history of power play in SW. Amosun is a force to reckon with on his own.

barcanista:
I don't know whether you read my piece or you jumped to conclusion. For a start, I said Ogbomoso is under the grip of Akala, Akala is an unapologetic GEJ supporter and has publicly endorsed Jonathan for President www.vanguardngr.com/2015/02/south-west-leaders-endorse-jonathan/ he never liked APC and will never work for them. Same for Ibadan AP and Ladoja.

Let me refresh your mind on 2011, there was major crack within the PDP. Some stayed with Akala, some went with Ladoja to Accord, while few anti-Akala led by Folarin remained in PDP but openly worked against Akala. Most of the anti-Akala openly worked with AC.N. Accord was so unpopular but rode on Ladoja's goodwill. At the end Oyo state AC N vote was 420,167, PDP 386, 480, ACCORD 275,151. OYo AC also won 2 Senate with Akala's PDP winning 1 Senate. Today, 60% of the chieftains includiong all 2 Senators are now with Accord. In the State Parliament even APC members went to Accord or LP. Accord, PDP, SDP and LP may have their disagreement when it comes to local politics, they are ALL working for Jonathan's Presidency. I have given you public endorsements. For the Guber election, it is between AP and LP...APC is out of contention.

For Ekiti, you all still whine and won't come to terms with the reality. You claimed Obj rigged 2003 for PDP Gov, this is typical of opposition.

For Ondo State, I have showed you how GEJ and Oke have been reconciled but you kept calling Agagu. Agagu that couldn't win his reelection and Agagu that couldn't deliever Ondo to Oke in 2012. Well, we know that the "few" Agagu loyalists are splitted, some with Oke, others are moving to APC but they can't even outnumber Mimiko. Beside, Both Oke and Mimiko are core Jonathanians. Whether you like it or not, Oke and Mimiko are united as long as Ondo South is concerned.

For Lagos State, you don't expect me from arguing bedroom talk, but the PDP is united for the first time since 2006. All groups are core pro-Janathan(Koro and George groups).

Let me remind you that the case of Ogun has been dealt repeatedly, I can't be repeating myself.

In summary, as long as the Presidential poll is concerned, AP/Ladoja, LP/Akala, SDP/Makinde, AD, Afenifere, and PDP are signed up for Jonathan in Oyo State.

SDP/Osoba/Odunsi, PDP/GNI/OGD, LP, AD are working for GEJ in Ogun State.

Fayose/PdP and his team plus others are workin in Ekiti state

Mimiko, LP, Oke and others are working in Ondo

Koro, George, Adams, Fasheun, and ors are working for GEJ in Lagos

Omisore controls in Osun(this is where APC have hope).


Remember what happened in 2003 when AD leaders thought the split of Afenifere won't affect them, it cost them the Govership in all 6 states except Lagos.

Fantasy at its best. The people of SW are gullible they wont vote their own but will vote a man that spent 5 yrs,he is yet to show significant development in their zone. But GEJ will win SS because of being son of the soil regardless of performance.
i dey laugh ooooo.
28th is around the corner, we would see. Your Oyo analysis is total crap, i would not argue with you because you are not from the region and you dont understand the dynamics of Oyo politics. (Imagine you saying Ajimobi is not a grass root mobilzer).

barcanista:
This is very typical of any pro-APC crap... But for the sake of politics let me comment on some issues.

1.
Obasanjo has never been a determining factor in SW Politics.He lost SW to Falae in 1999, he only won in 2003 because the AD endorsed him. His faction couldn't secure seat for Iyabo in 2011. Ladoja won Oyo in 2003 because of Pa Adedibu and his(Ladoja's) goodwill. Fayose won Ekiti in 2003 because of he was loved by the grassroot. Obasanjo only influenced the victory of Olagunsoye Oyinlola(Osun) in 2003 thanks to the support of Iyola Omisore, though his candidate was kicked out 4 years after. In Ogun Daniel is known to be a mobilizer with lots of grassroot followers(mostly touts), his combine force with Amosun and Obj helped kicked Osoba. However, Daniel remained a key with loyalists in prominent positions even out of office. How many Reps from Ogun State are loyal to Obasanjo(0)? How many are loyal to Daniel(2)? Amosun (2), But Osoba (5). How many Senators are loyal to Obj(0), all Ogun Senators are core loyalists of Osoba. Loyalists not just Associates. How many commissioners can resign because of Obasanjo?(0). Amosun power house is Ogun Central but he isn't finding it easy at all as at today.

Às for Tinubu, he has seen a slip in his political fortune. He lost in Ondo in 2012, lost in Ekiti in 2014 but won Osun. In Ogun State, he isn't even a factor. ACN won in 2011 by using Osoba's Structure with Amosun candidacy. The leftover Afenifere that were with Tinubu in 2003 are no longer with him.

2. When you say Oyo, you deliberately played down the relevance of the Speakership. You even went as far as saying Ladoja/Accord won't campaign for GEJ, in fact you gave Ogbomoso to APC. This is very fuNny.
1. Accord Officially endorsed GEJ www.firstafricanews.ng/index.php?dbs=openlist&s=14605
2. Oyo State Chapter of Accord through Oyebisi Ílaka, the Party's CentrÀl Senatoral Candidate and core loyalist of Ladoja shed light on the endorsement
www.theinfostride.com/forum/nigerian-news/why-accord-party-(ap)-endorsed-jonathan/?wap2

3. Ladoja himself endorsed GEJ
https://www.mynewswatchtimesng.com/ladoja-backs-pdps-endorsement-jonathan/

3. Ajimobi isn't a mobiliser, the mobilisers in Oyo State- Ladoja, Akala, PDP and Makinde(SDP) are all signed up to Jonathan's project.

4.You know Nothing about the who is who in OyÓ politics. Let me remind you that as at today, APC is hated by Accord in Oyo State. In fact, AP wouldn't want to have any business with APC.

On Lagos State, Bola Tinubu may still have his grip in the APC but his control of Lagos politics is overrated. The Lagos PDP is united, Jimi Agbaje is the New Kid on the block, the OPC who were usually sympathetic to AD/AC are now pro-GEJ. I won't even talk of non indigens.

For Ondo State, Olusola Oke and Mimiko has been reconciled by Jonathan. They are all working for the Presido, the APC need to be updated. www.ngrguardiannews.com/2015/03/ondo-pdp-unites-for-jonathans-victory/

For Ekiti, what brought ACN to power in 2010 was the Fayose support for the party's candidate fayemi. Otherwise Oni(then PDP) would have coast home victorious. Fayose structure moved against Fayemi in 2014 and we all know the outcome (similar scenario is playing in Ogun). Also APC lost a faction loyal to Bamidele to LP. APC has no structure in Ekiti State, they couldn't even win a LG. Omisore did in Osun.

I have no time to comment on other crap, I believe these few words are enough

You make me laugh with your analysis of SW politics. I never said Obj is a determinate factor but a stabilising factor for PDP in the south West. Apart from Fayose non of the people you stated would have an in root into the politics of SW without the input of Obj 2003 rigging machine.
How can you take out the military and security backing given to Pa Adedibu in 2003 and 2007 to deliver Oyo state to PDP. Adedibu was in APP 1999 and Ladoja invited him to PDP to help him dislodge Yekini Adeojo to win the Primaries. Akala was the Chairman of Ogbomosho North LG and the only APP LG chairman in Oyo state. His loyalty to Adedibu granted him the ticket, he was not a popular candidate but because of AD picked their deputy from Oke-ogun while PDP went for Akala (even when the populace of ogbomosho preferred Oloyede or Olorede from Ogbomosho south to Akala) and the voting strength of Ogbomosho is more than Oke-ogun.
You nailed your knowledge of Oyo politics by saying Ajimobi is not a mobilizer. Ajimobi was a senator 1999 - 2003 where he fell out with AD and joined APP. He contested against Akala in 2007 under ANPP and came second defeating even Lam Adesina led AD. For ACN to win 2011 election, Tinubu had to persuade Lam Adesina to accept Ajimobi into ACN. PDP banking on Ladoja is the worst thing any serious politician can do to itself. I like the way you accepted that PDP has not say in OYO politics but banking on endorsement from other political parties. Remember, it involves Local and National election. If you believe that regardless of the performance of Ameachi in rivers state he cannot win Rivers for GMB how come you can believe GEJ winning OYO state.
You said i gave Ogbomosho to APC, what structure do PDP/AP have in Ogbomosho compared to LP and APC. The Soun's son is contesting for HOR and is like a son-in-law to Akala. Do you think Akala would work for PDP in your wildest dream.
Ogun state is the funniest of all, OGD won the election of 2003 with the major financier by Senator Ibikunle Amosun and the political trickery of Obj over Osoba. ACN would not win the 2011 election if they did not produce Amosun. There was no strong candidate after the death of Dipo Dina. Tinubu negotiated with Osoba by telling him to give the governorship ticket to Amosun while he produce the deputy governor, senators and HOR members. Amosun agreed and after the 2011 election Amosun decided to amend the loopsided political structure. This did not go down well with Osoba. Osoba is strong no doubt about it but how do he come in terms with senate and HOR election that hold same day with Presidential. How do you tend to convince Ogun people to vote against their own while you expect GEJ to win out rightly in Bayelsa. You are the funniest analyst i have ever come across. I can bet it if GEJ gets 20% of the vote in that state OGD is a wonderful politician.
Ondo state, you got it wrong. Olushola Oke runs with the support and machinery of Late Agagu. That machinery have dissolved into APC. Without Agagu faction with Olushola, he can not win any thing at Ondo south.

I will conclude with your comment that you just scramble for documents online thinking that will translate to vote. We all know the strength of individuals in their society. PDP might make significant impact in local election but the presidency, it is a forgotten issue.

GEJ to win South West is a very difficult task but politics is a game which requires major and minor players. Lots of factors are against GEJ winning SW.
There are two major schools of thoughts in the South West;
1. The regional champions who believe they need to grow from their performance in the region to national politics. (The Progressives led by Tinubu)
2. The national champions who believe they can muscle they national spread on the regional SW politics. (The Conservatives led by Obj).
The two minority schools of thoughts in the SW;
1. The disgruntled or out of favour champions that falls out due to power play in their respective states in the progressive camp. (Progressive fallout – SDP and Afenifere)
2. The selected few that due to their closeness to the President and the fallout of their seeking relevance by taking order from Ota while they can do that with their closeness to the Presidency. (Conservative fallout)
South West politics is very dynamic; lots of factors determine their voting pattern. Local election cannot be used as a yardstick to decide their voting pattern. Most times their votes are determined by the value and quality of the candidate in the National Politics.
Factors SW consider when choosing candidate nationally based on history of their voting pattern since 1999 – 2011.
1. Perceived victim of victimization by the particular group/zone of people against a candidate. (for example yar’adua’s cabal against GEJ 2010).
2. National policies like fuel subsidy. (Fuel price in SW region is most times within the regulated price because of the understanding of its sensitivity of the policy to them).
3. They are most times less concerned about the National Politics as long as their local champion delivers on their said promises. (If one of their local champions is involved then they tend to partake).
4. They check the performance of the candidates based on the current reality on ground and pinch their tent with the one that will defend their interest most.
5. Political leaders are respected based on the perspective of the area within the regions they control. Political leader must have contributed meaningful to the area or state he belongs to, he must be seen to be humble and not abusive and must be seen to have a sense of direction.

GEJ lost the battle for SW by committing the worst blunder by allowing two major gladiators in a region to fight him. (Obj & Tinubu). Tinubu relevance in SW politics started 2003 when he was the only governor to survive the tactical blunder committed by his party members (AD) and Afenifere. Since then he had made his in root to the hearts of SW by producing Governors of impeccable characters and known for excellence in their professional field before joining politics. These are some of the factors that affect PDP in some of the state elections. Tinubu has been successful even in the face of defeat in Ondo and Ekiti election. Ondo Election was not about Tinubu but the exemplary performance of the governor Mimiko against an unknown Akeredolu (a legal luminary), it was a political blunder while that of Ekiti state is a politics that I don’t understand but the popularity of Fayose cannot be overlooked regardless of his thug like character. (Might be linked to the dissatisfaction of the civil servants against fayemi’s policy).
Obasanjo might not be relevant in the local politics of SW but he has always been the stabilizing factor in the SW conservative party. He single handed ensured the relevance of PDP in SW with finance and political position giving to his lieutenants. His inability to show significant development in the SW has not made him accepted as the Leader of Yoruba’s after being the President of Nigeria and them voting en-mass for him 2003. He has been a major source of success of PDP in the SW.

State by state analysis will be presumed on five factors namely;
1. Performance
2. Political structure
3. Political gladiators
4. Perspective of the ordinary SW.
5. Ethnicity/religion

EKITI;
Ekiti state will be a very tight race. The charisma and the do-or-die attitude of the Governor will play a major role, either positive or negative march 28 will decide. The incumbent will have a lot on his way because he still enjoys the goodwill of his people based on his flawless victory in his election. The negative aspect of it is that fayose have not been able to manage his success within his party rank. The state primaries have caused lot of problem between him and some of the gladiators that helped him during his election. Like Senator Arise and Senator Gbenga Aluko etc. He runs the state PDP like his personal property. He calls the shot which can go well for him or work against him. The opposition in the state have succeeded in painting him in bad light among the elite which has a minimal impact in local politics but heavy impact in National politics. The APC succeeded in mending fence with their arch rival LP candidate, he is back into their fold. The perspective of an average Yoruba man politically still believes in the school of thoughts of Awolowo, which Tinubu’s group have clung to over time. If APC follows Awolowo's ideology is a discussing for another day.
Finally, since 2011 politically the SW have been marginalised from National politics and no meaning full development in Ekiti from the Federal Govt., and there is this noise of ‘na our son make he dey there’ wont they want their fellow ethnic person be there too.

VERDICT:
Fayose is loved as a person but his ability to convince his people to vote GEJ is another task to see his doggedness against all odds.
If he succeeds PDP 55% while APC 45%, but if he fails PDP 35% APC 65%.

ONDO;

Ondo State is a state that the governor has lost his goodwill from the people due to lots of labour issue. The movement of from LP to PDP has weakling his political strength. The people he met in PDP moved to APC and some of the aggrieved members of his former LP who could not get recognition based on the movement from LP to PDP fell out and joined APC. Formerly the politics of Ondo state is shared along senatorial zones. Ondo North is the strong base of APC led by Boroface and co, Ondo Central is the strong base of LP led by the Gov himself Mimiko while Ondo South is led by late Agagu camp PDP. The current fall out has made APC strong in two senatorial zones while PDP Ondo Central.
Mimiko is the all in all today in Ondo PDP, while APC has leaders in every zone of the strength of Mimiko (but not as strong as mimiko). Their combination would defeat the campaign strategy of mimiko in National politics which can be impossible in Local politics. The problem with PDP in SW will be on what performance bases he will campaign. If he as a Governor campaigned based on his achievement in his state what will he campaign with as the president’s achievement in Ondo state.
The love his people had for him 2012 is lost which will play also a major role in his ability to convince the electorate. Our son syndrome will also play a major role.
The perspective of GEJ in this area is very poor. Forget the endorsement of falae and afenifere, Falae has never won any election he sponsored since 2003 in Akure. He is respected but that has never transcended to votes.

VERDICT;
PDP 30% APC 70%

OSUN ;

This is a no go area for PDP. Sen. Omisore is the only political gladiator in PDP. Omisore will have to slug it out with the Governor and the interest of the God father of APC VP Osinbanjo town. The other senatorial zone is a complete no go area for PDP.
Osun state is a complete lock down area for APC. Lots of factors favour APC. Discussing this state is a waste of energy.

VERDICT;
PDP 20% APC 80%

OYO;

This is a state that parades lots of gladiators in different zones of the state. But PDP have played lots of bad politics earlier which back fired against them. This a state that is Muslim dominated and religion sometimes plays a factor in their choice of candidature. PDP also played the card of APC frustrating the interest of Yoruba’s by blocking the emergency of their daughter Mulikat as Speaker of the House. Today, APC chose a Yoruba man as VP which is higher and have significant importance than speaker. I don’t know how PDP will convince them to vote GEJ when they have a fellow ethnic nationality in a higher position. (They can’t still understand the advantage of Bankole to SW when he was Speaker).
Oyo State is classified into 4 zones. Ibadan, Oyo town, Ogbomosho, Oke-ogun and they are led by different gladiators. Ibadan is a strong hold of Ladoja and the incumbent Gov Ajumobi with voting power of 60 – 40% respectively. The most interesting thing is that Ibadan determines one-third of the voting strength with 11 LG. Ladoja will never canvass for PDP or APC because he knows their success in Presidential election will affect his chances. His bosom friend that led to his fallout with Obj is now a leader in APC (Atiku). The PDP Gov candidate Teslim is a nobody and carries no weight compared to the earlier two candidates in Ibadan. Therefore it is a clean a battle for APC in Ibadan.
Oyo town is locked down for APC because of the cordial relationship between the Oba and the Incumbent gov. This is the only town in SW that the Oba has lots of influence in the election in his domain. His son is a candidate of APC contesting for Fed. Rep.
Ogbomosho is another big town in SW and Oyo state. The big fish in this town is Alao Akala. His fallout with PDP is a big blow and will do anything to ensure that PDP does not win Presidential and Senatorial election because of his ambition to become the governor. The next strong gladiator to him is Hon. Buhari (APC) who is contesting for senate. He is not a match for Akala but he can climb on Akala’s grand stand against PDP senatorial candidate from Oke-ogun and his gubernatorial ambition.
Oke-ogun is a battle ground between PDP and APC. The deputy governor is from oke ogun while the incumbent senator is also from Oke ogun. Oke ogun have always been a APC enclave until Senator Agboola Hosea broke the jinx. Winning local election is different from national election, especially when the perspective of the PDP Presidential candidate in these areas is very poor.
Religion and ethnicity will play a major role.

VERDICT;
PDP 30% APC 70%

OGUN;

There is little to talk about here because, a son of the soil is involved. He is not just a son of the soil but a renowned professional religiously and excellent in his career. The fallout of Osoba from APC cannot deem the chance in the presidential race (it might in guber) because Osoba cannot work alongside with Gbenga Daniel. SDP National might adopt GEJ but Osoba will never because 2003 election mistake is still fresh in his memory.

VERDICT;
PDP 20% APC 80%

LAGOS;

History as always showed that candidate that Tinubu supports have always won the Presidential Election in Lagos state since 1999. Obj won Lagos in 2003 because AD did not field any Presidential Candidate. 2007 PDP lost Lagos state to Atiku because of Tinubu’s influence.
Tinubu strength in Lagos state can only be matched by Late Engr. Funsho Williams. Who understand the workings of Yoruba politics by not attempting to join the PDP at the National (he might get contracts but ensured he did not meddle into National Politics). He played his politics within Lagos and has the grassroot structure like Tinubu. He and Tinubu were contemporaries in AD 1998 before he left for PDP. Since his demise PDP Lagos has not been able to muscle such grass root structure again. The structure merged with Tinubu in 2007.
PDP needs to up their game which is already late. The fuel subsidy protest has painted the Fed government in bad light. The inability of the FG to bring the cabals, fraudsters to justice and the promised refinery is a big minus. This state is the commercial heart of the nation. Propaganda can’t fly to an extent because they feel the effect of government policies faster than any state in the federation. The state is blessed with different people all over the country because of his economic advantage which is perceived to be the hard work of the ruling party APC. Most of the eligible voters are knowledgeable, they are vast in one aspect or the other and well informed.

VERDICT;
PDP 30% APC 70%.

CONCLUSION;
Personally I don’t see PDP winning SW because of lots of factors that cannot be discussed at once. GEJ does not have a well trusted, respected Elder from Yoruba Land that some people will listen to across the 6 states in his team. No matter how u view it, Yoruba’s look up to some people because of their achievement in Life and success. Allowing Tinubu and OBj to work against him in the SW is the worst that can happen to a person.

Buhari/Osinbajo will win SW vote’s landslide.



@barcanista, @Gbawe

The report by the vanguard newspaper is laughable and a ploy to discredit the use of card reader.
The purpose of the card reader is to reduce rigging. To effect this change the card reader is needed for two functions. verification and authentication. verification of pvc and authentication by finger print.
The verification of the pvc by the card reader is 100% while there is challenge with regards to finger print authentication which called for incident form.
It sounds funny when the writer analysed filling of incident form to take 8 min, but did not analyse how long it will take manually to search a name in a voters register which he tends to promote.
The major issue is have the card reader been able to eliminate fake voters and un issued voters card? 100% YES.
The issue of finger print can be handled since the pvc card has been verified to be issued by inec.
The merit of the card reader over the use of voters register manually is a wide gap. We can not use the challenge of the finger print failure as a reason to dump the process.
How about the authentication of the real pvc, the authentication of the accredited voters and messaging of the accredited voters data to INEC HQ with out the polling officer able to tamper with it.
If the finger print fails, provision for incident form has been made available. i dont know how the writer arrived at filling a form to take 8min.
i believe the card reader will have a big impact in the success if the election. If we keep looking at the flaw in the system we would never move forward. The manual voter accreditation has it flaws and it flaws are even bigger yet we used them.
I

francizy:


Hmmm. So it seems to you that empowering corps members with the right business management skills and financial support to go into the world and effect the real change is not good enough?

We have to learn from developed countries and how their economies are blossoming with private sector their strength base. Who are the ones mostly affected by unemployment? Is it those pupils and their parents or the recent graduates? You can't boast to be reducing employment by concentrating on the minors. Most of those parents we're talking about have at least one thing doing and are already coping. What do graduates have apart from jumping from one test center to another to write tests and go for interviews.

If one really wants to reduce the rate of unemployment, one has to firstly focus on our recent graduates who the ones mostly affected. Now you are talking of semi-skilled graduates, these are other areas they should have mentioned too. What is causing this unemployment? Are our students trained effectively? Why can't we make our universities better than they are in order to produce better graduates and reduce unemployment?

I don't want to believe this is the best they can do. I do have this to say tho, I will vote for GEJ because I don't really see any change coming. I also do not have a problem with Buhari wining the election so i wish him the very best. I will just follow you now so that if he wins the election and fails in any of his agendas or if this particular one doesn't work, then I come back here to voice this out "I told you so".

Have a great day bro.

It like u just want to argue because u are just looking away from facts. Did you read the post at all. The feeding scheme is a means of using one stone to kill 3 or 4 birds.
Can you please state in details how much these ur proposed policy will cost. The direct and indirect impact on the society. The possible length of implementation and sector it will affect. The number of jobs it will create. Cost of the training, how much grant will be given to the corp members, name the sector u intend to invest in, with the current power situation which biz will impact higher compared to the one stated above. Pls would love to see ur 1 year plan and the effect on the country with regards to the finance.

francizy:
Guys lemme give you the real development and the best area for our government or Buhari (of he wins) to invest if they actually wanna invest in indirect jobs creation.

How many graduates are we producing per year? Why will someone pay poor people 5k monthly when there are thousands of graduates pouring out of the university like waterfall?

Currently the aim of serving our fatherland is defeated yet nobody ever looks into that area, both GEJ and Buhari. Why don't they empower employees of NYSC, empower them with business management/planning/marketing/financial management skills or releave them off their duties and employ people with business backgrounds/qualifications to become NYSC workers.

Why did I say this? It's because we need to equip our corps members with business management, business planning/marketing/market analysis/financial management skills, afterwards, these corps members should be empowered with certain amount of money to help them start their own businesses.

Corps members should go for the 3 weeks camp, paid for one month and allowed to go to their states of choice to attend the Business trainings. After all these, then empower them and you will produce wealthy people on the long run and our private sector will boom greatly.

This is my contribution.

Cc @DVanguard @doctokwus, @penisilin @OrlandoOwoh @Volksfuhrer @DelGardo

Sorry, do you think employment or empowerment of graduates are the only way to creating jobs. How about the increasing number of unskilled, semi skilled, the university drop out, college dropout etc in the society.
I laugh, an existing working scheme that have worked successfully in a state you condemn it but you want to encourage the government to invest in training of corp members and after training them give them grants. Good analysis, but what will be the success rate of the so called corp members. How much will it cost the FG to implement this policy. How many Nigerians will be affected within a space of 1 year. The osun state policy will relieve at least 10million parents on feeding of the wards, average if 20million children are feed daily reducing the poverty index of Nigeria, the enrolment figure will increase cos it will encourage more children to attend school, average of a million job is created etc. Open your mind and see the big picture.

francizy:


I'd love to know, what's the propaganda I mixed with facts? Anyways, I don't agree with you on that project being economically more viable that infrastructural development. I will have to use power as an example now. If Nigeria can enjoy constant power supply, do you know that millions of businesses will benefit from it? Do you also know that many businesses such manufacturing companies, will spring up? Do you know that with the right amount of power supply and moderate electricity tariff that over 5 million jobs will be created?

The best part of all what I've talked about is that the jobs created will be tangible jobs. If you check this critically you will see that the effect of constant power generation will be felt by all sectors of the Nigerian economy and will also be felt by every Nigerian.

So, I don't still see the feeding a good way to create jobs and I'll call most of the jobs (since we call feeding of students job creation) intangible or indirect jobs. So my take on this is, if you wanna create indirect jobs, make use of our corps members, or create direct jobs by investing in power and every other sector of the economy.

You are missing the point. I only used Osun state sponsored program to give an analysis of how 1 million jobs can be created along side developing the agric sector and feeding the children. Listing the direct employment is 1 million how about the number of encouraged farmers to meet the demand of feeding 20 million children every day. Have you tot of the agriculture boast it will create, the availability of cheap food in the society cos farming is encourage on the bases of a ready market.
It like you just want to argue. I submitted that these is one of the numerous ways of generating jobs in Nigeria. But for immediate impact these is the one of the best. Your submission on other sector is correct and will also increase the chances of creating more jobs. Power can not impact a 1 million job immediate in 2015/2016, Power needs time and it is expensive.
To execute this project you only need 300 bn naira, which is exaggerated, you will have achieved a revolution in the agric sector, aviation sector, create at least a million job within a year and the price of food in the country will be relatively cheap. The social security index of the country will shoot up. Open your mind and see the advantage in the process. am not saying other sectors are not important but it is just one of the numerous opportunity to create jobs.

francizy:


If it was a success then why are the Osun workers complaining? If am not mistaken, most of the people that voted in Gov Are were the artisans/undereducated. Why didn't these workers fully support him? Why are they hiding the info on how they spend the money allocated to them? If not that they spend it recklessly, will they hide the info?

On the feeding spree, I still don't buy the idea. You can't tell me feeding children will help caution the effect of the economy because it can't/won't. It will only tie down moneys that should be invested properly. If they seek the services of qualified personnel, the contracts of road construction, and some other ones won't take them take years to plan like you postulated.

I still think if we're to move forward, then the government has to go straight to more important projects that will better the lives of Nigerians. Remember the more time you plan, the more time you waste and leave projects unexecuted and we all know how Nigeria is, "no continuity in government projects". I can tell you that any project left uncompleted will still end up abandoned, the way GMB abandoned Ajaokuta Steel industry, while some will be cancelled like Lagos metroline.

I see the feeding spree as a way to syphone our funds and the good thing about APC is that they never loose power, when elected, you will have to deal with them forever, so don't hope too soon to remove pa Buhari even if he fails woefully..

You failed to understand that there are lots that are unemployed compared to the employed. Yep, i did not argue the non payment of ministry staffs salary.
The question is about the source of fund to execute the said program of APC.
The source of fund i proposed can u fault it. Osun state is a subset of the FG. if the FG gets its source of revenue wrong it will affect all states including Osun. Paying of salary is one side to ministry workers/civil servants while creation of additional opportunity is another. The failure on the part of FG is the result of over 20 states unable to pay the workers salary.
it is not a feeding spree, u failed to look beyond the feeding. The scheme is holistic. It brings a big conglomerate of professionals. It encourages farmers to farm cos there is a ready market available for their
products. The extension officers that enlighten the farmers, the caterers that prepare the foods for the students, the health workers that certify the quality of foods etc. It creates a big web of workers with less amount. With the money spent and the people involved is more than a project of 500bn naira road construction with less than 50000 employed. The effect of the money from that program will influence the economy faster than the road construction. Am not saying road construction is not important.
Ajaokuta not working still falls within the failure of FG to get their priority right. A GMB who does not invest in power and ajaokuta is deceiving itself. cos without this two sector ur industrialisation is under threat. Stop mixing propaganda with facts. Lagos metro line was due to the condition of IMF. Remember IMF/WORLD BANK apologise to Indonesia for the advice of devaluation of currency. this were part of condition given to GMB which he refused. but he has to pay the outstanding debt.

francizy:


I don't see that happening. It is so impossible. Moreover, I don't buy that feeding of pupils tales. That's backwardness. If not why will something previously terminated by GMB now be a source of campaign.

We need more of these cash spent in roads, railway lines, power sector, steel industry (Ajaokuta, Alaja steel and Itakpe precisely), oil industry (building of refineries), etc. These are actually areas that will created jobs, not feeding pupils and calling it job creation.

You don't give one fish, you teach one how to catch the fish..

It is too cushion the effect of unemployment within the first year of their regime. more jobs will come from other sector.but those sectors requires proper planning, design and implementation time. The feeding policy is a federal policy on UBE.

francizy:


I find it hard to believe people will buy this. It can only be on paper and I swear down that people will still come on here to criticize GMB by then..

I don't see any visible change coming from APC but if Buhari eventually wins and disappoints Nigeria, let me see who will criticize/crucify him. I will personally attack that person because they all voted him in...

dont take it personal, if GMB fails to perform to our best wish we will vote him out.
On the analysis stated above, it is q success in Osun for 4 years and it is still running regardless of the dwindling resource. PDP asked for source of fund to finance it.

francizy:


Why has Ekiti settled all the salaries even with almost same amount of money given to Ekiti and Osun...

Dont derail the topic, is the job creation possible. Osun state was used as a model. That tells u the job can be created. the PDP led govt is fustrating them. the state borrowed to execute some infrastructure project which requires removal at source. the loan required to finance the outstanding debt was refused by the FG. Is it not funny, all of a sudden the FG approved the loan facilities for 4 APC states since 2013. Osun indigenes believes the PDP LED FG is frustrating their state govt. He owes only 3 months, while PDP states like Kogi, Benue and Plateau owe minimum of 8 months. Yet , they cannot boast of people oriented program like this.

francizy:
Osun state government feeding school pupils? How come Osun workers' salaries are not being paid?

APC sha..

Yes, Osun state have not been able to pay its workers because of the dwindling fund from the federation account. The crash in the crude oil price and the poor management of our resources by the present FG caused it. At least not only Osun state government is involved, over 20 states in Nigeria including PDP and APC states.
Thank God you did not fault the job creation exercise.
The conclusion of my write up explains that with strict measures and zero tolerance for corruption with the dwindling price of crude oil in the world market, Nigeria can still sustains its challenges. Osun state govt tried it and it is a success. The feeding of the kids have not stopped yet and the employed youths are still employed. The job created still exist. Let the PDP Led - FG do its part of paying states their rightful allocation. Remember FG still owes over 70,000 staffs salary.

The APC Manifesto on 1 million jobs created in 1 year and free meal for Nigerian children in primary schools is interwoven using Osun state government employment policy.
Let’s start by determining the number of public primary school pupils that needs to be feed daily. According to data obtained from National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) an average of 20million students are enrolled in public primary schools. This comes to an average of 3.3 million students per level.
Osun state government spends about 2.04 billion naira yearly to feed over 254,000 primary school pupils within the range of pry 1 – pry 4, engaging 3007 community caterers (4 vendors/caterers per school). The Osun state govt spends N8, 031 to feed a child in a school calendar year.
2,040,000,000 / 254,000 = 8,031
To feed the whole primary school pupils in the federation (20,000,000 x 8,031 = 160,620,000,000) the FG needs average of 161 billion naira yearly.
This means the APC-FG led needs the sum of 161billion naira to create direct and indirect job by feeding primary school pupils. According to data obtained Local and State govt have over 72,000 public primary school spread across the countries. Using Osun state template of allocating 4 vendors/caterer to a school (Osun states feeds only pry 1- pry 4), then the APC Led –FG will have a template of 6 vendors/caterer to a school. The Caterers/vendors would employ at least 1 person to assist him/her; therefore 2 people have been employed directly or indirectly. (Caterer and assistant)
72,000 schools x 12 caterers = 864,000 job created.
The Federal govt need inspectors to ensure that the foods are given to the children as planned and that they are not short changed. Osun state government does not pay the caterers directly, the bank pays them. The banks have their representative and the state government has their own representative. Therefore, let assume the FG employs 1 person per school. 72,000 extra jobs created.
The APC Led –FG said they will create a commodity board (not sure of the name of the board) that will encourage the farmers by creating an artificial market with a controlled price regulation. This board function will help save the farmer from the huge lost/risk on their farm produce due to poor storage facilities. The commodity board will also be the source of food at a controlled and cheap price to the caterers that will feed the kids.
My experience in Osun, a friend approached O’agric he was given 2000 chicks, the chicks are to be reared for 8 weeks after which the govt will buy back for 450 naira per KG. This policy is another source of job creation, because there is a sure market available. This policy encourages farm produce not only rearing of chicks but cat fish, eggs, cocoa yam etc. The demand for egg for the students weekly is over 300000. Yet, the demand is not always meet but outsource from neighboring states to help augment.
Back to the job creation, from the direct source we can see that 936,000 jobs (caterer/inspector) have been created from feeding Children alone. The farmers, agric extension officers, the commodity control board officers etc have not been included. To achieve that for the whole country (774 LG) at least 50000 people will be required directly or indirectly.
Therefore the total cost to implement this policy should be estimated at ($1.5 billion) 300 billion naira yearly (exaggerated).
HOW TO RAISE 300 BILLION NAIRA
1. Buhari said he would convert all presidential jets to Nigeria Airways (commercializing it). This means it would no more be a liability but a source of revenue. We have 11 presidential jets.
According to report FG spends N9bn on presidential fleet annually dec 5, 2012. www.punchng.com/news/fg-spends-n9bn-annually-on-10-aircraft -presidential-fleet/ . Therefore, if the APC led FG converts the Presidential fleets to Nigeria National Carrier; we would not only forgo N9bn but would make more money into the federation account through the commercialization of the fleets.
Nigeria has over 60 BASAs with countries all over the continents but we have been unable to maximize the advantage. Most times politicians instead of technocrat are involved in our negotiations. Due to the absence of a true National carrier and Local operator to reciprocate the BASA deal, Nigeria has long been a recipient of royalties of $5 per passengers while foreign airlines goes home with swelled numbers.
According to NCAA records of international airlines, British Airways topped the list of successful carriers operating into Nigeria with ticket sold put approximately N32 bn in year 2009.
The executive chairman of Arik Air, Sir Joseph Arumemi-Ikhide said capital flight has led to weakening of naira and delayed economic growth. The poor handling of BASAs has resulted in serious flight of capital. Conservative figures from government agencies alone put the money foreign airlines repatriate annually at around N350 bn. www.jetlifenigeria.com/2014/02/bilateral-air-services- agreements/
Can you see the huge loss alone from the not having a National Carrier. With these, the country would be able to make more money within Nigeria and not taking abroad by foreign airline.
With proper handling, the FG can save N100 bn to finance the pupils feeding programme.

2. Empower the Military to fight the crude oil theft. If the Crude oil theft can be defeated and brought to the minimum of maybe 10 thousand barrel per day against the said 400 thousand barrel per day. With that blockage of waste, at least if 200 thousand barrel is recovered, the FG would have 200,000 x $59 = $11.8m to spend. In a year it will amount to $11.8m x 300 days = $3,540 million extra. The will power by the government to curb crude oil theft will save the country such huge finance (political will makes things happen; present military war against BH now successful, because somebody decides to wake up from his slumber).
3. $3.540 bn x N200 = N708 billion naira generated.
4. Addition of Projected N100 bn naira generated (taxes and profit from National Carrier sales of Ticket, No more N9 bn annually maintenance fee for presidential fee, all government agency patronizing National Carriers will reduce the huge N350 bn loss annually to foreign Airlines) plus the political will of the government to fight crude oil theft.
5. The sum of N808 billion naira will be generated annually. This is more than enough to execute the program.
Only two sectors of the economy have been able to raise such huge fund. The wastage in the system and the corrupt practice is much that if blocked revenues can be generated greatly.
When the General talks about corruption, he is right because corrupt practice have not allowed us to get the best out of ourselves. There are lots of funds in the society but the government responsibility is to guide its citizens within the framework of the law.

BackDatAssUp:
Fool, throughout the duration of world war 2 there was no election.

This is why Franklin Rosevolt is the longest serving president in American history!

Mr man there was election. He was elected four times. He died a month and eight days to his new regime.
his second term, he became increasingly
concerned with German and Japanese aggression
and so began a long campaign to awaken
America from its isolationist slumber. In 1940,
with World War II raging in Europe and the Pacific,
Roosevelt agreed to run for an unprecedented
third term. Re-elected by Americans who valued
his strong leadership, he proved a highly effective
commander in chief during World War II. Under
Roosevelt's guidance, America became, in his
own words, the "great arsenal of democracy" and
succeeded in shifting the balance of power in
World War II firmly in the Allies' favor. In 1944,
with the war not yet won, he was re-elected to a
fourth term.
He never shifted the date of election but contested the election.
Don't murder history to propagate ur lies.

Swiftboy:
If you're faced with the truth that's contrary to your opinion it becomes a lie weldone. Keep your Buhari online pR. Going. Truth is we'll need more refineries and two refineries are already being built by Dangote.

Which of the refinery is working 80%. No refinery in Nigeria is working up to 30%. Warri and Kaduna are having issue with their power generating plant since 2014 may. The two at PH are bad. Pls which refinery works at 80%. Yet we trade by barter 400k barrel of crude for refined fuel. Bro's tell ur self the truth sometimes.

Tundeajani:
OYO STATE

No much word here,the party that will win the presidential elections in oyo state is that whose candidate is adopted by accord party.this is a topic which has not beign given so much publicity or lobby by the two frontline parties of PDP and APC.accord is to oyo state what cpc of buhari is to northern nigeria.forget the eleites on fb and twitter or mogidi or barcanista will tell you.the politics oyo is very local and mostly not about development but how you can deceive the people with lies,a thing ladoja has done to gain a cult like following.,ashiri of this secrete as we call it in the yoruba is for the two parties to try to strike partnership with ladoja,anyone who gets it is the winner in oyo,shikenna,

to be frank i see PDP winning,they have the bigger money bag.who no like money.not only ladoja,tunde ajani loves money.

Your analysis on Oyo state is a far cry from reality. Ladoja is popular but would not want to trade his popularity for an unpopular candidate. Oyo state is the state PDP used the campaign of " ACN backing a northerner against a SW candidate", stating it as the reason why SW don't have a proper representative in the Top hierarchy of GEJ govt. What would PDP tell the Oyo people now when their son can be a No. 2 citizen of the country.
Down to proper analysis:
Ibadan is going to be a very good show between Ladoja and Ajimobi cos Folarin is not has strong as the two other contestant. A ladoja can never work for GEJ cos of the backlash of the Gubernatorial election.
Oke-ogun, is a good place for PDP cos of the strength of the current senator Agboola but APC would give a good fight (the deputy gov is from that area) cos the emergence of Sen. Agboola changed the game in oke ogun. Previous election, it has always been the strong hold of ACN.
Ogbomosho is the strong hold of LP (Akala). Akala is angry with PDP and he is contesting not because he would win but to destroy the chances of PDP. He see's it as a payback for Folarin (PDP candidate) because of his action 2011. APC is strong in Ogbomosho but not like Akala. in 2011, Hon. Buhari was used to check mate Akala to ensure that fictitious result was not declared from Ogbomosho like previous election. 2015, he is contesting for senate on the platform of APC. Okeogun and 3 LG in Ogbomosho share the same senatorial zone. The in fight between Akala and his former commissioner of LG Sen. Agboola, will work in favour of Hon. Buhari. Ogbomosho have always been a determinate factor in that senatorial zone. Akala feels it is a pay back time for PDP.
Oyo town is a no go area, it is strictly APC because of the strong influence of Alafin of Oyo. Nobody wants to go into a headlock fight with the monarch. His contribution won the election for ACN in 2011. His son is rewarded with federal rep ticket on APC platform.

Oyo state is a very strong political game, but PDP have a divided home. The people have already made up their mind cos of their persevered poor performance of the president. They see him as an incompetent leader cos of the subsidy fraud and the security issue.
The Yoruba's are very difficult to please but easy to work with but once you go against some of the social norms they distaste you. Since the subsidy saga GEJ have lost the love he got in 2011.
Might be wrong, but i see Buhari winning Oyo state with 70% vote.

Kenai:


Please, read that article again and stop living in self-delusion.

1. The first refinery was built from 1963-1965. At this time, Buhari was nowhere in government.

2. The second refinery was awarded by Yakubu Gowon to an Italian company, Snamprogetti in 1975 (Buhari was still a governor here).

-The refinery was finished and commenced operations in 1977 when he had become Petroleum Minister.

3. The third refinery was awarded by Murtala Mohammed in 1976 to Chiyoda Engineering, a Chinese company.

- It was completed by Obasanjo in 1979, and Buhari had already left a year before.

4. Babangida built the fourth refinery in 1985.

So where the f0ck are the so called 3 refineries your fake anti-corruption czar built?

You APC hooligans lack honour.
No shame in your lives!

1. Buhari never built the first refinery and never claimed building it.

2. The Op/ the newspaper lied because as stated earlier it wasn't Buhari initiative but he was the Federal Commissioner for Petroleum Resources, March 1976 to June 1978;

3. He was the Military Governor, North Eastern State of Nigeria, August 1975 – March 1976; against the OP of 1975 to 1978.

4.Chairman, Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, June 1978 – July 1978;

5. REFINERY PROJECT DECISION

The decision to construct the third Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) refinery in Kaduna was taken in 1974 along with that of the second NNPC refinery located at Warri. However, it was decided that work would commence on the construction of the third refinery whenever the projection of the consumption of petroleum products justifies it.

By early 1975, in view of the fuel shortages experienced then, the Federal Government decided that work on the third refinery should be advanced. It was envisaged that the refinery was to be a simple hydro skimming type refinery in order to meet up with the fuel demand then.

Based on the feasibility studies carried out, which took into consideration the consumption of the various petroleum products within the Northern Zone, and adequate means of disposal for the surplus products, a Refinery with crude oil capacity of 42,000 barrels per stream day (BPSD) could be easily justified. Hence, the refinery was designed for a capacity of 60,000 BPSD. It was much later that the Federal Government decided that the capacity for any refinery in Nigeria should not be below 100,000 BPSD. However, this would have led to the production of large quantity of heavy ends. And one practical and viable solution is reprocessing the heavy fuel oils.

In order to do this, the whole project plans had to be modified so that what initially was planned to be simply a hydro skimming type refinery, developed into an integrated refinery. The refinery would now be able to produce a wider variety of petroleum products, some of which should be lubricating base oils. Hence, it became necessary to import suitable paraffinic based crude oil from Venezuela, Kuwait or Saudi Arabia.

Products from the Refinery include; Fuels for use as Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG), Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), Automotive Gas Oil (AGO) or Diesel oil, Kerosene, Fuel Oil, Sulphur and those from the lubricating oils complex are Base Oils, Asphalt (Bitumen) and Waxes.

The lubricating oil complex of Kaduna Refinery is the first of its kind in West Africa and one of the largest in Africa. The consulting firm, KING WILKINSON of Hague, Holland, in conjunction with NNPC engineers, developed the plan for the refinery. The contract for construction was awarded to CHIYODA CHEMICAL ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION COMPANY OF YOKOHAMA, Japan in 1977.

The Refinery project was completed and the Fuels Plant was commissioned in 1980. However the Lubes Plant was commissioned in 1983 and Petrochemical Plant much later in 1988. The initial operation and maintenance was carried out by Nigerian Staff and expatriate personnel as technical back up. By 1985, Nigerian staff had virtually taken over all the maintenance and operations.

If Buhari was the Federal Commissioner for Petroleum Resources, March 1976 to June 1978; who now supervised and awarded the contract.

culled from http://www.nnpcgroup.com/nnpcbusiness/subsidiaries/krpc.aspx.

6.The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) is the state oil corporation which was established on April 1, 1977. In addition to its exploration activities, the Corporation was given powers and operational interests in refining, petrochemicals and products transportation as well as marketing. Between 1978 and 1989, NNPC constructed refineries in Warri, Kaduna and Port Harcourt and took over the 35,000-barrel Shell Refinery established in Port Harcourt in 1965.

Who initiated the policy for the creation of NNPC? can it be the federal commissioner of Petroleum resources.

culled from http://www.nnpcgroup.com/AboutNNPC/CorporateInfo.aspx

7. Where did the writer or the OP got his fake news. At least NNPC will not lie against itself. Yes, Obasanjo was the president and he delegated it to somebody (who is that person BUHARI), did he deliver in the duty awarded to him by his boss? YES.

The OP is needs to do a proper research before posting. He lied about Buhari's profile. Haba, give it to he that is good in what ever he does.
Even Obasanjo who was his boss acknowledge his discipline and integrity.

The breakdown of 2011 Presidential election.
PRESIDENT GOODLUCK EBELE JONATHAN
The 2011 Presidential Election, President Jonathan was favourite based on different factors that projected him as a diligent, humble and a new breed politician that have passed through the stages that every common man in the street passed through. The humiliation by the Yar'adua's cabal against his person also help him to the exalted office. The united PDP front, the support of the founding fathers of PDP, the religious and ethnic card and the mood of the country to shift from the power drunk Yar'adua cabal that holds the country in ransome. PDP has 26 states governors plus F.C.T minister with direct sympathy from 5 other governors ( Lagos, Ekiti, Ondo, Edo, Oyo).
With all this sentiments, GEJ pulled the stated votes from this states and region:

SOUTH EAST:
GEJ got a total of 4,985,246 votes against 7,577,212 of the total voters register. 65.87% voters turnout, PDP scored a record of 98% of the voters turnout. Imo got the highest voters turnout of 83.56% with Ebonyi with the least turnout of 47.87% voters turnout.

SOUTH SOUTH
GEJ got a total of 6,118,608 votes against 9,474,427 of the total voters register . 67.95% voters turnout, PDP scored a record of 95.95% of the voters turnout. Bayelsa got the highest turnout of 85.61% with Edo state with the least turnout of 37.52% voters turnout.

SOUTH WEST
GEJ got a total of 2,786,417 votes against 14,296,163 of the total voters register. 32.90% voters turnout, PDP scored a record of 57.79% of the voters turnout. Osun State got the highest turnout of 39.62% with Ogun state with the least turnout of 28.01% voters turnout.

NORTH EAST
GEJ got a total of 1,832,622 votes against 10,749,059 of the total voter register . 53.70% voters turnout, PDP scored a record of 34.54% of the voters turnout. Bauchi State got the highest turnout of 63.8% with Yobe state with the least turnout of 45.28% voters turnout.

NORTH CENTRAL
GEJ got a total of 3,376,570 votes against 7,675,369 of the total voters register. 53.70% voters turnout, PDP scored a record of 46.28% of the voters turnout. plateau State got the highest turnout of 62.46% with Kwara state with the least turnout of 35.99% voters turnout.

NORTH WEST
GEJ got a total of 3,395,724 votes against 18,900,543 of the total voters register. 53.75% voters turnout, PDP scored a record of 31.20% of the voters turnout. Kaduna State got the highest turnout of 65.81% with Sokoto state with the least turnout of 40.12% voters turnout.

GENERAL BUHARI

The people's general was known but lack financial ability to tour the length and breath of the country to seek peoples vote. It gave the opponent opportunity to set propaganda rolling against him. He was only able to tour 9 states in the federation. Oyo State, Imo state, Rivers, Abuja, Lagos and 4 other northern states. His political party then was built around his personality and the party lack political structure spread around the country in 2011. Most of the candidates of his party rode on his personality. This is how he fair in the 2011 Presidential election. He has no governor supporting his course then. He won 12 states in the North with little financial chest and political structure. The only states he campaigned where the only place he tens of thousand vote.

SOUTH EAST:
BUHARI got a total of 20,335 votes against 7,577,212 of the total voters register . 65.87% voters turnout, CPC scored a record of 0.37% of the voters turnout. Imo got the highest voters turnout of 83.56% with Ebonyi with the least turnout of 47.87% voters turnout.

SOUTH SOUTH
BUHARI got a total of 49,978 votes against 9,474,427 of the total voters register. 67.95% voters turnout, CPC scored a record of 1.06% of the voters turnout. Bayelsa got the highest turnout of 85.61% with Edo state with the least turnout of 37.52% voters turnout.

SOUTH WEST
BUHARI got a total of 321,609 votes against 14,296,163 of the total voters register. 32% voters turnout, CPC scored a record of 4.75% of the voters turnout. Osun State got the highest turnout of 39.62% with Ogun state with the least turnout of 28.01% voters turnout.

NORTH EAST
BUHARI got a total of 3,624,919 votes against 10,749,059 of the total voters register. 53.70% voters turnout, CPC scored a record of 54.73% of the voters turnout. Bauchi State got the highest turnout of 63.8% with Yobe state with the least turnout of 45.28% voters turnout.

NORTH CENTRAL
BUHARI got a total of 1,744,575 votes against 7,675,369 of the total vote . 53.70% voters turnout, CPC scored a record of 30.94% of the voters turnout. plateau State got the highest turnout of 62.46% with Kwara state with the least turnout of 35.99% voters turnout.

NORTH WEST
BUHARI got a total of 6,453,437 votes against 18,900,543 of the total vote. 53.75% voters turnout, CPC scored a record of 60.26% of the voters turnout. Kaduna State got the highest turnout of 65.81% with Sokoto state with the least turnout of 40.12% voters turnout.

Let us now compare the analysis with the current political situation in the country.
1.PDP controls 20 state governors presently with 2 other states sympathisers (LP-Ebonyi and APGA- Anambra) against the 26 state governors and 5 sympathisers in 2011.
APC controls 14 states presently against CPC no state control in 2011.
2. Buhari has a better organised political party and structure which also will get him lots of finance against 2011 when he does not have enough fund to even move around or tour the whole states of the federation. not to talk of organising polling agents round the 120 polling units in the country.
3. Out of the 20 states PDP controls, the northern states except Benue, Taraba, Adamawa and Plateau are possibly going to be won by Buhari. There are 10 states from the North, 2 from NW, 4 from NE, 4 from NC. The voter turnout this time around would be high than 2011. They still have about 45% voters that did not vote in 2011. The southern state except the SW has room for high voters turnout because from record SW in 2011 presidential election the voter turnout is 32%, SE is 65.87% and SS is 67.95%.
4. PDP still have the ace when it comes to rigging machine. They control funds, military, police, Inec and the media. It is still a tough call.
5. Based on statistic APC has a high chance of winning on papers but they need lot of time, effort and guts to be able to win the election.
6. GEJ has lost some of his sympathisers from other regions except the SE and SS based on the petrol subsidy saga, the insecurity and the body language on corruption matters.
7. Buhari tends to wax stronger against 2011 because he got more media attention now than before. He has gotten more people to propagate him in good books against the bad messages against him in 2011.
8. Time will determine the winner. But for now Buhari has the ace.