Frehage's Posts
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Lstar4real: maybe its clone because lenovo produced good quality phones and also somehow expensive... If you see cheaper one maybe its clone so be careful my brother.....ThanksPlease how do you see these ones, genuine or clones: http://m.aliexpress.com/item/1699591093.html http://m.aliexpress.com/item/1687162230.html http://m.aliexpress.com/item/2021694921.html |
Hello, those Lenovo phones on AE with mouth-watering specs and low prices, are they genuine and from Lenovo factories or clones? |
frehage: Hello house, those Lenovo phones on AE with mouth-watering specs and low prices, are they genuine and from Lenovo factories or clones? |
Hello house, those Lenovo phones on AE with mouth-watering specs and low prices, are they genuine and from Lenovo factories or clones? |
tyconcepts: I really don't trust thisOK, thank you very much, |
Please is this phone genuine and worth the while: Lenovo A820S Octa Core Screen size 4.5 Inch HD IPS Capacitive Touch Screen Resolution 1920*1080 OS Android 4.4.3 CPU MTK6592 Octa Core CPU Speed Max 1.9GHz Screen Capacitive Touch Screen Multi Touch Support RAM 2GB RAM Memory 4GB ROM Extended Momery Support Micro SD memory card (T-Flash card) up to 32GB Max. G-Sensor Support GPS Yes Bluetooth Yes Wifi WIFI 802.11b/g/n Camera:Dual Camera 1*Front camera:2.0MP 1*Back camera:8.0MP SIM card Dual SIM Card Mobile phone system WCDMA/GSM Support band 2G:GSM:850/900/1800/1900MHz 3G:WCDMA:850/2100MHz Battery 2600mAh |
Serving God transcends the presence or otherwise of evil. |
Yes. |
Interested. |
Hello GTB Mastercard users in the house! Was Token required for your transactions on aliexpress? Please I need an answer urgently. Thanks. |
Hello GTB Mastercard users in the house! Was Token required for your transactions on aliexpress? Please I need an answer urgently. Thanks. |
Hello GTB Mastercard users in the house! Was Token required for your transactions on aliexpress? Please I need an answer urgently. Thanks. |
Thespecialone: with the specs you listed, you have to increase your budget oh! I get from the various factories direct.What is the right budget for those specs? |
Thespecialone: . Yes they are. Brands like THL, Elephone, etc. What's your budget? I can help you get one at prices lower than aliexpress sellers.#15k to #20k. Where do you get your goods from? |
Please it's urgent, I need your help. Are android phones on aliexpress as strong, durable and reliable as HTC or Samsung phones, etc. If yes, please can I have the name, store or link to a good moderately priced one with the following specs: android 4.4 kitkat, 1.5GHz processor, 2G Ram, 8 or 16G Rom, 3G dual sim, 8MP camera with auto focus and flash, 4.5" screen, etc. And whats the price like and best shipping option. Please help, I need to buy one very urgently. Thanks. |
Please it's urgent, I need your help. Are android phones on aliexpress as strong, durable and reliable as HTC or Samsung phones, etc. If yes, please can I have the name, store or link to a good one with the following specs: android 4.4 kitkat, 1.5GHz processor, 2G Ram, 8 or 16G Rom, 3G dual sim, 8MP camera with auto focus and flash, 4.5" screen, battery: above 3000mAh, etc. And whats the price like and best shipping option. Please help, I need to buy one very urgently. Thanks. |
On the domestic front, for example, we have gleefully sustained a culture where government places hundreds of billions of Naira for zero percent yield with the banks only to return shortly thereafter, to borrow back the same funds with oppressive double-digit interest rates; it is also inexplicable that regardless of the attendant oppressive high cost, these loans are simply sequestered and kept idle. Similarly, on the external front, government sits on bountiful reserves of over $40bn which earns little or no yield, while the same government ironically indulges in seeking external loans which conversely carry unusually high interest rates for what are actually risk free sovereign debts. Curiously, despite over N500bn annual debt service charges, the Debt Management Office lately assured us not to worry about the size of the bloated current debt of over $65bn, when conversely, our debt burden of barely $35bn in 2004 was adjudged excessive and unsustainable! Regrettably, no satisfactory explanation has been offered for this peculiar volte-face. The contradiction of unyielding Naira surplus existing side-by-side in the market with scarcity of cheap funds to grow the real sector, also appears lost in the consciousness of our people. Worse still, why would CBN, whose prime mandate is to grow the economy, also consciously discourage liberal access to cheap funds to SMEs who invariably constitute the backbone for industrial growth and job creation, by deliberately instigating high Monetary Policy Rates to frustrate and discourage bank lending to the real sector. Similarly, we do not interrogate why CBN appears to cut its own nose to spite its face by instigating a high Monetary Policy Rate of up to 12%, knowing fully well that such a high benchmark inevitably also pumps up the cost of servicing not only CBN loans, but also the increasingly precarious debts of governments and its agencies at all levels. Besides, why would any rational person pay any interest whatsoever to borrow money it does not need? Evidently, CBN repeatedly commits such faux pas every month whenever it borrows hundreds of billions of Naira with double-digit interest rate from banks only to store away these expensive loans thereafter from any redemptive economic application. Why would anyone condone such reckless anti-social monetary strategy at a time when government itself seeks additional loans to fund annual budgets and remediate our severe deficits in the quantity and quality of infrastructures in the education, health, power and transport subsectors? In other words, how come obviously “burdensome” surplus Naira and bountiful reserves exist side-by-side with such socially depressing deprivations? Evidence of blatant contradictions in government’s economic strategies are also apparent in the foreign exchange market where, inspite of increasingly buoyant reserves, the Naira exchange rate has lost over 50 percent of its value in the last 16 years. For example, in 1996 when the Naira exchanged for N80 = $1.0, our total reserves of $4bn was reported to be adequate cover for only 4 months imports. Surprisingly, however, when our reserves base of over $50bn was reported to be adequate for at least 12 months imports payment in 2010, our exchange rate fell to almost N160 = $1.0. Surely, an extended imports cover should induce an exchange rate that is stronger than N80 = $1.0, and not the other way round! Similarly, we must wonder why CBN is apparently averse to dollar denominated allocations to government and its agencies, when the same CBN consciously and regularly allocates billions of dollars every month to Bureau De Change, inspite of the clear recognition that the nefarious activities of treasury looters, money launderers, and smugglers are facilitated from CBN’s regular deliberate dollar allocations to BDCs. There is no gain saying the adverse impact such predatory strategy has on our industries and ultimately on our economic and social welfare. It is similarly unbelievable that inspite of the possibility of lower fuel prices and the potential of earning a reasonable sales tax on every litre of fuel, government’s monetary strategy still consciously accommodates a bill of over $12bn to subsidize fuel prices annually. Undeniably, a stronger exchange rate of N80= $1.0 will immediately reduce fuel prices to below N80, thus wiping off any further payment of fuel subsidy, while enabling government to earn at least N17/liter tax instead, from the daily sale of 35m litres of fuel. Consequently, in view of these disenabling contradictions in our economic framework, is it realistic or foolhardy to seriously expect a positive transformation that would catapult Nigeria to one of top twenty economies in year 2020? Well, maybe I should let you be the judge. Save the Naira, Save Nigerians http://www.vanguardngr.com/2014/08/economic-contradictions-mute-victims/ |
A popular indigenous artiste cautioned in one of his lyrics that you cannot sow cocoyam and hope to harvest rice. Notwithstanding the above wise counsel, Nigerians inexplicably hope and believe that in spite of over 70% of our population, reportedly, currently living on less than $2/day, our country could still blossom to become one of the top 20 economies six years from now. Clearly, this ambitious expectation is the product of a well choralled propaganda championed by government and its Economic Management Team to sustain hope and distract Nigerians from recognizing the obvious economic contradictions which block our path to economic prosperity. This week, we will examine some of these economic contradictions which must first be resolved before we can realistically expect strident, inclusive economic growth and also witness enhanced social welfare. To begin with, we shall consider the evident contradiction of deepening poverty, despite increasing output and revenue. Ordinarily, rising real income would normally be expected to improve the economic welfare of any person or community. Surprisingly, however, despite consistently rising income, Nigeria began to be listed amongst the world’s poorest nations at a time our foreign reserves base regularly exceeded $30bn after the return to civil rule in 1999. Surprisingly, the social and economic welfare of our people was not positively impacted even when external reserves exceeded $50bn while systemic surplus Naira, unexpectedly also remained a burden three years ago. How do we explain the unusual mix of unyielding surplus Naira and increasingly bountiful dollar reserves existing simultaneously with deepening poverty and increasing rate of unemployment. The question is, why have we become poorer with increasing income? Similarly, Nigerians also fail to see the inherent contradiction of an increasing national debt burden existing side-by-side with surplus Naira and equally bountiful dollar reserves. Surely, no rational person borrows what it has in excess at any cost whatsoever. Nonetheless, such brazen contradiction is clearly amplified in the process of accumulating both our domestic and external debts. |
Outlaw 'hyper-elitism' |
Scene-5, CPM: Ministries and State Governments, who require imports, are constrained to buy back dollars from banks who have become the prime beneficiaries of CBN dollar auctions. Ultimately, naira exchange rate comes under pressure as increasingly surplus naira in the market chase the rationed dollars auctioned weekly by CBN! The market dynamics of demand and supply consequently become unfavourably skewed against the naira, particularly more so, whenever CBN’s total monthly forex auction falls below the $1bn earlier unconstitutionally captured in Scene-1 above! Scene-5, APM: The three tiers of government remain the owners of dollar values domiciled with CBN; however, these government agencies can exchange for naira, all or portions of their dollar certificates from time to time, directly through commercial banks. Thus, the usual naira surge when CBN prints/creates fresh naira balances for allocations of dollar revenue will cease; inevitably, the naira will become stronger against the dollar in the forex market! Scene-6, CPM: The less dollars sold by CBN, the larger are CBN’s reserves, but the weaker also will be the naira, as less dollars will invariably become pitched against excess naira supply in the market. The gap between official and black market naira rates consequently widens. Scene-6, APM: The usual CBN bi-weekly dollar auctions will also cease as constitutional beneficiaries directly trade their dollar certificates for existing naira balances with banks; (since dollar certificates are not legal tender in Nigeria). The dollar values will, however, remain domiciled with the CBN, irrespective of ultimate buyer! Scene-7, CPM: In order to reduce the gap between the black market and the official rates of exchange, CBN commits the unforced error of freely allocating dollars to Bureau de Change, who in turn fund the requirements of treasury looters and smugglers of contrabands, not minding the adverse impacts of such misguided dollar supply on the economy. Indeed, such monetary policy management must be far from international best practice! Scene-7, APM: In the absence of the usual liberal spectre of surplus naira, banks become wary of over committing their naira balances to just foreign exchange purchases. The black market for the dollar will rapidly contract, while the motivation for smuggling and money laundering will similarly be curtailed. Scene-8, CPM: Despite a gasping manufacturing sector and deepening poverty nationwide, the banks and other speculative foreign investors celebrate another bumper year!! Scene-8, APM: The absence of systemic excess naira will promote single digit and lower inflation rates with positive knock-on impact for increasing consumer demand, industrial consolidation, increasing job opportunities and economic diversification. A stronger naira will drive down fuel prices and ultimately eliminate subsidies! SAVE THE NAIRA, SAVE NIGERIANS!! http://www.vanguardngr.com/2014/08/realistic-path-economic-prosperity/ |
Thus, Scene-1, CPM: CBN unilaterally determines naira exchange rate and unconstitutionally captures the distributable $1bn revenue and prints/creates (read as monetizes) N160bn as statutory allocations, which are domiciled in commercial bank accounts of beneficiaries! Scene-1, APM: The $1bn is not substituted with N160bn; instead, beneficiaries receive dollar certificates for their respective portions of allocation, while the $1bn remains domiciled with the CBN, while naira exchange rate is ultimately determined by open market demand and supply. Scene-2, CPM: The banks enjoy almost ten-fold leverage on the fresh naira inflow, with an enhanced credit capacity, which suffocates the money market with excess spending power , and fuels inflation! Scene-2, APM: With strictly dollar allocations, no fresh Naira is created; the naira supply in the system remains unchanged, and cannot therefore instigate the usual disenabling systemic spectre of surplus naira. Scene-3, CPM: In response to the threat of rising inflation, the CBN ‘altruistically’ steps in with treasury bills to borrow money it does not need at over 10 percent from the banks, so as to reduce money supply and curb inflation. Despite the oppressive cost, the borrowed funds are simply kept idle! Scene-3, APM: In the absence of the usual naira surplus, CBN does not have to borrow money it does not need at over 10%; consequently, our increasingly oppressive debt burden would cease! Banks would have no choice but to chase the real sector for business! Scene-4, CPM: In order to further prevent liberal access to cheap excess funds in the market, CBN raises its Monetary Policy Control Rate (MPR) and this propels banks to increase their own lending rates; the resulting crushing cost of funds would therefore restrain customers’ motivation to borrow; interest rates, may rise above 20 percent, and reduce the prospects of industrial growth and the creation of increasing job opportunities with irrepressible inflation and contracting consumer demand prevailing nationwide. Scene-4, APM: In the absence of the usual excess naira supply, the threat of inflation and government’s costly impulsive borrowing with Treasury bills will be minimised; CBN would therefore readily reduce its Monetary Policy (control) Rate (MPR) drastically; commercial banks will similarly drop their interest rates across the board to single digit, so that businesses can access cheaper funds to finance new businesses as well as grow existing industries with increasing employment opportunities. |
Our parlous economic state has been attributed by some observers to our heavy dependence on increasing oil revenue and our inability to stimulate the performance of our industrial and agricultural subsectors, particularly the small and medium enterprises and thereby, also diversify the productive sectors of our economy. This column has however consistently explained that the unyielding presence of surplus Naira deliberately instigated by our Central Bank is, ironically, actually the major obstacle to inclusive economic growth and diversification. In other words, economic Eldorado will eternally remain a mirage, unless we can successfully combat the decades old burden of a systemic Naira flood and buoyant dollar reserves inspite of widespread poverty nationwide. Nonetheless, CBN’s unilateral substitution of Naira allocations for dollar derived revenue has been clearly identified in this column as the real cause of the disenabling excess liquidity; regrettably, however, the oligarchs who derive immense wealth from government’s impulsive borrowings of trillions of Naira with Treasury bills, fuel subsidy payments of over $12bn annually, and the ready access to humongous slush funds which facilitate corruption, understandably, do not want CBN to stop inducing the unyielding socially oppressive spectre of excess liquidity. However, some readers of this column wonder how distributable dollar denominated revenue can be infused into the system without inducing the destabilising poison of excess Naira in the economy. Hereafter, the following explanation will juxtapose the related consequences of CBN’s substitution of Naira allocations for dollar revenue under the Current Payments Model (CPM) against the Advocated Payments Model (APM) of adopting dollar certificates for the distribution, for example, of $1bn export revenue, to the three tiers of government in eight sequential scenes! |
Our parlous economic state has been attributed by some observers to our heavy dependence on increasing oil revenue and our inability to stimulate the performance of our industrial and agricultural subsectors, particularly the small and medium enterprises and thereby, also diversify the productive sectors of our economy. This column has however consistently explained that the unyielding presence of surplus Naira deliberately instigated by our Central Bank is, ironically, actually the major obstacle to inclusive economic growth and diversification. In other words, economic Eldorado will eternally remain a mirage, unless we can successfully combat the decades old burden of a systemic Naira flood and buoyant dollar reserves inspite of widespread poverty nationwide. Nonetheless, CBN’s unilateral substitution of Naira allocations for dollar derived revenue has been clearly identified in this column as the real cause of the disenabling excess liquidity; regrettably, however, the oligarchs who derive immense wealth from government’s impulsive borrowings of trillions of Naira with Treasury bills, fuel subsidy payments of over $12bn annually, and the ready access to humongous slush funds which facilitate corruption, understandably, do not want CBN to stop inducing the unyielding socially oppressive spectre of excess liquidity. However, some readers of this column wonder how distributable dollar denominated revenue can be infused into the system without inducing the destabilising poison of excess Naira in the economy. Hereafter, the following explanation will juxtapose the related consequences of CBN’s substitution of Naira allocations for dollar revenue under the Current Payments Model (CPM) against the Advocated Payments Model (APM) of adopting dollar certificates for the distribution, for example, of $1bn export revenue, to the three tiers of government in eight sequential scenes! Thus, Scene-1, CPM: CBN unilaterally determines naira exchange rate and unconstitutionally captures the distributable $1bn revenue and prints/creates (read as monetizes) N160bn as statutory allocations, which are domiciled in commercial bank accounts of beneficiaries! Scene-1, APM: The $1bn is not substituted with N160bn; instead, beneficiaries receive dollar certificates for their respective portions of allocation, while the $1bn remains domiciled with the CBN, while naira exchange rate is ultimately determined by open market demand and supply. Scene-2, CPM: The banks enjoy almost ten-fold leverage on the fresh naira inflow, with an enhanced credit capacity, which suffocates the money market with excess spending power , and fuels inflation! Scene-2, APM: With strictly dollar allocations, no fresh Naira is created; the naira supply in the system remains unchanged, and cannot therefore instigate the usual disenabling systemic spectre of surplus naira. Scene-3, CPM: In response to the threat of rising inflation, the CBN ‘altruistically’ steps in with treasury bills to borrow money it does not need at over 10 percent from the banks, so as to reduce money supply and curb inflation. Despite the oppressive cost, the borrowed funds are simply kept idle! Scene-3, APM: In the absence of the usual naira surplus, CBN does not have to borrow money it does not need at over 10%; consequently, our increasingly oppressive debt burden would cease! Banks would have no choice but to chase the real sector for business! Scene-4, CPM: In order to further prevent liberal access to cheap excess funds in the market, CBN raises its Monetary Policy Control Rate (MPR) and this propels banks to increase their own lending rates; the resulting crushing cost of funds would therefore restrain customers’ motivation to borrow; interest rates, may rise above 20 percent, and reduce the prospects of industrial growth and the creation of increasing job opportunities with irrepressible inflation and contracting consumer demand prevailing nationwide. Scene-4, APM: In the absence of the usual excess naira supply, the threat of inflation and government’s costly impulsive borrowing with Treasury bills will be minimised; CBN would therefore readily reduce its Monetary Policy (control) Rate (MPR) drastically; commercial banks will similarly drop their interest rates across the board to single digit, so that businesses can access cheaper funds to finance new businesses as well as grow existing industries with increasing employment opportunities. Scene-5, CPM: Ministries and State Governments, who require imports, are constrained to buy back dollars from banks who have become the prime beneficiaries of CBN dollar auctions. Ultimately, naira exchange rate comes under pressure as increasingly surplus naira in the market chase the rationed dollars auctioned weekly by CBN! The market dynamics of demand and supply consequently become unfavourably skewed against the naira, particularly more so, whenever CBN’s total monthly forex auction falls below the $1bn earlier unconstitutionally captured in Scene-1 above! Scene-5, APM: The three tiers of government remain the owners of dollar values domiciled with CBN; however, these government agencies can exchange for naira, all or portions of their dollar certificates from time to time, directly through commercial banks. Thus, the usual naira surge when CBN prints/creates fresh naira balances for allocations of dollar revenue will cease; inevitably, the naira will become stronger against the dollar in the forex market! Scene-6, CPM: The less dollars sold by CBN, the larger are CBN’s reserves, but the weaker also will be the naira, as less dollars will invariably become pitched against excess naira supply in the market. The gap between official and black market naira rates consequently widens. Scene-6, APM: The usual CBN bi-weekly dollar auctions will also cease as constitutional beneficiaries directly trade their dollar certificates for existing naira balances with banks; (since dollar certificates are not legal tender in Nigeria). The dollar values will, however, remain domiciled with the CBN, irrespective of ultimate buyer! Scene-7, CPM: In order to reduce the gap between the black market and the official rates of exchange, CBN commits the unforced error of freely allocating dollars to Bureau de Change, who in turn fund the requirements of treasury looters and smugglers of contrabands, not minding the adverse impacts of such misguided dollar supply on the economy. Indeed, such monetary policy management must be far from international best practice! Scene-7, APM: In the absence of the usual liberal spectre of surplus naira, banks become wary of over committing their naira balances to just foreign exchange purchases. The black market for the dollar will rapidly contract, while the motivation for smuggling and money laundering will similarly be curtailed. Scene-8, CPM: Despite a gasping manufacturing sector and deepening poverty nationwide, the banks and other speculative foreign investors celebrate another bumper year!! Scene-8, APM: The absence of systemic excess naira will promote single digit and lower inflation rates with positive knock-on impact for increasing consumer demand, industrial consolidation, increasing job opportunities and economic diversification. A stronger naira will drive down fuel prices and ultimately eliminate subsidies! SAVE THE NAIRA, SAVE NIGERIANS!! http://www.vanguardngr.com/2014/08/realistic-path-economic-prosperity/ |
Great news. |
nairamaverick: at what point can you request for free shipping with dhl or other express courier services?Yes, and how do you receive your goods? From DHL, FedEx or Naija shipping agent straight to your residential address or you go to your agent's address to get it. |
1. Boil the blended tomatoes to completely evaporate the water content. 2. Fry the tomatoes until it is done making sure to stir continuously. 3. Add the rest ingredients(meat or fish, etc.) as desired. 4. Enjoy. |
This column has consistently maintained that the root cause of our economic paradox of increasing income, with unbridled unemployment rate, and deepening poverty will be found in the conscious and incorrect adoption of a faulty process for the infusion of our crude export dollar revenue into the economy. In order to facilitate readers’ understanding of our prescription, we will juxtapose the related consequences of the Current Payment Model (CPM) against the Advocated Payment Model (APM) in the distribution of $1bn export revenue, for example, to the three tiers of government! We will rely on the same eight step related scenarios adopted in an earlier article titled “ECONOMY AND RESERVES: BETWEEN THE TRUTH AND GOVERNMENT CLARIFICATIONS” to explain the disenabling impact of the current payment model. Thus, Scene-1, CPM: CBN unilaterally determines naira exchange rate and unconstitutionally captures the distributable $1bn revenue and prints/creates (read as monetizes) N160bn as statutory allocations, which are domiciled in the commercial bank accounts of beneficiaries! Scene-1, APM: The $1bn is not substituted with N160bn; instead, beneficiaries receive dollar certificates for their respective portions of allocation, and the $1bn remains domiciled with the CBN, while naira exchange rate is determined by market demand and supply. Scene-2, CPM: The banks enjoy almost ten-fold leverage on the fresh naira inflow, with an enhanced credit capacity, which could suffocate the money market with excess spending power, and fuel inflation! Scene-2, APM: With strictly dollar allocations, the supply of naira in the system remains the same, and cannot therefore instigate the usual disenabling systemic spectre of surplus naira. Scene-3, CPM: In response to the threat of rising inflation, the CBN ‘altruistically’ steps in with treasury bills to borrow money it does not need at over 10 percent from the banks, to curb inflation. Despite the oppressive cost, the borrowed funds are simply kept idle! Scene-3, APM: In the absence of the usual naira surplus, CBN does not have to borrow money it does not need at over 10%; consequently, our increasingly oppressive debt burden would cease! Banks would have no choice but to chase the real sector for business! Scene-4, CPM: In order to further prevent liberal access to excess cheap funds in the market, CBN increases its Monetary Policy Control Rate (MPR) to instigate the banks to increase their own lending rates, and thereby restrain the motivation for customers to borrow, in the light of existing crushing cost of funds! Consequently, interest rates, often above 20 percent, reduce the prospects of industrial growth and the creation of increasing job opportunities while irrepressible inflation and contracting consumer demand prevail nationwide. Scene-4, APM: In the absence of the usual excess naira and heavy government borrowing, CBN would reduce its Monetary Policy (control) Rate (MPR); commercial banks will consequently drop their interest rates across the board to single digit, so that businesses can access cheaper funds to finance new businesses as well as grow existing industries with increasing employment opportunities. Scene-5, CPM: Ministries and State Governments, who require imports, are constrained to buy back dollars from banks who are the prime beneficiaries of CBN dollar auctions. Ultimately, naira exchange rate comes under threat as increasingly surplus naira in the market chase the rationed dollars auctioned weekly by the CBN! The market dynamics of demand and supply consequently become unfavourably skewed against the naira, particularly more so, whenever CBN’s total monthly forex auction falls below the $1bn earlier unconstitutionally captured in Scene-1! Scene-5, APM: The three tiers of government own actual dollar values domiciled with the CBN; however, these government agencies can exchange for naira, all or portions of their dollar allocations from time to time, directly through commercial banks. Thus, the usual naira surge when CBN prints/creates fresh naira balances for allocations of dollar revenue will cease; inevitably, the naira will become stronger against the dollar in the forex market! Scene-6, CPM: The less dollars sold by CBN, the larger are CBN’s reserves, but the weaker also will be the naira, as less and less dollars become pitched against excess naira in the market. The gap between official and black market naira rates consequently widens. Scene-6, APM: The usual bi-weekly CBN dollar auctions will also cease, as constitutional beneficiaries directly trade their dollar certificates for existing naira balances with banks; (since dollar certificates are not legal tender in Nigeria). The dollars, however, will remain domiciled with the CBN, irrespective of ultimate buyer! Scene-7, CPM: In order to reduce the gap between the black market and the official rates of exchange, CBN commits the unforced error of allocating dollars to Bureau de Change, who in turn funds the requirements of treasury looters and smugglers of contrabands, not minding the adverse impacts of such misguided dollar supply on the economy. Indeed, such monetary policy management must be far from international best practice! Scene-7, APM: In the absence of the usual liberal spectre of surplus naira, banks become wary of over committing their naira balances to just foreign exchange purchases. The black market for the dollar will rapidly contract, while the motivation for smuggling and money laundering will similarly be curtailed. Scene-8, CPM: Despite a gasping manufacturing sector and deepening poverty nationwide, the banks and other speculative foreign investors celebrate another bumper year!! Scene-8, APM: The absence of systemic excess naira will promote single digit and lower inflation rates with positive knock-on impact for increasing consumer demand, industrial consolidation and job opportunities. A stronger naira will drive down fuel prices and ultimately eliminate subsidies! SAVE THE NAIRA, SAVE NIGERIANS!! http://www.vanguardngr.com/2014/03/sensible-path-economic-prosperity/ |
Your views people. |
In last week’s article, we identified the advantages of a stronger naira exchange rate to include much lower inflation and interest rates, increasing industrial expansion, with rapidly rising employment opportunities. We also explained how a stronger naira will eliminate fuel subsidy and also reduce the size and cost of our national debt. (See “Advantages of a Stronger Naira” at www.lesleba.com). This week, we will examine why the Central Bank of Nigeria still consciously promotes a monetary strategy that deliberately weakens the naira; we will also, in the following interrogative narrative, identify the major beneficiaries of a weak naira exchange rate. Why does CBN consciously promote a weaker naira with its substitution of naira allocations for dollar-derived revenue? The CBN hinges its defence of this economic buccaneering on Section 162(1) of the Constitution, which stipulates that all financial accruals must be consolidated in a federation account before sharing, in line with current provisions on revenue allocation. Unfortunately, the CBN has wrongly interpreted Section 162 to also imply that all non-naira-denominated revenue must first be converted to naira before sharing. Nonetheless, it is evident that CBN’s substitution of naira allocations for dollar-derived revenue instigates the unyielding dark clouds of excess naira, and the collateral burden of a weaker exchange rate, with its diabolical train of economic distortions. If the CBN does not substitute naira for dollar revenue, how can beneficiaries spend their allocations, since dollar is not legal tender in Nigeria? The constitutional beneficiaries of dollar revenue would receive dollar certificates for their allocations of dollar-derived revenue; however, these certificates must first be converted to naira at a properly designated commercial bank, before spending. What is the difference between naira substituted by the Central Bank and naira exchanged for dollar certificates from the banks? The naira substituted by CBN is actually additional fresh naira supply, which the banks may leverage on to instigate over tenfold increase in money supply. Thus, the process of substitution continuously promotes the presence of surplus naira and induces the disenabling environment of high inflation and interest rates, weaker exchange rate, increasing national debt, severely constrained industrial subsector, high rate of unemployment, increasing fuel subsidy, and widening gap between the rich and poor. Conversely, the exchange of dollar certificates directly through commercials banks by beneficiaries will not increase money supply to induce the disenabling encumbrances listed above. In fact, the banks will become more protective of their naira stock, so that their cash positions are not unduly jeopardized, whenever depositors want access to their funds. Ultimately, in such ambience, the naira exchange rate will become stronger, as more dollar certificates chase the relatively stable existing stock of naira in the system. What will be the economic implication of a stronger naira exchange rate? Quite simply, the result will be the direct opposite of the adverse consequences listed above, for a weaker naira. Thus, perceived systemic surplus naira will be exorcised from our monetary system, with the welcome development of sustainable single-digit cost of funds across the board to the real sector, with inflation rate (closer to best practice inflation rates elsewhere), at well below 4%. Consequently, with subsisting low cost of funds and the absence of excess liquidity, the size and cost of servicing our national debt will also fall remarkably. Such an enabling environment with a stronger naira purchasing power will rapidly create millions of jobs nationwide, while the increase in the number of paid workers would further stimulate consumer demand, which will in turn, instigate further industrial expansion, with still more job opportunities. Ultimately, with a much stronger naira below N80:$1, fuel prices will fall below N97/litre, and we will save the princely sum of about $12bn (N2tn) annually from the total elimination of fuel subsidy; fuel smuggling into neighbouring countries will also become unprofitable. So, if it’s all so simple, who are those afraid of dollar certificates and a stronger naira, and why? Those who are fervently patriotic about the sovereignty of the national currency, but are ignorant of the process, which determines the naira/dollar exchange rate are misguidedly opposed to a stronger naira. The other bastion of opposition expectedly comes from the major beneficiaries of the current economically poisoning process of CBN’s substitution of naira for dollar revenue. For example, CBN’s recent unbridled unconstitutional interventions and the reckless spending, which characterized Lamido Sanusi’s term as governor, were funded from the apex bank’s self-styled buoyant ‘own’ forex reserves, which were ironically consolidated simultaneously with deepening poverty induced by CBN’s substitution of naira allocations for dollar revenue. How does CBN’s substitution of naira for dollar- derived revenue fund corruption? The liberal latitude for corruption in public service is facilitated by the ‘eternal’ presence of surplus naira in an economy, without requisite accountability; for example, the church rat will expectedly be lean and trimmed of excess fat, when compared to its close cousins, who live in holes and crevices in an active bakery, replete with surplus food. Is the public sector the only beneficiary of the substitution of naira allocations for dollar-derived revenue? No, the banks are also major beneficiaries of this skewed system. For example, the banks earn over N300bn annually from the simple business of receiving government deposits at zero per cent and lending such funds back to government at double-digit interest rates. Indeed, with such high returns, it is not surprising that banks show little interest in supporting the real sector. Curiously, government has become heavy debtor to the same banks that have custody of its free funds. Furthermore, banks also promote capital flight, and make huge gains from round tripping and speculative consolidation of foreign exchange, despite the adverse consequences on the economy. The Bureaux De Change (BDCs) are also proxy beneficiaries of the current system, and they nonchalantly fund the millions of dollars couriered across our borders daily. The BDCs evidently also fund the activities of smugglers who do considerable damage to our local industries, and constrain employment opportunities. It is curious that CBN is reluctant to relinquish dollar revenue to constitutional beneficiaries, but the apex bank willfully allocates dollars to BDC operators, who may, in turn sell at a profit to any customer, including the original owners of the dollars; i.e. government and MDA. SAVE THE NAIRA, SAVE NIGERIANS http://www.vanguardngr.com/2014/06/afraid-stronger-naira/ |
In a report titled “FG’s Monetary Policy injurious to job creation” in the Vanguard newspaper edition of June 7, 2014, Adams Oshiomhole, the Edo State Governor described the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Monetary Policy framework as injurious to job creation. Oshiomhole observed that “current monetary strategy would discourage employers of labour from setting up businesses because interest rates are very high”; in the Governor’s words, “it is like telling someone to live long and then giving him poison”. “How can you create jobs, by pricing money out of the reach of investors in the name of achieving market stability?” Oshiomhole concluded that rapidly increasing job opportunities will not be possible without appropriate supporting infrastructure and liberal access to cheap funds. Incidentally, The Guardian newspaper edition of 6/6 2014 (Pg 17) had also carried a report that the Chartered Institute of Taxation of Nigeria (CITN), at its recent annual general meeting, advised that “government should consider a complementary policy for free returns on Treasury Bills and bonds”. The Chairman of the Institute, Mike Chidolue pointed out that this would stimulate “free flow of bank credit so that the private sector could gain better traction, than it presently does”; i.e., if government refrained from paying inordinately high interest rates to remove perceived excess Naira supply from banks, a larger flow of cheap loanable funds will become available to the real sector for investment and job creation. Indeed, Nigerians must wonder why government’s risk free sovereign loans should attract interest charges as high as 15% when infact similar loans in focused, disciplined and successful economies cost less than 4%. Nigeria’s accumulated long term domestic loans (bonds) currently exceed N10tn ($60bn) and will attract over N700bn as debt service charges (i.e. almost 70% of total capital expenditure of N1.2tn) in 2014. This already bloated debt service charge exclude over N300bn also projected for servicing short term loans (Treasury bills) which CBN, impulsively, regularly raises to remove perceived surplus cash from the money market at double digit cost, in order to restrain inflation. Ironically, CBN’s anti-inflation strategy deliberately instigates obnoxiously high interest rates which crowd out investors’ access to the alleged existing surplus cash; furthermore, it is inexplicable that surplus cash can exist side by side with scarcity and restrained access to cheap loanable funds to the real sector; surely, no commodity becomes more expensive when there is market surplus of that item. Regrettably, our government may have spent over $20bn (over N3tn) since year 2001 on interest payments to banks for the simple joy of keeping the surplus cash of commercial banks as idle deposits with CBN. The Apex bank has often defended this disruptive monetary practice by insisting that, when there is systemic excess Naira supply, it is imperative to stop the threat of inflation (i.e. too much money chasing too few goods) by reducing the available amount of spendable /loanable funds in the market. In reality, the challenge of excess liquidity (surplus cash) is not peculiar to the Nigerian economy, but surely, no successful economy pays double digit interest rates for borrowing funds which are intended to be ultimately kept as idle deposits! Indeed, the European Central Bank (ECB) recently tackled this same issue in favour of its citizen’s welfare, by directing that European banks would henceforth pay the ECB a modest interest rate of 0.1 percent on the surplus-cash balances which commercial banks mandatorily keep in the custody of Europe’s Apex Bank. Clearly, nothing stops our own CBN from pursuing a similar negative cost strategy for managing perceived systemic surplus cash. Expectedly, the profitability of Nigerians banks have, over the years, benefited significantly from continuously receiving government deposits at zero percent while the Central Bank turns round to pay double digit interest rates for the simple joy of warehousing the “excess” cash balances of these banks, while ironically, the same beneficiary banks of such largesse offer barely 5% for the custody of their own customers’ deposits? Ironically, our Economic Management Team, respected public analysts, and indeed the general media, have often mischievously applauded this predatory strategy as best practice. Nonetheless, in its efforts to control money supply, the CBN has always, surprisingly clearly ignored consideration of other more socially responsible strategies which support industrial and economic growth with increasing job opportunities. For example, the CBN could in reality, effectively, easily modulate the problem of perceived surplus cash by simply increasing the mandatory cash reserve and liquidity ratios for banks. Thus, if for example, the mandatory cash reserve requirement for commercial banks is raised across the board from the current 15% to even beyond 50 percent, (for both public and private sector deposits) the CBN would more efficiently reduce the erstwhile eternal burden of systemic surplus cash without the collateral of liberally subsidizing commercial banks with over $20bn which could have been better applied to infrastructure and real sector funding since 2001. It is undoubtedly more socially responsible to control the unceasing CBN self-instigated burden of ‘surplus cash’ at no cost to Nigerians as currently practised by the European Central Bank rather than wastefully support exceptionally bounteous commercial bank profits at the expense of the welfare of our people. If CBN emulates the people and growth supportive ECB monetary strategy, the decades long free lunch enjoyed by banks in receiving bonanza interest rates on government’s free funds would be over and the banks would have no other alternative than to pay serious attention as recently demanded by Oshiomhole and the CITN Chairman, to enthusiastically collaborate with the real sector to provide increasing investment funds at reasonable cost. Curiously, however, our monetary authorities have remained in denial that the true cause of eternally surplus Naira which fundamentally distorts our economy is actually, CBN’s monthly substitution of Naira allocations for dollar derived revenue. The critical question however is, who will bell the cat; certainly not the Economic Management Team which consciously condoned this anti-people subsidy of banks for so long; certainly also not the CBN, whose steady accumulation of comparatively buoyant reserves were made possible with the crazy strategy that eternally creates surplus cash with Naira substitutions for dollar revenue to poison the whole economy. Regrettably, our internationally acclaimed experts, in the Federal Executive who surprisingly gloated over CBN’s socially oppressive strategy for so many years may not also rise to the task! The question is can the National Assembly stop this blatant economic mismanagement or are we to assume that they may also be complicit in the ongoing treasury looting? SAVE THE NAIRA, SAVE NIGERIANS. http://www.vanguardngr.com/2014/06/treasury-bills-can-nass-stop-treasury-looting/ |
Core North's "one Nigeria" = Nigeria of the Caliphate, by the Caliphate and for the Caliphate. But Nigeria is just too diverse for that. |
Please Nairalanders, your views especially as it regards what to do with our dollar derived revenue. 'Monetize' or substitute it with freshly printed naira notes at CBN determined exchange rates which creates excess naira or liquidity in the system, or directly issue dollar certificates to the constitutional owners of the revenue (FG, States and L.G.A.'s). Have your say. |
The one listed on Lenovo's site is A820. This might be a clone.