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Nairaland / General / Re: A Faction Of Nlc Refuses To Go On Strike by frudokafor(m): 10:46pm On Jan 07, 2012
I didn't know such association existed
Nairaland / General / A Faction Of Nlc Refuses To Go On Strike by frudokafor(m): 10:44pm On Jan 07, 2012
The Association of Professional Prostitutes of Nigeria(APPN) has refused to join in the nationwide strike on Monday stating that their work is essential to be put to a standstill
Family / Re: 5 Things Every Extrovert Should Know About Introverts by frudokafor(m): 9:00pm On Jan 02, 2012
For the first time am following a post thru out. Major problem of an introvert is also Handling relationships.
Most of the relationships i ve had is cos the girls had a crush on me.
Nairaland / General / The Subsidy Lie by frudokafor(m): 11:32pm On Jan 01, 2012
Jonathan’s government exposed: the real cost of fuel in Nigeria

By Izielen Agbon Izielen Agbon

On December 10, 2011, if you stopped at the Mobil filling station on Old Aba Road in Port Harcourt , you would be able to buy a litre of petrol for 65 naira or $1.66 per gallon at an exchange rate of $1/N157 and 4 litres per gallon. This is the official price. The government claims that this price would have been subsidized at N73/litre and that the true price of a litre of petrol in Port Harcourt is N138/litre or $3.52 per gallon.

They are therefore determined to remove their subsidy and sell the gallon at $3.52. But, On December 10, 2011, if you stopped at the Mobil Gas station on E83rd St and Flatlands Avenue in Brooklyn, New York, USA, you would be a able to buy a gallon of petrol for $3.52/gallon. Both gallons of petrol would have been refined from Nigerian crude oil. The only difference would be that the gallon in New York was refined in a US North East refinery from Nigerian crude exported from the Qua Iboe Crude Terminal in Nigeria while the Port Harcourt gallon was either refined in Port Harcourt or imported. The idea that a gallon of petrol from Nigerian crude oil cost the same in New York as in Port Harcourt runs against basic economic logic. Hence, Nigerians suspect that there is something irrational and fishy about such pricing. What they would like to know is the exact cost of 1 litre of petrol in Nigeria .

We will answer this question in the simplest economic terms despite the attempts of the Nigerian government to muddle up the issue. What is the true cost of a litre of petrol in Nigeria ? The Nigerian government has earmarked 445000 barrel per day throughput for meeting domestic refinery products demands. These volumes are not for export. They are public goods reserved for internal consumption. We will limit our analysis to this volume of crude oil. At the refinery gate in Port Harcourt, the cost of a barrel of Qua Iboe crude oil is made up of the finding /development cost ($3.5/bbl) and a production/storage /transportation cost of $1.50 per barrel.

Thus, at $5 per barrel, we can get Nigerian Qua Iboe crude to the refining gates at Port Harcourt and Warri. One barrel is 42 gallons or 168 litres. The price of 1 barrel of petrol at the Depot gate is the sum of the cost of crude oil, the refining cost and the pipeline transportation cost. Refining costs are at $12.6 per barrel and pipeline distribution cost are $1.50 per barrel. The Distribution Margins (Retailers, Transporters, Dealers, Bridging Funds, Administrative charges etc) are N15.49/litre or $16.58 per barrel. The true cost of 1 litre of petrol at the Mobil filling station in Port Harcourt or anywhere else in Nigeria is therefore ($5 +$12.6+$1.5+$16.6) or $35.7 per barrel . This is equal to N33.36 per litre compared to the official price of N65 per litre. Prof. Tam David West is right. There is no petrol subsidy in Nigeria . Rather the current official prices are too high. Let us continue with some basic energy economics.

The government claims we are currently operating our refineries at 38.2% efficiency. When we refine a barrel of crude oil, we get more than just petrol. If we refine 1 barrel (42 gallons) of crude oil, we will get 45 gallons of petroleum products. The 45 gallons of petroleum products consist of 4 gallons of LPG, 19.5 gallons of Gasoline, 10 gallons of Diesel, 4 gallons of Jet Fuel/Kerosene, 2.5 gallons of Fuel Oil and 5 gallons of Bottoms. Thus, at 38.2% of refining capacity, we have about 170000 bbls of throughput refined for about 13.26 million litres of petrol, 6.8 million litres of diesel and 2.72 million litres of kerosene/jet fuel.

This is not enough to meet internal national demand. So, we send the remaining of our non-export crude oil volume (275000 barrels per day) to be refined abroad and import the petroleum product back into the country. We will just pay for shipping and refining. The Nigerian government exchanges the 275000 barrels per day with commodity traders (90000 barrels per day to Duke Oil, 60000 barrels per day to Trafigura (Puma Energy), 60000 barrels per day to Societe Ivoirienne de Raffinage (SIR) in Abidjan, Ivory Coast and 65000 barrels per days to unknown sources) in a swap deal. The landing cost of a litre of petrol is N123.32 and the distribution margins are N15.49 according to the government. The cost of a litre is therefore (N123.32+N15.49) or N138.81 . This is equivalent to $3.54 per gallon or $148.54 per barrel. In technical terms, one barrel of Nigerian crude oil has a volume yield of 6.6% of AGO, 20.7% of Gasoline, 9.5% of Kerosene/Jet fuel, 30.6% of Diesel, 32.6% of Fuel oil / Bottoms when it is refined.

Using a netback calculation method, we can easily calculate the true cost of a litre of imported petrol from swapped oil. The gross product revenue of a refined barrel of crude oil is the sum of the volume of each refined product multiplied by its price. Domestic prices are $174.48/barrel for AGO, $69.55/barrel for Gasoline (PMS or petrol), $172.22/barrel for Diesel Oil, $53.5/barrel for Kerosene and $129.68/barrel for Fuel Oil. Let us substitute the government imported PMS price of $148.54 per barrel for the domestic price of petrol/gasoline. Our gross product revenue per swapped barrel would be (174.48*0.066 +148.54*0.207+172.22*0.306+ 53.5*0.095+129.68*0.326) or $142.32 per barrel. We have to remove the international cost of a barrel of Nigerian crude oil ($107 per barrel) from this to get the net cost of imported swapped petroleum products to Nigerian consumers. The net cost of swapped petroleum products would therefore be $142.32 -$107 or $35.32 per barrel of swapped crude oil. This comes out to be a net of $36.86 per barrel of petrol or N34.45 per litre.

This is the true cost of a litre of imported swapped petrol and not the landing cost of N138 per litre claimed by the government. The pro-subsidy Nigerian government pretends the price of swapped crude oil is $0 per barrel (N0 per litre) while the resulting petroleum products is $148.54 per barrel (N138 per litre). The government therefore argues that the “subsidy” is N138.81-N65 or N73.81 per litre. But, if landing cost of the petroleum products is at international price ($148.54 per barrel), then the take-off price of the swapped crude oil should be at international price ($107 per barrel). This is basic economic logic outside the ideological prisms of the World Bank. The traders/petroleum products importers and the Nigerian government are charging Nigerians for the crude oil while they are getting it free.

So let us conclude this basic economic exercise. If the true price of 38.2% of our petrol supply from our local refinery is N33.36/litre and the remaining 61.8% has a true price of N34.45 per litre, then the average true price is (0.382*33.36+0.618*34.45) or N34.03 per litre. The official price is N65 per litre and the true price with government figures is about N34 per litre (even with our moribund refineries).

There is therefore no petrol subsidy. Rather, there is a high sales tax of 91.2% at current prices of N65 per litre. The labor leaders meeting the President should go with their economists. They should send economists and political scientists as representatives to the Senate Committee investigating the petroleum subsidy issue. There are many expert economists and political scientists in ASUU who will gladly represent the view of the majority. The labor leaders should not let anyone get away with the economic fallacy that the swapped oil is free while its refined products must be sold at international prices in the Nigerian domestic market.

The government should explain at what price the swapped crude oil was sold and where the money accruing from these sales have been kept. We have done this simple economic analysis of the Nigerian petroleum products market to show that there is no petrol subsidy what so ever. In the end, this debate on petrol subsidy and the attempt of the government to transfer wealth from the Nigerian masses to a petrol cabal will be decided in the streets. Nigerian workers, farmers, students, market women, youths, unemployed, NGO and civil society as a whole should prepare for a long harmattan season of protracted struggle. They should not just embark on 3 days strike/protests after which the government reduces the hiked petroleum prices by a few Nairas. They must embark upon in a sustainable struggle that will lead to fundamental changes. Let us remove our entire political subsidy from the government and end this petroleum products subsidy debate once and for all. It is time to bring the Arab Spring south.
Politics / Re: Breaking News: Fuel Subsidy Removed by frudokafor(m): 11:25pm On Jan 01, 2012
I love this country
Nairaland / General / Five Stuff I Hate About Xmas And Newyear by frudokafor(m): 8:13pm On Dec 31, 2011
1.Prices of stuffs escalate and never return as before.

2. Random people will come to your house

3. You have to go to everyone’s houses (you don’t even know who they are)

4. Fake smiles and boring small talks

5. Awkward conversation at dinner. Such as : How’s life? How’s campus/grades/whatever? Just kill me already

, New Year’s resolution. Ugh
European Football (EPL, UEFA, La Liga) / Re: Manchester United Vs Blackburn (2 - 3) On Saturday 31st December 2011 by frudokafor(m): 7:57pm On Dec 31, 2011
I did bet on that team. it sucks
Nairaland / General / 5 Things I Hate About Xmas An New Year by frudokafor(m): 7:53pm On Dec 31, 2011
This are the stuff i hate about celebrations, tell me yours

1.Prices of stuff go up and never return to thier original price
2. Every dick and harry is bugging me for gifts and money
3. Annoying Traffic Jam and stuffs like that
4.Network is so jammed up, everyone trying to send messages that doesn't get read
5.I save for a year just to spend it in a week.
Software/Programmer Market / An Application Needed by frudokafor(m): 9:50pm On Dec 21, 2011
have you got an application for
1. Managing a Hospital patients and client
2. for optimizing feed formulation to poultry, pigs or fish

Contact me
ud4okafor@yahoo.com
put a demo,or a picture of the graphic user interface
Programming / Re: Can A Nigeria Programmer Afford A Range Rover Sport? by frudokafor(m): 7:31pm On Dec 19, 2011
I feel your pain bro. My best days as a programmer was back in sku when i made money from my fellow students by making project to spice up thier project work, but now, to even get a hearing voice from companies na war oooooooooooo. Am still serchin for my breakthru
Jokes Etc / A Summary Of My Undergrauate Project Work by frudokafor(m): 8:17pm On Dec 16, 2011
I feel that malaria and HIV are INTER-RELATED. How? If a mosquito sucks d blood of a man that has the HIV virus, and goes to suck the blood of anoda man, a little fusion takes place ryt? So my question is Y Can't d HIV virus be transmitted to d second man? Instead its malaria parasite that is being transmitted. So i feel that there's gat to be sumtin in mosquito that neutralises the HIV virus. Y cnt scientist take that thing to the lab,reproduce it in large portions and use it in creating the drugs for HIV, in that way mosquitoes will be scarce and malaria wil be eradicated! ! ! Shikinah. That brings me 2 d conclusion that God has a reason 4 creating mosquitoes!!!
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: Help Me With Free Electronic Gmat by frudokafor(m): 10:51pm On Dec 15, 2011
PLs i also need a copy, ud4okafor@yahoo.com.
Gracia
Jokes Etc / Re: ASUU Strike by frudokafor(m): 10:32pm On Dec 15, 2011
@emmyk, This one resemble Tales by moonlight
Jokes Etc / Re: ASUU Strike by frudokafor(m): 9:41pm On Dec 15, 2011
Survey; Carried out by Child birth and Strike rate control (CBSR) in collaboration with the institiute of Names and Registry.
Jokes Etc / ASUU Strike by frudokafor(m): 8:58pm On Dec 15, 2011
Quoting Dimeji "THE AGONY OF ASUU STRIKE:
The 2009 ASUU strike dat lasted
for 109 days brought out the
best and worst in d lives of many
students. When we resumed,
, many female students came with
ENGAGEMENT RINGS and
PROTRUDED BELLY. After
9months, THOSE BELLIES produced
names like: ASUKA, ASUBIKE,
ASUFUNMI, ASULIMA, ABISASU… This year’s
ASUU strike, I hope it wont
produce another wonder,especial ly
now that the WEATHER is
favorable [cold tinz]. So, we
won’t get to see babies’ names
like: HARMATANASU, ASUSEYI,
MOJERE, ASUGBEMI, ASUTUNDE,
ASUFIFEHANMI… and so on…
My condolence to all undergraduates in the Country!!"
Education / ASUU Strike by frudokafor(m): 8:55pm On Dec 15, 2011
"THE AGONY OF ASUU STRIKE:
The 2009 ASUU strike dat lasted
for 109 days brought out the
best and worst in d lives of many
students. When we resumed,
, many female students came with
ENGAGEMENT RINGS and
PROTRUDED BELLY. After
9months, THOSE BELLIES produced
names like: ASUKA, ASUBIKE,
ASUFUNMI, ASULIMA, ABISASU… This year’s
ASUU strike, I hope it wont
produce another wonder,especial ly
now that the WEATHER is
favorable [cold tinz]. So, we
won’t get to see babies’ names
like: HARMATANASU, ASUSEYI,
MOJERE, ASUGBEMI, ASUTUNDE,
ASUFIFEHANMI… and so on…
My condolence to all undergraduates in the Country!!"
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: Chevron Nigeria Limited Industrial Training Opportunity by frudokafor(m): 3:33pm On Oct 31, 2011
Thier questions never change, the math is tough i wud say, but definitely there would be those english questions on Bakery and Bread. Prepare for speed cos time is limited.
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: Chevron Nigeria Limited Industrial Training Opportunity by frudokafor(m): 3:24pm On Oct 31, 2011
Thier questions never change, the math is tough i wud say, but definitely there would be those english questions on Bakery and Bread. Prepare for speed cos time is limited.
Certification And Training Adverts / Learn Visualbasic Programming by frudokafor(m): 6:34pm On Oct 30, 2011
call me 07037754910 if interested
Education / Write A Program For Your Projects And Thesis by frudokafor(m): 6:21pm On Oct 30, 2011
Have you got those great ideas and formulars, you can put them into a program that could sell out. I use visualbasic.net in doing this. call me on 07037754910 if you want to learn or have a job for me.
Chao
Romance / Re: My Gal Left Me And sleeped with Anoda Guy by frudokafor(m): 9:14pm On Jan 22, 2011
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Dont ever ever joke with FUTO boys cos we are on fire
Jokes Etc / Re: Hon. Obahiagbon After Losing The Acn Primaries: by frudokafor(m): 12:48am On Jan 22, 2011
Nairaland / General / Re: Erastus Akingbola's Petition Exposes Bukola Saraki, Lamido Sanusi by frudokafor(m): 5:00pm On Oct 08, 2010
I can't just differentiate a lie from the truth in Nigeria anymore
Music/Radio / Re: Top 10 Richest 9ja Musician. by frudokafor(m): 2:27pm On Oct 08, 2010
U mean per decade
Dating And Meet-up Zone / Re: I Need A Guy In My Life by frudokafor(m): 11:32am On Oct 06, 2010
Hope ur not crippled sha am available
Education / Re: Reinvent Fraternities In Nigerian Universities? by frudokafor(m): 2:39pm On Sep 23, 2010
that guy is high that is not what the university system need now.
Literature / Petroleum Books Pls by frudokafor(m): 12:47am On Sep 02, 2010
I have problem sourcing 4 materials to help me write my project. any help wud be appreciated
Adverts / Ethanol For Sale by frudokafor(m): 12:01am On Sep 01, 2010
need any quantity of ethanol and its byproducts(moveables) call 07037754910
Jobs/Vacancies / Industrial Attachment by frudokafor(m): 11:57pm On Aug 31, 2010
wrote a test with Nestle plc scored well. someone that scored 100% was not even called. Why was there a test at all

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