₦airaland Forum

I'll explain and it'll be brief.

The Honeydew box and the lines I drew that triggered the discovery.

🔥 EXACT MARKET TOP USING TALLEST BOX

I can confidently say I have practically arrested BTC to the point it can’t do anything new in my eyes. Whatever it does, I already know the outcome — or something extremely close to it.

Mastery isn’t born from luck. It comes from obsession, repetition, curiosity, and pattern-hunting until something hidden finally reveals itself.

THE DISCOVERY

I once made a post about spotting the exact market bottom. Today, it's about the exact market top using that same tallest box.

I use a system I created called Boxnalysis, where I divide and group the months based on behavior. In every block of months, there is one month where the market usually crashes or acts funny — the No-Trade Month (NTM).

Bear market structure contains two main boxes: Honeydew and Orange
(although parts of the White box also fall inside the bear phase).

THE LINES

During a deep study of the bear-market boxes, I drew a line at the bottom of Honeydew because it matched a precise measurement I was working on. Curiosity led me to draw at the middle and top of Honeydew as well.
Then something pushed me further to add a line at the top of White box and at the bottom of Orange box.

In the end, I had five parallel lines, in ascending order:
Red → .urple → Green → Blue → Yellow. (RUGBY color code. You know I love being organized).

THE BREAKTHROUGH

Just as I used the tallest box to find the exact bottom of the bear market,
I used the tallest box (excluding White box because it's the last box of the bull) to find the exact top of "that cycle" — and it was shockingly accurate.

But the measurement MUST begin from the Blue Line. (Important distinction: a blue line is not the same as a blue box.)

HISTORICAL VALIDATION

In the early cycles — 2013 and 2017 — the measurement from the blue line needed to be doubled to reach the market top. But in modern cycles — 2021 and 2025 — the measurement is single, no multiplier required.

2013 → height ×2 hit the exact top
2017 → height ×2 hit the exact top
2021 → height ×1 hit the exact top
2025 → height ×1 hit the exact top

THE RESULT

This is a complete, repeatable, cycle-based method for calculating the exact market top — not a guess, not a probability, but a measurement. Will it be accurate for the 4th time to make it 4/4? Maybe.

Here is a summarized explanation

In 2013, cycle, the tallest was purple 🟣 box. Double of that height, starting from blue line, is the EXACT top.

In 2017 cycle, the tallest was yellow 🟡 box. Double of that height, starting from blue line, is the EXACT top.

In 2021 cycle, the tallest was blue 🔵 box. A single of that height, starting from blue line, is the EXACT top.

In 2025 cycle, the tallest was purple 🟣 box. A single of that height, starting from blue line, is the EXACT top.

In the images below, the white arrow is pointing the tallest box of the cycle. The white circle above is the percentage of the box.

That exact percentage (sometimes, plus or minus 1%), was duplicated and used from blue line to measure the top of the cycle and the outcome is 💯 accurate.

Check the white circled price at the right hand corner, the end of the image and see how accurate it is for both the ones I doubled, 2013 & 2017 and the single ones, 2021 & 2025.

If you understand this post, you're smart, trust me.

Just the same way we used tallest box (excluding white box) to find market bottom, another magic has been discovered on using tallest box to find market top and it's 💯 accurate. I just can't believe it.

White box is always the last box for the bull run, hence we can't use it because at the time of finding the top, it won't exist, so we'll use any of the tallest boxes that already exists in that cycle.

Lecture coming soon.

In my previous lecture, I was talking about bear market. By the way, I hope you know there are 2-3 crucial months to short in bear.

1. March and sell in June
2. Between March to June, there is usually a fake pump inside there, but it never goes higher than March's top.
3. July top (short) and sell in December or January, the following year.

This has been true is all 3 previous cycles. I hope it's not now that I spoke about it things will change. Anyway, even if things change, it'll still come back on track.

See images below.

I had to go against my rule and post this before it's too late. I made a post about when the market will bottom, using purple box, the tallest.

The thing is, this is the first time purple box is the real tallest, so I don't really know if it belongs to upper half or lower half, but in my post yesterday, I just assumed it'll be upper half, hence I said 51k to 48k.

I just want to let you know that the middle of the lower half is 32k to 29k, should we choose that one.

So, it's good to prepare for both the upper half and lower half. Currently, only blue and white box happened in lower half.

Previous post: https://www.nairaland.com/6318352/crypto-currency-investors-thread/4728#137592736

My "No Internet Day" alarm just rang, so I'll log of and handle this topic on Thursday, if I'm still in the mood.

Those two blue dots are exactly the same in all the 3 previous cycles. It hasn't happened this year yet, so be watchful.

By the way, the price of that red line changes a bit as we go.

History keeps repeating because human emotions is still the same. BTC does nothing new other than little deviations caused by manipulation, but still comes back on track.

Stay blessed.

Now, let's talk about the two best shorting opportunities in the bear market.

We have more than 2, but these two are like consolidation if you missed shorting from top.

Take a look at these 3 images. Ignore everything and LOOK at the white arrow. Did you see the two blue dots? Where are they?

BEAR MARKET CHART 2022

The first image below is 2022 bear without any indicator. The second image is with The Wall of China indicator.

What did you notice in the second one?

Answer: Bottom MUST touch the red line of the cloud, hence, you must enter your best long positions there for the next bull run.

Unfortunately, the first attempt didn't, but luckily, the second did at 17k and it was even graceful enough to give us bonus by going below red line to hit 15.5k.

Buying at 17k, red line, is all you needed, but keep some money for bonus.


Next...

BEAR MARKET CHART 2018

The first image below is 2018 bear without any indicator, which I call nked chart. The second image is with The Wall of China indicator.

What did you notice in the second one?

Answer: Bottom MUST touch the red line of the cloud, ELSE, there will be a black swan months later or the following year that'll dump to that red line just like 2020 crash.

The crash is because 2018/2019 refused to obey tradition of touching the red line. 2020 has to do it — delay is not denial.

Next...

Please, don't forget to use the block button if you don't want to see my post. I have brief lecture about "The Wall" and when to short if you miss shorting from top.

BEAR MARKET CHART 2014

The first image below is 2014 bear without any indicator. The second image is with The Wall of China indicator.

What did you notice in the second one?

Answer: Bottom MUST touch the red line of the cloud, hence, you must enter your best long positions there for the next bull run.

Next...

5 Things In Btc To Never Forget

1. Period of the Market (BuBumReSel)
2. Direction of Market (trend direction)
3. Structure of Market (the box + NTM and how they connect)
4. Liquidity the Market Is Targeting (Supply & Demand via DIY Indicator)
5. Sentiment of the Market (What are FOMOers saying? Focus on opposite).

In 2026 and above, I'll let you people rest with images, but before then, you have no choice.

The Wall of China has been broken. The real blood hasn't even happened yet.

Don't forget, first week of January will pump 5-7%, then dumps. It'll move up again in February, then dumps again. It'll go up in March, but will dump in June. July will pump, then dumps in November or December.

That has been the roadmap in all previous 3 cycles.

In summary, bear market doesn't only go down. We'll see lots of pumps, but the trend is downtrend.

5 things to...

Those are my little contributions and I hope they help someone next time.


Collage

I have made this kind of post before, but this is just a reiteration.


When is market top? As you all know, my new strategy is: after the 80th week from the day of halving, my prediction about BTC is invalidated if the target price is not met yet.

Look at the 4 images below. The dotted red line is the 80th week. The white box there is 5 weeks to the 80th week. In all cycles, sell the week before that 5 weeks.

When that week comes, switch to 1 day timeframe and sell the day you see TAT, within those 7 days. TAT is Twice alAs Tall, meaning, the day green volume is high and goes above the 20EMA on the volume. When that day happens, sell the following day.


If you don't understand, ask questions.

First image is 2025. Second is 2021. Third is 2017 and fourth is 2013.

Where the red arrows are pointing were exactly the bottom. Purple box said 51k to 48k range will be the bottom in 2026. If it gets it right, that'll make it 4/4 accurate prediction in 16 years.

This post is just for reference purposes in the future.

Update: 26th, Nov, 2025
https://www.nairaland.com/6318352/crypto-currency-investors-thread/4729#137605367

The tallest is purple, so the red box I created started from the top of purple to middle of purple — just upper half of purple. If it's blue or white, it'll be lower half. Divide the new box in two, horizontally (the white line).

That white line is the secret. It'll be the bottom price in 2026. It has been accurate in 2014, 2018, and 2022.
When I say accurate, I mean to the T.

In 2013 cycle, the white box was the tallest and it 💯 predicted the bottom in 2014/2015.

In 2017 cycle, yellow was the tallest and in 2018, the bottom was 💯 predicted accurately.

In 2021, the tallest box was blue and it also 💯 predicted that bottom of 2022.

When I say predict the bottom, I mean the EXACT price like magic.

If the 3 previous cycles' bottom were 100% predicted by the tallest box, I should be confident it'll be accurate in 2026 or at least, almost accurate. It might wick down a bit this time around.

If not that my chart is filled up with info/data and it looks cluttered, I would've shown it. If you guys don't mind, I'll still show it appease your curiosity.

Ignore everything on the images below and focus on the color of the box. The red box is derived from half of he tallest box, then divided in two.

The middle of the new box is the bottom. As I earlier said, white and blue box are unique — you use the lower half while the rest of the colors use the upper half. (Don't forget that).

After you've identified the tallest, you'll see a line at the middle, which I call SITM.

If the the tallest box is blue or white, you'll create another box from bottom to middle of that blue or white box. If it's any other color, you'll create that box from top to middle.

Let me show you a picture.

Wow wow wow! There is something I just found on the chart and I just can't believe IT! How I find these things, I don't even know. It's been 100% accurate in all cycles.

With low interest in crypto by people in this group, I just feel explaining it won't mean anything to anyone.

Call me insane and I won't deny it. This box strategy is like a prophet. Whatever will happen in the future, it'll tell you ahead it time.

Today, while analysing the entire chart or boxes from 2011 to 2025, a spirit told me to pay a special attention to the tallest box of each cycle. As you know, each cycle has 8 boxes (6 for bull market and 2 for bear market).

The focus here is using the tallest box of the bull cycle to know the bottom of the next cycle and I kid you not, it predicted ALL of them accurately and even 2026, it has already predicted the bottom.

See the image below and you'll know purple is the tallest for this cycle.

Let me keep this for myself here for future reference.

Epstein list, blah blah blah.

So, people still don't understand that every bear market needs a negative story peddled by big shorts to help put fear in people so that they'll sell their crypto for the market to crash for these shorters to be in profit?

Imagine you're in a 1 billion dollar short position and your liquidation is $101k. Won't you peddle negative narrative and even pay influencers to talk about it? You will.

By the way, the negative news is needed and it's not all, more will soon start. 2027, positive news will start and they'll say it wasn't true.

Big shorts are all behind all these just the same way they're always behind sponsorship of insecurity in most countries.

Everyone has done their best this year, but their best wasn't enough. At least, you made moves and it's not a waste, but part of the stories you'll tell the younger generation.

Failure doesn't exist, experience does.

Boxnalysis: The BTC 8-Box Cycle

Great men leave legacies wherever they go, and this is one of mine for this crypto community. It’s rooted in the four-year cycle: three years up, one year down.

But instead of waiting on long cycles, I broke the entire market structure into eight behavioral boxes, each one acting like a predictable season — which they are.

If you study the past cycles, the first six colors — red, purple, green, blue, yellow, and white — form the bull market. Then part of the white, the honeydew, and the orange color represent the bear market. Every cycle has followed this same color rhythm with shocking accuracy.

From there, I discovered the months that always crash — NTM: No-Trade Months. These are the months where you simply wait, let the crash happen without you, then enter at the bottom. Even if you only trade one of these boxes per cycle, the profit is more than enough.

This is why the “four-year cycle” no longer controls me, but it's the foundation. I now call it the Eight-Box Cycle. Instead of saying “bull market” or “bear market,” I simply say, “I’m trading Blue Box or Blue Whale,” or whichever box I choose.

Any year you come to crypto, you already have a box to trade. The behavior of each box is known.
You no longer wait a year or two to participate — you just show up, pick your box and trade it.

Each box lasts four, five or six months. In the diagram, two boxes = 1 year with a little overlap.

Red + Purple = Buy more year, BMY.
Green + Blue = Relax year, RY,
Yellow + White = Sell year, SY.
Honeydew + Orange = Buy year (bear market/shorting year).

Before each of the 8 boxes, there is 1 month in red in-between two boxes and it's called NTM — 90% of the time, this month always dumps, hence I either hedge, short it or stay away from those months and the acronym is FAMAMS (Feb, Aug, Mar, Aug, Mar, Sept.) The repetition is not error — they're different years.

1. After NTM of February, you have red box. (Buy more year).
2. After NTM of August, you have purple box. (Buy more year).

3. After NTM of March, you have green box. (Relax year).
4. After NTM of August, you have blue box. (Relax year).

5. After NTM of March, you have yellow box. (Sell year).
6. After NTM of September, you have white box. (Sell year/early bear short).

7. After NTM of February, you have honeydew box. (Buy/short year).
8. Orange box starts from July and has no NTM preceding it, hence you short in July's top till end of the year.

For the 8-Box Cycle, No-DJ of buy year is the accumulation stage and the cycle fully starts in red box.

So yes — Nov. & Dec. of buy year and Jan of buy more year is your accumulation and Box Red is the first true box of the new cycle.

You can recreate this one find a way to incorporate it into your strategy.

You may not know how important it is now, but in the future, you WILL!

What the world doesn't know is always criticized until years later.


Stay blessed.

Saw -12% dump today. The inversion of 12 is 21. Therefore, if the market wants to liquidate some heavy longs, it'll dump again to -21% in a day.

That'll be black swan if you factor in everything. I have witnessed it before, so I always prepare for it.

With this -12% flash crash, a lot of 80x longs were entered and this could trigger going lower to burn those people. It always happens, but...

Anyway, this is an inverted bull market, no difference with a normal bull market.

We're in bear market, but when I see 7% or 12% dump in a day and it makes sense to me, I long. Yes, I'm expecting 75k dump, but my rule approves this long trade. Getting ready for another long if it goes to 75k.

Verbtips:
what if one of descendant decide to sell the book

We'll use Bible and Qur'an's style of caging. If you do this, this will happen to you. If you don't do this, this will happen. Two of the greatest and most amazing books of mind control.

Two Types of Top (Apathy vs Euphoria)

When Bitcoin tops on apathy, the sentiment in the market is strangely quiet: no wild excitement, no mass euphoria — just slow exhaustion. Price climbs, but retail isn’t screaming. Traders are “tired,” liquidity thins, and the final push upward happens with weak participation. Apathy tops usually signal distribution, where smart money sells quietly into low-energy buyers.

When Bitcoin tops on euphoria, everyone is loud. Retail FOMO explodes, influencers scream new all-time highs, volume surges, and people who don’t even trade suddenly “must buy.” Euphoria tops usually signal climaxes, where smart money sells aggressively into emotional buyers.

Apathy = slow, sneaky top.
Euphoria = loud, explosive top.

BTC has a road it follows and that was what I spent years finding and making sure it's accurate. And yes, it is, despite the manipulations or institutional involvement.

It's just like a plane — some people don't know it has a road, a coordinate it follows and the pilot knows the limit of how high or low he can go. If he deviates, he must come back on track, else, it'll be disastrous.

See BTC as a plane — it knows where it's going even though it doesn't have eyes.

I urge everyone to find one thing that'll give them joy in crypto, even though it's a sad and emotional industry.

For me, one thing that gives me so much joy is my trading strategy. It's unconventional, boring and robotic. The actions I'll take 10 years from now is already defined.

Boxnalysis has been 100% accurate from inception and black swan is factored into the strategy, so I can't be caught off guard.

With some amazing info I haven't revealed to the public, I feel this my documentary shouldn't be made public, but a private book/diary for family use only.

It's like finding gold and letting everyone in the community know about it. Doesn't make sense to me. So, the book won't be made public again.

Let's talk about the image below.

In history, we haven't gone below the lower green channel before, and I don't expect this one to be different, but I'm still prepared for a change of character.

BTC is easy and predictable — it's our emotions that is erratic, not BTC.

Please, I want to beg everyone, don't allow another man's chart (especially mine) make you change your mind from your analysis — stick to yours and you might end up being right, trust me.

We need to learn to be independent. Things I see online no longer influence me and you should do the same.

Why Some Joined the Military Vs Terrorism


Let me tell you five reasons why many men from the South-South, South-East, and South-West joined the military. They didn’t join to defend Nigeria; they joined for survival.

First, their families were struggling, and even though the salary isn’t huge, it still brings relief.

Second, their families had been insulted, bullied, or disrespected by neighbors or powerful people, so having a soldier in the house restored dignity. People suddenly became careful because “there’s a soldier in that family.”

Third, the soldier himself escapes harassment from police, EFCC, and road extortion. Now he can travel freely without fear, gaining a sense of prestige and personal freedom he never had before.

Fourth, the uniform opens doors—banks, offices, and restricted spaces treat him differently, giving him faster access and special treatment.

Fifth, he gains personal protection; with a gun and training, intruders think twice, and people know he can handle himself in a fight. These are the things he went for—not a patriotic mission to defend the country.

For the Hausa or Fulani, the motivations may overlap but with a different shade. Some join mainly for access to guns and closer to power, especially among Fulani groups.

Others join to pass information to dangerous people or to shield their communities.

Some see the uniform as a licence to act without being questioned, moving with a level of freedom and boldness few can challenge.

And there are those who think ahead—believing that if conflict ever breaks out, their numbers and access to weapon will give them an overwhelming advantage — which is true.

So, people from all the regions have a reason for joining the army and it's not because of patriotism, hence, the security situation is porous. There is no passion from soldiers and I actually don't expect any from them because they're the most underpaid yet, politicians are stealing billions.

They also don't have advance technology or satellite system like Iran, Isreal, China Russia or the US. Even if they do, they'll have to buy it while these other countries can manufacture it themselves. You can't win insecurity without technology, NEVER!

So, these soldiers still want to be alive and achieve their dreams (outside military) and not to die for a corrupt nation and be forgotten — nothing paid to their family after death.

On the other hand, the terrorist are operating on a religious belief that dying in war is glorious and they'll inherit the kingdom of God, especially when they're killing people who don't have the same ideology as them.

So, one group is operating with passion and 💯 belief that they're doing the right thing while the other is also operating with 💯 belief that killing a terrorist is a good thing, but without passion because they don't want to die in the process unlike a terrorist who wants to, to enable him transition to the other world and enjoy the goodness of Heaven and all he was promised.

A terrorist sees killing people with different ideology or slightly different ideology as victory and even if you arrest him, he'll not feel remorseful and will even think you have a mental problem for stopping him from doing the work of God.

This is why a terrorist can go to a Muslim school and kidnap everyone, kill Muslim teachers, etc. They see school as Western ideology and it betrays their ideology even if the owner of the school is of same faith.

So, this is why terrorists multiply and the fact that there isn't technology deployed 24/7 to track them and bomb their camp everyday makes it  safer to join.

ChirstFireAltar:
Nothing like Xmas but Christmas.
Learn to use proper word.

Fanaticism. No difference with herdsmen.

Probably an old video.
Probably an old video.