₦airaland Forum

He uses Wike for land grabbing and Shettima for insecurity promotion.

Today, I now use it as my elastic limit. So, when consolidation starts, I give it 9 months.

This means bad times will make you stronger and more determined next time.

People gave up in that range — it was too much. Months to months, we were stagnant.

That's newbies for you. Saw the comment on someone's video. All they want is for your predictions to fail so they can laugh. I now have a new way of handling this issue on time.

When you invert your chart, bear market will become bull market. So, for me, e be like say bear market no dey exist again even though it does.

Now, with the chart below, if the market dumps, it's considered a pump and if it pumps, it's considered a dump.

I'm not advocating this strategy, but it's what I'm doing.

I saw this post on X and I like what he said, especially where he spoke in favour of leverage.

Coupled.

one of my best friends just told me his portfolio is down 90%

he wasn’t gambling.
no leverage, no casino trades, no reckless risk taking.

he just spent the last two years dca-ing into the wrong projects that looked promising and narratives that made sense… until they didn’t.

his mistake wasn’t greed.
it was believing that “being early” is the same as being right.

and there’s a lesson somewhere in that.

most people think the biggest risk in crypto is leverage.
it’s not.
it’s conviction in the wrong story.
it’s thinking a small cap lottery ticket is a “long term play”
it’s assuming time will fix a bad bet.

sometimes it doesn’t.

the reality is unforgiving.
you can be disciplined, patient, and responsible… and still lose if your selection is wrong.
edge isn’t about avoiding mistakes, sometimes it’s simply about avoiding the wrong narratives.

i’m sharing this because a lot of people are quietly in the same spot.
they think they failed.
but in reality, the market was never designed to reward everyone who holds.

this cycle has humbled more people than you think.

the takeaway isn’t “don’t buy alts”
it’s this: discipline won’t save you if it’s applied in the wrong direction.

On the parallel channel, this is where we are.

2014, 2018, 2022 and soon to be 2026. The two up and down green channel is not just drawn, but calculated. I have already taught you guys how to do it.

Where I circled black is where we are. It couldn't break the blue line into the euphoria zone.

The place the red arrow is pointing will be the dump that'll make everybody give up and start shorting, then it'll pump, attempting to retest the blue line, but won't — it's a move to liquidate late shorts.

EXTREMELY ImPoRTanT!!!



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8cb_umvZMoU?si=gS7krwwmXtY9biTE

I’ve learned something crucial over the past few days — something I’ve been doing without realizing its importance in crypto: the power of the “if” or “but if” statement.

In crypto, always use it, even if you’re 💯 confident in your assertion — it will save you from unnecessary arguments and scrutiny.

For example, a few days ago, when BTC was still high, I said the worst-case scenario was 90–89k. What happened? We reached 89k.

That statement carries risk because, if a black swan event pushes BTC to 63k, I could be ridiculed for claiming 89k was the worst. What I meant was: the worst for now, not forever.

Once BTC hit that level, I entered a giant leverage trade. At this stage of the market, I sell my longs after a 5%, 7%, or 12% pump. From 89k yesterday, we’re at 94k today — that’s roughly a 5% move.

It’s all about short, calculated trades. If you master my Boxnalysis strategy for bear markets, these principles will become clear. I no longer trade with emotion — everything is mechanical until my “if” statement triggers, and the system executes.

As I’ve said before, BTC embodies blessings, manipulation, crashes, dumps, delays, and deviations from plan. Perhaps some don’t see what I see because they aren’t tuned into the same frequency.

The game is simple if you master BTC and ensure your entry is 90% of the equation, while factoring in black swans and other eventualities.

I think poverty/lack is the reason there is greed in most nations. The moment you remove greed, even if you're poor, you'll see things differently and you'll develop unwavering patience.

My confidence in crypto has evolved drastically from 2021 to 2025. I’ve reached a stage where, even if I lose everything, I can take just $1,000, risk $100, and rebuild systematically from scratch. Those who are not afraid to fall because they know how to rise are those who have solid foundations in their field. You should be one of them.

You’d be surprised how quickly $100 can grow to $500 in a few weeks. Then I exit, wait for the A+ setup, and re-enter. I trade with a long-term mindset, which allows me to step away from trades for months without fear.

The key takeaway: the “if” statement matters. Master BTC, cultivate patience, know your setups (especially A+), and embrace a long-term perspective. Patience is the hardest part of the game — conquer it, and you’ve won.

Adding “My BTC price prediction is void after the 80th week from halving” to my toolkit brought immense relief — no one can hold me accountable because I’ve stated it in advance.

I’ve also discussed selling at the yellow top or using the Team October → Team November → Team January cycle. This time, Team O won. I’m Team D, so I lost, but the cycle isn’t fully over yet.

Here’s a simple arithmetic approach using this team method:

2025 = sell partially on the last number of 2025 (5th of October) and the last two numbers of 2025 (25th of October).

Finally, study BTC history: how prices moved each year within the four-year halving cycle, noting coincidences, divergences, and patterns. Even if history doesn’t repeat exactly, it always rhymes — and for me, it has consistently repeated, with a few curveballs.

Stay blessed.

Let me address why I easily come up with solutions and why I’m both easily loved and easily hated. I think I have a mental problem growing up — no, not what you think. Let me explain.

As a kid, even up to Primary 4, I couldn’t read or spell my surname. Na “olodo promotion” dem dey give me. Whenever it was time to read in class, I would jump through the window. I was the troublesome fighter kid — I wanted to fight everyone, and I always won.

I loved going out barefoot so I could run fast after causing trouble. My mom wanted me to “know book” at all cost, but I was the type that preferred fixing things at home. Electronics, repairing, destroying, rebuilding — anything that required hands, I was naturally good at.

My dad had some money as a federal government worker, but too many people depended on him. Before salary arrived, it had already finished. If monthly salary doesn’t last more than three weeks, that is poverty to me. We had farms, so food and school fees weren’t problems, but money didn’t last.

One Christmas, my mom told me that if I could learn to read and write, she would buy me a certain white canvas with lights and some fancy kiddie watches I loved. Immediately, something sparked in me. She added, “If you take first position, I’ll buy even more.” That was all I needed — I took books seriously.

She taught me Queen Premier and all the beginners’ books. Whenever they sent me on an errand that should take 30 minutes, I came back after two hours because I was busy reading every signpost on the way. My first attempt at impressing her ended with 3rd position — and I cried.

I refused to go home after report cards were given. They found me crying alone in an empty school. My mom hugged me, cleaned my tears, kissed my forehead and told me she believed in me. She bought me more than she promised — I was the happiest kid alive.

From that day, my life changed academically.
I entered secondary school, quiet boy — the once stubborn child now completely tamed.
My handwriting was beautiful, and the least I scored in any test was 95/100. Math, English, Art — everything came effortlessly.

To me, knowing book wasn’t a big deal anymore, but to my classmates, it felt like magic. I didn’t like people sitting too close.
I was a lone wolf, and the teachers wanted to make me class captain. I refused every position.

In JSS 2, the most beautiful girl in class wanted me to be her boyfriend, but I still wanted to be alone with my books. She was too fine, too fair — I even thought she was from the marine kingdom because of the scary things I've seen in Nigerian movies.

She would come to my seat to talk; I would stand up and walk away. Everyone wanted her, but she wanted me. Women hate rejection, and she tried everything. I regret how I treated her — she wasn’t cheap, I just didn’t understand love — I only understood book.

Her love annoyed me because it was too easy.
I like working hard/smart to get what I want.
She eventually got upset and insulted me and my parents in her language and people who understood were laughing.

Long story short: after that one 3rd position in primary school, I never came 3rd again in my life. I wrote an international scholarship exam — came first out of 6,000 people. I wrote a CISCO processional certification exam abroad — I was the only one who passed.

When the computer-based result came out and everyone realized I was the only one who passed, they started asking for pictures as I was a celebrity.

To me, the exam was too easy; to them, it was the hardest in the world. Meanwhile, I was clubbing four times a week abroad and after that exam, I went straight to party — man shall not live by book alone.

My point with all these stories?

I once read that Einstein had a similar childhood challenge. He couldn’t read or write at first, but when the floodgates opened, he became a monster of knowledge.

I’m not comparing myself to Einstein, but our “dumb to bomb” journey is similar — except for the women part; I like adventure more than Einstein.

Whenever I come up with something, even before testing it, I already know it will work.
Luckily, everything I’ve posted here about crypto, I’ve tested and used myself. When people attack me, I just smile — they will praise me eventually in my absence.

People love me easily. The ones who hate me think I’m controlling, domineering, too confident, arrogant, proud, shameless — and yes, I am all that. But I’m also kind and respectful.

And oh — I’m wicked too.

I don’t want to go to Heaven, even if it’s free.
I’m not going to Hell either. All I want is honesty and a working country.

I disdain fraud and crime. If I were made president, most crimes would attract dth penalty. I don’t forgive crime or betrayal, but I may forgive other things.

Even me — as president — I’d accept the death penalty if I ever stole public funds.

Now you see why it’s easy to love me
and easy to hate or envy me. From dumb to bomb.

So, I don't have a mental problem, a certain part of my brain is active while it isn't in most people. Not only me, there some other lucky people with the gift and those who don't have it have people that have it. They'll call you names, tell you you talk too much, cho cho cho, but deep down, it's jealousy — they wish they're you.

This is why I would come up with some acronyms, but to them, it'll sound funny, things that are worth paying for. Since we're all in the same forum, you won't value it.

This story is too short, but some of you will think it's long.

Stay blessed!

I said it earlier, and I’ll say it again: if the market crashed, I take the blame. Some people have been attacking me and honestly, I only read the first two lines and the last two. Whatever negative thing you said about me—just know you’re right, and I still appreciate it.

In every group, there are two kinds of people: those who want to cement their names,
and those who try to scrape that cement off.
If you’re the one cementing your name
and the “removers” stay persistent, don’t panic. We can’t all be assigned the same role.

Your responsibility is simple: make your cement concrete. Build it so strong that no matter how hard they scrape, they leave with tired hands while your name remains untouched. For that, I appreciate all of you.

Every critic, every doubter, every supporter—
you’ve all contributed to this thread. You’ve played your roles, and I genuinely respect it.

Criticism or compliment, it’s all welcome.
Thank you for everything, and stay blessed.

And for the book, there will be two versions:
a concise edition (GPT will help in the summary) and a detailed edition.

Everyone can read it in the style they prefer,
whether you love sharp summaries
or full-length explanations. The choice is yours.

This book is for legacy purpose, not even for the money, but it'll still generate money for the sake of my effort. I just want something my generation will look back to. I noticed most Nigerians don't really care about their next 3-5 generations and that is why the country is struggling, but I do. I picture the unborn and try to do things that'll benefits them.

Anyways, this is the best cycle because unexpected things happened and whoever documented it will have an upper hand in the future and I pray that will be you.

Switch to your bear market shorting strategy, if you're into futures. For me, I have inverted my chart and that means, bear market doesn't exist for me. I trade it as if it's still a bull run cuz of the inversion. It's a trick.

By the way, each time I remember we're all walking dead, my anger towards anyone disappears and I begin to smile. Then I tell myself, "So, na dead people like me, 80 years from now, I dey waste energy on dey reply."

Why were we born in the first place? Some realisation will make you not to bother about a lot of things and focus more on the legacy you'll leave behind. 80 years from now, Nairaland won't even be Nigerians go-to forum neither will Instagram or Tiktok. Where is 2go and MySpace?

So, sometimes, let's think ahead and realize using your energy to build a legacy is better than trying to remove another man's own.

Are we about to go below the wall of China? Hmmm.

Stay blessed!

harry2sexy:
My leader, i have learnt a lot from you, Much Respect

You're welcome, chairman.

cmoney22222:
Btc has entered the wall of Jericho abi na the wall of China? God abeg oo

Sunday is a no internet day for me except there is a football game I want to watch.

See the image below, I have been preaching about it for long as the road that'll lead us home.

We won't just go down, but up and down for one year within the upper and lower green channel.

Though, from ending of July, August, Sept and October, 2026, the market will be stagnant and everyone will lose interest cuz we'll range. The 4 year "halving" cycle still stands — don't let people who know nothing deceive you. Try and be your own boss to avoid being misled.

BTC is more predictable than you think. You can also plan for eventualities should things deviate, but the good news is, it'll still come back on track. The deviation is just to confuse you, BTC specialists know the trick and don't fall for it.

Maybe, this cycle will be the last time I'll talk about crypto. I have 5 years max to master any field. I'll be moving to another field. I have gotten all I needed from crypto and made all the necessary documentaries.

Those that abuse me day and night, pretty soon you'll miss me because I'll be deleting all the posts I have ever made on this thread when my book is ready.

I don't want my publishing company to see any duplicate content online. Trust me, it's a must read.

For those who want me and Graceglory to leave, I hope you can hold it down for everyone and dish out lectures on a regular basis without asking to be paid. We did it for free.

I take a bow.

Next week, when BTC goes to 90k to 89k or even wick down, I'm entering a long.

Them: But you said, the cycle is over.
Me: Yes, but we can still pump to 110k or even 115k max, if we're lucky, but 109k is my best bet.

Larwin:
I don't think there is any rule that says there is an end to bull run after 80th weeks. Having passed 80th weeks after halving does not automatically mean the bull run is over. Please don't lose hope.

Great sarcasm.

In that post, I think I said something along the line of, "On the 10th to 15th, there will be a crash. If we survive it, there will be a parabolic pump, else, it's over."

Did we get the crash? Yes. Did we survive it?

Read the circled part. I still stand on what I said.

The worst sets of people to share crypto knowledge with are newbies who have lost half of their portfolios.

If you make a prediction and dynamics start to change or you made a discovery and you inform them ahead of time, they'll be upset and act hostile towards you — money is a spirit with emotions. and newbies don't want direction/direction to change. If you don't inform them, they'll mock you in the end that your predictions failed.

Summary: You must be mocked in one way or the other whenever they're bleeding.

The main reason I don't recommend coins — cuz the creator may be legit at first until circumstances push them to shutdown like Luna.

The person I pity the most is Graceglory. I fervently pray altseason comes, else they'll abuse him and won't trust him again despite all the good efforts he has put in this journey.

People just hate negative news, including myself, but I changed that to avoid desperation.

We move!

In the end, crypto is just about 90% entry and 10% patience + strategy with money you don't really need. The type of trade you'll enter and even forget you ever it. This 90% entry actually requires patience, hence patience = 90%

Siberia01:
I hate to say this, but crypto is dead
Cut your losses and move on
Invest the money elsewhere
There are a million coins out there with people hoping to breakeven

It's not dead. You can say the cycle is dead, but will rise again in 12-15 months time.

The video he sent me that made me do some research all over again.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vCPVgg9n4I8?si=fRKiIJufpeu9aWMC

Evaloyal2J:
you said in your previous post that after a second dump from 12 to 15th of November, will see parabolic pump. Please, What changed ?

My apologies if my prediction misled you. The question is, did the 10-15th dump happen as predicted? Yes.

As I said in one of my write-ups above, I improve everyday and I share my findings, I don't hoard, but it seems people on this page actually don't like it.

Maybe it's cuz my write-ups are sometimes long or I'm spoiling business for them. I'm only trying to be as detailed and simplistic as possible and contribute to the community.

They want me to say we'll pump and stick to it even if dynamics change or I discover something new so that when the pump doesn't happen, they'll mock me.

I always stand on my words, but new discoveries make me alert the public. It's like VDM and China Ross. When he discovered Ross's way isn't truly as he thought, he alerted everyone, but some people on Twitter won't because it'll ruin their relationship (respect) or reputation.

Let's forget about others and focus on your question. Authors love stories and narratives.

Two days ago, someone sent me a video on TG, see it below, about what a YouTuber said about BTC halving cycle. When people take out their precious time to send me a video on a topic I'm interested in, I 100% watch it.

I once studied it some years ago, but didn't take it seriously — I'm more into the round-up version called 4 Year Cycle, which still works.

After watching up to 25 videos on halving cycle, I finally took it seriously and incorporated it into my strategy.

After halving, it takes BTC 1 year and 6 months max to top and that is 80 weeks. Refer to the red line in the image below.

I did a detailed research and found out it's actually true and the moment the red line prints, it's over, no matter the hopium, state of the cycle, your "PRECIOUS" price target, fed news, rate cut, QE, etc. - the market can no longer go above that candle (red line) it printed on.

In this case, it was 109k to 111k. It can retest it, but going above it has never happened in history, except if this time will be different.

So, that red line is the reason I switched cuz it has held strong in all previous cycles. I'm only talking about BTC.

For alts, there might still be a bit of rallies, but only if BTC retests the 109k to 111k or stubbornly 115k area to liquidate us.

I hope you understand my point. If not for this red boundary, I wouldn't have changed. My SITM strategy is still valid, but this red line has truncated the journey. It's not my fault, but I still take full responsibility for letting the red line print on the 80th week. I should've made it to wait till the parabolic pump happens.

With my little epistle, I hope you now know why. Every strategy I have shared here is still valid, but red line has put asunder in acualizing them. Time no dey again — just like exam. Even if you know the answer, the moment the time is up, they snatch the paper from you. No invigilator will allow you finish just because you know the answer. Why didn't you finish it on time?

Or another example is relationship. A certain behavior or discovery can make you fall out of love even though your initial love towards the person was genuine. In the end, humans will say, "You never loved him." If you loved him, you'll never leave him after discovering he's a serial mdrrr.

The end...

Itzlinda:
Why do you quit Alt? You realised it is scam? what is your opinion about them?

I only enter alts when QE is on, not QT. Since this cycle, it's been QT, hence, any alts I enter, I leave on time when I see small profit. I didn't 100% quit, I still buy it whenever I see some opportunities, but I sell after some pumps.

Though, top 10 alts are still a good buy during bear market bottom, but for other alts, QE needs to start before I take them seriously.

Itzlinda:
So nothing will save alt bag. I will have to wait 5 years again?

One more thing, when bear market hits alts, (it has only hit BTC for now) that your bag will still lose another 95%. But the good news is, alts might experience a relief rally (if and only if BTC rallies) — just pray for BTC to rally to 109k and pull alts along. Other than that, it's over because the halving cycle has ended last week being the 80th week.

Itzlinda:
So nothing will save alt bag. I will have to wait 5 years again?

My speech is 100% on BTC. It'll still try to retest 109k+ in few weeks or months, but won't get to 115k (that's an overstretch — except there are billions of shorts to be liquidated there).

Going that high is not because of renewed hope, but market makers, exchanges and whales trying to liquidate one another before a final dump.

So, these up and down retests to 109k might make alts rally, coupled with QE and fed, but it won't last more than 2 weeks and the party will be over.

I'm more of a BTC specialist. Used to be into alts in 2021.

People don't pay attention to details cuz of greed. Those of us that do, it's as if we talk too much, but we're just messengers.

If you pay attention, 12 months ago or thereabout, we called yellow top at 108k to 109k. That 17k (109 + 17 = 126k) you saw is just extra to keep hopium alive so that big names will sell — distribution.

If you look at the image below, the green dotted line is the 40th week starting from halving while the red is 80th week, the end of the halving cycle.

Did you notice something? The red line broke down at exactly 109k, which is yellow top. It's not a coincidence, but calculated. They're done with their arithmetic, so it's time to slowly go home while giving you occasionally rallies that won't except 115k max.

So, that range of 108k to 109k and maybe, wick up to 111k will be the region BTC will retest in first week of January, then dumps and go again in March (though lower) to bring back hopium and people will start calling for "super cycle." It's a trap, don't fall for it.

I pay too much attention to details and history— na him be my problem.

I apologize to those who expect hopium from me at this time. I'm rigid with my patience, but flexible with the dynamics of the market.

Itzlinda:
Probably when the fed turn on the money printer again.

Every smart investor knows that even if they turn the money printer, which they've secretly done, that this cycle is dead and any pump is a trap and it's better to load up again in November or December of 2026 than now.

Selling in December 2024 / January 2025 when BTC was at 108k and 109k, which I called the market yellow top wasn't a bad idea.

It's almost 12 months now since that time and we only added extra 17k to arrive at 126k.

This same 17k to 15k was our market bottom price in 2022. So, the entire 2025, we only moved $17k.

Using 5, 7 or 12k extra, it's almost as if everything is calculated (it actually is). 12k + 5k = 17k.

Anyway, I always prepare for the worst and hope for the best.

Itzlinda:
Lol so the top is in? Means we are bleeped. Who will buy altcoins again next cycle?

If we're basing it on history, yes, but since people on other social media platforms always say history doesn't repeat and this time is different, we'll wait for how different this time would be.

People will buy cuz humans forget easily and this industry is ruled by emotions and newcomers with gambling history, hence every bad thing will still repeat. #FACT!

jayce232:
You are one great contributor of this thread & I have high regard for u, but I think the problem I observe about u is u always want to be right. Things doesn't work that way. You should stand for something. This has led to u coming up with so many cumbersome rules which an average person can't follow. Almost seem like u speak from both side of the mouth just to be in a safe position. Your post is suggesting bull run is over, but if the market should pump now u will come up with another rule.

This has made grace.glory very different from every analyst on this thread, dude position on alt season has been firm & has hardly switch lane, even if an alt season doesn't happen, alot of us will always respect him for his firm position. You kinda switch too often which can be misleading. Don't see this as an attack, but just an observation.

Great observations, but I don't really think I switch lane, I just improve often and adjust to the new discoveries if they're better than the previous or on the same level. Don't you think that is a good thing? I know you do.

In real life, we all have pride and principles, but in crypto, I don't have pride, I have change.

Crypto is a thing of probability and growth, not constant. I understand keeping up with me can be overwhelming because of new info. If I tell you to buy a coin and I later realize things aren't the same, I announce it.

My previous posts here are not invalid, they just improve and I announce them and their different alternatives. (I guess my problem is 'oversharing').

Since I grow everyday, I end up sharing regularly. I guess the spirit of always wanting to share is the reason you see it that way. I'll work on it.

If your school refuses to change curriculum after years, you'll revolt, trust me. My system doesn't change, but roads that lead to it regularly improve.

The main disadvantage I find in my post is "length" or people keeping up, but since I see here as more of an open diary and my contents is a future book, it ends up being lengthy and humans don't like that — we have shorter attention span as we evolve. So, my apologies in that regard.

All I'm trying to defend is, I don't switch often — I improve often and not ashamed to announce the improvement with my full chest.

This my approach will only be valued when I'm no longer here, trust me. People will one day miss it and say, "Where is iLégend, he used to give us update back to back."

I'm not angry at your observations because if I were you, I'll feel the same way. Keeping up with me is overwhelmingly hard and I know it, hence I regularly go on break even when I have new and better things to post.

So, appreciate you for your post.

The stubborn CME gap is finally about to happen soon, thanks to dth cross.

If you think you've missed shorting it at the top, then enter a short trade with money you can lose and let your liquidation be 126k and don't put stoploss. Maybe, because of you, we might just go back there, but if we don't, you win BIG!

Tilson indicator and 80 week cycle said it's over for BTC, but it's left for you to make your own decision.