₦airaland Forum

Bmaster:
They are the first class citizens,in their own little understanding, they're feeling like the peacocks, can't you see the pride in them ?

They know last last,nothing will happen to them.


There was a country

First class: Cow
Second class: Fula...
Third class: Haus...
Fourth class: Yoru...
Fifth class: N'Delta
Sixth class: Igb...
Seventh class: Add yours

This is how he government grades us.

armadeo:
Even currently ogs dey here am for btc hand.

Meanwhile I didn't even look this far. You're very right. When everyone jumps into btc the owners will play the exact same game they've played with alts.

Nice insight.

P.s alts still going home ( as in inside house ) because we're in the compound already

Lol, 5% left and it must happen, else no alt season.

What I'm about to post does not mean it'll happen, but I follow it religiously.

I have studied market pumps and dumps and I paid attention to the daily and weekly percentage moves and it's always 5, 7, 12, and 21% max per day. For weekly, it's total of 25 or 55%.

So, I built a calculator to help me do the math faster.

My rule is, I enter only when my criteria is met and one of them is: 5, 7 or 12% dump in a day — at least 7% before I take action and my iTrend indicator must approve it by telling me if it's a B, B+, A or A+ setup. A and A+ are the best.

When BTC went to 101.5k this month from 122k, I made a purchase, but guess what? My system is built to buy at the right time, then pray for lower. It's like having a beautiful girlfriend, but you... u know nah. That are even lower standard compared to your woman. You're playing down.

Just imagine buying at the right time, then praying for lower and lower? Does that make sense? No. When people buy, they immediately start praying and wishing for the market to pump as if they own the industry. This is an emotional torture and I don't like it.

I flipped the script by praying for lower because I already have the data of how low it'll go and I have money kept for those prices.

After my first buy, if the market proves stubborn and starts pumping, I get upset because I'm waiting for 2-3 more lowers.

Imagine being upset while your bag is pumping? Yeah, that's the game — you flipped the emotions and whichever direction it goes, it favours you.

This is the type of strategy you should have — where both directions favour you.

In that dump on the 10th, the lowest was 101.5k and minus 5%, 7% or max, 12% from the price is my prayer point. See image below. 35% and 55% are blackswan/bear market range. So, my prayer request is the top 3 corrections.

Will my prayer be answered? 50/50. It's just a wish + strategy to help me get excited when the market is dumping than angry like most people.

Your emotion is IMPORTANT, so build a strategy that puts it under control.

Right now, people are panicking, but iLegend is excited even though he's currently on a long trade. The worst that can happen is loss of money (more experience), not loss of life.

Be strong, everyone — making money is easy, but being patient for the money to arrive is hard.

The market rewards a deligent specialist.

BTC is king.

Info:

This year, infact, on the 10th of October, 2025, even people with 1.5x leverage were liquidated on some alts and some even went to 0.

Everyone already knew alts must go home and some coins will go to zero, but they just didn't like the idea. Crypto doesn't care about what we like or not like.

Some pros that have been in the game with the best strategies for 13 years were liquidated in that altcoin blackswan we experienced. The blackswan was only for alt, not BTC. For BTC, it's a normal healthy correction.

The New Shift: OGs will never ever believe in alts again except the company pay them to promote it.

Newbies of today will be OGs too in 4-8 years and with this experience they had, they'll move to only BTC and maybe, top 5. They'll only rotate when it's the right time and QE has started.

Greed will reduce in alts and move straight to BTC and top 5. There will soon be lots of high leverages on BTC in the coming cycles and guess what? Market makers will haunt all of them down and BTC will start behaving like alts despite institutional involvement.

We'll be seeing regular 12% pump and dump in a day starting from next cycle because of stoploss hunt from degens and this will trigger liquation cascade.

Best Practice: Outline all the years and the months dumps mostly happen (like first and second week of Jan, the month of March, April, July, August and Sept) and reserve money for each month.

You need to start trading like an opportunist. You wait for tears and blood on the floor before you take action and after that, still have backups. This is what always save me. That is the way to go and that is how I have been doing it this cycle.

So, BTC will be crowded next cycle and I like it.

There is something I did to my BTC chart that I regret not doing early. I outlined last week of December of every year with different colours. December of sell year is dotted white colour.

Then, I identified the week that contains the 20th of June and 20th of July. I used a solid black line for June and dotted black for July.

When you outline your chart like this, you'll begin to see things differently based on the 4 year cycle and lots of patterns and similarities will emerge.

This made me see that 90% of the time, after the line, the next month is January and market usually drops 1st or 2nd week of every January. I call it the hedge week.

Also, on the 20th of June or 20th of July, same thing usually happens in most cases, so it's another hedge week.

I would've loved to explain what I discovered, but you guys don't like detailed posts, so I'll end it here.

Summary: There is nothing new in BTC — it's just repeating the same thing over and over with a little twist (manipulation), but most people don't pay attention to details.

As simple as ABC.

Nothing goes in a straight line.

BTC is the king and it's the reason this industry exists. Know that and you'll be happy. Whatever strategy you use, factor black swan into it to avoid being out of cash when everyone is rekt.

I did what I'm about to teach you with a bigger phone, but later realized these tiny and cheap Android phones with latest OS is the best for this.

Buy two of these tiny cheap phones, take one of them to a phone repair guys to open it and remove or desolder the SIM and communication line, especially hotspot/WiFi.

When it's done, your SIM slot won't work and your phone can't hotspot, use WiFi or any of such. Before this, install Trust wallet — it'll work and create wallets without internet.

This now means your tiny phone is a cold wallet and can never have access to the internet.


Typing...

I saw a trending story about a man who lost $3 million worth of XRP from a cold wallet he’d been saving with his wife since 2017. When I saw that, I said to myself — I need to share a few tips that can definitely help you protect yourself. They’re simple, but trust me — they’re highly effective.

Some outlets are saying he updated his software from a malicious pop-up and others are saying different things. Don't worry, my tip will help you overcome this.

Pay attention! Had I known is the last comment of a...

Typing...

I'm supposed to deliver a lecture on the 20th of October, but let me keep it till 4th or 10th of November to get extra data.

I hope you guys know on the the second week of November, from 10th to 15th, one of those days in that range, there will be a 5,7 or 12% dump and if we survive it, we're guaranteed of a parabolic pump in December, but if we don't, the cycle is over.

BTC is king.

Hadizometer:
I just pity those whom ILegend gave hope on Altseason with his meaningless posts

Rest! Even in my absence, you guys always want to mention my name whenever you want to show your frustration.

I always preached alts going home and any alt you buy, sell whenever you see profit and wait till it goes home. I'm 98% more into BTC and sometimes ETH and Sol. The only alts I touched in a long time were Aster, Giggle and two others and I have left with profit and kept one of them.

Even when alts went home, I said it's not over yet, we have 5% more downside. Those who bought at the bottom when alt went home made profit.

My trading strategy uses the 4 year cycle, so I never panic during dumps because they hardly affect me.

Also, QT hasn't stopped and QE hasn't started. So, why are you accusing me wrongly just to feel better? Who never abuse or accuse me no dey ever dey happy.

Why always me? Maybe, I'm too imposing and authoritative — I won't change, anyway. Haha.

My dear, rest and find a way to master your strategy so that you'll be the one making 100% of your decisions without being influenced by what you read online. I'm at that stage and you should try to be too and don't blame iLẹ̄gendd for your predicaments.

Verbtips:
sir what's ur thought about this,do think btc will top at 154k

Around that range has been my first choice.

GRACEGLORY:
Do you still believe that the market cycle is four years long, iLegendd? BTC may be in a new cycle that differs from the traditional four-year cycle due to the recent flush. Bitcoin might be in a megacycle perhaps. The cycle is being prolonged, may be because of adoption. This cycle may lapse till December 2026.
I have no doubt, but a conviction that Bitcoin will decline by at least 30-35%. and may need to light up at least 64% BTC. D before that drop to 30%.

I know the 4 year cycle is coded into the Blockchain, but let me ask the oracle of our time for some input.

Pay attention to the part that said, "It can't be skipped or delayed."

Now, let's talk about USDT dominance, the most important or second most important chart.

Look at the white arrow. When we get to the purple line in No-DJ (Nov, Dec. or Jan) the cycle is over.

Trading BTC is actually easy and fun if you're organized and strategic, but YouTube gurus try to complicate it just to keep churning out videos to help with their YouTube monetisation.

Don't forget, we're almost inside the two parallel green channels, which serves as bear market zone. The moment we get fully inside, we're not going above or below it till December of 2026.

That channel is where the real money is made and by that time, all the degens have lost interest in crypto and some licking their wounds while the real gangsters make generational wealth shorting the market.

I'll post instructions on how to trade bear market using that green channel.

I hate to show this in my chart because it looks a bit clustered — and yes, that may seem unprofessional — but the truth is, it works. It has worked since 2010.

Now, my Ethereum and Solana predictions were spot-on, but Bitcoin? Not quite. In one of my posts, I believe around September, I mentioned that we were likely going to dump either to the top of June’s monthly candle or to the bottom of June. But after deeper research, I adjusted that range — from the top of June to the bottom of May.

If you check the chart, you’ll see it clearly:

Top of June marked with a white parallel channel,

Bottom of June with a green line,

Bottom of May with a yellow line.

Eventually, I invalidated the bottom of June and decided to go with the bottom of May as my final projection. Unfortunately, the crash I anticipated for September (a mirror of 2013) got delayed by about 7–10 days — and that move unfolded in October instead.

However, we couldn’t quite reach the bottom of June monthly candle. The level was around $99.5K, and we got as close as $101.5K — roughly a $2K difference.

So, I’ll take responsibility for that miss. I'm such a failure! My Solana and Ethereum calls worked perfectly, but Bitcoin only came 90-98% or I'd say it was a 50–50 prediction — and for that, I apologize for the inaccuracy.

Look at that yellow arrow pointing down, that's where we stopped.

Secret: If you want to make money, enter a reckless long position in Sol and ETH. The danger is over for the top coins. It's not going back to $140 or $3.4k lows until the cycle is over, then it can in bear market.

For the rest of altcoins that are not in top 50, there is still 5% drawdown left but it's not much anyway.

If you focus on top 5 or top 10 coins and make your money slowly, you'll be safe. Also, I'll repeat it until you get it — one week timeframe is the best because it exposes the trend of top 5 coins with ease. It helped me predict two buying prices for both ETH and SOL and they happened with extra leg down.

I'm not saying I know everything in life, but using 1 week TF gives you an advantage when trading top 5 coins. It helps you know where the strongest supports and resistances are. It makes you look like a genius even though it's simple and anyone can do it.

Why didn't I short since I knew alts haven't gone home?

I avoided alts, but bought Giggle at $20 and in less than 4 days, it pumped to almost $200 and I left. I bought Aster in less than $1 and it pumped to $2.6 or $2.4 and I left.

This shows that I was careful with alts because I knew we needed to go home also for the fact that QE hasn't started fully.

Now, how did my 2 BTC trades liquidate me?
Based on history, everyone knows there will be a dump in late September and if September refuses, first week of October will dump before parabola.

I even made posts about it here. After the 7th day of October, i.e. 1 week, I said, "Maybe, the minor drawdown in September is as low as we can get since 2013 type of dump I was hoping on has refused to happen — all thanks to BlackRock and institutional buyers." That was my thought.

Na now I know say even BlackRock no get level. If BTC wants to go to $15,000, it will despite institutional interest.

I'm the King of No Stoploss. One of my liquidations was at 114k and another was at 103k. This was when BTC was at 122k to 119k.

The one of 114k, I put a stoploss, but the one of 103k, I didn't. I trade with what I can lose and still be happy.

The one of 114k terminated itself, but the one of 103k liquidated me.

Lesson: No matter what, I'll use stoploss because of this experience. I'm so happy it happened. I'm no longer King of No Stoploss.

This cycle is full of memorable lessons and it's what everyone needs to reduce our pride and adjust our strategies for better. No one should take this even as a setback, but an opportunity to improve on our investment and financial management skills. The dump is a blessing to the wise.

Lesson and Tips for Future Traders:

(Don't read, it's too long for you — this content isn't for you).

1. No matter how small your leverage on an altcoin is, even if it's 1.5x, you can be liquidated in an altcoin black swan, being alt going home in sell year (we just witnessed it). This is not the first time, but people easily forget the same way they forgot MMM and still fell for CBEX.

2. If BTC doesn't crash half of its top price, it's not a black swan for BTC, but can be for alts as it is in this case. BTC's weekly top was 122k, but only crashed to 101k, hence it's not a black swan. If it had crashed to $61k or lower, then it's a black swan. With this knowledge, you can trade BTC as if it's an alt by making sure your liquation is at black swan price and also, set a buy order on spot at that price incase of black swan. If you lose your long, at least you'll get a great spot entry and you'll recover your loss almost immediately or in a few weeks time. Why should you do this ahead of time? Most exchanges won't allow you place an order during high volatility chaos.

3. No one is perfect, but at least knowing the history of the person (industry) you want to marry is important. Isn't it?

4. BTC crash as your number 1 metric to know when to enter alts. If BTC hasn't crashed -12% or more in a day, don't touch alt, but if you do, leave when you see tangible profit. Yes, I know when you leave is when it'll pump X20, it's a trap so don't be mad at yourself, you've done your best.

5. Your strategy should be planned with black swan in mind and know the months that are dangerous based on re-se-bu-bum and they are March, April, July, August, and Sept. October is not dangerous, but if September refuses to dump, then October will help. Note: October of Relax year has a different behaviour compared to October of Sell year or Buy more year. Same applies to other months. The more people know this trick, the more market makers will alter it. They knew October is considered Uptober, so they dumped a little in September, which everyone calls Rektember, to make us feel the dump is done and boom, they pulled the trigger in October.

6. Trading BTC on high leverage, where your liquation is at black swan level is safer than trading alts on 2x. I don't even need to explain — see it below. Though, there are time to trade alts at any leverage you want, but in overall safety scale, BTC high leverage is better than alts low leverage.

7. Master trading top 5 coins and accumulate your money slowly. If you must do anything below top 5, let it be spot only, but if it's futures, leave on time and only mess with money you're willing to lose. You can change your conviction, but have a reason 10x better than your previous.

8. Have multiple exchanges and split your money. Put your USDT in flexible to earn interest while waiting for a Red Vulture or worse, black swan day. IT MUST HAPPEN — it's a matter of time or worse, 2 years. Wait! What if USDT gets depegged? That's scary, so use USDC.

9. Try and get to a point where you no longer listen to anybody but yourself and maybe, 1 person you trust and love his/her approach.

10. Your entry is important, but your exit is even more important. Set your strategy in a way you'll always pray for the worst because you're more prepared for it than for the best. Also remember: no matter how disciplined and strategic you are, money is a SPIRIT and there's 80% chances of violating your rules even if you're James Bond. Plan as if you're going to lose everything when you go to sleep, then plan of how not to lose too much when the worst happens while asleep.

As I once said, the best entry and strategy is the one when you lose, you don't lose much or everything, but when you win, you win way too much with less emotional investment.

11. When you're desperate to get a woman, she won't find you attractive — you become repulsive in her eyes and that's exactly how it works with money. Nigerian influencers are so desperate to make money, but a guy called Vincent isn't, hence he gets opportunities to make way more money than all of them.

12. Have other sources of income and use crypto as backup and fun play. Also, when you make so much from crypto, take profit and invest offline in land, farming, housing, etc. Plan yourself in a way you can't lose everything and even if you do, you can easily bounce back in max, 1 year.

13. Learn to miss some pumps and watch from the sideline until the day you hear "suicide because he lost everything" then you get back in the market. And don't forget, learn and master how the 4 year cycle works.

This is the best cycle. Why?

It's full of pains, losses, wins, manipulation, rage, transferred aggression, suicide, quitters, doubters, patience, impatience, FOMO, delays, etc.

Also, it's the year to let everyone know that any coin outside top 5 is gambling and they're all sh!tcoins except BTC.

Next cycle, BTC will pump harder than this cycle because 90% will buy only BTC and top 5 coins. Also, it's a cycle that will make everyone take "alt going home" seriously.

The unserious and desperate ones are going to quit crypto, but the serious and smart will start learning more about it.

I repeat, this is the best cycle because it came with all important lessons and events and the newbies of this year will be the wisest in our next cycle.

I don't monitor FOMC meetings anymore (it's time-consuming), I monitor history and that's why I pointed out 2013 as my target and it repeated, but not on the expected month — a week later on the following month.

It's easy not to see my post. Click on my name and click on block. We no send you for here and we no go even notice you just as we've never noticed you. Na you go block, na you go still announce am just to be noticed. Can't you do it in silence?

So, this is the best cycle and I pray everyone took notes and documented it.

I even made a 1 hour 30 minutes documentation of what happened, the little mistake I made and how I'll handle it better next time.

What doesn't get documented doesn't get analyzed and improved.

General Apology to Everyone About Oct. 10th Crash

I was sent by the gods and the government to tell everyone that alts must go home before altseason will have a chance. Going home meant crashing at least 20-80%.

I preached it day and night and I was even abused for it, but I kept preaching. This was one of the reasons I stuck with BTC and sometimes ETH or Sol, which are part of my GLE-BOSS acronym.

I even told everyone that any alt they buy, when they see small profit, they should sell and run till alt goes home. I told them there are 10 things that must happen before they take alts seriously.

Maybe, they skipped my post since they're usually long. If it was a corn video of 3 hours with Mia Khalifa, they'll finish it. Am I to be blamed? Yes.

Why? Because I'm supposed to go to everybody's house and tell them this "Alt Going Home" info, but I didn't, so I'm really sorry for your losses and I sincerely apologize for not coming to your doorsteps to inform you.

Whatever loss you incurred in this crash, it's my fault and you have the legal right to abuse and attack me. And please, y'all should forgive me.

Don't forget, it'll still happen in 2029 and other sell years in the future.

opella:
Number 6 happening.....

Number 6 done or at least 95% done.

I said it's 10, but listed only 6. Anyway, 8 of them is done and dusted. If the remaining two don't happen, the altseason won't make sense.

Using the 1-week timeframe, I mentioned a certain yellow line that holds the weekly candle in NTM, No Trade Month, September, against the whi🤍te garment box).

Notably, it doesn't close below the yellow line. However, in 2013, it wicked down. So, I was hoping and waiting for this to happen at the end of September, just like in 2013.

Although it prolonged for a week, it ultimately occurred in October, a week later, resulting in a $19 billion liquidation.

Yes, I expected it in September, but the big guys held it back.

Nevertheless, it's not unprecedented. Similarly, we anticipated alts to "go home" – like Ethereum did months ago at $1,400 – and it finally did. This too is not new.

Whenever alts "go home," we typically see a 20-80% dump, and some might even plummet to zero before the real bull run occurs.

These patterns may be unfamiliar to newbies who refuse to listen to those who have dedicated years to studying market cycles and potential eventualities that might alter history and tradition.

While we're not perfect, we understand history. Even if it doesn't repeat exactly, it often rhymes.

The issue is that people in the financial market, particularly crypto, often operate on emotions rather than patience (money is a spirit). Market makers exploit this, using it against retail traders.

Your entry point matters about 90% of the time, with strategy, psychology, financial management, etc. make up the remainder.

Develop a strategy that protects you during times like these, as they'll likely reoccur in the future – it's part of the process.

Spiritualizt:
Got wipe out yesterday, it's crazy this is happening to me the second time first this year Feb 26 now again

The one that happened, did you diagnose the situation, take notes and write out what you should do better next time to avoid it or at least not get rekt? I know you didn't.

What doesn't get documented doesn't get analysed and always repeats.

Enjoy!

NJV:
Pls will it be safe to buy Doge now?

Since it's in top 20, yes, but some coins will still go down a little more or at least try to retest this low to an extent.

Crypto is simple.

There are 1-2 red vulture days every single year and it's always bloody and a minimum of -12 dump in a day with billions in liquidation. Prepare for at least 1 of them, if not two of them no matter how long they take.

Also, there are months they usually happen and has been consistent, so prepare for them.

Study the re-se-bu-bum guide because it analyzed everything in a lay man's language and it hasn't failed yet.

Note: Crypto is predictable, but all of us are liars, so we tend to say it's not predictable just to make newbies happy.

And oh, learn to buy mostly in No-DJ months and A or A+ setup only. For B and B+, that's like gambling, but sometimes pays.

And also don't forget, have a long-term plan (1-4 years) with BTC and top 10 coins and use mostly bigger timeframe when analyzing the market to get a better picture of the situation.

Lastly, BTC is a blessing to mankind, so don't allow an ordinary red vulture day change your mind.

Study history and behaviour of BTC and watch how it always rhymes even if the timing is not not exact.

The market rewards a deligent specialist.

Those who haven't read the red vulture story I posted in April, read it here and you'll learn something. https://www.nairaland.com/6318352/crypto-currency-investors-thread/4458#134995769

Worst time to ask you to read, but please do. Nothing is new in this game. I initially called this a black swan, but realized I calculate my black swan as 1 week top price divided by 2 and if it's halved, then it's black swan, else, it's red vulture. In 2020, in a week, we moved from 8k to 3.8k and that is halved, so it's black swan.

This one is from 126k to 101k, so it's nothing but a normal dump or red vulture (which must happen at least once per year). If it was down to 63k, then it's a black swan.

Always, and I repeat, always prepare for it. Have an account for red vulture event and another one for black swan. I know money is hard, but please, do this. Even if it's just $200 or even $50 you kept in each, waiting for this event, you won't regret it.

You can lend the money to your exchange to earn until this day happens — it might take months, but don't panic and spend it out of FOMO. Keep them for this purpose only. It'll shock you how you'll turn this small money to big money in times like these while others are crying.

Me I no pity anybody o because those who participated in this cycle will be the wisest and most strategic ever in this crypto space — they've learned from experience in a hard way and some of them have taken notes.

I hope they didn't forget the EndBadGovernance crash we had in July-August 2024 from 70k to 48k. Have accounts prepared for days like these. Simple.

I have been screaming alts must go home before the altseason will start. Guess what? It's home, but not 100%, just 95%.

Is that enough? Maybe, but just know that only top 20-50 has fully gone home. The rest will recover next week, then most will go lower than they did today before we finally see altseason. Sad reality!

Loaded my $Aster at $1 and ready for the moon.

The vow I made is a lifesaver. No matter the dump, I must have USDT that won't be touched — even if BTC dumps to $0.5.

Sadly, only few people will document this in their diary with videos as reminder in the future to how to strategize. I don't really see this dump as big a deal, but 13 billion liquidation in a day, damn! 😂 I have almost recouped what I lost.

A good entry is one of the secrets and always having multiple accounts and being ready for a red vulture day.

I'll document all the tears I'll see on YouTube tomorrow.

Hey guys, it's just money you lost, not your life.

Nothing is new in crypto, only being patient and strategic is new to everyone or most. I got liquidated in two of my trades, but got a great entry with some USDT left in case of more catastrophe.

Stay blessed, everyone. It's part of the game and men are always prepared for it. From 122,500 to 101500 dump. That's 21k dump. I caught everything on camera to help me analyse and add it to my repertoire.

Pray for the best, prepare for the worst. This is an opportunity for the prepared! Sadly, most people don't have USDT left to get in.

Black swan done and dusted.

I always tell people 1 week timeframe is the best — it makes you see everything clearly and set traps at lower Bollinger Band.