₦airaland Forum

Ogbujaja:
Why is Peter Obi giving you nightmares?

akingold2:
It is not only Peter Obi. All the opposition are not serious. The incident at Ogbomoso where babies were kidnapped is enough for the opposition to use to make APC lose if they were really serious. Something the opposition should keep hammering on it until the election they just kept quiet.

Kendollar696:
It's not like voting for obi will put food on his table...
Obi has his money...
If you like vote for APC again...
You will suffer..
No law, no order, insecurity, food scarcity, price hike, fuel hike ( increase trekking)
If you're carry your situation compare with dangote or obi children..
Na you go suffer las las..

If you don't have what it takes to leave this country, you better use your head..
Na people wey dey close to door fit do shakara..
You wey dey inside inside house, go feel the heat.

If the government get worse, Obi has what it takes to take all his families abroad while you, I mean you defending APC will chop grass...

Jeezuzpick:
What a way to prove that you didn't even read the post!
INEC just denied the information. They said it didn't come from them.
Are you expecting Obi to lose sleep over a mere fabrication from a political party?
All they are doing is simply preemptive rigging. We saw how they counted people during the sham they called "primaries" "1....2.....3.....10....17....100!

deebrain:
He obviously does not react to jokes .

The 12.9 million that was from 1, 2, 6, 1009, 24012, 109700, 2.5million, 3.6745million, 10.6million, 12.9million...

Haba.

He does not need to react. Even INEC is reacting. As a matter of fact, I will physically react to any maths teacher that will fail my children for wrong calculation from next month.

Omowale2023:
Sir, there's nothing obi can do, according to the laws, it's an internal matter and no matter the evidence, the court will strike it out as it lacks merit. Therefore if I have a thing that end Obi's career, I can't present it to the court because I am not a member of NDC and I didn't run for the presidential elections. It's well. So there's no need scrutinizing the process

FreeStuffsNG:
Before they start shouting rigging next year, they should remove the big log of iroko tree in their own eyes.

Since they already failed to convince their own card-carrying members to vote, they can not convince other Nigerians to vote for their flagbearers niyen.

They had just 1 job to do; give Nigerians credible opposition. They failed woefully at the job.

They are unserious elements.

The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) has disowned membership figures of political parties released by the National Chairman of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Nentawe Yilwatda, saying the data did not emanate from the commission.

The Chief Press Secretary to the INEC Chairman, Dayo Oketola, stated this on Tuesday while reacting to figures attributed to the APC chairman during an interview on ARISE News.

“Dear esteemed media colleagues, please note that this is certainly not from INEC. Thanks,” Oketola said in a message sent to journalists.

Yilwatda had claimed during the interview that the APC has 12.9 million verified registered members, while the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) has 2.4 million members, the African Democratic Congress (ADC) 1.6 million, Labour Party (LP) 1.3 million, and the National Democratic Coalition (NDC) 700,000 members.

Since Yilwatda made the claims during the interview, the figures have been widely circulated across social media platforms with many Nigerians attributing the data to INEC.

The APC national chairman said: “We have about 12.9 million registered voters that were submitted to INEC. Let me give you data. APC submitted 12.9 million registered voters. PDP submitted 2.4 million registered voters. The ADC submitted 1.6 million registered voters. Labour Party submitted 1.3 million registered voters. NDC submitted 700,000 registered members,” he said.

So these are the data. If you put all these political parties together, they don’t add up to APC’s registered members. All the political parties, this number I’ve counted, they’re not up to the number that APC registered.”

Yilwatda said the ruling party’s membership strength surpassed the combined figures of opposition political parties, insisting that the APC remained the most organised political platform in the country.

He claimed that the APC was the only political party whose membership database had been verified through the National Identity Management Commission (NIMC).

“But even the most important thing in our own case is that we have verified data. All our data of our members are verified by NIMC. We synchronise the data with NIMC,” he stated.

Yilwatda also defended the outcome of the APC presidential primary election, saying about 10.9 million members voted for President Bola Ahmed Tinubu during the exercise.

According to him, the turnout showed that only about two million registered APC members failed to participate in the primary election nationwide.

Tjra:
If you believe Pato is 36, you will definitely believe Papa Osekola is 64.

Ibehchizzy:
Your president is partying by the way
Ronu ooo

morikee:
With or without rigging can you win that primary?

femi4:
Our God is an awesome God

sonofthunder:
I expect significantly more voters in the 2027 general election as one major factor that affect millions of Nigerians from voting was the naira redesign by emefiele.

Henjor48:
I believe APC received more votes in 2026 due to fraudulent counting methods, with examples ranging from 1, 2, 50, 100, 1,000, 1,500, 8,000, 200,000, 500,000, and so on.

Videos circulating online appear to show similar methods, and there are claims these tactics may be used again in the 2027 presidential election scheduled for January 16, 2027.

Many Nigerian voters are concerned and say they will resist any attempt to undermine the election process. The public is calling for transparency and fairness, as trust in the system has been heavily strained.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.

phemray:
Court will tell u interloper. But honestly APC will provide the evidence in court because they have already submitted their digital registered m members of above 13Million to INEC. It will only be issue if the records in each state and ward di not tally. Remember INEC monitored the primary for a reason.

FSBoperator:
The judge will declare you a meddlesome interloper and the APC lawyers will demand the court impose a fine on you and your legal team for wasting the court's time and to recompense the APC of all legal fees in the frivolous case you filed against them.

The only people who can challenge the outcome of the primaries are registered APC members and the sole individual who contested against Tinubu in the primaries.

helinues:
Asking for transparency as who? Are you an Apc member ? What's your business with Apc affairs?

Gosh, you guys should stop this annoying attitude of pokenoising into something that shouldn't have concerned you

helinues:
The issue with you people is arguing blindly on something you don't have much details about.

The Apc primary , not only the regions votes was released but also how people voted in states.

Wondering why things you guys can't achieve must have been manipulated

https://www.nairaland.com/8678225/apc-2027-presidential-primary-tinubus

In March, Ajibola Basiru, the national secretary of the party, announced that the party had registered about 12 million members and linked them with the National Identity Number (NIN) as required by law.

President Bola Tinubu, on Saturday, polled 10,999,160 votes in the just-concluded 2026 All Progressives Congress (APC) presidential primary — comfortably surpassing the 8,794,726 votes he secured in the 2023 general election.

The difference of over 2.2 million votes is remarkable because the primary was a members-only exercise, while the 2023 general election was an open contest involving more than 93 million registered voters and strong opposition candidates.

This outcome has triggered fresh scrutiny of the APC’s internal membership strength, the quality of its register, and the party’s mobilisation capacity in barely months to the 2027 general election.


STATE-BY-STATE BREAKDOWN


Here is how Tinubu performed in the 2026 APC presidential primary compared to his 2023 presidential election votes.

State 2023 2026 difference remark
Pres. Primary
Difference Remark
Imo 66,406 582,960 +516,554 Massive surge
Adamawa 182,881 644,149 +461,268 Strong gain
Enugu 4,772 383,382 +378,610 Dramatic jump
Delta 90,183 407,646 +317,463 Major increase
Gombe 146,977 450,517 +303,540 Strong performance
Lagos 572,606 814,988 +242,382 Solid rebound
Akwa Ibom 160,620 389,197 +228,577 Significant gain
Kaduna 399,293 618,914 +219,621 Strong
Bayelsa 42,572 227,192 +184,620 Big jump
Ebonyi 42,402 207,579 +165,177 Major surge
Borno 252,282 414,988 +162,706 Strong
Abia 8,914 161,005 +152,091 Big jump
Nasarawa 172,922 285,436 +112,514 Good increase
Yobe 151,459 253,804 +102,345 Increase
Sokoto ~200,000 301,000 +101,000 Increase
Benue 310,468 374,787 +64,319 Moderate gain
Taraba 135,165 183,698 +48,533 Increase
Rivers 231,591 280,082 +48,491 Increase
Kwara 263,572 310,990 +47,418 Increase
Kebbi 248,088 292,972 +44,884 Increase
Anambra 5,111 43,034 +37,923 Increase
Zamfara 298,396 321,579 +23,183 Slight increase
Katsina 482,283 467,003 -15,280 Slight decline
Kano 517,341 500,852 -16,489 Slight decline
Cross River 130,520 113,911 -16,609 Decline
Ogun 341,554 322,485 -19,069 Decline
Edo 144,471 121,099 -23,372 Decline
Kogi 240,751 197,370 -43,381 Decline
FCT 90,902 36,103 -54,799 Decline
Plateau 307,195 241,720 -65,475 Decline
Ekiti 201,494 85,340 -116,154 Decline
Bauchi 316,698 156,541 -160,157 Significant drop
Ondo 369,924 181,996 -187,928 Decline
Niger 375,183 175,487 -199,696 Sharp decline
Osun 343,945 100,888 -243,057 Sharp drop
Oyo 449,884 142,754 -307,130 Biggest decline


KEY PATTERNS IN THE DATA

Strongest gains occurred in the south-east (Imo, Enugu, Ebonyi, Abia) and parts of the south-south (Delta, Bayelsa, Akwa Ibom) regions, where Tinubu performed poorly in 2023.

In Lagos, his political base, Tinubu showed a robust recovery — from 572,606 votes in 2023 (a loss to Peter Obi, 2023 presidential candidate of the Labour Party) to 814,988 in the recent primary.

North-east delivered mixed but generally positive results, with Adamawa, Atiku’s state, and Gombe posting huge gains. He suffered slight declines in core northern strongholds like Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, and Bauchi. Same in the core south-west (Oyo, Osun, Ondo, Ekiti).

WHAT DOES THE NUMBER SUGGEST?

Party officials describe the high turnout as evidence of successful membership registration drives and unwavering loyalty to Tinubu within the APC.

Aspirants and governors reportedly invested heavily in mobilisation, logistics, and incentives.

One plausible explanation could be that movement is restricted during general election and voters also fear violence or show apathy.

This, it can be argued, can lead to a lower voter turnout.

But this factor alone cannot explain the big gap in turnouts between primary and general elections. After all, many would argue, committed party members will always vote during the general election in spite of movement restriction.

In March, Ajibola Basiru, the national secretary of the party, announced that the party had registered about 12 million members and linked them with the National Identity Number (NIN) as required by law.

Critics, however, point to longstanding concerns about bloated party registers, limited independent scrutiny during primaries, and the potential for inflated figures in exercises with far less oversight from the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) when compared to general elections.


In Lagos, for instance, the jump from 572,606 in the 2023 general election to nearly 815,000 in the primary is particularly noteworthy and suggests that the APC still retains a highly mobilisable core in Tinubu’s home base even if broader voter sentiment proved more challenging in the general election

IMPLICATION FOR 2027

The data paints a picture of a party that has consolidated control of its internal machinery but still faces the harder task of translating that strength into a national electoral victory due to some unpopular decisions and reforms introduced by Tinubu in his first four years.

While the primary demonstrates Tinubu’s dominance within the APC, the gap between internal numbers and 2023 general election performance will likely intensify debates about register integrity and genuine grassroots support.

Ishilove:
It is only It Takes Two that made an impression on me. The other ones sounded like background noise to me 🤷

Ironfaceman

Ishilove:
Can we call him a one-hit wonder? After It Takes Two, none of his other songs ever had the same popularity.

Condolences to his family.

naptu2:
Heavy D died in 2011 (he acted in Bones and other TV series in the 2000s).

I remember when I heard the news, so I remember what killed him.

I remember that people had been warned that they should try to exercise if they were on long distance flights. The reason is that blood clots could develop if you sit down for too long.

If I remember correctly, he attended an event in Europe and a blood clot developed. It broke free and restricted blood flow causing a heart attack.

Heavy D collapsed and died outside his house not long after returning from a trip to Europe.

Ishilove:
Where is Heavy D, by the way? Haven't thought of him in years