₦airaland Forum

cutesmilez:
Let me lecture some Zombies on how politics works!

Atiku don't need to win Kano state. He only needs atlist 40% of Kano's votes. That's all. As you know, Kano gave pmb above 1.9million votes in 2015 while PDP got less Dan 250 thousand votes from the region. Now going by kwankwanso's movement in Kano. I can categorically tell you that the APC votes in Kano will just be a little above PDP's Kano votes, that's if APC wins Kano in the first place.

Now let's take a look at Rivers state. The state is predominantly a PDP state. Rivers gave PDP 1.4 million votes in 2015, close to 1.5 million. While APC only got 69 thousand + votes in Rivers.

My point? Apc's strongest state is Kano, while PDP's strongest state is Rivers. Going by recent appenings, PDP will sure get above 25% votes in APC's strongest state which is Kano and APC don't stand a chance in Rivers (PDP's strongest state).... Which is already a win win for PDP. Kano will not produce as much votes it produced for APC in 2015, but Rivers will sure produce more Dan wat it delivered for PDP in 2015, this makes it a win win for PDP.

I rest my case! Politics is all about numbers, and getting more votes from ur opposition's strongest place.

More lectures coming

What makes you think the Phantom votes from SE/SS region will be received on election day?

If anything, their Son is not on the ballot and abuse of incident form won’t be allowed so the margin won’t be as wide as you are anticipating.

Buhari’s maths/path to victory is obviously much smoother considering the regional bloc/spread votes he is expecting

intruxive:
They will then pay him his outstanding money and he wont need to declare all his forgotten assets again

Kolomental

Una too wicked!!!

yns4real:
Isn't it true? Removed 2009 but reinstated 2012, a year after Saraki left office.

He go don retire by that time now so he can’t technically be reinstated.

Na your comparative judgement just dey too mean but i’m perfectly aligned with your thought process

intruxive:

Let the CJ go to court to contest his removal and if he wins he gets reinstated, but for now he remains suspended

What you dug out shows that the judge was reinstated after saraki has long left office (sacked in 2009, recalled in 2012).
Same faith awaits onoghen ( if his hands are clean) he will be recalled in 2023

Wickedness dey your body walahi

yeyerolling:
Buhari is a saint jor

You obviously fell for the sensational headline. I publicly declare your education, if any as wasted!!!

eleojo23:
Mathematics was interesting until they decided that numbers were not enough and introduced letters.

And the worst thing is that one of the letters will always go missing and we will have to find it. Like find X

Why should I find it? Na me throway am?

You will also be finding x in the real world though. The act of finding equates to problem solving when you might have to debug or use deductive reasoning to arrive at the answer

GrabHisBalls:
Permutation and combination.
Matrix.
Probability.

Are all easy maths.

At what level though?

First order differential equations are also easy until it starts getting complex

Maths is definitely fun

Beremx:
good to know sir. So are we atikulating together?

Incompetent over Corruption all day everyday

UjSizzle:
Increased private sector investment is a good thing as long as the government is regulating. We need to limit the impact of capitalism in this country as much as we can.
What about coal? Or has this been abandoned to reduce our carbon footprint in a country that isn't even producing the enough power?


Looking forward to a more diversified economy.

I agree

Beremx:
good morning Sir. Been a while. How are you doing?

Hanging in there as always

Beremx:
Sai Buhari is history. I am now Atikulated

Okay

Like what da Bleep?
What exactly did she reveal or where is the direct quote from her?

Which mod added this to the homepage without going through the damn info?

Junks everywhere

TonyeBarcanista:
It was written when Atiku was in APC, but now that he's our candidate he has my full support

You have started again ehn...

Stand for something!!!!!!!

eleojo23:
I think PDP is the only party that has actually conducted a real and transparent presidential primary.

All the other parties are quoting millions of votes for their candidates and nobody knows where those votes came from.

There is a clear difference between being elected by party delegates and party members.

The fact that the election was conducted with much fracas doesn’t mean it was transparent. Delegates like party members are more of the same (forever available to the highest bidder)

Ozibe:
The same way the NE and MB combine vote is 17M plus.. Then add SE and SS 15M plus. Then add a divided SW of just 40% which is around 6M

17 + 15 + 6 = 38M roughly

Buharis only base is NW 18M and 40% SW

18 + 6 = 24M roughly



The SE and SS for atiku is nothing less than 90% if PDP takes SE for VP and also are able to convince and mobilize them to Vote.

MB and NE will stand for PDP 70 - 80% because of Fulani herdsmen and bokoharam. And again atiku is from the NE


So tell me,what are buharis's chances?

You are very naive Sir

Here are the factors that you ought to consider when doing your analysis:

1) Historical voter turnout ~65%-70%

2) PVC collection rate (NW region’s collection rate will always rank higher than the other regions)

3) All SW states have sitting APC Governors

4) South South won’t be able to inflate votes and the votes from Akwa Ibom, Delta & Rivers will probably be in 70:30 margin to PDP

5) SE votes WON’T be 95% skewed towards PDP. Atiku won’t outperform GEJ so it’s common sense to expect him to make slight inroad

Ozibe:
SOUTH EAST
Abia 1,481,191
Anambra 1,758,220
Enugu 1,301,185
Imo 1,611,715
Ebonyi 876,249
TOTAL 7,028,560
----------------------------------------
SOUTH WEST
Lagos 6,247,845
Ogun 1,869,326
Osun 1,293,967
Ondo 1,588,975
Ekiti 750,753
Oyo 2,577,490
TOTAL 14,298,356


SOUTHWEST minus Lagos

14,298,356 - 6,247,845 = 8,050, 511

Compared to the South east..7,028,560

The difference is 1,021,951. This tells you that the southwest voting strength is a myth. Lagos doesnt represent the southwest. In 2019, Lagos will be divided, while osun will vote Atiku because his wife is from Ilesha in osun state and then Ekiti, Ondo and Ogun will give atiku not less than 30-40%. With that Atiku is good to go from the south west.

In this game the igbos as a people is much more important than the southeast as a region. The Igbos are spread all over the country especially Lagos and kano. They will be doing their magic with other nigerian groups esp SS and MB in those places by voting in block to divide Lagos and kano vote to not less than 35%. Once that is done, Buhari is a gonna. All Atiku need is to pick his VP from the SE, in a bid to encourage them to vote. If not, IPOB will exploit it to discourage people from voting. We shouldn't forget the " No Referendum, No Election" mantra is still active. If Atiku hopes to will this, his VP must come from SE, unless people will boycott the election which will be to PDP's disadvantage. Igbo people no kuku send Nigerian politics before. We are living fine without government and Nigerian politics, so we lose nothing.

You do realise Buhari’s base/region has about 18M+ registered voters right?
Atiku will get his share of the votes but the margin won’t compensate for the possible support he will muster from the SE.

Some heavyweight politicians from the SS have also defected to Buhari’s side and that will surely translate to suppression of votes for PDP and reduction is margin

The 18M plus votes from the NW region is the main problem!!!!

Gbengaolowe32:
Ambode personality will WIN Lagos for him if he can detect to another Party. The future is bright .....it's time for another Titan in Lagos ...Ambode will WIN with wide merging if he can defects to other party and work with Obanikokoro underneath (The black Demon). I expect you to declare your intention to Run under another party a week to the end of your tenure in APC. Congratulations in Advance

Do you want him to detect or defect?

Ibime:
Oga, abeg make we chat on email or FB. I need some step by step coaching on the coding side of things. eg how many years do you quantify as Experienced cos everything na cost-benefit analysis. I currently work within private healthcare, and you can class me as mid-Band 8c currently. I know say you been dey with our regulatory body before in similar quantitative/coding role. If one is to follow the Data Science path and jump in as a greenhorn, where would one be starting from financially etc? What languages should one be learning etc to blend it all together? Bearing in mind I'm from a quantitative background before entering finance but with poor coding knowledge.

Yeah let’s touch base via FB
The coding shouldn’t be too difficult for you considering your maths background. Phyton and relational databases are pretty standard but your bargaining chip is your ability to find trends in data, structure and test data using different techniques (regression et al)
I’m sure it should be pretty standard for you.

Goodplace:
Please I intent to go to London to for a better life but currently I earn about 80k. Is it wiser to travel to London to hustle? Please advice.

Hell No!!!

brodalikeme:
I think so too. His credentials are more cridible that most of the other contestants. If he wins the PDP primaries, a collusion should then be formed with other smaller political parties to get an equally strong and acceptable Vice President.

Collusion or Coalition?

Ibime:
Contracting na the way to go on any field but perm wages is the best way to judge long-term prospects when committing to a new learning process. What guarantee is there that by the time one qualifies, contracting roles will still be abundant and at that day rate? Generally, statisticians have always been poorly paid but I think say the developer angle go improve things somewhat. There are many data analysts and Econometricians earning 20k-30k in London who will flood the developer field if a premium is added for them adding Python to their current skills, and they will drag that rate down oh. On BI angle, from what I heard, Cognos Developers seem to start at 80k which seems to hold more prospects.

Data science is where the money is @ and you don’t necessarily have to specialise in a field. However You do need to be technically sound in coding & quantitive analysis

I’ve ported to EY in their FDA team doing exactly that and permanent salary can be very competitive

Experienced Data Scientist earn >70 large

It helps if you’ve got a highly numerate background though

Immunity get shelf life!!!

KanwuliaExtra:
Omisore can’t be governor.
He was THIRD PLACE.
So what does he gain from PDP if Adeleke wins? NOTHING. No love lost there!
No trust between Adeleke and Omisore.
There can never be.
Or he can replace Adeleke as Senator. . . Best case scenario.

Supporting APC comes with many promises.
But! The way APC operates? His gains will be short-lived. He will be used and dumped.
APC is not and can NEVER be a productive alternative to PDP.

No win situation!

Madam d Madam
I hail oo

CROWNWEALTH019:
Wait till Thursday and stop masturbating

Una too get sharp tongue for this NL. That was some crazy/funny clapback

Dangerous times

Odingo1:
It is not possible to make a mistake on recording the number of vote casted, I am once an Inec officer, Party agents are there when result are written down, INEC don't have right to re-write what voting polling station have recorded.

The fact that you can type “I am once an INEC officer” is enough evidence to validate their clarification.

We really can’t stop churning them out half baked!!!

Racoon:
Goddamned it.So can the INEC chair, Returning officer and all their staff involved in this sham election be immediately arrested, prosecuted & jailed
They have continue to confirm the fears of the Nigerian electorate & disgracing the Nigerian nation.

I need to know if you commented based on the title of the thread or after having gone through the posted INEC's report

Take not stake

����

Wetin make we come do?

Much ado about nothing!!!!!
It's relatively easy to magnify a preferential 10 day period from Sai Baba's stewardship for like for like comparison

Besides, presidency is a team not an individual!!!