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KarlTom's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 3:59pm On Aug 17
smiley

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 2:18pm On Aug 17
I wish...
edwardaigb:
Them dey pay from lower to the biggest.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 12:55pm On Aug 17
Still expecting mine smiley

Streetinvestor2:
Some kind dividend go make u wan dey reasoning like yahoo boy.
You go dey reason like make u go buy one kind luxury wa been no dey your mind..lol
HBMNG una do well
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 9:30am On Aug 17
Diing smiley
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 11:05pm On Aug 16
15% intraday grin

Sunbellar:
Good evening NL
I joined this group from Facebook. They said they trade foreign stocks in US with good returns. They call very huge amounts of funds for investment with huge returns.
See the attached whatsapp group
Please how genuine are they:
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 11:01pm On Aug 16
IMO, the categorization/methodology was imbalanced. Titled towards price discovery while neglecting trade volumes and values (AdV)

Agbalowomeri:
Why
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 9:05pm On Aug 16
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 6:26pm On Aug 14
True.
I believe that the excess 3.7 subscription factor will play a fundamental role... wink
elengine:
You are right but note that Dan Ref IPO is a respecter of no fundamental. People dey sell anything sellable
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 5:34pm On Aug 14

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 5:20pm On Aug 14
The ₦485.88 billion raised will literally clear the borrowings while the remaining current liabilities can be cleared from the Q3 profit.

I doubt DS will drop below ₦60. IF it does, we'll be waiting... smiley
elengine:
We are waiting for all of you that bought Dan Diabetes RI to finish dumb it. I pity those that bought it for 75 naira just last week. We will join you at 55 naira next two weeks.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 4:19pm On Aug 14
ARADEL. ±
CONOIL. ±
ETERNA. ±
OandO. +1.15%
SEPLAT. ±
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 2:11pm On Aug 14
No information on it. However the QD is past.
thebargainhunte:
When is OANDO right issue coming up?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 12:26pm On Aug 14
smiley
yMcy56:
Lol.
Is it because I didn't mention name?

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 9:47am On Aug 14
If you're just knowing the first statement, then all I can say is Wow 😲

No one is badmouthing, we're only sharing opinions (which can be ignored)... smiley

yMcy56:
I think the best thing is to be keeping some things to oneself on this platform.

*One thing is that no one can dictate what I'll do or not do to me no matter how you try or badmouth any stock..
I've developed thick skin against such a long time ago.

Ok. If this makes everyone happy here, I'm selling AVA today so we can all wait for it at N1. 😊
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 9:30am On Aug 14
Ding smiley
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 9:23am On Aug 14
Click on 'analyse my portfolio'

Osasnice:
Please how can i view stocks in my portfolio from my cscs account?

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 11:58pm On Aug 13
Oh. Can't say though.
I got the extra units I applied for...

ayobama1:
What is the basis of allotment, was there oversubscription or undersubscription, is any money going to be returned or absorbed? Those are my questions
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 11:57pm On Aug 13
Yes
Streetinvestor2:
Have u seen your own in your cscs account
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 11:05pm On Aug 13
8,097,918,827 new ordinary shares
Issue price: ₦60.00/share
RI ratio: 2 new for every 3 existing shares
QD: 20 April 2026

OS post RI = 20.25bn ordinary shares

ayobama1:
What is the basis of allotment and when was it approved by SEC?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 11:01pm On Aug 13
Confirmed ✅
Crossblueart:
DangSugar RI alloted.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:57pm On Aug 13
There is really no ambiguity in the ownership of the 10bn+ units.

In July 2025, Oba Otudeko/Barbican Capital and Hassan Odukale/Leadway sold their entire holdings in FIRSTHOLDCO for ₦31/share in about 17 off-market transactions.

RC Investment was used as a bridge to prevent FOte$ from acquiring them immediately.
I personally believe that part of the deal was an agreement to lock those shares for 12months (similar to the terms of the PP of DANGREFINE).

So, I believe that the net proceeds (₦110 - (₦31 + interest)) will go to FIRSTHOLDCO...

In July 2026, an entity linked to Oba acquired about 14% of IKEJAHOTEL for ~ ₦13.22bn. The proceeds from their FIRSTHOLDCO stake was ~ ₦196bn (so there's a lot of cash awaiting deployment) wink

In November 2025, Leadway acquired PAL Pensions for an undisclosed fee.

essentialone:
On First Bank Public Offer:

That part _is_ confusing because of how it was structured:

*The ₦1.4 trillion is NOT going to Oba Otudeko and Co directly.*
It’s going to *First HoldCo Plc*, the parent company of First Bank.

*Here’s how it works:*

*1. Who’s selling the shares?*
The 10.4 billion shares being sold at ₦110 were previously held by *RC Investment Management Ltd*. That firm was used as a "bridge" to hold the shares after the *2025 ownership restructuring* involving Oba Otudeko and other shareholders.

*2. Where does the money go?*
When you buy shares in this *Public Offer*, your money goes to RC Investment Management Ltd. They are the ones divesting.
BUT — and this is the key part — RC Investment Management then passes that capital into *First HoldCo Plc* as part of the recapitalisation deal agreed with CBN. So First HoldCo gets the ₦1.4 trillion to meet capital requirements.

Think of it like this:
`You → Buy shares → RC Investment gets cash → RC injects cash into First HoldCo → First HoldCo uses it for CBN compliance + fintech + insurance expansion`

*3. What about Oba Otudeko?*
He was a major shareholder in First Bank/First HoldCo. The 2025 restructuring reduced his direct stake and moved those shares into the bridge firm RC Investment. This offer is how those shares leave that bridge structure and go back to the general public/market.
He doesn’t get to pocket the ₦1.4 trillion. The company does.

*Why do it this way?*
CBN wanted First HoldCo to raise fresh capital fast to meet the new thresholds. Using a bridge firm + public offer was the fastest way to clean up the shareholding structure AND raise ₦1.4 trillion at once without diluting existing shareholders through another rights issue.

*Bottom line:*
- *Beneficiary of the capital*: First HoldCo Plc / First Bank
- *Purpose*: Meet CBN capital rules + fund fintech/insurance expansion
- *Sellers*: RC Investment Management Ltd, not Oba Otudeko personally.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom:
My projection is anywhere between ₦5.25 to ₦6.20...
Streetinvestor2:
Did you buy this stock after it was listed on ngx.If yes at what price because it may go below #5 or stablize at #5 till results show.We know the listing price of #7.50 was inflated like other new listing is usually done on ngx
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 4:13pm On Aug 13
ARADEL. ±
CONOIL. ±
ETERNA. -1.37%
OandO. -1.70%
SEPLAT. ±
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 9:51am On Aug 13
Exactly!

This was what really messed up our ForEx...

Bizibi:
was the problem really pegging?? Or it was just clear mismanagement and impunity. Companies needed dollars but they were using it for silly things .
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 9:49am On Aug 13
SEPLAT Q2 DIV
Applicable Exchange Rate:
US$1 = ₦ 1,360.58

KarlTom:
Average Brent Price: $96.00 (Q2) cool
Average realized oil price: $102.59 (Q2)

Effective Tax Rate (ETR) is 71% (H1 '26) from 91% (H1 '25)

EPS is 21¢ (Q2 '26) up from 6¢ (Q1 '26)

Q2 DIV: 12¢ shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 9:30am On Aug 13
Diing smiley
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 5:35pm On Aug 12
Thank you smiley
unite4real:
The actual listing price was N7.50.
But for a listing by introduction, there are pioneer investors who have paid money to the brokers to buy on the floor on day one. That is why you see the shares crossing at the top price for the day at N8.25. when this is happening, buyers on queue would be wondering why they are seeing trades going on and then those on the queue are basically not seeing transactions clearing. At such a time, the brokers who have warehoused some of the shares that were meant for sale on day one will prioritize the insiders who form part of the conditional 300 shareholders pre listing.
The amount for the crossing go directly to the insiders who have released a portion of their shares prior to the listing as free floats.

My explanation may not be perfect but this is how it works because I have experience being a pioneer shareholder of a newly listed company on the NGX
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 5:07pm On Aug 12
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 4:42pm On Aug 12
My view is that for LbI, some units (1bn) are divested to brokers at listing price.

By saying nobody, are you implying that ALL those who sold on listing day were Directors?

And to remain in context, the OP (Toye) mentioned 8.25 as listing price which has been corrected
vacanci:
Nobody bought at N7.50.
on the day of listing all trades and crossings were done at N8.25.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 4:19pm On Aug 12
My name is not Peter... grin

Agbalowomeri:
Make jijo no hang you one day grin

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 4:14pm On Aug 12
How do you reply my post and claim to address NSEMPA? shocked

Anyway, one thing has proven true over the years: when the tide goes out, we’ll know who has been swimming naked... IRMC
yMcy56:
1st of, when I said "you", I wasn't referring to you in particular.....
"You" there refers to Nsempas or this thread..

2ndly, Alhaji can't just wake up from nowhere and fix prices......
Many factors comes to play here, which includes demand and supply, cost of production, etc....
and, like it or not, some financial experts are involved at each stages.....
* Don't forget that international valuers who can easily tell if it's inflated or not are there and also calculating along.....

** Let me remind someone here when NGXGROUP came onboard......
I said I saw something in the financials that points to "Oxygen" as @Currentprice used to call it.......
Currentprice also mentioned that his numbers placed fair value @28.....
** In short, overtime and over years, this has proven to be true eventually.......
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 4:14pm On Aug 12
ARADEL. ±
CONOIL. ±
ETERNA. +1.39%
OandO. +0.28%
SEPLAT. ±

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