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Politics / Re: AGN Hails Tinubu As Zack Orji Travels For Post-surgery Evaluation by Laurene: 3:48pm On Mar 31 |
IamGreen1:He has a point. He should be president for all and not his supporters only. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 3:43pm On Mar 31 |
basilico:I always thought Michigan was shady especially John James' senate election. I really hope Trump campaign would have a strategic ground game to battle these shenanigans because Dems would keep finding votes from Detroit until they're satisfied. They should sue to limit VBM... Any undated ballot, ballots not submitted before poll closing should not be counted. Or He wins by up to 50 thousand or more... So insurmountable. 1 Like |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 12:24pm On Mar 31 |
Ben Carson would be good for Veep! No to Tim Scott or Rubio. I think he chooses a someone out of the box probably a woman. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: Easter Sunday Declared Transgender Day In The U.S By President Biden (Photos) by Laurene: 12:42am On Mar 31 |
God1000:Hypocrite like you. Condemn Biden, no. This is literally what Democrats support. I wonder how you can be a devout Christian and support Democrat. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 2:02am On Mar 28 |
raumdeuter:Yeah... I mean his kinda boomer voters makes up Kennedy's base. RIP to him. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 2:00am On Mar 28 |
raumdeuter:Nicole Shanahan definitely helps Trump... She's a progressive. The ticket would be considered too liberal for right wingers and palatable for leftists. Aaron on the ticket with RFK jnr would have been considered too right winged... Remember Rodgers was attacked as a conspiracy theorist (due to the Sandy Hook saga) when he rumored to be the running mate. Kennedy-Shanahan ticket is exactly what Trump needs. Liberals that don't like Biden would vote the ticket. Remember Gary Johnson got about 2 to 3 percent in swing states enough to change the outcome. Johnson was even a former republican governor of New Mexico. Shanahan has money and would convince a chunk of young liberals to vote for the ticket while Kennedy convinces a chunk of Boomer Dems to vote for them too. Tester is much more stronger than Brown and also has higher approval ratings. Montana is a very small and rural state and less polarized too compared to Ohio. IMO, both candidates lose this year for sure. Arizona is gonna be a long shot for Kari Lake but we'll see what happens. If Trump wins by 2 or 3 points and over 50 percent then she wins by 1 point. Gallego ain't no Sinema or Mark Kelly and he's even worse than Hobbs. He's a progressive... He'll have a far left voting record. Truth is Mccormick wouldn't have won too...Oz lost by 5 but He'd lose by 3 or 4. No one would have overcame that amount of mail-in votes. He would have lost to Fetterman and will still lose to Casey. Hogan would lose by 10 to 15 instead of the usual 30. And that's worth funding by the GOP? So you'd rather the GOPe fund Mccormick, Hogan and Hovde instead of Lake that lost by less than 1 point or Bernie Moreno that stands a greater chance of winning? Trump lost PA by 1 point and you think he win it now? I think you're just regurgitating establishment talking points of blaming Trump for 2022 losses. You're also thinking that's gonna reflect 2024. Those candidates lost on their own accord and abortion too, not Trump. He only endorsed a candidate just others do. I've explained Trump could win cos of Biden's unpopularity and strong 3rd party candidates. RFK jnr would get 6 to 9 percent nationally... 5 to 6 percent in Michigan, 4 percent in Arizona 3 percent in PA 4 in Wisconsin 5 on Georgia 9 to 12 percent in New Hampshire 7 in Maine 6 in Utah 6 in Minnesota >Bookmark this and come later. Kennedy would get the highest number of votes since Ross Perot. We still have stein and West... Biden is fighting for his life. You can take it to the bank. Trump endorsed Glenn Youngkin and he also won but no one gave him such credit (not saying he wholly won because of Trump) but he wasn't a never Trumper and he united Trump factions and others but promising to pass laws and audit voting machines to curtail fraud. Roe v Wade made Republicans underperform 2022 and not Trump. EOD! |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 8:02pm On Mar 27 |
ijebosb:Check Kennedy's previous posts and positions, he's a full blown liberal... He's only kinda moderating cos of election. He's running as an independent today because of how DNC treated him... If his candidacy jeopardizes Biden... Then it's a big L to DNC. I'll watch who Trump is picking for Veep before I make my decision. I'll support a Trump/Gabbard, Trump/Stefanik or Trump Noem ticket. I don't mind Ben Carson or Tim Scott as VP. But I want a woman as VP not because of DEI or sentiments but I just like the aforementioned peeps. 2 Likes |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 7:45pm On Mar 27 |
raumdeuter:Some never Trumpers would vote for Biden while most would vote for RFK jnr. Lisa Murkowski and Susan Collins has signalled they wouldn't vote for Biden inasmuch they won't vote for Trump. Democrats like Joe Lieberman would definitely vote RFK jnr. Never Trumpers have never voted for Trump but they sour on Biden now and they're the part of the coalition that brought Biden to power but they'll be splitting their votes this year. Shanahan is a progressive so I think he chose her to balance his ticket... The Dems has already been calling him right winger because of his covid stance but he's still socially liberal and supports green new deal. And yes Shanahan would help fund his campaign and help him garner signatures to be on ballots. Trump has strong coattails. I don't see how Trump carries state like Ohio, Montana and maybe Wisconsin and Michigan then the Democrat candidates gets elected... Remember those are not even Susan Collins type in bipartisanship or even Manchin. Polarization is also far greater now than in 2016. I'm predicting: 1. Trump wins Ohio and carries Moreno (we can see it from the primary result). Moreno won every county... Besides Sherrod Brown is a far left liberal dem in a state that is moving rapidly to the right. He voted 97 percent of the time with Biden and Schumer. He ain't no bipartisan moderate. 2. Trump wins Montana by 19 to 20 points then Sheehy wins by 2.5 to 3 points. Montana is less polarized than Ohio because of how rural it is... No big cities like other highly populated states. And Tester has this rural, working class and farmer demeanour that appeals to the small populated State but this time around he'll be defeated. He'll share a ticket with Trump whom he voted to convict twice and he has voted 93 percent of the time with Biden. He won't deceive Montanans that he's a moderate because his opponent would be well funded too to run ads against him. He has high approval ratings for now (it'll go down before election day) but it won't translate to much votes for him... Ask Steve Bullock. Brown and Tester has never actually being elected on a red year now they'll even be sharing a ticket with Trump... How do you convince significant over Trump voters to vote for Trump then vote for you?? 3. I believe if Trump wins Michigan, Mike Rogers would win too. It's an open seat. 4. Pennsylvania and Wisconsin has incumbents defending their seats. Bob Casey is squaring off against a well-funded Candidate in Mccormick and not some Oz moment ... He's in a fight for his political life. He won by 8 points back in blue year 2018... I think he wins by 2 or 3 this time. Trump can win by 1 point if Casey wins a very close election. Wisconsin has the same scenario as Pennsylvania but I think Baldwin has higher chance of losing to Casey's. The Caseys' is a traditional family name in PA just like Beshear in Kentucky but difference is Beshear would definitely lose a federal race in Kentucky... He's father was a popular pro life governor that fought against abortion (remember planned parenthood v Casey) but Bob has flipped his positions on abortion over the years... Now he's a reliable rubber-stamp progressive. He isn't even bipartisan. House races would be a bit unpredictable but statewide is different ballgame....Different coalition of voters to offset district races. 2 Likes |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 6:58pm On Mar 27 |
LordAdam16:Trump was being trounced in the polls all through the 2020 election cycle by Biden but I agree he had higher chances of reelection until covid struck. I'm quite confident Trump is in a better position even better than 2016 especially when faced with Biden... In 2016 pundits and commentators predicted Trump didn't stand a single chance against Clinton but in this election cycle the case is totally different. Let's not act like Biden is Clinton or even Obama... He has lots of things going against him too but we'll see how it goes as we approach Labor and enter the falls. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 1:54pm On Mar 27 |
raumdeuter:Any conservative that votes for Kennedy at this point is either demented or simply a Trump-hater. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 1:50pm On Mar 27 |
raumdeuter:I'm lol-ing here. I told IjeBos that Kennedy is a raging liberal and would definitely be taking votes away mostly from Biden and not Trump. Watch Dems try to block or circumvent his ability to get on ballots especially in swing states. They've already started to sound the alarm about his candidacy... I've read something like that from a columnist on The Hill. I don't see how Biden wins this election...especially with these third "partiers". Biden's coalition is very very fragile so he can't afford to lose any of those that brought him to power. RFK jnr obviously voted for Biden in 2020 but now such demographics that soured on Trump but voted Biden would go to Kennedy. Democrats are ironically communists now... They'll come with lawfare and baseless accusations to try to weaken or take him off completely. Trump is predicting they'll bring environmental charges against him probably Ecoterrorism. I continue to say Democrats are not defenders and upholders of democracy... Don't be deceived. They're getting desperate. This election season would be scandal-plagued and probably the most controversial since 2000.. Brace up for a very long ride! 2 Likes |
Foreign Affairs / Re: Trump Says Israel Made ‘very Big Mistake’ With Gaza Destruction by Laurene: 2:02pm On Mar 26 |
Sapasenator:You're calling someone that just increased his networth over 6 billion a buffoon? And you're living in Nigeria? 4 Likes 1 Share |
Autos / Re: 2008 Mercedes-benz S-class,550 by Laurene: 5:49am On Mar 19 |
GAZZUZZ:So being rich is buying a 2008 mercedes s class for 12 million? What happened to 2023/24? 3 Likes |
Politics / Re: Nairalander Caught Hacking Another User's IP Address by Laurene: 7:48pm On Mar 17 |
Obrigardo:Are you jobless? Go and look for job 1 Like |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 4:03pm On Mar 14 |
raumdeuter:Newsome is seen as a California liberal not even in the like of Jerry Brown... He's progressively in line with Warren and AOC but he'd run for the presidency some time in the future. Andy Beshear or John Bel Edwards would fit a national profile but they can't win a national primary in today's democratic party. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 3:42pm On Mar 14 |
raumdeuter:That dude makes it seem as though only Republican Party is dysfunctional. There are Manchin and Sinema aren't running for reelection partly because the Dems forced them out. They basically voted 90 percent with Joe Biden but it wasn't enough. After Joe Biden the Dems would start nominating AOC, Warren and Rashida to top positions. Kamala is a creep and would be farther to the left of Biden. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 3:37pm On Mar 14 |
IjeBos:Some are talking about a 15 weeks abortion ban which is moderate. Ironically, nobody has abused the justice system more than the democrats... We've seen it countlessly. There are hardliners in both parties. So don't make it seem like the Republicans only have the crazies. Ronna McDaniel was Mitt Romney's niece so did he elevate her to same position too? Does it matter as long as they deliver? You guys would find fault in anything. Resignations are from Uniparty Bush Rinos that are dying off and are afraid they won't be recognized again. Republicans only had 2 resignations.. Bill Johnson and Ken Buck. You guys are entering this election with so much confidence of which may backfire... You're reading so much meaning to 2022. November would be a true and final test of voter's stance on Trump and Biden. Dems are election deniers too. I hope you'd blame Biden and not Americans if he loses? You're trying to make it seem like Trump's a walkover. Those Trump endorsed candidates that lost are not Trump and I'm confident Trump stands a chance against Biden. Your peeps really hoped Trump would be convicted this year so you guys can have talking points. We'll see how it ends! 3 Likes |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 2:37pm On Mar 14 |
IjeBos:I'm against extreme abortion measures but I think there should be limitations. I only referenced Youngkin because you're trying to make it seem why the red wave didn't happen was because of Trump. I still believe the red wave failed to materialize because of Roe V Wade... Some candidates running in swing states were hard-core prolife anti abortionists. Abortion moderate district and statewide Candidates won. Lots of Republicans has moderated in this cycle. They won't be seen as nutjobs again. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 2:28pm On Mar 14 |
raumdeuter:I think black women are actually every republican's lowest appealing demographic... It's not just a Trump thing. We keep seeing the result with other candidates since Reagan 80'. A quarter of young black men are more likely to vote republican than their women. Young black women also tend to be more liberal and uncouth than their male. Conservative black women like Candace Owens, Kimberly Klacik, Winsome Sears, Diamond and Silk and Loretta King would vote for Trump. There are more conservative black men than conservative black women. I can't really name a popular conservative black man that won't vote for Trump. If Tim Scott that's establishmentarian would vote for Trump over Haley that appointed him to the senate then it proves Trump's strength. Trump is on track to get the highest number of black vote for a republican presidential candidate since Dwight Eisenhower. Which county is that? Regarding the issue, I don't think Trump do meddle in local elections that much. He only tried after the 2020 election brouhaha to change the trajectory of state politics in order to avert what happened prior... Of course he didn't succeed in all. For instance, this cycle he has only endorsed few loyal state legislators that aren't being facing serious challenges. He only endorsed David Covey in Texas 34 against the speaker Dade Phelan because he impeached Ken Paxton even though it failed in the senate. Ken Paxton faces same lawfare that Trump is facing... If the people of Texas didn't like Paxton they'd have voted him out. So the notion that Trump endorses in local elections to assert control is farfetched... That's liberal talking points. He mostly endorses those that seek it. Bush endorsed and campaigned for loyal candidates too... So no wrong in that. I can never support Neocons again, they're out of touch with the current republican party. Bush and Cheney left office with abysmal approval ratings. He can't even influence his district race in Texas right now. The Republican Party has been undergoing changes since 2016 with the rise of the tea party, Trump only tapped into the disaffection. That's why George. P. Bush lost his primary for Attorney General and Liz Cheney was soundly defeated. Romney is retiring too... More would follow suit if Trump wins. Likewise can be said of the Dems... Once Biden is out they'll start nominating far leftists like AOC and Jamal Bowman. Alot has changed in American politics since the last 20 years... If Trump leaves tomorrow or dies, the movement continues. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 12:23pm On Mar 14 |
benalvino3:Can I see any data that shows abortion is a top tier concern for voters? |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 8:41am On Mar 14 |
raumdeuter:The abortion issue is real but overblown...and yes Trump is moderate on abortion. Your analysis is spot on until you said you won't vote for him. If he fits your narrative, why can't you just close your eyes and vote for him? I also have personal reservation about him but I'd never vote for a warmongerer in Bush. I'd have voted for Bush in 2004 and Obama 2008 but I won't vote for either Bush or Romney if they ran now. I hate forever wars. Trump promises peace regardless of his flaws. I believe if he wins, Ukraine would be forced to make peace with Russia which is good for world stability. People don't know that Trump is one of the most moderate candidate in today's GOP... He's actually liberal on social issues but conservative on policies. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 8:30am On Mar 14 |
raumdeuter:I think they'll... Not necessarily a Ross Perot kinda performance but a strong performance too. Gary Johnson got 3 percent of the votes and Jill Stein got 1 percent but they got it higher in states that mattered and that offseted things. People are gonna vote third party in this cycle especially when both leading candidates are highly disliked. I believe RFK jnr's support would collapse a little due to polarisation but I think he'd get roughly 5 to 8 percent of the votes at the end. He may even make it to the debate and lay down his case more. He'll get the highest number of votes since Ross Perot 1996'... I place my money on 6 percent. It'll be enough to alter the final result. I estimate third partiers to get within 10 to 11 percent of the entire votes cast. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 8:19am On Mar 14 |
raumdeuter:Thanks... I'll try to post. Work schedule is tight. I've been on nairaland quite some years but I rarely comment. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 8:17am On Mar 14 |
IjeBos:I might have underrated the issue of the abortion but I believe it won't have much graven effect as people anticipate... Voters have short memory of issues and Trump is also the moderate of the republican bunch on abortion issues. I still believe Republicans underperformed in 2022 due to Roe v Wade that was overturned few months before people started casting their early ballots. It slowed the their momentum and drove moderate voters to the democrats column. Remember Youngkin won a Biden plus 10 state just a year after he won it in the presidential level... It was an impressive victory! They tried tying him to Trump but it didn't resonate among voters. Democrats were on the defense and confused on what to attack Republicans with until abortion gave them the lifeline. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 11:29pm On Mar 13 |
PDPGuy:Jesse Ventura the famous wrestler and reform party former governor is a popular native Minnesotan to the core and very liberal too. He won with a little known party when no one thought he'd... He's just like Joe lieberman and Lowell Weicker of Connecticut. Minnesota is a weird state that tends to cast protest votes next to Michigan... He'll easily peel into Biden's electorate breaking off around 10 percent if he runs with RFK jnr. It'll likely be this third best state outside New Hampshire and Maine. 2 Likes 1 Share |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 10:26pm On Mar 13 |
DaHighLife:Jesse Ventura is a native son and actually popular and well known... He'll balance RFK jnr's ticket. Besides Kennedy is a raging liberal , he only disagrees with the rest of the democrats on vaccines. You don't understand the coalition that made up Biden's win in 2020... They comprised of never Trumpers and moderate liberal leaning independents. Biden isn't gonna lose much support from the Dems (maybe roughly 2 percent votes to RFK jnr) but he (RFK jnr) can actually win over left leaning independents and moderates that voted for Biden in 2020... Now they're fed up with him and would never support Biden again. Third party candidates like Cornel West, Jill stein, RFK jnr and even no label party would actually take way votes mostly from Biden as they're either liberals or former Dems... No way to think they hurt Trump more. Which conservative or former republican is running to stop Trump? FYI, no one cares about abortion or democracy shit except from democrats... Those issues won't resonate with independents who still view Biden as too old and incompetent. Biden is actually old and senile... If you haven't seen videos of him being forgetful, dementia - ridden and cranky then I can see your bias. I've actually watched alot of Biden clips I still can't find one of him stuttering before now. Using Haley's voters as a metric can be misleading...Majority of her voters are Biden's 2020 voters comprising of same never Trumpers and democrats. Exit polls showed they approved of Biden and plan on voting for him again... They just voted to troll the primary. They wouldn't even vote for Haley in the general. Besides, majority of actual Republicans that voted for Haley would vote for Trump... Check Chris Sununu, Brian Kemp etc... They've endorsed him already. If you think non of the 30 percent Haley voters wouldn't vote for Trump then I have a mansion in the moon to sell to you... Only those that didn't vote for Trump either times would never vote for him lol... Even Haley would quietly cast her ballot for Trump . Trump only got 45 percent of republican votes in 2016 primaries and the media were growling on how he can never put the pieces back together. At last roughy 90 percent of repubs voted for him... Underestimate Trump at your own peril. He's not a walkover especially against this current Biden. Trump would give the little dissatisfied Republicans what they need (judges)... I bet he releases list of potential Supreme Court judges. Alito and Thomas would likely retire if Trump wins. Alot of people including myself might not like Trump's erratic behavior but I bet those Republicans understands what a Republican president would do regardless of whom. No Republican was expected to defeat Hillary Clinton in 2016... She was the strongest non-incumbent running, ever (you can look it up). Trump actually came and destroyed the map and her blue wall. He's messaging appealed to voters in the rust belt and that made him win. If you think a neocon/establishment republican would have won Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin against Hillary then you don't understand American politics well. Trump contributed to Hillary Clinton's unpopularity... She had her approval ratings in her 60s until she didn't. Polls has been showing that Trump would beat Biden in all battleground states even liberal pundits like Nate Silver, Nate Cohn, Nathaniel Ratkich attest to this... so I'm wondering where you're getting the data from. Which state(s) that Trump won in 2020 do you think Biden can win? 2 Likes |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 3:20pm On Mar 13 |
DaHighLife:I completely understand your sentiment but let's not act like Biden is a popular and formidable candidate... They already expressed it in the Minnesota primary. New Hampshire, Maine, Michigan, Arizona, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin would definitely give some chunk of votes to third party... You'll get to see that on November. Not predicting a general election winner though but I'm baffled if anyone thinks Biden got this. |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 3:15pm On Mar 13 |
DaHighLife:Do you even know who Jesse Ventura is? He's a popular native Minnesotan wrestler and popular liberal governor under little known Reform party. Both candidates are heavily disliked but Biden's coalition is very very fragile. He can't afford to lose any bit of it...Trump's is likely steady, check 2016 result when 2 unpopular candidates were top of their tickets. Biden is the less popular than Carter and viewed widely as too old, senile and incompetent. Nothing is certain but if Ventura becomes RFK jnr's running mate then the difference between the winner and loser will be less than 2 points. 1 Like |
Foreign Affairs / Re: American Politics Thread - 2024 Elections — Biden’s Presidency! by Laurene: 11:08am On Mar 13 |
PDPGuy:If he selects Ventura then Trump wins Minnesota 1 Like |
Politics / Re: Why Ukraine Is Loosing The War With Russia by Laurene: 5:43am On Mar 11 |
MrProlific95:USA wasn't founded on liberal principles. |
Politics / Re: Photos Of Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala And Her Husband, Ikemba (Then Vs Now) by Laurene: 9:15pm On Mar 09 |
maureensylvia:She's not. You can't endure things she did while with her man |
Politics / Re: Governor Fubara And Godswill Akpabio At Herbert Wigwe's Funeral by Laurene: 9:07pm On Mar 09 |
Entprys:And how would that better your life 1 Like |
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