₦airaland Forum

Who the hell wrote that? Nigeria have not qualified yet,

3 teams, but 1 team qualifies from the 5 team group, so it will be either Malawi or Tunisia.

The remaining 2 teams will come from the remaining 10 groups. I highly suspect it will be Guinea (I think Nigeria should beat Guinea at home) and Sudan or Ghana.

04/09/2011 (Sunday)

Swedish League Superettan
Assyriska - Angelholm 2:2
11' Umeh Izuchukwu (Assyriska) (1:0)

With due apology what will happen if nigeria lose thier final match against guinea by any margin.Any hopes of qualification?

You take the matches between the top three teams in the group. Right now at least 1 second placed team is guaranteed 7 points from those matches (in the Ghana / Sudan group) and several other teams have a guaranteed 6 points, while it would be very highly unlikely for no other team to not have 7 points or more.

If Ethiopia (most likely) is the no 3 team in the group than Nigeria would have 2 losses against Guinea, a draw and a win over Ethiopia = 4 points
RESULT: Eliminated

If Madagascar is the no 3 team than Nigeria has 2 losses against Guinea and 2 wins against Madagascar = 6 points
RESULT: Most likely eliminated.

A draw means Nigeria has 5 points in the first scenario and 7 points in the second less likely scenario.

Basically Nigeria can't afford not to win. Meanwhile Guinea can lose and still be almost guaranteed of being one of the best 2nd placed teams:
If Ethiopia is the no 3 team in the group than they have 9 points as a second placed team (no other 2nd placed team can have 9 points), while if Madagascar win they have 7 points. I'm sure they will be well aware of this, so they'll probably bunker their goal and given good news from Ethiopia they will probably not really worry if they lose or not.

I don't know about this 7 points thing, but the same most apply to all groups, have you factored this for second placed teams in groups A-J.

Exactly. I have factored in the other group and in the worst case scenario there will be at least 1 team with 7 points (ergo better than Cameroon), which comes from the Ghana/Sudan group, while several other second placed teams are gauranteed at least 6 points. It id also extremely unlikely for someone to qualify with less than 7 points, whilst qualifying with 5 is impossible.

The table I have says Tunisia has 11 pt, +6 GD to Malawi's 11 pt, +5 GD.

Head to head between Tunisia and Malawi counts before goal difference. So Malawi who have advantage on away goals rule are above Tunisia in the table.

Egypt are definitely out, but Cameroon still stand a very very slim chance of qualifying as one of the two best second placed teams to qualify.

No, they don't. To qualify as a second best team you need a minimum of 7 points from matches between the top three group teams. If Cameroon win against Congo they will have 5 points. Ergo NO CHANCE TO QUALIFY.

Group K's two top teams qualify automatically, so Tunisia stands a good chance of making it.

Yes. But Malawi is in the driving seat. Head to head encounters counts before goal difference. Malawi has an away goal advantage so its advantage Malawi.

And Guinea win! Nigeria must win at home or they are out!

Wow,  intriguing!
Cameroon and Egypt are officially out of the 2012 African Cup of Nations (they don't even have a mathematical chance!)

ANALYSIS GROUP BY GROUP:

GROUP A
Mali must win away to bottom of the group Liberia. Anything other than a win will most likely see them out.
Zimbabwe fly off to Cape Verde. Whoever wins this match has a chance to qualify (possibly as one of the 2 second placed teams), but they need to win by a big margin!

GROUP B
Pretty straight forward Nigeria vs Guinea matchup: Nigeria wins by any scoreline and they qualify. Anything other than a win means Nigeria is out.
Even if Guinea lose they are sure to qualify as one of the second placed teams (with 9 points).
If you do the math GUINEA HAS PRACTICALLY ALREADY QUALIFIED! PLEASE NOTE: This is under the presumption that Madagascar does not win over Ethiopia in Addis Abeba (in this case they have 7 points and a very good goal difference).

GROUP C
Winner takes all.
Zambia need a win or a draw at home to qualify. A loss means they are out.
Libya need to win. A draw gives them 8 points and a good chance to qualify as one of the second placed teams. A loss makes qualification highly unlikely as Libya has a poor head to head with 7 points.

GROUP D
All to play for,  Morocco in pole position but need to win. If Morocco mess up at home against Tanzania anyone can take it,  No chance for anyone from this group to qualify as one of the best second placed teams.

GROUP E
Senegal qualified, the rest of the teams are eliminated.

GROUP F
Burkina Faso qualified, the rest of the teams are eliminated. That said there is an open enquiry whether or not Burkina Faso fielded an ineligible player. If found guilty they forfeit 6 points to Namibia, who qualify through the back door.

GROUP G
Niger lead the group, but need to win away in Egypt to qualify as group winner. A loss eliminates them, while a draw gives them a small chance to qualify with 7points as a 2nd placed team, but with a poor goal difference.
South Africa and Sierra Leone have to fight for the win. Whoever wins either wins the group (if Niger fails to win) or has 7 points and have to count for a 2nd placed qualification (if Niger win the last game). A draw puts them at the mercy of Niger.

GROUP H
Cote d'Ivoire qualified, the rest of the teams are eliminated.

GROUP I
Sudan host Ghana in the all-determining match. Whoever wins progresses. The loser has 7 points (plus a very good goal difference) and has to count on progressing as the 2nd placed team. A draw means that Ghana wins the group, while Sudan is second with 8 points and is almost sure of qualifying.

GROUP J
One of the most complicated situations. Uganda host Kenya, while Angola visits the already eliminated Sierra Leone.
a) Uganda win they qualify. A draw or even a minimal one goal loss will be enough if Angola fail to win their last game. Any other result eliminates them.
b) Kenya MUST WIN by 2 goals to stand any chance of qualifying. Even then they must count on Angola NOT WINNING their last game (if Angola draw than Kenya wins the group with three teams on 10 points but with Kenya having the best goal difference). They still have an outside chance to qualify with 7 points as a second best loser. All in all their chances are very slim,
c) Angola MUST WIN their last game and hope Uganda does not win their game. They have no chance of qualifying as a second best team.

GROUP K
Botswana qualified. Basically Tunisia has to get a better result than Malawi (if Malawi loses Tunisia must draw, if Malawi draw Tunisia must win, if Malawi wins than Tunisia is screwed, )

P.S. There is a decent chance we won't have ANY NORTH AFRICAN TEAMS! Only Morocco look favourite to qualify,

31/08/2011 (Wednesday)

Italian Calcio League B
Juve Stabia - Hellas Verona 1:2
34' Jerry Uche Mbakogu (Juve Stabia) (1:1)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wB5Rj6ubAgU

French League Cup
Montpellier HSC - Amiens SC 2:2 (4:3 penalties)
68' John Utaka (Montpellier HSC) (1:2)
Nice to see him amongst the goals again,

UDPATED AFTER THE CLOSE OF THE SUMMER WINDOW:

POT 1:
ARSENAL FC (5): Gervinho (Cote d'Ivoire), Emmanuel Frimpong (Ghana), Daniel Boateng (Ghana), Marouane Chamakh (Morocco), Alex Song (Cameroon)
CHELSEA (4): Didier Drogba (Cote d'Ivoire), Salomon Kalou (Cote d'Ivoire), Mikel Obi (Nigeria), Michael Essien (Ghana)
INTER MILAN (2): Sulley Muntari (Ghana), Joel Obi (Nigeria)
FC PORTO (1): Djalma (Angola)
BARCELONA (1): Seydou Keita (Mali)
MANCHESTER UNITED (1): Mame Biram Diouf (Senegal)
REAL MADRID (0)
BAYERN MUNICH (0)

POT 2:
OLYMPIQUE MARSEILLE (7): Andre Ayew (Ghana), Jordan Ayew (Ghana), Nicolas N'koulou (Cameroon), Stephane Mbia (Cameroon), Djimi Traore (Mali), Soulermane Diawara (Senegal), Charles Kabore (Burkina Faso)
CSKA MOSCOW (3): Seydou Doumbia (Cote d'Ivoire), Sekou Oliseh (Liberia), Chidi Odiah (Nigeria)
OLYMPIQUE LYON (3): John Mensah (Ghana), Bakary Kone (Burkina Faso), Sidy Kone (Mali)
AC MILAN (3): Kevin Prince Boateng (Ghana), Taye Taiwo (Nigeria), Kingsley Boateng (Ghana)
VILLAREAL (1): Wakaso Mubarak (Ghana)
BENFICA (0)
SZACHTAR DONETSK (0)
VALENCIA FC (0)

POT 3:
LILLE (7): Moussa Sow (Senegal), Idrissa Gueye (Senegal), Omar Wade (Senegal), Pape Ndiaye Souare (Senegal), Barel Mouko (Kongo), Vincent Enyeama (Nigeria), Aurelien Chedjou (Cameroon)
AJAX AMSTERDAM (4): Eyong Enoh (Cameroon), Thulani Serero (South Africa), Mounir el Hamdaoui (Morocco), Ismail Aissati (Morocco)
FC BASEL (3): Jacques Zoua (Cameroon), Fwaye Tembo (Zambia), Yapo Gilles Yapi (Cote d'Ivoire)
MANCHESTER CITY (3): Kolo Toure (Cote d'Ivoire), Yaya Toure (Cote d'Ivoire), Abdul Razak (Cote d'Ivoire)
OLYMPIAKOS FC (3): Rafik Djebbour (Algeria), Djamel Abdoun (Algeria), Jean II Makoun (Cameroon)
ZENIT ST PETERSBURG (0)
BAYER LEVERKUSEN (0)
BATE BORISOVE (0)

POT 4:
KRC GENK (4): Anele Ngconca (South Africa), Kennedy Nwanganga (Nigeria), Dugary Ndabashinze (Burundi), Mohamed Sarr (Senegal)
BORUSSIA DORTMUND (1): Mohamed Zidan (Egypt)
FC OTELUL GALATI (1): John Ibeh (Nigeria)
DYNAMO ZAGREB (1): Mathias Chago (Cameroon)
TRABZAONSPOR (1): Didier Zokora (Cote d'Ivoire)
VICTORIA PLZEN (0)
NAPOLI (0)
APOEL NICOSIA (0)

DIVISION BY COUNTRY:
10 PLAYERS: GHANA, COTE D'IVOIRE
7 PLAYERS: NIGERIA, CAMEROON, SENEGAL
3 PLAYERS: MALI, MOROCCO
2 PLAYERS: BURKINA FASO, SOUTH AFRICA, AlGERIA
1 PLAYER: ANGOLA, LIBERIA, KONGO, ZAMBIA, BURUNDI, EGYPT

In total 59 players from 17 countries.

Ghana and Cote d'Ivoire the dominant forces consists of several fringe players. Cote d'Ivoire mostly have key players or at the worst rotation players. Similarly Cameroon. Senegal have a lot of fringe players.

11 clubs have no African players
DIVISION BY COUNTRY OF CLUB:
France: 17 (29%)
England: 13 (22%)
Italy: 5 (8%)
Holland: 4 (7%)
Belgium: 4 (7%)
Russia: 3 (5%)
Switzerland: 3 (5%)
Greece 3 (5%)
Spain: 2 (3%)
Portugal, Germany, Croatia, Turkey, Romania: 1

Basically over half of African players playing in the Champions league are in the French and English clubs.

corrected

29/08/2011 (Sunday)

African Confederation Cup 2011
Kaduna United - Asec Mimosas 2:1
30' Jude Aneke (Kaduna United) (1:0)
60' Siman Yusuf (Kaduna United) (2:0)
70' (pen.) Olanrewaju Kayode (Asec Mimosas) (2:1)

Russian Premier League
FC Spartak Moskva - CSKA Moskva 2:2
75' Emmanuel Emenike (FC Spartak Moskva) (2:2)
Emenike scores his first goal in Russia as a substitute.

Denmark Superliga
FC Midtjylland - Brondby IF 2:1
81' Sylverster Igboun (FC Midtjylland) (2:1)

Swedish League Division 1 North
Vasalund/Essinge - Dalkurd 3:4
39' Chidi Omeje (Dalkurd) (1:2)

Norway Division 1 League
Bryne - Sandnes Ulf 3:5
51' Mobi Okoli (Sandnes Ulf) (3:3)

Norway Division 1 League
Randaberg - Asker 2:4
9' Ezekiel Bala (Randaberg) (1:0)

27/08/2011 (Saturday)

African Confederation Cup 2011
Sunshine Stars (Nigeria) - Magrheb de Fes (Morocco) 1:1
90' Ajani Ibrahim (Sunshine Stars) (1:1)

Holland Eredivisie League
FC Twente - VVV-Venlo 4:1
26' Ahmed Musa (VVV-Venlo) (1:1)

Norway Tippeligaen
Valerenga - FK Haugesund 3:2
50' Fegor Ogude (Valerenga) (2:1)

Belgium Jupiler League
KSC Lokeren - Oud Heverlee 0:1
89' Derick Chuka Ogbu (Oud Heverlee) (0:1)

Italian Calcio League B 2011/2012
Ascoli - Torino 1:2
89' Nnamdi Oduamadi (Torino) (1:2)

English League Div. 1
Portsmouth - Cardiff City 1:1
89' Nkwankwo Kanu (Portsmouth) (1:1)
Whoever said life ends after 50 never knew Kanu.

German Bundesliga 2nd Div.
Karlsruher SC - FSV Frankfurt 0:4
77' Macauley Chrisantus (0:4)

Is Obinna Obiefule the same as former Super Eagles player Paul Obiefule?

No. But they are related. That's his younger brother.

26/08/2011 (Friday)

Malta Premier League
Hibernians FC Paola - Marsaxlokk 2:1
45' Obinna Obiefule (Marsaxlokk) (2:1)

Malta Premier League
Hamrun Spartans - Valletta FC 0:2
68' Alfred Effiong (Valetta FC) (0:2)

Alfred Effiong was the top goalscorer in the Malta league in 2010/2011. So far this season Obinna Obiefule has 4 goals and is topscorer, while Alfred Effiong has 3 goals and is the 2nd topscorer. Not an important league, but hey, always nice to know a Nigerian is doing well somewhere.

25/08/2011 (Thursday)

UEFA Europa League 2011/2012
Trnava (Slovakia) - Lokomotiv Moscow (Russia) 1:1
80' Victor Obinna Nsofor (Lokomotiv Moscow) (1:1)

UEFA Europa League 2011/2012
Club Brugge KV (Belgium) - FC Zestafoni (Georgia) 2:0
7' Joseph Akpala (Club Brugge) (1:0)
27' Joseph Akpala (Club Brugge) (2:0)
The return of Joseph Akpala? His fourth goal this season in as many games,

English League Cup
Scunthorpe United - Newcastle United 1:2
112' Shola Ameobi (Newcastle United) (1:2)

Updated list of African players below. Could of course change between now and next week:

POT 1:
ARSENAL FC (6): Gervinho (Cote d'Ivoire), Emmanuel Frimpong (Ghana), Daniel Boateng (Ghana), Marouane Chamakh (Morocco), Armand Traore (Mali), Alex Song (Cameroon)
CHELSEA (4): Didier Drogba (Cote d'Ivoire), Salomon Kalou (Cote d'Ivoire), Mikel Obi (Nigeria), Michael Essien (Ghana)
INTER MILAN (2): Sulley Muntari (Ghana), Joel Obi (Nigeria)
FC PORTO (2): Djalma (Angola), David Addy (Ghana)
BARCELONA (1): Seydou Keita (Mali)
MANCHESTER UNITED (1): Mame Biram Diouf (Senegal)
REAL MADRID (0)
BAYERN MUNICH (0)

POT 2:
OLYMPIQUE MARSEILLE (9): Andre Ayew (Ghana), Jordan Ayew (Ghana), Kevin Osei (Ghana), Nicolas N'koulou (Cameroon), Stephane Mbia (Cameroon), Djimi Traore (Mali), Soulermane Diawara (Senegal), Pape Daouda M'bow (Senegal), Charles Kabore (Burkina Faso)
CSKA MOSCOW (4): Seydou Doumbia (Cote d'Ivoire), Sekou Oliseh (Liberia), Chidi Odiah (Nigeria), Ousa Moussa Maazou (Niger)
OLYMPIQUE LYON (3): John Mensah (Ghana), Bakary Kone (Burkina Faso), Sidy Kone (Mali)
AC MILAN (2): Kevin Prince Boateng (Ghana), Taye Taiwo (Nigeria)
VILLAREAL (1): Wakaso Mubarak (Ghana)
BENFICA (0)
SZACHTAR DONETSK (0)
VALENCIA FC (0)

POT 3:
LILLE (7): Moussa Sow (Senegal), Idrissa Gueye (Senegal), Omar Wade (Senegal), Pape Ndiaye Souare (Senegal), Barel Mouko (Kongo), Vincent Enyeama (Nigeria), Aurelien Chedjou (Cameroon)
AJAX AMSTERDAM (4): Eyong Enoh (Cameroon), Thulani Serero (South Africa), Mounir el Hamdaoui (Morocco), Ismail Aissati (Morocco)
FC BASEL (3): Jacques Zoua (Cameroon), Fwaye Tembo (Zambia), Yapo Gilles Yapi (Cote d'Ivoire)
MANCHESTER CITY (3): Kolo Toure (Cote d'Ivoire), Yaya Toure (Cote d'Ivoire), Abdul Razak (Cote d'Ivoire)
OLYMPIAKOS FC (1): Rafik Djebbour (Algeria)
ZENIT ST PETERSBURG (0)
BAYER LEVERKUSEN (0)
BATE BORISOVE (0)

POT 4:
KRC GENK (3): Anele Ngconca (South Africa), Kennedy Nwanganga (Nigeria), Dugary Ndabashinze (Burundi)
BORUSSIA DORTMUND (1): Mohamed Zidan (Egypt)
FC OTELUL GALATI (1): John Ibeh (Nigeria)
DYNAMO ZAGREB (1): Mathias Chago (Cameroon)
TRABZAONSPOR (1): Didier Zokora (Cote d'Ivoire)
VICTORIA PLZEN (0)
NAPOLI (0)
APOEL NICOSIA (0)

DIVISION BY COUNTRY:
11 PLAYERS: GHANA
9 PLAYERS: COTE D'IVOIRE
7 PLAYERS: NIGERIA, CAMEROON, SENEGAL
4 PLAYERS: MALI
3 PLAYERS: MOROCCO
2 PLAYERS: BURKINA FASO, SOUTH AFRICA
1 PLAYER: ANGOLA, NIGER, LIBERIA, KONGO, ZAMBIA, ALGERIA, BURUNDI, EGYPT

In total 60 players from 17 countries.

Ghana and Cote d'Ivoire the dominant forces, but to be honest Ghana looks set to lose a couple of player due to selling of players (Muntari) or loans (David Addy) plus the total consists of several fringe players. Cote d'Ivoire mostly have key players or at the worst rotation players. Similarly Cameroon.

11 clubs have no African players
DIVISION BY COUNTRY OF CLUB:
France: 19 (32%)
England: 14 (23%)
Holland: 4 (7%)
Russia: 4 (7%)
Italy: 4 (7%)
Belgium: 3 (5%)
Switzerland: 3 (5%)
Spain: 2 (3%)
Portugal: 2 (3%)
Greece, Germany, Croatia, Turkey, Romania: 1

Basically over half of African players playing in the Champions league are in the French and English clubs.

24/08/2011 (Wednesday)

Polish Second Division
Flota Swinioujscie - Polkowice 3:0
50' Christian Nnamani (Flota Swinioujscie) (1:0)
64' Christian Nnamani (Flota Swinioujscie) (2:0)

English League Cup
Everton FC - Sheffield United FC 3:1
38' Victor Anichebe (Everton FC) (2:1)

23/08/2011 (Tuesday)

Scottish League Cup
Hibernian FC - Berwick 5:0
38' Akpo Sodje (Hibernian FC) (2:0)

22/08/2011 (Monday)

Finland Ykkonen League Div. 1
FC Popa - HIFK 1:2
61' Victor Solomon (FC Popa) (1:0)

Finland Veikkausliiga League
Jaro - FC Honka 2:2
80' MacPherlin Dudu Omagbemi (FC Honka) (2:2)

21/08/2011 (Sunday)

Portugal SuperLiga
Braga Sporting - Maritimo 2:0
47' Elderson Uwa Echiejile (Braga Sporting) (1:0)

Holland Eredivisie League
VVV-Venlo - Ajax Amsterdam 2:2
47' Ahmed Musa (VVV-Venlo) (1:0)
60' Ahmed Musa (VVV-Venlo) (2:0)

Norway Tippeligaen
Stabæk Fotball - Brann 1:1
3' Kim Ojo (Brann) (0:1

Finland Veikkausliiga League
IFK Mariehamn - Jyvaskylan JK 2:2
5' Babatunde Wusu (Jyvaskylan) (0:1)
38' Babatunde Wusu (Jyvaskylan) (2:2)

Malta Premier League
Valletta FC - Tarxien Rainbows F.C 4:2
15' Alfred Effiong (Valletta FC) (1:0)
41' Alfred Effiong (Valletta FC) (2:1)

Norway Division 1 League
Mjondalen - Randaberg 3:1
50' Ezekiel Bala (3:1)

Romania Divizia A
Astra Petrolul - FC Steaua Bucuresti 2:1
50' Kehinde Fatai (Astra Petrolul) (2:0)

20/08/2011 (Saturday)

Malta Premier League
Marsaxlokk - Mosta 5:2
23' Obinna Obiefule (Marsaxlokk) (1:0)
80' Obinna Obiefule (Marsaxlokk) (3:2)
90' Obinna Obiefule (Marsaxlokk) (5:2)

Poland Ekstraklasa League
Widzew Lodz - Polonia Warszawa 1:0
47' Princewill Okachi (1:0)
Scores on his debut. Have no idea where this guy came from,

English League Div. 2
Huddersfield Town - Colchester United 3:2
5' Kayode Odejayi (Colchester United) (0:2)

Romania Divizia A
Universitatea Cluj - Petrolul 3:2
90' Anthony Nwakaeme (Universitatea Cluj) (3:2)

19/07/2011 (Friday)

Swedish League Allsvenskan
Kalmar FF - IFK Norrkoping 5:0
90' Abiola Dauda (Kalmar FF) (5:0)

18/07/2011 (Thursday)

UEFA Europa League
FC Zestafoni (Georgia) - Club Brugge KV (Belgium) 3:3
27' Joseph Akpala (Club Brugge KV) (0:1)

UEFA Europa League
PFC Litex Lovech (Bulgaria) - FC Dinamo Kiev (Ukraine) 1:2
77' Ideye Brown (FC Dinamo Kiev) (1:2)
Ideye is scoring goals for fun,

Sor! The name put me off,

14/08/2011 (Sunday)

CAF Champions League
Enyimba International FC (Nigeria) - Raja Club Athletic (Morocco)
9' Uche Ndukwe (Enyimba) (1:0)
25' Johnson Gidozi (Enyimba) (2:0)
Important win. Enyimba look good for the semis.

African Confederation Cup 2011
ASEC Mimosas Abidjan (Ivory Coast) - Kaduna United (Nigeria) 2:1
66' Mohamed Abdul (Kaduna United) (1:1)

Italian Cup
Sassuolo - Juve Stabia 2:1
64' Jerry Uche Mbakogu (Juve Stabia) (1:1)

13/08/2011 (Saturday)

Swedish League Allsvenskan
Halmstad - Hacken 0:1
31' John Chibuike (Hacken) (0:1)

Swedish League Division 1 North
Vasby United - Dalkurd 2:1
45' Chidi Dauda Omeje (1:1)

Ukraine Vischaya League
Arsenal Kyiv - FC Dinamo Kiev 0:2
35' Aide Ideye Brown (FC Dinamo Kiev) (0:2)
They won despite playing 10 men since the 15th minute. Brown is slowly proving he is the most consistent Nigerian striker in Europe.

12/08/2011 (Friday)

Finland Veikkausliiga League
KuPS - MyPa 2:0
90' Olajide Williams (KuPS) (2:0)

9/08/2011 (Tuesday)

English League Cup
Wycombe Wanderers FC - Colchester United 3:3 (5:4)
27' Kayode Odejayi (Colchester United) (1:0)