₦airaland Forum

Yes, the northern governors and senators are with Atiku because they personally visited you and told u or they called u on phone

Tambuwal supported Atiku because he knows Wike doesn't stand the slightest chance of winning presidency, it had nothing to do with north vs south! What do u have to say about southerners that worked against Wike?

Ogakaycce:
I think is you that doesn't know anything about election and northerners.

You see all those APC governors and senators that tinubu dey use keep hope, most of them are secretly working for Atiku. That's north for you.
They're always united when it comes to there interest.
I hope you saw what tambuwal did to wike, wike fought Atiku in 2019 PDP primary and also insisted that the venue must be in PH because he want tambuwal to be PDP flag bearer.

How did he later pay wike pay wike back.

Me and you know that buhari never want tinubu to take over from him.

Kaduna governor has warned tinubu to throw in the towel.

My point is: until the south unit the north will continue dey dribble them like : Ameachi against GEJ, oshomole against onyegu, wike against secondus etc

In respective of there political parties

They will get votes, but it's too insignificant and inconsequential to change anything, that's why I didn't include them

pacesetting:
So in your flawed analysis, Obi and Kwankwaso will both pull 0%? That's why I advise people to smoke only what their brain can take. But them no dey hear.

Lol don't know that one.. is it a tribe or what?

BABANGBALI:
what of the one wey dey for sapele?

Is too close I can't predict.. Wamakko is very strong, his candidate lost with only 300 votes in 2019 against Tambuwal after it was inconclusive

However with the sentiment of Atiku as a northerner, and PDP being the ruling party.. Atiku 55%- Tinubu 45%

asanausana91:
presidential

What makes you think the north can't support someone else?

rolams:
You are really missing something here bro. There is no way the Northerners will abandon their own son for Another tribe the same way the South Westerners, South Easterners and South Southerners will queue behind theirs.

The region with the the highest population and followers in the North Central will carry the day.


Take note, there may not be serious rigging this time around.

Guy Eritrea na country ooo.. it was formally in Ethiopia

BABANGBALI:
I know that area now for sapele, their babes no too fine, dem be like Benin girls

2015 scenario and permutation are totally different, I'm sure u know this.. betrayal of zoning formula lead to Adamu Mauzu and others to do what he did, the slogan that time was presidency most go back to north no matter what!

Have u seen any infighting currently in APC like PDP in 2015?

Atiku is not the favorite in the north, he might be in Christian dominated areas! Wait for December it will be clear

Core northerners don't relate with Atiku! Those in rural/villages only follow what the elites(gov, senator, HOA, HOR etc) tell them to vote

Note* I'm not saying Atiku can't or won't win the north.. but Tinubu will give him a run for his money

Demigod22:
Comrade, you can still express your opinion without calling others fools. You are saying something about governors in APC, we are also in North, and one thing I know that the Northern politicians don't work with logic the way you think. Adamu Mauzu was a PDP national chairman but you saw what he did to Jonathan.

Even Buhari local government is dominated by PDP. I don't know who will win but if you are living in the North, you will know that for now, Atiku Abubakar is the favorite.

Gubernatorial or presidential?

asanausana91:
who will win in Sokoto?

Ifechukwu as an Ibo residing in Anambra state, ur the last person I could debate with!

All you do is to stay in Upper Iweka and go on social media, see rallies and conclude from wishful thinking.. that's how u said Atiku will defeat Buhari in 2019!

Kwankwasso is popular no doubt, but we northerners quite alright know he won't be going far, hence won't waste our votes on him

Bookmark this! Tinubu will go head to head with Atiku in the north!

There are thinks about politics u guys are yet to understand, it's beyond social media.. that's why u got it wrong in 2015, 2019 and 2023

David160:
Most northerners are with Atiku or Kwankwaso.

Only the ruling elite and Yoruba people support Tinubu.

Tell yourself the truth.

Tinubu will struggle to win the north as Buhari is not planning to lift a finger for anyone.

Without rigging and underage voting APC go struggle for North o

I'm a northerner, so you can't tell me how we think any better

Buhari is the only alpha omega the north ever had, his the only one with immense political clout! Atiku has never been popular in the north, just because his a northern l that doesn't mean we will vote for him

Check majority of core northerners on nairaland.. most are supporting Tinubu

Money ni money ki!! Abeg this line is stale and boring

Chinjo2:
You don't understand northern politics. The north voted for APC because of Buhari and not APC. Tinubu is not Buhari preferred candidate and they won't work for him. They are just interested in collecting his money. Can't you read the handwriting on the wall from the defections from APC to PDP in the north?

Sokoto State, am currently in Keffi, Nasarawa state working

asanausana91:
you a northerner from where?

Lol if you have any body in sokoto state, I'll direct him/her to my family house.. and I'm currently in Keffi Nasarawa state in case u want to verify

asanausana91:
with the way you speak emotionally I believe you are an ipob.
If you know the meaning of "NAMU NAMU NE" you will not be saying that trash.

Omo!! Your still a leaner.. it's like you have not heard of Eritrea

BABANGBALI:
1. Somalia��
2. Ethiopia��
3. Rwanda��
4. Kenya��
5. Tanzania��
6. South Africa��
7. Zimbabwe��
8. Morocco ��
9. Ghana��
10. Egypt ��

#Greatafrica

You can't say it's a myth , that's figment of your imagination! Out of 19 northern states, only Benue and Plateau a Christian dominated

Only Benue and Plateau are known not to vote and align with us.. Buhari got 70% votes from the north in 2019, this definitely looks monolithic to any sane human

nameo:
Nope...it just means that the supposed monolithic North is a myth, esp in this election.

People(whether collectively or individually) win vote who they want to vote.

Biafra civil war survival, I'm dissapointed not enough nyamuri were killed.. one aboki soldier raped ur mother and gave birth to u

iSense247:
Only senseless urchins will vote muslim-terrorist ticket.

Insider sources within RadioBia.fraud right

SadiqBabaSani:
Insider Sources reveal the ship is sinking

I'm a Tinubu supporter but this article is trash.. how did Ameachi transform Daura, the same Daura I often pass by!! Apart from unfinished transport university, what else is there?

There is nothing like fear the north! U guys project this image knowing Pandora don't stand a chance, hence, u try to tactically align with Atiku!!

I'm a northerner, there is nothing u can tell me on how northerners will vote

rolams:
Do you remember that an incumbent governor was defeated in Osun State? He get why.

Do you remember that a Gov. Bala Muhammed defeated an incumbent to become a governor in 2018? He get why.

Do you know that GEJ was an incumbent president before Buhari defeated him? He get why too.

I will continue to tell you to fear the North. The 2023 election may create a new phenomenon.

Ni dan sokoto ne fa

shortIGBOman:
Na lie. You are a hard core IGBO man from Aba.

Quit denying your identity.

Lol so those minorities, don't they have a tribe or is it because they are minority that automatically makes them one entity!!

Know the peculiarity before u speak pls..so because jukun, angas or berom etc will vote certain way, that means ebira, gbagyi, igala, nupe etc most follow them ba!!

nameo:
Yea, the NC is made up of northern minorities. But they are there and are in the millions.

Also, those places in the NE and NW ("southern" portions of those states), are populated mostly by minorites too. They are also in the millions.

And they will vote

Good Evening

Hausa/fulani and muslims are the majority in the north, so I have the right to generalise!!

All those regions you listed, they are the minority in that specific state

And there is nothing such as "south" you keep attaching to those state, the constitution and law only recognises states

nameo:
When you say: North, you mean the Northeast and Northwest, right?

Altho there are Kaduna south Gombe South, Kebbi South, parts of Taraba, Adamawa, even Borno in that NE and NW.

Abi??

Who told him to steal! Once you do something wrong, u don't get to choose what punishment to be served

Would he have beern stripped if he didn't steal?

omotolly22:
Must the strip him naked, nigerians and barbaric behaviours

Obviously what he did was wrong ,but what is the essence of stripping him naked, just because of ordinary wine

God bless you, I hope others see beyond ethnicity and religion and vote competency.. that's the only way Nigeria can move forward

I'm hausa/fulani but Atiku is a no no for me

Ekundayo7574:
Even with you both the PDP and the Noise maker labour room party no go win The power will surely remain the same, I'm a Christian and I'm voting for BAT let that stink inside your skull

Kwankwasso cant compete in the north, his supporters including me know he won't go far, hence, we won't waste our votes on him.. however he might win Kano and get significant votes in jigawa state

North is between Tinubu and Atiku

cybertruss:
This Mr Reno don start again. Is he telling us Kwakwoso will be sleeping while Atiku sweeps the north. I laugh ooo. Anyway, I am sure he can't win NC and SS.

Anyway all this prediction is not necessary. Let's wait for2023

Lol ur a blatant lier, that is not what he said!! Miss quoting him won't make Pandora president aha!

"i don't support Muslim-muslim ticket or whatever, ok you don't like it, but u support handing over one ethnic group to same ethhnic group"

His clearly referring to PDP/Atiku hypocrisy


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cEjcforCijk

OfficialAPCNig:
Can we say Wike is OBIdient from this speech:

"I don’t support Muslim-Muslim ticket and I will NOT support an ethnic group handing over to the same ethnic group." - Gov Nyesom Wike

___________________

Lol who is Atiku's dominant force in the north!! U fools will just wake up a type rubbish.. that's why u don't know anything about elections and keep getting it wrong each election circle

Most heavyweights from the north are in APC! Is there any force as strong as governor, senator, HOR, HOA etc in a state

You guys don't know shit about how the north work but ull open ur big gutter mouth because u have read some nonsense margins on social media

DaddyFabooluz:
From the way things are going, there is no doubt Peter Obi is loved by man and want him to win. But quite unfortunately for him, his party is a light weight in almost all parts of Nigeria and that is a very big disadvantage in the reality of today's politics in Nigeria.

Tinubu on the Apc side has a strong force around Nigeria but his chances are likely to be cut short because of his muslim muslim ticket. This means that votes will be shared between Tinubu, Peter Obi and Atiku in the South, East and West.

As for Atiku, his victory seems to smile because he has the most dominant forces in the North and that alone can clearly defeat the sharing of votes from the entire South, East and West.

Though the election will be very tight because Apc the ruling party will try to use all means in their disposal to rig and win the election, but PDP knows the game very well and will try to lock head with Apc anyhow they can. Unfortunately LP and Peter Obi can only rely on the huge followers called obidients that have his back but in reality, that will only help split the votes in the South, East and West while Atiku will crush all contestants in the North to claim his victory.

This is just my opinion from the way things are now and everyone is very free to have their own different options. So I come and go in PEACE.

Lol so who is Sarki in the north? I'm a northerner too

NaijaRoyalty:
I've always known that a day will come that the northerners will take Yoruba Muslims in the face and tell them they are "Fake Muslims" and that Bola Tinubu is not fit to be president .

Lol most of them are hungry and broke!! NDLEA has been all over their business

Now the new method is to use Pandora Him Tu Lie.. but Doyin Okupe has hijacked it too claiming his broke after being out of power for 7yrs now

Guy u ment!?!?!

Eriokanmi:
This must have been written out emotions. I'm here in Lagos and all I hear is Peter Obi. Forget what urchins are saying . February is the judgement day.
Obi will win the entire south east and south east. You dodged plateau and benue. Kaduna won't make a mistake of voting apc or pdp. It's Datti-Baba Ahmed's state. Taraba will declare for obi. Go to oyo and see makinde's body language. I see him defecting to Labour after declaring oyo for Obi. Obi will win abuja.

Pdp and apc can share the rest.

The only dynamics that changed is in SS/SE where PO and Wike will offset Atiku's votes!

But if ur thinking PO will make inroads or get any votes in the north, then u are highly delusional!

successmatters:
The dynamics has since changed, a lot of voters won't vote for structures again after the failures of PDP and APC. The people are already seeing those senators and governors as thieves. That's where Obi will win from.

Lol are you guys not insulting and attacking APC/Tinubu on social media!! You thought u could have monopoly of insults on social media

successmatters:
My brother, you cannot be more wrong than this.

The fact that you have worked in the past corrupt ridden elections doesn't give you any inkling of what is about to happen in 2023, Buharri has changed every parameters and those traditional block voters are now unsettled due to recent security reasons.

Peter Obi stands a much better chance than any other candidates in this election and that's why everyone is jittery. The coordinated attacks online and offline against Peter Obi indicates fear of a leading contestant, not because he did anything wrong.

I will return with my own regional analysis.