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Ogawisdom's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 3:40pm On Jun 26
I noticed something about the super wealthy investors which you should adopt,

1. They don't try to sell at the top or buy at the bottom. Eg our own billionaires here grin Oga Emma bought wapco 330 when he could have waited to buy lower today cool By the way I hope all is well with the billionaire Oga Emma, it's been a while here

2. They can sell at a lower price provided they have spotted another amazing opportunity to move funds to (fertile ground). Eg director that sold Dan cement at 850 only God knows where he moved the fund to and the expected returns

3. They are not bothered about volatility once their seed is planted in fertile ground because they are always playing the long term game.

4. They usually just have more wins than loses and with that they are good. Eg how many of you still remembers that Oga Tony bought UBA right at 50 and it's trading below 40 now that is massive 20% loss that should be in billions but seplat win has more than compensated for it and he has not sold remember so nothing lost in real terms.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 11:33am On Jun 26
Aradel ! Aradel! Aradel!!! grin grin grin Profit taking galore may hit 1000 before it stabilizes, the main crashing of Aradel will start after July 9. Taking profits now makes sense.

It's not easy to watch your profits evaporate daily especially with multiple opportunities in the market to move fund to.

Aradel has tried for a stock that moved from 500 to 2000 in a year, this is expected .

The market has priced in all the results released before they were released.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 6:25pm On Jun 24
Beeron:
Not majorly the reason.

Institutional investors don't chase IPOs like how retailers and HNIs do. That's like gambling with investors fund.

What is actually going on is simple; the real correction, now correction started last week with banking sector, it's just now spreading to other sectors.

Now why is it happening in stages?

That's because of social media stocks influencers. No doubt, retail participation has increased because of them but then again, these guys lacks technical analysis knowledge but knows all the fundamentals analysis of all companies in the NGX.

So what tends to happen is, when a stock fall a little these guys on Nairaland and Twitter will begin hyping the stock fundamentals ignoring technical analysis making innocent ignorant investors rush into it preventing the stock from correction but they again, they forget that if institutional buyers does not come to the market, the market will never move up.

Then eventually the sector will crash.

I see it playing out, I just sit back and just laugh because Twitter and Nairaland are contributing to the market sentiment.

This sentiment shouldn't be between us retail investors, it should be between us retail investors VS institutional investors.
I am talking about what could make an insider to sell his holding at a massive discount and you are talking about another thing entirely
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 3:25pm On Jun 24
deathwing:
Aha, i didn't bother to check but my mind was telling me the sale price was much lower than the market price. That's a crazy discount. Why would he sell that low?
The only positive reason i can guess is preparation to take position in Dangote refinery IPO in september.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 3:15pm On Jun 24
Valthegreat:
Investors be like 'if an insider is seeing the value as #850 why should I hold at #1,070'?
shocked shocked
exactly an insider selling at 850 is not normal cool, i know it will drag it down to that range
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 9:28pm On Jun 23
Why would he sell so low?

Something tells me he want to invest in Dangote refinery IPO

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 3:48pm On Jun 23
awesomeJ:
True they're protections, but the 100k rule affects liquidity. If the 10k rule were in place already, we might be buying ARADEL at 1200 this week.
The market is still evolving, needs stability and investors confidence more than crazy volatility. I know traders will disagree with me because they make more money with volatility but alot of people will be burnt and pull out. It will also be easier to manipulate the market. We need more participants in the market for it to boom.

i am not really confortable with that new 10k rule as an investor, i prefer 100k rule
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 3:32pm On Jun 23
SimpleGuy001:
It’s already down 10%. 1750 na imaginary figure cause you can’t sell at that price
on the positive side unless someone does 100k deal at once ARADEL wont go below 1575. 100K deal at once will need a HNI, Institutional Investor. cool

Except one is unwise it doesnt make sense to put 157m and trigger a 10% loss for yourself as you take position, its better to do multiples of 99k deals than 100k deal even one.

This is one thing i love about the 10% rule and 100k deal rule. i am hearing they want to change the 100k rule but they should not try that ooo these are protections from loses as the market evolves and frees it from manipulation.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 2:59pm On Jun 23
ARADEL is going down because there are too many better opportunities in the market that has favoured rebalancing out of ARADEL with most people sitting on over 150% unrealized profit.

It is always better to release your result when others are releasing theirs.

A fantastic result released in a bear market will not do much for the stock as alot of other better opportunities will exist in the market.

Institutional investors and HNI are already committing funds to ZENITH, GTCO and MTN. 6.2billion and 5.3 Billion spent on MTN and ZENITH AT THIS TIME
Properties › Re: See What Lagos State Building Agency Did To My House (Photos) by ogawisdom(m): 6:56pm On Jun 22
Pack your things off to a secured place to avoid losing the building and your household items. Hire a lawyer to see if you have any case or grounds for compensation.

They may not come on 26th but will definitely come for demolition.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 3:47pm On Jun 22
Aradel just dropped the Bomb grin grin grin

2000 let's go there

The news will hit the market properly tomorrow.

Crazy numbers cool

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 1:58pm On Jun 22
TIP not going down as expected this dip period shows that if their next result is still great it may fly above 40.

I expected to see TIP sub 25 but doesn't go below 27.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 1:54pm On Jun 22
missuzoma:
Is Aradel heading up or down? I don't know whether to buy now or wait for a few more days.
The Middle East situation taya person.
Once Q1 is released which is expected to be great it will cross and stay above 2000 but may go down in the meantime especially after 9th July if they waste time releasing Q1
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 12:15pm On Jun 20
Aradel declares a final dividend of N23/share, rounding off the total dividend to N33 for the financial year 2025.
Qualification Date: July 9th, 2026
Payment Date: July 31st, 2026.

Q1 will be great and it should get better from there.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 6:00pm On Jun 19
Zenith almost at my buy region I predicted 3 months ago sub 100.

when I said it at 134 most people here kept reminding me and laughing.

We should be there before Wednesday next week. grin patience is key .

Zenith sub 100 is almost here, the market is irrational, this is a stock that can pay 12 naira total dividend this financial year and they are giving it away like it's nothing. Great value.

Banking stock always have crazy supplies and can go down easily.

1st tranch sub 100
2nd tranch sub 90
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 3:06pm On Jun 18
Should I still wait for Zenith sub 100 grin or I should start taking small small cool

Heavy bleeding everywhere cool, Buyers will soon dry up giving way for full offer to happen lipsrsealed
Foreign Affairs › Re: Bianca Ojukwu Steps In As Calls Grow To Sanction South African Firms (VIDEO) by ogawisdom(m): 1:20pm On Jun 18
Ignorant people, MTN is a publicly quoted company on NGX owned by alot of Nigerians so being a south African company means nothing. If you touch MTN Nigerian, shareholders in Nigeria will suffer more, there should be other ways to handle this
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 12:05pm On Jun 18
Oasisblue:
Really surprised a result earmarked to be released/discussed tomorrow is not having any impact on the market dynamics currently. Is it possible to keep it so secret or the results arent good?
I am honestly surprised, but market sentiment is generally negative now and herd mentality is the other of the day on ngx because 80% of ngx investors simply do what others are doing. They buy if majority is buying and sell when majority is selling. Presently majority are selling and the smart investors are buying their annoited stocks now gradually.

Let TIP and Zenith go down more abeg cool
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 11:55am On Jun 18
MTN has done over 4Billion naira worth of deals today before 12 pm grin grin, no other company has done 1Billion as at now

Insiders are not left out

MTN is like the only company that 90% of Nigerians spend nothing less than 15k on monthly (data and airtime). I am posting this using data on my MTN line.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 9:48am On Jun 18
THE WAIT IS ALMOST OVER, DIVIDEND ON THE WAY!

Tomorrow, the Board of Directors of Aradel will be meeting to receive, consider, and approve the Company’s Audited Financial Statements for the year ended 31st December 2025, as well as its Unaudited Financial Statements & Accounts for the period ended 31st March 2026.

PATIENCE IS KEY, if the dividend is good we may be back to 2000 n above.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 7:41pm On Jun 17
megawealth01:
The only regret I have now is that I didn't load enough MTN at 168. E still dey pain me wella
This game is always about predicting the future based on the numbers of today and making money for being right.

That MTN sold today at 752 can easily be on 1200 by October/November when they will declare interim dividend and 1500 by March 2027 when they will declare final dividend other things being equal. cool

Imagine where it can be in 5 or 10 years time cheesy
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 5:02pm On Jun 17
About 8.2BILLION spent trading MTN in 4818 deals and 10.8m shares traded yet the SP was not changed, this signals STRATEGIC ACCUMULATION, DONT BE LEFT OUT OF THE COMPOUNDING MACHINE MTN. cool

This is not a financial advice do ur due diligence cool

MTN is by far where the money exchanged hands the most today on NGX at 8.2B, FOLLOWED BY ARADEL
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 12:17pm On Jun 17
Discount sales on going on NGx

Going! going!! going!!!

Go and buy your annoited stocks now as everything goes south cool dip getting dipper and may be over sooner than later cool
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 10:28am On Jun 16
This is crazy cool

For a trillonaire making multi billions becomes easier. It's all paper money on top crazy over valuation and can go south very fast too :-

Buffett's approach is for a more sustainable and predictable wealth long term

Family › Re: My Wife Earns Well But….. by ogawisdom(m): 1:46pm On Jun 12
Another fake story

Not worth my time cool
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 2:57pm On Jun 11
narite:
The rich get richer, and the poor get………

The Matthew Effect.

“For unto every one that hath shall be given, and he shall have abundance: but from him that hath not shall be taken away even that which he hath”…..Matthew 25:29

In the coming months, I see people becoming Dangote’s collateral for debt repayment.
Spot on

The best offers in life are for the super rich (material things), even the religious folks dont even understand that it is biblical lol There is nothing like grace and favour, you cant plant orange and harvest apple because of favour or grace, no way except you want to be a thief. lipsrsealed. Life is about laws and principles.

I am glad you brought the biblical verse to support it.
Travel › Re: Nigerians Evacuated From South Africa Arrive In Lagos (video) by ogawisdom(m): 12:08pm On Jun 11
Welcome back guys, no place like home, go and get your voters card cool
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 12:00pm On Jun 11
Tendd:
https://youtube.com/shorts/IqVvVKygsvc?si=RyrL78MRjuQn3yv0

So Davido deleted his PP post after backlash or probably calls from other PP billionaire gang to do so.They bought for a discount while retail investors are expected to have them at twice the price.
The best offers in life are for the super rich, those kind of juicy offers are discussed privately most times, its an open secret. grin

That is why everyone should work to hit at least 250m in liquid networth though PP is for 500m and above i heard.

Its when you dont need loan that your bank will be begging you to take one at huge discount because of the cash coming in frequently into your account. tongue
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 11:22am On Jun 10
IyaTola:
Filters from gravepine says it would be around N1000.
Then that would mean the super rich exploiting the retail investors. cool

I understand that life is not designed to be fair, the best things and offers in life are for the super wealthy yes but 1k will be excessively exploitative. Even the Bible says that he who has will be given more lipsrsealed

It's good the PP is made public for retail investors to know what is fair enough for IPO.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 7:09am On Jun 10
Dangote refinery serving the rich first cool

Alright 0.35 USD at #1400 = 490

Assuming that HNI gets at huge 50% discount (can't be up to that)

Then expect the IPO in September to be less than #735 or 0.53 USD

Family › Re: Why Should A Struggling Man Marry A Poor Lady And Give Birth To Us To Suffer by ogawisdom(m): 7:08am On Jun 09
Sirchiboy:
Why should a struggling man marry a woman with no handwork or education and give birth to us to suffer .
They blame it on God and the country
They born you to help them to make it grin grin grin so don't fail their plans or the poverty continues cool
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 8:39pm On Jun 03
HesInMe:
Wait first. If he borrowed from UBA to finance some of his Seplat stake -- leading to key-person loan writedowns and a stock price plunge at UBA -- didn't he effectively get richer by taking calculated risk screwing over UBA shareholders?
Hmmm

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