₦airaland Forum

Adeolaeniola:
Their campaign always poor with little awareness

this is why Party structure matters.. GRV is popular cos of obedient movement... Such a guy should be poached by APC for engagements... Later

Image123:
You still fail to understand simple politics. Politics and elections is a game of numbers. LP lacked and still lacks the structure to win a presidential election. It doesn't mean that they don't have places where they are strong but their strength is not enough nationally, they lack the spread and structure. That's simple arithmetic.
The factors of tribe, religion and poor FG performance/policies played out heavily in favour of LP as people voted against the ruling party. Those factors are largely removed in state governorship elections. There's no North versus South or tribe versus tribe battle or Muslim Muslim ticket emotions to vote against here. So most states will not have the effect like presidential. Only ipobic dominated areas like South East and social media warriors dominated areas like Lagos and Abuja can have strong LP showing. Evidently, no Abuja elections, so remains Lagos. That's why i didn't write them off for Lagos. Doesn't mean LP will win.

exactly what pple don't know... Politics is Loca... They ll understand better by Saturday... I hope nweke wins in Enugu though man is sound... I don't know why PDP no use am since

crowther15:
Why did you attach so much weight to Plateau? Abia and Enugu more or less like a done deal. LP won 11 states, and out of these 11, some gubernatorial candidates work assiduously for LP success in their respective state. The guy up North did almost nothing, and it reflect on the result.

how come LP didn't win a single nass seat in plateau? Got elections isn't president u guys ll understand better later

christejames:
LP may likely win the following state by my permutations...

Abia
Enugu
Plateau
Lagos
Rivers...


Maybe Kaduna


As for the other states, it would be herculean.


Good luck to them.

apart from kaduna south where LP get mouth again... Don't overate LP abegi

Felabrity:
LP candidates likely to win their elections:

(Depending on how rooted they are)
Plateau candidate chance 90%
Abia candidate 80%
Rivers 60%
Lagos 40%
The rest under 30%


This is the reality on ground, PO winning their states does not mean they will have an easy ride

plateau is between PDP and APC forget last Saturday results... Lagos ll still go to APC... The only place LP can win is Abia.. maybe Enugu... Aside that no much hope.. u know Why politics is Loca... And nobody send Obi wave on Saturday..

SLOVFO:
Same way that it doesn't matter to many who they gave the senate presidency

yet many Igbos are shouting give us president or biafra...

Saint99:
On point. I would like to see someone like Zulum joining LP in the future.

it won't happen anyway...

DIVINEEVIDENCE:
These people don't understand how the Igbo electorate reason.

Igbos are not interested in the likes of Orji Uzor Kalu as senate president, a man regarded as a prodigal son, an outcast, efulefu...

Igbos only support the best and if Okorocha had been in Obi's political shoes, some of us would have remained indoors during the last general elections.
If Osinbajo had been in Tinubu's shoes, he would have shared SE's votes with Obi.

These people will never understand.
They never will.

u only want an Ipob supporter... Am sure if soludo contest Ina go reject cos he wrote the truth in a public letter...

SLOVFO:
Who cares? How would that change the fortunes of an average southeasterner?

so why Ina wan die cos Obi Lost elections

Dieselman:
They position will likely go to Osita Izunaso. He is a founding member of APC and the Uzodinma factor will help him. Uzodinma knows how to lobby for positions from powers that be.

is he popular to win in a fair elections on Senate floor...?

Stanweezy:
Atiku won Katsina but APC clears the whole senate seat, can't u see u are dumb like what u wrote here

so pple can't vote president different then nass different besides how many votes did Atiku used to pass tinubu in katsina

TheNiceGuy:
For fairness, if Senate President should come to South, let it go to South South.

South East deserves nothing in the incoming administration, aside the fact that they gave insignificant votes to APC, 90% of their Leaders in APC are against Tinubu's Presidency.

Aside Umahi, Uzodimma and Ken Nnamani if he were to be in APC, Others doesn't hide their hatred and disdain towards Yorubas.

The likes of Onu, Okorocha deserted Tinubu.

Ungrateful Ngige deserted him and even voted against Tinubu.

Nwajuiba took him to Court so that his candidacy is nullified.

OUK prefers Northerner should have the ticket instead of Yoruba, he aligned later and was still doing anti-party in his State.


They deserves no Senate President, we should start appreciating who supports us not the other way round

Godswill Akpabio should take it
While Oshiomhole as principal officer since he's a first timer

APC should allow nass pple campaign and compete so let the Most popular takes it.. tinubu himself opposed consensus during APC president primaries... By now parties should realize imposition is bad...

vowiski:
Just two females ..?

Kia

e surprise me fa... The women number reduce from 2019... Our women should contest na...

seborrhic:
7 if not up to 10 senate seats and about 40 something HOR seats,making it now a 3 main party assembly, that's quite significant and to be applauded,not made light of.
Don't also forget the APC and PDP, especially the former,is likely to lose some seats,particularly in the HOR,where little margins,cancelled wards or polling units results can change the tallies and thus outcome of HOR results.
A competitive multiparty NASS,with at least 3 parties having significant members,not just the odd 1 or 2 of a third party,is very good for our democracy.
If labour keeps to its ideals and principles,expect more formidable politicians,especially those of means,from the 2 major parties,who are aggrieved for one reason or the other,and also new ones,that have been systematically disenfranchised when competing as nominees under APC or PDP,but have the resources,to also join the LP.The influx of these set of politicians will come because they would now believe the LP throughout the federation,now has not just the "structure",but most importantly,the chance of winning any election it goes into.
Imagine LP with 5 HOR in Lagos,where PDP has tried for decades to make inroads,but had at best had 1or 2 Hor.LP winning Abuja senate and 1 of 2 HOR there!These are seats that politicians will strive very hard to win.
Don't also forget that though Obi is the arrowhead of the LP and the reason for it's remarkable performance,the Nigerian labour Congress,NLC,officially identifies with the party and don't think would easily allow a situation where people that won elections under the LP banner,like typical Nigerian politicians,decamping to the ruling party at their whims and caprices.
I think LP has come to stay and would only grow from strength to strength hencewords, particularly if they can make obi it's continued arrowhead and have another Obi like figure beside or behind him.
A Kwankwaso like Northern politician joining the LP,standing beside Obi,would really make the LP a "dangerous" and feared opponent to go into any election with.

they would still Fall back to PDP... APC PDP still has enough majority...

kcdendelo:
Lp got 5 house seat in Lagos... wonderful

that's what should have gone to PDP...

ganisucks:
Again, I laff. First off, the tribunal will have to render judgement 180 days after election. If they side with Obi, then an interim government will be put in place.
Second, you will see abracadabra at the courts. Just wait, and see.

u Obi supporters should Wake up Obi has Lost ok get used to tinubu presidency... Obi has no grounds on his case he ll lose in court...

mrvitalis:
Lol I love how kalu was returned to the senate ....so that we would see the hypocrisy of APC

In 2015 if only u returned nigige blah blah blah ....2019 we gave them 3 senators

Now Igbos returned kalu

Return Benjamin for house of reps ...make we see excuse them won use again

nobody ll gift Igbo anything let kalu compete with Akpabio for the position... All this give Igbos to pacify them is pure nonsense...

Unfortunately Many are driven by useless emotions otherwise what is PDP protesting for when they have gone to court...? Vector is just another naive celebrity trying to do notice me....

yom2:
no mind them. Especially d trader ones

they don't have sense can they say Kano is no man's land... after Kano is a rich developed City in the North and Nigeria... It's the richest in entire Northern Nigeria... And the commercial capital of the North... It should also be cosmopolitan by nature too...

Acidosis:
Those making it a war between Igbos and Yoruba are making a great mistake. Most of the people we refer to as Igbos are from Delta, Rivers, Benin, AkwaIbom, Kogi, etc.

We have more South South people in Lagos than Igbos. These bigoted ur.chins who failed terribly in geography will learn a bitter lesson.

Most of the markets in my part of Lagos are controlled by Akwa Ibom and Urhobo (Delta) folks. Yet, these ur.chins won't stop threatening "Igbos".

but the Igbos are loud mouth anyway... That's why it looks na only Igbos...

onatisi:
that is another angle one must take into consideration

I don't see sanwo lu losing... In plateau nassarawa LP won LP candidate won't win either... this time it's puree Loca politics...

onatisi:
this labor man just dey waste his time going to oni , oni of ife is pro tinubu to the core, all gbadebo needs to do is just to make peter obi issue a simple statement on the radio and on social media that all obedient members and peter obi followers should vote for labour party, shikena matter die

it ll spoil his chances.. politics is ist local many who voted LP last Saturday won't vote LP for gorvenor in places LP won...

00FFT00:
You just described your father.

I described your great father that was useless before creating ur generation mad idiot

yinkus6750:
No basis for comparison at all.
Only the Muslim - Muslim ticket.
1993 election was all about ending military rule .
And was adjudged the freest and fairest election till date.
Not the shambolic nonsense we just witnessed.
If the judiciary will be fair and just on this, I foresee an upturn of the declared winner

the same judiciary that didn't overturn 2007 elections yaradua admitted had irregularities.. some of u Obedients just think u can force Obi on us... Do this elections 20 times with obi as LP candidate he ll come Third

Tareq1105:
Do you know how many lives Tinubu has touched personally without camera or press conference?

they don't understand na... Ordinary to buy oven for person na im Obi de Post... Pple de sponsor pple go school without broadcasting

helinues:
Anambra no be Nigeria.

Know that and have a peace of mind

as if tinubu acn didn't challenge PDP too and won five state in South West... Plus Edo to... They just assume na only Obi don win court case... Tinubu also fought obasanjo when he seized lagos allocation osinbajo was lagos attorney general then... These guys are just naive...

IyaebeTheGreat:
Obi that came 3rd is doing more than Atiku that came second

he is making noise as usual and using everything to get limelight... As a demagogue that he is... Like Atiku didn't go to court in 2019 and Lost

00FFT00:
Get lost...

fool

obehi231:
Uploading manipulated rubbish
what we want is live realtime results

INEC Neva promised u that collation of results is manual... Simple...

00FFT00:
Reason corrupt Yakubu hurriedly announced Tinubu the winner and issued him a certificate of return.

you want anarchy cos of what...

Agadinaagwuofe:
Mr man shut up, I know dey Rivers no mean say i no suppose talk wetin dey happen there. na my home ground be that. I should keep shut make Wike turn the city to burial ground?

if wike supported obi and LP won am sure u won't be complaining... After Al u guys have been supporting Wike since 2015...

TheGoodJoe:

I have never said the President is always the problem. I have been vocal in the criticism of Governor.

However, the president is in position to put in policies to make things work better but he does the opposite.

So the President gets his blame too.

the gorvenors to have their own blame too... Plus legislature too...