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Ositadima1's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 3:08pm On Aug 30, 2024
KarlTom:
@ositadima1

Let me drop my 2cents.

Generally speaking, the oil business is a massive gamble. Here's what I mean: the current figures used are all estimates.
Secondly, any company with license in the E&P has sufficient resources to serve as collateral for loans. (Even Nigeria used oil to secure loans).
The profitability index of each sector is what each company needs to look into.

I don't think funding will be an issue IF OandO wants to secure either WR or PHR (though I feel they will rather build a smaller capacity refinery from scratch because of the moribund nature of those refineries).

Aside loans, they can raise funds through an IPO or RI which I believe will be OVERSUBSCRIBED... smiley
Why did Agip agree to sell for just $783 million, not even reaching a billion, if the asset promises substantial returns? Were they under some juju when they signed it away to Oando? Also, it's more cheaper to build a new refinery rather than purchasing those existing ones, same with that Ajaokuta steel. You'll end up sinking a significant amount of money just to bring them up to functionality and modern standards. Take your time and conduct thorough research.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 2:22pm On Aug 30, 2024
megawealth01:
You wan calculate ba?

Oya do the calculations of $1/unit and see the magic grin
OK, let me do something better for you.
Oando bought Agip for $783 million, and their current market cap is $630 million. Let's work backwards: ₦94 per share. grin grin cheesy cheesy
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 2:10pm On Aug 30, 2024
perfectgen:
At the time of the Agip acquisition, they didnt have the luxury of high share price and demand like this. They would have had to release higher number of units of the shares to raise the funds; it is technically cheaper then to get a loan from a bank than today that the share price is moving closer to #100 and adding that asset to the company's holding will make it more formidable.

I hope that they don't buy any of the refineries; I feel Tony Elumelu Heirs Oil will do better than them in the refineries, but if they choose to acquire it, funding won't be as much of a problem to them as you imagined.
Have you appraised the level of damage and rehabilitation needed, or are you only seeing the share price of Oando? Oando's outstanding shares are 12,431,412,481. At ₦70 per share, it's worth ₦870,198,873,670, which is just $580,132,582 (rate $1,500). How much did Dangote use to build a new refinery? And what percentage of that do you think will be needed to rehabilitate these ones that have been left fallow for more than 30 years?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:54pm On Aug 30, 2024
perfectgen:
What if they use this high share price rally to raise funds through a preferential offer to acquire and revamp the refinery, do you think that they won't still be able to achieve the purported objectives?
They could do that, but they haven't done it yet. And why didn't they do that for the Agip acquisition? Will Mr. Tanimu Yakubu and the two other entities that own over 73% of Oando agree to that?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:25pm On Aug 30, 2024
Willie2015:
When u are the President nephew ?
Anything is possible....
Oando is already heavily indebted. For the purchase of Agip, they only placed about 10% or less in equity; the rest is debt. Even if they get the refineries for free, they will still have to spend millions of dollars they currently don't have. It's better not to commit to too many things. They should pay off the humongous debts first before pursuing other money sinks.

In my opinion, it will not be a good idea. There is only so much that family ties can do before others start protesting.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:09pm On Aug 30, 2024
Willie2015:
Are you sure of this
With the above news today
Got to increase my Oando units 2day..
Oando will likely pick one of the refineries..


https://www.nairaland.com/8199844/nnpcl-hand-over-warri-kaduna
Have you been to the refineries? Those refineries are massive liabilities. It will cost quite a lot to put them back in order, except if they want to use them for scrap. I've been to Eleme refinery, but don't take my word for it. Just do some research on restarting a refinery that has been left for more than 20 years.

Anything is possible in Nigeria; they might sell it at a ridiculous price or just give it away to their relations.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:03pm On Aug 30, 2024
I think about this thought pattern where everything is open to be taken; if you don't take it, someone else will at some point. But there is a caveat: rules must be followed, and these are socially accepted rules. At the same time, these rules are not all-encompassing, which gives rise to opportunities to circumvent them.

There is also a fine line between cleverly circumventing rules and committing crimes. Crime is mostly taking advantage of others, while cleverly circumventing rules is taking advantage of the system. cool cool shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 7:04pm On Aug 29, 2024
Alagbalaowo:
Just when I thought I would be getting some offers tomorrow

You go sell abi you no go sell?
🤣🤣🤣😂
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:38pm On Aug 29, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
So what did you use to arrive at the fair value since what fundamentals or sentiments says is not necessary. Did you consult an oracle
Hahaha !!!
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 4:33pm On Aug 29, 2024
Are the Oando listings on JSE Depositary Receipts or actual shares. undecided


Depositary Receipts:
These are negotiable financial instruments issued by a bank to represent a foreign company's publicly traded securities. The depositary bank holds the underlying shares in custody in the company's home country.

Ownership Structure:
The actual shares are held by the depositary bank in the company's home country.
The receipts traded on foreign exchanges represent ownership of these underlying shares.

Trading Implications:
In this scenario, you're not directly trading the original shares, but rather the receipts that represent ownership of those shares. This structure has several implications:
a) Conversion: Many depositary receipt programs allow for conversion between the receipts and the underlying shares, though this process may involve fees and take some time.
b) Price Differences: While the prices of the receipts and the underlying shares should theoretically be equivalent (adjusting for exchange rates), discrepancies can occur due to different trading hours, liquidity levels, and local market conditions.
c) Corporate Actions: Holders of depositary receipts generally have the same rights as direct shareholders, including dividends and voting rights, though the process might be slightly different.
d) Regulatory Considerations: The depositary receipt structure helps companies comply with different countries' regulatory requirements, making it easier for foreign investors to trade.

Arbitrage Potential:
While arbitrage is still possible in this scenario, it's more complex:
You'd be trading different instruments (receipts vs. actual shares) rather than the same shares on different exchanges.
The conversion process between receipts and underlying shares can take time and incur costs, potentially reducing arbitrage opportunities.

Risks and Considerations:
Currency Risk: As you're dealing with instruments potentially priced in different currencies.
Political Risk: Changes in regulations or political situations in either country could affect the depositary receipt program.
Liquidity Risk: Sometimes, depositary receipts might be less liquid than the underlying shares.

Professional Execution:
This type of arbitrage is typically executed by institutional investors or specialized arbitrage firms due to its complexity and the need for quick execution and advanced trading systems.
Copied
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 4:01pm On Aug 29, 2024
megawealth01:
E be like all the sugar/salt gang dey our trending lawyer/govt stock if not eh... Na vawulence you for chop
hahahaha!!!

Na wahala I just find o.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 3:55pm On Aug 29, 2024
KarlTom:
This option is serious... angry
ositadima1:
In my opinion, people buying NB are basing their hopes on a company they once knew, not the current reality on the ground. NB will sell for 15 naira or below when things become clearer (negative equity already). It's a very risky stock; I would stay clear of that one.
KarlTom:
IMO
The bolded is a possibility only IF USD sells for ₦2500+ (which is not looking likely) ... smiley

NB, Nestle, MTN are in same WhatsApp group.
I told you NB has big issues. You replied to me like so. Even that MTN that you are seeing is in trouble. I pointed it out then, but MCY56 talked me down. The next day, it did 10%, confirming her. So, I shut my mouth.

Where is MTN now? Do you think it's easy to sustain such losses and dismiss them so easily? Some of these companies will probably disclose even more losses when the 2024 results are out. Watch out for Dangote Sugar.

Meanwhile, some very resilient companies are being overlooked. CAP, which is in paint and owns Caplux paint, has a debt-to-equity ratio of less than 10%. I think two years ago, the debt was just 1%. And the equity has grown annually by an average of over 25% since 2019. All this forex turmoil didn't affect them; they sailed through smoothly.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 3:17pm On Aug 28, 2024
I believe there's an error in your statement. Brokers are not responsible for matching bid and ask orders. The broker's role is primarily to provide access to the trading platform. The actual matching of orders is performed by the CSCS or the NGX, unless it's a cross deal.

While forex brokers do matching orders internally or even trading against their clients, stock brokers generally don't operate in the same manner. Their function is more focused on facilitating trades rather than participating order matching.

Please, Mcy56 could provide further clarification on this matter.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 3:09pm On Aug 28, 2024
MARKETJJC:
I don't think there is any manipulation. Three things will explain this from the little I have learned in this market: (1) cross deal; (2) none of those on the top queue came from the same stock broker as the seller or sellers, no matter your position, a seller will first sell to the in house buyer on the queue no matter his position before selling to another buy on the queue too, (3 )That number one you are seeing there is not actually the number person, the real number buyer may have had his quantities partially filled and he is then move away from the front to the bottom for the next person to be number one, but the original number one person must finish his quantities before that present number one will get his. So it is possible for you to be number 1 at a particular point in time but another person before you will be receiving first.

I hope this haphazard explanation clears you. grin
Is that no. 2 correct?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:48pm On Aug 28, 2024
MARKETJJC:
No sir but I will do 100% before I go leave that stock, looking at the market we still dey go up and we will cross 1 and go above grin.

I had made like 40% as at this morning, then sold half of my holding just before/at panic then bought more units. Sold at 0.86, bought back at 0.74, more money, more units.

We go dey go up and be doing jangulova with it. Price increases more money, it decreases still more money.

Those guys up there, if they are serious, let them come down and sell to us on the line grin
They see me rollin'
They hatin'
Patrollin' and tryna catch me ridin' dirty
Tryna catch me ridin' dirty
Tryna catch me ridin' dirty
Tryna catch me ridin' dirty
Tryna catch me ridin' dirty
My music's so loud
I'm swangin'
They hopin' that they gon' catch me ridin' dirty
Tryna catch me ridin' dirty
Tryna catch me ridin' dirty
Tryna catch me ridin' dirty
Tryna catch me ridin' dirty



I hope say you dey play this song "Ridin" by Chamillionaire, while you dey switch lanes (stocks) like keke driver. grin grin cheesy shocked

Na joke ooo. shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 11:26am On Aug 28, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
Like I said C and I leasing is a good company. That does not mean you should not know the value to place on the stock price for now.Dont go and fall mugu to traders and come back here and start crying. Just know that some want to push it to a particular percentage high so that they can dump and leave you with your kaya.It does not mean the stock is a bad stock. Go in with good margin of safety

Always try and filter the noise..lol
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:48am On Aug 28, 2024
Locotrader:
If there is any stock wey don cast,na UCAP.
This investment has become a long term.
18B shares no be moi moi if #1 dividend has to continue.
Profit after will cast
EPS will cast
Share price will also cast
Dividend will cast join.

I need education in UCAP.On a serious note
Na u go cast am, LOL
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:18am On Aug 28, 2024
Locotrader:
For those of us here looking for what to buy today,C&I leasing is not for everyone today and possibly this week sha.

This Abbey Mortgage is never for everyone.It is highly illiquid but a good stock to hold.You need a good lecture on how to acquire illiquid stocks.

Start buying CHAMS from this morning.Dont miss it.I repeat,DONT MISS IT.

Stop envying those in Oando.They deserve the reward.Not everyone can gamble oando.Let them eat the fruit of their labour.It is a #200 and above stock.Unless Tinubu is not our president again.

May you be blessed today.

Back to my cave for observations.
You no add Royalex?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 3:34pm On Aug 27, 2024
yMcy56:
Actually, in my evening school , we were taught that "he" can be used to refer to both genders in certain circumstances......
It's all these gender advocates that are trying to make it specific to all situations....
After-all, what a man can do, a woman can also do it better... lipsrsealed
I didn't know there were schools that only hold classes in the evenings. I hope it didn't strain your eyes—studying with rechargeable lamps or candles isn't good at all.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 2:34pm On Aug 27, 2024
yMcy56:
The UBA single 5m+ bidder @22.50 looks suspicious....
He placed that bid Nd was crossed to him towards closing....

Good and favourable sentiments in Market today with lots of stocks closing @+10%..
Why cant it be She? grin shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 2:32pm On Aug 27, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
My broker just called me.He told me is Warren Buffett that is buying

I didn't want to say it till market close for the day
Hahahaha !!!
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:00pm On Aug 27, 2024
ojesymsym:
How exactly do we do this? At that age na only play and cartoon de their head na.

I would really love to know a practical method that works, particularly in situations where madam non also de interested, (Sorry talking from the perspective of the man)
The key is to spend quality time with them from a young age. Take them out for activities, involve them in small tasks around the house, and play board games (like chess or Whot, etc..). While you're together, start small discussions—ask them questions, seek their suggestions on how to handle simple situations. During these conversations, you can gently introduce concepts about life and how things work for adults. Just my two cents. shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:35pm On Aug 27, 2024
Agbalowomeri:
That's the problem with parents. You people start late and you want your kids to suddenly take up habits that are alien to them. Start financial education as early as 7-10
Na watin I be wan talk but catarrh and cough choke my throat.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:01pm On Aug 27, 2024
ositadima1:
Okomuoil is still a buy. To target 425 for a sharp 30% gain. My calculated price range is 289 to 563, based on 22 dividend (14 + 8, I think) cool cool cool

My palliative to you reader cheesy .

I told a girl, "Look, if you seriously need that 25k for your cream, just do as I say. Take this 20 and invest it; it's all I have". Did I try?
cool cool shocked

Eh don dey happen. I hope u collect my palliative. grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 10:00am On Aug 27, 2024
Locotrader:
Great reward awaits you for this revelation.
It will not pass you by if you really want
Make sure you hold some of it.
Have a picture of what happened in Multiverse.

If you no have oando,comfort yourself here with a 100 to 500% returns in a short time.

Enjoy
Caverton, Nko?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 3:43am On Aug 27, 2024
BullBearMkt:
..."when money matters, I don't joke around". Time has a way of proving me R/W. I'll leave it at that.
grin grin grin grin grin
I don't do emotions anymore, nor do claim I must be right. I observe and form my opinion; that's all.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:01pm On Aug 26, 2024
MARKETJJC:
Truly, I have not added anything because I have got no other job since I finished NYSC. Once I discovered here then NSE, I traded everyday with my phone. So trading is my job and I pay myself #150k every month as my job.

Senior, I won't say that I am good but I have been lucky and I know that for sure this luck will not last forever, so I am maximizing right now that I am still lucky. grin
And you're a trader, not an FA guy?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 11:55am On Aug 26, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
You have turned 300k to 19m in two yrs without additional fund.You are highly good in this business
Very doable. Transcorp and Oando alone could have achieved that so far, but you'd have to be super lucky. shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 11:17am On Aug 26, 2024
ositadima1:
I have kept one moniker since February 2010. I don't need multiple accounts. I know a lot of people here who have multiple accounts, including OGG. I don't play like that. cool shocked
I'm older than this thread by two whole years. Wow. Many of the people I used to know here no longer visit NL. I've been here a long time! cool shocked shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 11:12am On Aug 26, 2024
MARKETJJC:
grin and you now want to stifle other members via portfolio size harassment and intimidation?

Abeg, is it size in Oando or in another stock/stocks that you people want to do challenge in? grin
Weren't you the ones insulting him for speaking his mind? Now he's challenging you all to a duel by disclosure. grin grin shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 11:06am On Aug 26, 2024
ojesymsym:
Osita, u sure say non be your alter ego be this?
I have kept one moniker since February 2010. I don't need multiple accounts. I know a lot of people here who have multiple accounts, including OGG. I don't play like that. cool shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 10:55am On Aug 26, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
Today is a great day for me and fmly.

On another news.one guy has finished molding his father.It is time for him to mold this thread by doing the needful. I was expecting him to report the clown handle to mod but NO.Instead he has issues with the caster who is not on the same level. This envy is too long to continue to harbour. I remember when it started many months back.
Oga if truely you believe in oando and invested what it takes and not noise. I went into onado as a bet and said I will only put what I can afford to lose.And you went in as investment with what you feel is good investment .All this cry is becoming too much.Pls do us a favour and post this your investment on my bet here and let me post mine.So that next time you want to commit suicide we know how to take your matter serious. And this goes to anyone who is crying too much for e don cast.Audio investors don dey too much..lol
This is funny. The people who make the loudest noise don't even have anything tangible in the stock; their only goal is to stifle other members' opinions in the thread. If you are such a fan of Oando, show us your investment so we can see. Streetinvestor wants to show you his bet (make una compare notes nah).

If you can't do that, then let's respect each other and others' opinions. grin grin shocked

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