₦airaland Forum

Welcome, Guest: Register • Login • With Google • Trending • Recent • New

Stats: 3,344,626 members, 8,512,844 topics. Date: Wednesday, 04 November 2026 at 05:59 AM

Toggle theme

Ositadima1's Posts

Nairaland Forum › Ositadima1's Profile › Ositadima1's Posts

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 ... 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 (of 180 pages)

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:28am On Aug 14, 2024
lipsrsealed
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:00am On Aug 14, 2024
emmanuelewumi:
Interest rates have been reviewed.

I just did an analysis of the expected interest expenses based on the NOPAT for the year. Most times NOPAT is usually higher than FCF.


Based on the H1 result you can calculate the Return on Invested Capital and Cash Return On Invested Capital. You will divide the FCF by the invested capital to get CROIC
But my FGSUK2027S3 still pays me about 11% despite the 20% rates we see these days. Some of the long-term debts are locked in until maturity. I understand your point, though: less debt equates to more shareholder value.

BUA Cement, with their highest dividend of 2.8 naira, is placed below 80(my estimate with Monte Carlo), but you know how some favored stocks move. Based on the favorites anomaly and sentiments, it is approaching the value zone. I may buy it at below 100. I did so last year, and it gave me a small 1 million on the 1.5 million I invested when it started rising, I think one or two months after. grin grin grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 7:14am On Aug 14, 2024
emmanuelewumi:
Total is equivalent to about 170% of BUA cement equity.

Net Operating Profit After Tax will liquidate the debt in 4 years 4 months assuming the company won't pay dividends for those years
Most of these companies run on debt, which has been a source of funding for a long time and did not start today. The question is whether these long-term debts will be subject to the new interest rates. I think we should focus more on what they pay as interest and what is left for shareholders afterward. In Nigeria, it seems debt is not a huge problem as long as there are positive cash flows and also positive FCF.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 8:03pm On Aug 13, 2024
emmanuelewumi:
Made EPS of N1.88k in H1, N33 billion was used to pay debt in Q2. That is equivalent to EPS of N2.00 used to service loan.

Since they are done working for the banks, I am expecting a full year EPS of about N5.70k.

With a debt of N1.6 Trillion by Dangote cement at 20%, that will be about N320 billion that would be used as inteest expenses.

With debt of N700 billion by BUA at 20%, that will be about N140 billion that would be paid to banks instead of shareholders.

By the way interest rate is currently at 25% and both banks don't have a ROIC of over 25%
You mean both Dangote Cement and BUA Cement? This is part of what made me run from Dangote Sugar. If I had bought most of it below 18 naira, I would have tried my luck, but at the price I bought it, I don't want to take risks since I was doing long-term investment. Banks currently lend at 25%; a company's Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) needs to be above that before considering shareholders' gain, and it's worse when equity is negative.

Anyway, I'm deviating from our main discussion, which is WAPCO. If WAPCO is able to pay 3 naira in dividends, then my valuation would move to the 41 to 82 naira range.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 7:39pm On Aug 13, 2024
emmanuelewumi:
This is United Capital current stock coverage.

Lafarge is the only cement stock in their radar.
WAPCO needs to pay more than 2 naira in dividends if it wants its stock price to soar. The current 2 naira dividend places it in the 26 to 50 naira price bracket.

I don't have any evidence to back up my claim, only Monte Carlo simulations.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 7:16pm On Aug 13, 2024
Ginalex:
I'm kuku secretly praying for it to happen so I can join ingrin grin... Make una no stone me abeg grin grin
Salt is going to 20 naira. Na Current Price tell me ooo. cheesy
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 7:04pm On Aug 13, 2024
emmanuelewumi:
Presco don cast
Oga, you want to give me High BP, abeg o. I use God beg you o. No go there. grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 7:00pm On Aug 13, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
Madam you know how to dig old post.If you can dig mine it will be great.let any member here tell me whr I ever I said I am buy oando base on FA like some of my calls here.I have never checked oando results because is not of use to me.I will only check if the results is current.why will I make investment decisions if is based on FA on 2 yrs results. When alot can even change in a quarter result. I shouted it to heaven oando was based on street sense and a bet to follow the money..
And I will not disclose to anyone if I have sold or not when thr is no gun on my head


Oando do cast and will still post same tomorrow
Chai, Airtel don send me message say my data remain 500mb, make I quickly recharge I don't want to miss out oo, something is going down today!!!
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:51pm On Aug 13, 2024
yMcy56:
Seems you lack comprehension.
Even if you praise a stock, so you'd assume I won't carry out my DD?
Think I'm thru with you.

Do take care of you......in OGG's voice. 😁
Chai, Upper cut!!! grin This one pain me ooo. If na me eh I won't take it oo, this upper cut too much. cry cry cry
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:48pm On Aug 13, 2024
Zenith Bank has stated that they will not reduce their dividend per share. So, you have two options: take your rights and be assured of a minimum 11% return at 36 naira per share, or speculate that the price may drop below 36 naira and forego your rights to buy cheaper later. What will you do?

https://nairametrics.com/2024/08/13/zenith-bank-promises-higher-dividend-payout-as-it-gears-for-oversubscription-in-its-n290-billion-capital-raise/
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:27pm On Aug 13, 2024
ndept:
I have never seen you shout "IB don cast" endlessly the way you shouted "Oando don cast" today. On the bolded, I wish to tell you that this forum has been enjoying relative peace since the likes of you came and I believe many here still value their peace more than anything else. How can someone read your posts and swallow it and move on without replying, that will be unreasonable. What I am telling you is not only applicable on this forum but in public. Your behaviour reminds me of former Governor Ajimobi, who only value himself and his reasoning alone more than anybody else, at last he was humbled by the masses despite all the good he did in Oyo State.

Sincerely speaking, you are part of the resource person on this platform, but you spoil it with your personal relationship with others. Nobody expect you to be one sided in your post because this forum strives on positive criticism. But say your mind and leave it there, not repeatedly shouting and justifying your position on what many perceived wrongly.
It is not good at all; some people have invested serious money in it, as they have in every stock. Berating a stock like that when huge funds are on the line is not patriotic to other members who are still invested. At the same time, we still have freedom of speech.

But it seems like some of you believe that it is NSEMPA that is moving some of these stocks. Take OANDO, for example, which is trading over 100 million naira on a daily basis. Do you seriously think that if all of you sell, it will significantly move a stock like OANDO?

MH is for small-cap stocks with low liquidity. Anyway, let us believe whatever makes us happy. grin shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:15pm On Aug 13, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
It is even beginning to annoy me because of this oando matter. So because I am in a stock I should always be posting positive things about it .Did I tell you I am here to market stocks for any company. I have big investment in IB and i am still posting negative things here about it with millions of naira paper loss. If you don't like my post pls jump and pass or you won't like my reply. I didn't borrow from you to invest oh.If you making profits in any stock is by others singing praises of the stock then you don't know what you are doing.
Have you seen me attacking anyone here for negative comments on IB infact na me dey even attack ogg for posting positive things on IB because they don't add up to me.
Odogwu nwoke, you have made your point. I think it is time to move on to the next matter.

Please leave the stage for Mcy56; she is our official NSEPA town crier. grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 4:53pm On Aug 13, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
You can see why I say people just come here for hand out or see nse as betnaija. I posted oando don cast.The best form of criticism should have been.i don't agree with you based on this or that.The only reason I have gotten so far is thr claim I have sold even when I was expecting pull back since on Monday.
It means many are not coming to learn how to climb the rope they are only interested in daily price action You will agree with me this thread is changing to a very wrong direction. Putting iit gentle ,it is becoming easier for monkey hunting if you can take investment decisions just because someone made a call
If you sold because I said oando don cast without rethink,pls answer yes sir.
I entered OANDO because of you Oga @ 15 sef, my small 500k don do times 3, I don sell sef, Be like say I go use am buy christmas clothes for my plenty pikin. grin grin grin grin

Tell me when to enter again o. wink
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:33pm On Aug 13, 2024
Ginalex:
you too like VAWULENCE grin grin
I dey like how Mcy56 dey talk "full bid", how she dey form "B" with her lips. Spectacular!!! grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:18pm On Aug 13, 2024
Or u use style dey call Streetinvestor small player? grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:15pm On Aug 13, 2024
yMcy56:
OANDO
Big players still holding tight to their stakes till now from the look of things......
Only retailers sighted on offer table.......
Earlier, some offers @ days high were removed....
This pullback seems temporal....
Still observing situation of things at the arena...... 😊

Not to be taking ad any form of advice.......No one will be blamed for your decision.
This seems like emotional analysis, if you ask me. What are "big players"? If the situation were reversed and the so-called small players were busy pushing it to full bid, would you come here chanting about small players and big players? U for dey shout full bid!!! full bid!!! grin

I'm not saying it has stopped its upward journey or reversed. I'm just finding ur trouble ooo. tongue
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:08pm On Aug 13, 2024
Ginalex:
800k onlyhuh? 800k will be only for me soon in Jesus name Amen smiley
It depends. That DS, my gain was once enough for a small investment, but I kept holding it. While the price is going up and down like a yo-yo, I need to gain something—at least dividends or appreciation. I can't hold on to hope for longer than a year while the results are negative.

To each their own, as Streetinvestor said here. I don't have any right to tell you what to do with your money.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:03pm On Aug 13, 2024
Time will put everything in its proper perspective, according to OGG.

No need to cry, if OANDO go do 150 e go do am, if he go go back to 10 him go still do, crying no go help. grin cheesy wink
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:59pm On Aug 13, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
My guy see wahala. You did your dd in sugar and sold even with hair cut. And after sugar began north movement. I went into oando after my own dd as a bet.I have the right to my opinion. And the decision to buy, hold or sell is your decision. It is possible I have sold and is equally possible I have not.Do I need to tell you my decision. The answer is capital No.

It is obvious people come just for hand out and not ready to make a little effort to learn.The only thing they want to check is price movement and want to see it going steadily north.I am now willing to help out well since na bet you come play



Onado don cast
LOL, I only lost 800k. I sold just below my buy price. I've already put it to good use elsewhere, and I have recovered. I'm planning to sell that one too. I'm scraping 10-10 where I can, and I'll come back to sugar next year after the results.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:35pm On Aug 13, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
Oando don cast pls take your decision as I have taken mine.I don't owe you explanation as you are not paying for it
Don't mind these people; everyone has the right to make their own point based on their own analysis, whether good or bad.


If you're taking it personally and don't like it, please move on!!! He never mentioned any of your names.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m):
lipsrsealed
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 10:06am On Aug 10, 2024
Zagee:
I like the initiative. I think Osita does something like this, but with that his <can't remember> technique he uses.😁

I'm guessing you'd be running a sentimental analysis on the forum? If yes, me I just want to see your code block. Please....
I no do ooo, but I been reason am. Nairaland na treasure trove of information o, person fit use am they reason Nigeria well from marketing to demographics to macro/micro economic indices etc. cheesy
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:51am On Aug 10, 2024
Raider76:
I am developing what I will call NSEMPA Sentiment Index. Over the weekend I will go through all posts and count the number of times a stock is mentioned, and whether a buy or sell if indicated. Other parameters can be added later in further development. This will give a small weekly data base from which I will develop some form of an indicator to guide people as to which stocks are hot, and so on. In further development one may take the data daily and have periodic totals and averages. This system is commonly used in search engines, polling and market survey software.

So before I go on with it I want to know what people think about the idea. Is it a sensible, workable, or a stupid useless idea? Is someone already doing this or something similar? What may you add to make it better?

I will add that I do have a bit of free time since I am not working for anyone right now.
Good idea!

You can create an automated system that scrapes data and runs sentiment analysis. With Python, you can handle the scraping as there are several packages available for this purpose. For the NLP-based sentiment analysis, you can use the FinBERT package. Perhaps when I have some spare time, I will try implementing it for other purposes, such as product marketing and so on.

Potential issues and considerations:

Feedback Loop Problem:

Publishing sentiment analysis results in the same thread or community where the data is gathered can influence future posts.
Members might adjust their posting behavior based on the published sentiment, potentially amplifying biases or creating artificial trends.


Potential Negative Effects:

Self-fulfilling prophecies: Stocks shown as "positive" might receive more positive comments, further boosting their sentiment score artificially.
Manipulation: Users might intentionally try to game the system by posting biased content to influence the sentiment scores. grin MH...
Reduced data quality: The natural, unbiased expression of sentiment could be compromised, making the analysis less reliable over time.
Herd mentality: It might encourage groupthink rather than diverse, independent opinions.


Ethical Considerations:

Responsibility: There's a ethical responsibility to ensure that the analysis doesn't unduly influence the very data it's meant to analyze.


Some Solutions and Mitigations:
a. Separate Data Sources:
Collect data from one set of sources but publish results in a different, unrelated platform.

b. Delayed Publishing:
Introduce a significant time delay between data collection and result publication.

c. Aggregated or Anonymized Results:
Publish only high-level, aggregated results without specific stock mentions.

d. Diverse Data Sources:
Use multiple, diverse sources for data collection to dilute the impact of any single source.

e. Educational Approach:
Accompany results with educational content about biases and the importance of independent thinking.

f. Randomization:
Randomly select a subset of stocks to analyze and publish, making it harder to game the system.

g. Meta-Analysis:
Include analysis of the sentiment trends themselves, highlighting any unusual patterns that might indicate manipulation.

Continuous Monitoring:
Implement systems to detect unusual patterns or sudden changes in sentiment that might indicate manipulation.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:23pm On Aug 06, 2024
megawealth01:
Soon here will be full with DS and NS discuss and many will wish they bought them at #30+

If you like quote me say na me say make una buy grin
cool
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:45pm On Aug 06, 2024
SonofElElyonRet:
While looking for news about Ellah lakes i came across below..... can the Ellah lakes experts say what impact this will have if any?


Leadership News
Ellah Lakes’ Major Investor Distributes Shares To Creditors, Shareholders
Written by Olushola Bello 1 month ago
ellah

Conquering the clouds on a journey to Ta Xua with the team - Road Trip Vietnam Team - Nếm TV

CBO Capital Partners (CBO) Limited, a major shareholder of Ellah Lakes Plc, has decided to transfer a portion of its equity stake to its shareholders and creditors in a move that will further dilute the ownership structure of Ellah Lakes.

Ellah Lakes made this known in a statement signed by its head of Administration, Modupe Ejikeme. The chief executive officer, Ellah Lakes, Mr. Chuka Mordi said that CBO Capital Partners, a major shareholder of Ellah Lakes, is transferring a portion of its’ Ellah Lakes shares to its’ shareholders and creditors in a cross deal.

He stated that this trade move is aimed at offsetting CBO’s outstanding obligations to CBO Shareholders, while simultaneously fulfilling Nigerian Exchange Limited’s (NGX) requirements on the free floating of Ellah Lakes shares.

“By undertaking this strategic move, CBO is demonstrating its commitment to financial responsibility and compliance with regulatory standards set forth by the NGX.


“The decision to transfer a portion of Ellah Lakes shares to its’ creditors not only help CBO manage its’ obligations effectively, but also enhances the liquidity and free float of Ellah Lakes shares in the market,” he explained.

Mordi noted that this cross deal signifies a proactive approach by CBO to strengthen its’ financial position and support the stability and growth of Ellah Lakes Plc, saying that “we believe that this trade move will have a positive impact on all stakeholders involved and contribute to the overall success of Ellah Lakes Plc.”

Related News
Bank Lending Dips As Interest Rate Soars To 60%
Nigeria Targets Fresh 50,000bpd Oil Output With New Crude Grade, Utapate
Dangote Cement Grows Revenue By 139.9% In H1
Address Multiple Regulations In Digital Space, ITU Advises Federal Gov’t
Ellah Lakes had signed many agreements in recent period for major projects that are expected to form the backbone of the company’s business diversification drive.

It had reached an agreement to build a 600-tons sugar refinery in collaboration with Montserrado Investment Limited. The sugar processing facility is expected to run on 100 per cent renewable power.

Ellah Lakes had earlier reached agreement with Ondo State on the development of a palm oil and cassava farm, covering about 5,000 hectares. Both partners would jointly develop and manage the farm for the cultivation of oil palm and cassava in Ondo state.


Ellah Lakes had in August 2020 entered into exclusive discussions to acquire the entire issued capital of an oil palm processing company with substantial assets in Delta State.

Ellah Lakes was incorporated on July 2, 1980 and was listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) on January 14, 1993. Originally a fish-farming company, Ellah Lakes had recently embarked on a comprehensive restructuring and diversification of its businesses. In 2019, it acquired Telluria in order to diversify its product offerings in the agribusiness sector
The potential impacts of this news for Ellah Lakes. Let's break down the key points and their implications:

1. Share Transfer by CBO Capital Partners:
CBO Capital Partners, a major shareholder of Ellah Lakes Plc, is transferring a portion of its shares to its own shareholders and creditors. This move will likely have several effects:

- Ownership Dilution: This will further dilute the ownership structure of Ellah Lakes, meaning CBO's control over the company may decrease.
- Increased Free Float: More shares will be available for trading on the open market, potentially increasing liquidity.
- Compliance with NGX Requirements: This move helps meet Nigerian Exchange Limited's (NGX) requirements for free-floating shares.

2. Financial Implications for CBO:
- Debt Settlement: CBO is using this move to offset its outstanding obligations to its shareholders and creditors.
- Financial Responsibility: This demonstrates CBO's commitment to managing its financial obligations.

3. Potential Impacts on Ellah Lakes:

a) Positive Impacts:
- Increased Liquidity: More freely traded shares could lead to better price discovery and potentially easier capital raising in the future.
- Regulatory Compliance: Meeting NGX requirements could improve the company's standing with regulators and investors.
- Stability: Resolving a major shareholder's financial obligations could reduce uncertainty around the company.

b) Potential Challenges:
- Ownership Changes: The shift in ownership structure could lead to changes in company direction or strategy if new influential shareholders emerge.
- Short-term Stock Price Volatility: The market may react to this news, potentially causing some short-term price fluctuations.

4. Long-term Outlook:
The news also mentions several positive developments for Ellah Lakes:
- Diversification efforts, including agreements for sugar refinery and palm oil/cassava farming.
- Potential acquisition of an oil palm processing company.

These projects suggest that Ellah Lakes is actively working on growth and diversification, which could positively impact its long-term prospects.

In conclusion, while this share transfer may cause some short-term changes in ownership structure and possibly stock price, it appears to be a strategic move that could enhance Ellah Lakes' compliance, liquidity, and financial stability. Combined with the company's ongoing diversification efforts, the overall impact could be positive for Ellah Lakes in the long run, although it will be important to monitor how the new ownership structure affects company strategy and performance.

Copied... cool
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 11:12am On Aug 04, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
Looking at dangota sugar results I noticed about 90% of the forex loss which contributed heavily on the cost in business/profit as unrealized not like International breweries which larger portion is already realised.And I believe this unrealized forex loss could be obligation to dollar payments in future. If that is the case , i believe it may not materiize in full as this payments may be spread within a financial year or beyond. That said ,if the effect of supply from his refinery strengths the naira to any level.It means the forex loss could be written back to positive gain in the supposed bad results. Then it means thr is still hope for sugar results to come out much better by end of financial yr
Pls make your view if I am getting it wrong
If it was not a closed deal, it would have been listed separately and not used to calculate the final PAT and EPS. You still have a point; the income statement uses accrual accounting, meaning that transactions are recorded when the deal is done, not when the cash is transferred. Therefore, if the naira were to appreciate against the dollar before the cash transfers, the losses would be adjusted downwards. Let's pray we see the dollar at 900, lol.

Dangote Sugar is in a tough spot as of now. It can't raise prices too much or it will spook the market, while at the same time it is forced to import raw materials from Brazil at a high exchange rate. With the increased cost of borrowing, which is above 20%, it must make more than 20% to even talk about making gains. Negative equity means that it will have to rely mostly on debt.

Now, Dangote would have sought to raise cash from his connections, but his hands are already tied up with the refinery. They may go the rights issue way.

Anyway, I may be very wrong as well.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 10:58am On Aug 04, 2024
thebargainhunte:
From next year, all his policies will start generating positive results. The Dangote Refinery and others will stabilise our economy very soon. The man is not shaking, he knows what he is doing. Kayri will leave NNPC next year cos he is due for retirement by then and the game of 2027 will start. He will not take a battered economy to contest in the year 2027 except he wants to fail woefully. Buy stocks you want to buy this year cos next year is the year of recovery.
What policies, if I may ask? Tinubu is obviously not a good strategist, though he may be good at winning elections. The speech did not touch on the main issues; it was more of a cautionary address to the masses, with the rest being propaganda.

We will be here, God willing, to see the wonderful next year. As of now, only one refinery exists, and Nigeria can't afford to supply it with crude because most of the crude has already been swapped for loans.

I trust Dangote; he has already said that he will list the refinery on the London Stock Exchange. I see the proceeds being used to offset the huge loans, and then the foreign investors will demand their share of the profits. So, a good portion of those gains you are hoping for will be repatriated outside Nigeria.

It is good to be optimistic, but it should be backed with strong evidence.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:29pm On Aug 02, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
No spoil my market oh na my 1k stock. The 14 was last Yr final dividend. The #8 is interim for this yr unless you feel they will still pay another #14 final for this yr
So, you are insinuating it will be more than 14? Very likely, sha. grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:17pm On Aug 02, 2024
Okomuoil is still a buy. To target 425 for a sharp 30% gain. My calculated price range is 289 to 563, based on 22 dividend (14 + 8, I think) cool cool cool

My palliative to you reader cheesy .

I told a girl, "Look, if you seriously need that 25k for your cream, just do as I say. Take this 20 and invest it; it's all I have". Did I try?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:32am On Aug 02, 2024
Mankind2024:
I acquired additional MTNN yesterday, with a long-term perspective of securing funds for my children's educational expenses. So investors bias 2, 3, 6 is applicable to me.
I think you will be fine. If it comes to the worst, MTNN will just need to undertake another Rights Issue. A lot of investors are still invested in them, and it will likely be oversubscribed.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:08am On Aug 02, 2024
cool cool cool


Your observation touches on an interesting phenomenon in investor behavior and market psychology. Let's unpack this:



1. Cognitive Biases:
- Confirmation Bias: Investors often seek information that confirms their existing beliefs. If they believe a company is strong, they might dismiss negative results as temporary or unreliable.
- Anchoring: People may anchor to past performance or market dominance, finding it hard to adjust their views when new information emerges.

2. Market Sentiment vs. Financial Reality:
- There can be a disconnect between a company's perceived value (based on brand strength, market share, etc.) and its financial health.
- In MTNN's case, its dominant market position might be causing some investors to overlook financial red flags.

3. Short-term vs. Long-term Perspective:
- Negative equity in a half-year report is concerning, but some investors might view it as a temporary situation if they believe in the company's long-term prospects.

4. Understanding Financial Statements:
- Not all investors fully understand how to interpret financial statements or their implications.
- Some might prioritize revenue or market share over other financial metrics.

5. Trust in Management and Reporting:
- There's an assumption that management might manipulate results for strategic reasons (like discouraging short-sellers), which can lead to skepticism about negative reports.

6. The "Too Big to Fail" Mentality:
- For dominant companies like MTNN, some investors might believe that the company is too important to the economy to face serious trouble.

7. Service Continuity vs. Financial Health:
- The belief that "as long as they are providing services, financials are irrelevant" is flawed. While service continuity is important, financial health is crucial for long-term sustainability, investment in infrastructure, and shareholder returns.

Is there sense in this thinking? Not from a rigorous investment perspective. While market sentiment and company reputation are important factors, they should not overshadow fundamental financial analysis. Negative equity, especially for a telecom company that requires significant ongoing capital investment, is a serious concern that shouldn't be dismissed.

Prudent investors should:
1. Analyze both qualitative (market position, brand strength) and quantitative (financial statements) factors.
2. Understand that current service provision doesn't guarantee future sustainability.
3. Be wary of dismissing audited financial statements without strong evidence of manipulation.
4. Consider how financial struggles might impact future service quality, expansion, or competitiveness.

In conclusion, while there's a certain logic to the market's behavior, it's not a sound investment strategy to ignore financial realities in favor of surface-level performance or market dominance. Financial statements provide crucial information about a company's health and future prospects, and they should be given serious consideration in any investment decision.


Copied...
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:36pm On Aug 01, 2024
sophy17:
You can just download Stock average calculator from play store. It's easy to use to determine needed quantity and price to average down
Yes, this is easier and quicker. Based on the target price, you can get the average down quantity. I actually downloaded one just now.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 ... 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 (of 180 pages)