IgweOfNnewi:
Pipe dream, if only Tinubu will receive 50% of Igbo land votes, you can't be tribalist and expect people not to checkmate you, cheap blackmail Will not work

Lol. The problem is IGBO people make a good chunck of population in every state. How many yoruba people dey south east?

It

garfield1:


Igbos dominate rivers and 25% of delta.in lagos I think its Yoruba 45%,igbos 20%,ss 20%,northerners 15%....cc fergie001, helinues

Are you alright. Yoruba 45%?
Others 55%?

Let's assume population of Lagos is 20m

Yoruba 9m
Non Yoruba 11m
Apart from being ridiculous it is grossly insulting and Yoruba and Lagosians deserves unreserved apology.

Now tell me what's the population of.

Indigene and Yoruba from other SW?

Let me break it down for you.

Awori occupied Ojo, Amuwo odofin, part of Badagry, Alimosho, Ikeja Kosofe, Oshodi, Ifako Ijaiye, Mushin. Most parts of Island and Mainland

Ijebu - Shomolu, Ikorodu, IbejuLekki Kosofe and parts of Mainland

Egun occupied, parts of Badagry, Ojo, EtiOsa, Ikorodu.

The population of the indigene cannot be less than 10m

Then other Yoruba from other SW majorly Ogun, Oyo and other SW is above 7m

You can share the remaining 3m among other Nigerian.

Like someone rightly said, there is verifiable data to show population of other ethnic group in Lagos State.

Where you find concentration of non Yoruba are not more than 5 local government and their best in those areas can't be more than 30%.

Where is your ridiculous 55% non Yoruba coming from?

If na play make you stop am

Ttalk:
It

Are you alright. Yoruba 45%?
Others 55%?

Let's assume population of Lagos is 20m

Yoruba 9m
Non Yoruba 11m
Apart from being ridiculous it is grossly insulting and Yoruba and Lagosians deserves unreserved apology.

Now tell me what's the population of.

Indigene and Yoruba from other SW?

Let me break it down for you.

Awori occupied Ojo, Amuwo odofin, part of Badagry, Alimosho, Ikeja Kosofe, Oshodi, Ifako Ijaiye, Mushin. Most parts of Island and Mainland

Ijebu - Shomolu, Ikorodu, IbejuLekki Kosofe and parts of Mainland

Egun occupied, parts of Badagry, Ojo, EtiOsa, Ikorodu.

The population of the indigene cannot be less than 10m

Then other Yoruba from other SW majorly Ogun, Oyo and other SW is above 7m

You can share the remaining 3m among other Nigerian.

Like someone rightly said, there is verifiable data to show population of other ethnic group in Lagos State.

Where you find concentration of non Yoruba are not more than 5 local government and their best in those areas can't be more than 30%.

Where is your ridiculous 55% non Yoruba coming from?

If na play make you stop am

For other states,it is 80 20 except ogun

fergie001:

Well anybody can say what they want.
I can't speak of other States but Lagos. Even in Lagos, my axis is where I concentrate on. You also know that what attracts them there is the presence of the Alaba International Market and the Trade Fair Complex which is heavily Igbo-dominated.

The Ojo/Amuwo area is a thickly non-indigenous populated area of the State. The problem they have as in other years is, they don't come out to vote. They threaten every election cycle and back down save for 2015, yet PDP wins the LGA, now the PDP Candidate is even from that LGA.

The only chance APC has there is if PDP slashes votes with LP. Other LGAs, I cannot beat my chest to say.

May God bless you for this your unbais view

Enyimbafc:
Otondo,apart lagos which has the whole tribes in it,The five core yoruba states have the lowest number of registered voters in Nigeria among the six regions of the country.

This is another big lie. Bring out your record and let see register voters of Oyo, Osun and even Ondo. Why do you guys lie like this?

pseudaria:


Na so una talk yet pdp beat una for Oyo and ondo in 2019. If it were osinbajo on the ballot, then I will be sure of landslide but tinubu is hated by all of people in SW he just has money and agbero to intimidate. Do you think akeredolu fayemi and amosun like tinubu even abiodun are just playing is just playing to the gallery coupled with a Muslim-muslim ticket and obi on the ballot, there will be no landslide, it will be marginal between tinubu and obi

Tinubu hated by all people in southwest?
Why are you guys so ooo delusionally stupid!!!!


The same lame and stupid analysis you made before APC primary..especially how Tinubu will decamp to SDP and Amaechi is the annointed and how Peter obi will emerge in PDP especially the fantom kwankwaso/obi alliance that never happened.


You don't learn from history. When everything you delusionally wish never happens you will start singing new songs.


You guys get to shame,I swear

Salvador1:
Lagos
Atiku 25%
Obi 35%
Oyo
Atiku 35%
Obi 20%
Osun
Atiku 35%
Obi 15%
Ondo
Atiku 40%
Obi 28%
Ekiti
Atiku 25%
Obi 11%
Ogun
Atiku 38%
Obi 22%

You think Tinubu will get only 40% of Lagos votes?

Shayetet13:


Igbos voted Obasanjo. Are you more yoruba than Obasanjo? More so, since Igbos voted Obasanjo, Yorubas have not yet returned the favour... I'd hope that's the honorable thing to do

You voted pdp not Yorùbá.

EzeAnambra:
Did I mention any name? Is Atiku not contesting? The Quote is for True Omoluabi Sons and daughters.
Finally,The Quote is from Olaniyi An intelligent Man

Oh Olaniyi is an intelligent man and he can not be wrong......perhap others aspirant are saint cos that statement was made by an intelligent man.

Enyimbafc:
Otondo,apart lagos which has the whole tribes in it,The five core yoruba states have the lowest number of registered voters in Nigeria among the six regions of the country.

Lie bursted.

Oyo state is number 7 among highest registered voters in Nigeria presently ahead of any state from SE.

Ttalk:


This is another big lie. Bring out your record and let see register voters of Oyo, Osun and even Ondo. Why do you guys lie like this?

SW register voters ogun 2,375,003,ondo 1,822346,osun 1,680,498,oyo 2,934,107,ekiti 909,967 TOTAL 9,721,921 SE register voters abia 1,932,892,anambra 2,447,996,ebonyi 1,459,933,enugu 1,944,016,imo 2,272,293 TOTAL 10,057,131.Mind u many igbos and other non indigenes also register in those 5 core yoruba states.

seunmsg:


Even Seyi Makinde will work for Tinubu low key. His absence yesterday at Osun state rally says it all. Tinubu should get about 80% in Oyo state.

You are unbelievably ignorant. Tinubu get 80% in Oyo state?

So, Seyi Makinde will sabotage his Senate and HOR candidates to support your old and corrupt thief? Continue with your delusion.

Tinubu will win Oyo state but he won't win convincingly like you are suggesting.

fergie001:
25%:
PDP - (Lagos, Ondo & Oyo);

LP - (Lagos)

Lagos - One will likely drop cos they will slash their votes.

If PDP wins Osun Tomorrow, Atiku should get 25% + in Osun state easily in 2023. Can even go as high as 35% to 40%.

DontBullshitMe:

If PDP wins Osun Tomorrow, Atiku should get 25% + in Osun state easily in 2023. Can even go as high as 35% to 40%.

I think that is a local election & will not really reflect how the Presidential will hold.
Tomorrow 's contest is too open unlike Ekiti.

Salvador1:
Lagos
Atiku 25%
Obi 35%
Oyo
Atiku 35%
Obi 20%
Osun
Atiku 35%
Obi 15%
Ondo
Atiku 40%
Obi 28%
Ekiti
Atiku 25%
Obi 11%
Ogun
Atiku 38%
Obi 22%

disOBIdients miscreants are mathematically very stupid. They are just awarding 60% of the whole SW to PityObi. Sometimes, when you dream unrealistic dreams, you end of with big heartattack

FreeStuffsNG:

All the factors at play during gubernatorial election in Oyo of 2019 election are missing in this election and to add icing to the cake, HE Makinde is not campaigning for HE Atiku even till date. He won't risk all his political goodwill for Atiku's PDP against Asiwaju Tinubu. Politics is local

The reason he is not campaigning for Atiku is because he is wike man not because of tinubu. The factors at play in this election will even have more damaging effect on tinubu than 2019. I can assure you it will not be a landslide

pseudaria:


The reason he is not campaigning for Atiku is because he is wike man not because of tinubu. The factors at play in this election will even have more damaging effect on tinubu than 2019. I can assure you it will not be a landslide

There is no factor against him. You online /twitter folks are completely out of tune with reality and I hope you do not take important personal life decisions with this twtter format or binocular you are using.

Basic123:

Tinubu hated by all people in southwest?
Why are you guys so ooo delusionally stupid!!!!


The same lame and stupid analysis you made before APC primary..especially how Tinubu will decamp to SDP and Amaechi is the annointed and how Peter obi will emerge in PDP especially the fantom kwankwaso/obi alliance that never happened.


You don't learn from history. When everything you delusionally wish never happens you will start singing new songs.


You guys get to shame,I swear

You are the delusional one here. I stated clearly tinubu is not loved, yorubas prefer osinbajo. Tinubu is just like saraki in kwara, everybody thought kwarans loved him until otoge. Politicians like fayemi akeredolu aregbesola abiodun even fashola dislike tinubu but are afraid to challenge him due to his war chest of illicit wealth and huge supply of deadly thugs. He uses these tools to his advantage and reigns supreme in SW but the people including the obas don't like him. Simple truth

Gbagura:
You voted pdp not Yorùbá.

Stop shifting the goal post. Is Obasanjo Yoruba or not? That is the question

IgweOfNnewi:
Pipe dream, if only Tinubu will receive 50% of Igbo land votes, you can't be tribalist and expect people not to checkmate you, cheap blackmail Will not work

People are not voting based on trabal base. We are all tired of APC. Even you a Yoruba did not enjoy the last 8 years. Doing the same thing and expecting a different result is called insanity

eyeforeye:


Obi is not my choice of candidate, I'd prefer soludo, Umahi or Geoffrey onyeama, those are the libra igbo men. Obi look like a pretender who will not change nada

Don't be shocked if he later become a minister under tinubu administration.

You know Obi is not the issue for you. The issue for you is that you dislike Igbos. Now that I have pointed out how Igbos chose a yoruba man over their own son, you are now shifting the goal post. The truth is; if Soludo, Umahi and Onyema were in the ballot as at this day, your attitude would remain the same.

Salvador1:
Lagos
Atiku 25%
Obi 35%
Oyo
Atiku 35%
Obi 20%
Osun
Atiku 35%
Obi 15%
Ondo
Atiku 40%
Obi 28%
Ekiti
Atiku 25%
Obi 11%
Ogun
Atiku 38%
Obi 22%

Lol. Na Basket mouth or AY be this? Comedian things lol. Nothing in the SW for Atiku talk less of IPOB candidate Obi. Tinubu is the greatest Yoruba Politician alive today.

I expect him to show that greatness to naive and idealist folks who do not understand what decades of solid and fervent investment in Nigerian politics buys an individual.

Ruggedniggaone:
the Is realistic unlike the gibberish that garfield dey post up and down

realistic that Tinubu will have less than 70% of votes in a Yoruba state? Really? I'm a seyi Makinde fan, but even he won't doubt that Tinubu will win his state in a presidential election. Common now.

[quote author=FreeStuffsNG post=114764054]
There is no factor against him. You online /twitter folks are completely out of tune with reality and I hope you do not take important personal life decisions with this twtter format or binocular you are using.[/quote
The reality is sentiment shapes politics. Ur candidate is unsellable and so therefore will need a lot of financial inducement and ethnic coloring to win heavily minus the Muslim-muslim ticket with a terrorist sympathiser as vp, turnout will not be heavy for you guys. Take a cue from the Edo gov election. Stop using 2015-2019 permutations, alot of things have changed

pseudaria:


The reason he is not campaigning for Atiku is because he is wike man not because of tinubu. The factors at play in this election will even have more damaging effect on tinubu than 2019. I can assure you it will not be a landslide

See, i'll advise other parties not to campaign in SW. Even obi, as unpopular as he is amongst grassroot, will have more vote than ATIKU. Anyone can win the presidential election, but in SW? Tinubu will def have a landslide.

pseudaria:


You are the delusional one here. I stated clearly tinubu is not loved, yorubas prefer osinbajo. Tinubu is just like saraki in kwara, everybody thought kwarans loved him until otoge. Politicians like fayemi akeredolu aregbesola abiodun even fashola dislike tinubu but are afraid to challenge him due to his war chest of illicit wealth and huge supply of deadly thugs. He uses these tools to his advantage and reigns supreme in SW but the people including the obas don't like him. Simple truth

you only ended proving you are more deluded than I imagined!
And I gave example of your past delusion and this is not an exception

Shayetet13:


You know Obi is not the issue for you. The issue for you is that you dislike Igbos. Now that I have pointed out how Igbos chose a yoruba man over their own son, you are now shifting the goal post. The truth is; if Soludo, Umahi and Onyema were in the ballot as at this day, your attitude would remain the same.

Abeg spare us the pretense. Do you know any single Nigerian, not Igbo or Yoruba, who can tell you Igbos love or support Yorubas let alone mean them well?

Don't kid yourself. Even aliens from Mars and Jupiter are well aware of the hate, envy and bad blood Igbos host in their heart for Yorubas.

Let's not kid ourselves. There is nothing like love of Nigeria in the support you IPOBians are showing for Obi. We will meet you at the polls and you will cry us a river after you lose again.

I expect the resurrection of your "Biafra or death" noise once Tinubu is sworn in after May 29th 2023.

Upworkwriter007:
realistic that Tinubu will have less than 70% of votes in a Yoruba state? Really? I'm a seyi Makinde fan, but even he won't doubt that Tinubu will win his state in a presidential election. Common now.

Seyi Makinde sef is solidly behind Tinubu for the presidential election. Fayose has stuck a finger up openly at Atiku and PDP. Bode George sef done sempe after being told to chill.

All Yoruba leaders are putting political affiliations aside for a choice they view as existential and the only one that can restore the greatness of SW and Nigeria at large.

IgweOfNnewi:
Pipe dream, if only Tinubu will receive 50% of Igbo land votes, you can't be tribalist and expect people not to checkmate you, cheap blackmail Will not work

You’re supporting Tinubu but you’re not tribalistic, I’m supporting Obi but I’m tribalistic, Abeg where them manufacture una mumuness and hypocrisy?

FreeStuffsNG:
Asiwaju is on the ballot this time. That make a whole lot of difference. That is why his opponents were in morbid fear of him getting the APC ticket and were playing infantile pranks thinking we will be naive enough to back someone else from the SW.

He is the most brilliant, most competent and most capable of all the Presidential candidates.
Coincidentally, Asiwaju Tinubu is from the SW so It will be an epic massive landslide bloc votes for Asiwaju in the SW.

Others won't get up to 25%. That is why nobody is wasting time on Twitter engaging those with minority votes or no vote. The Igbo are the loudest against Asiwaju Tinubu because he is not Igbo and a Christian.

Fortunately for Asiwaju, the Igbo population is a minority population which has been inflated over the years , 80% of Igbo population live in the 5 Igbo SE states while only 20% of Igbo live outside the SE. Most of this 20% live in Rivers, Delta, Benue and Kogi states bordering our 5 Igbo SE states leaving only few living in the SW to vote for PDP and other mushroom parties. The politicians have this data from the clean data captured from biometrics and demograhic information linked to NIN, INEC register and registered GSM numbers. OUK tactically alluded to this in one of his interviews.

Massive votes for Asiwaju Tinubu is a done and dusted deal for Asiwaju in his SW zone as he has no opponent from the SW unlike HE Atiku having Asiwaju's deputy slugging it out with him in the NE.

PDP may enjoy noticeable number of votes in Lagos and Oyo. No show for other mushroom parties.

There is a peculiar way election runs in the SW and it will come to full glare when the results roll in.

Those guys contesting against Asiwaju are getting, pata pata, not more than 5% or less of the SW votes.
Meanwhile, if you want free business ideas and directory of money sources, please check my signature. Cheers.

You’re dull and so is your analysis.
If you had sense you’d know that in all states of the federation, after the indigenous population, the next populated tribe is the Igbo’s even in your Lagos,SW Kano etc.
So what are you ranting about over bloated figures?

garfield1:


Igbos always vote against him.Christian votes will be divided

Not this time around igbo will vote enmass for him even those in APC, I don't see where any other party will get 25% in SE. SS votes will equally be shared with him getting majority over atiku. Christian votes might be divided but a large chunk will go to him.
The election is btwn LP & PDP. APC is already out b4 they even started. Lol.

If you belief Tinubu can get 50% in south east states then I will take your analysis serious