M4A1carbine:
He cant get even 15%...OBI will ganner more votes than Tinubu in the North.

In the SW he is not even sure of 100%...even OSUN State is a pointer, but zombies dont learn...

will tinubu ganner more votes than atiku??

yyba:
Gaskiya kan OBI will ganner more votes in the north than TINUBU on social media

M4A1carbine:
will tinubu ganner more votes than atiku??

Even shettima know say Tinubu na place holder...

yyba:
go and ask DINO MELAYE

M4A1carbine:
Even shettima know say Tinubu na place holder...

tctrills:
Tinubu needs to score more votes than Atiku and Kwankwaso in the north if he must win the upcoming election. Everything is possible in politics but how likely is this? He has about 14 APC northerner governors on his side. But would the North listen to their governors and vote again for APC?
No southerner has ever won the presidential election in about 11 of these states since 2003. Would Tinubu be able to change all that?
Also, would president Buhari be able to affect the election results? This would be an uphill task.

Zionmdde:
The truth is, northerners won't vote tinubu. That's what tinubu supporters don't know. I interact a lot with northerners they are very quiet in terms of their choice but if u enter them well, they will tell u they won't vote tinubu and leave it at that.

Atiku might have a higher chance of winning this election than tinubu. The only hope tinubu has is SW and Borno. Atiku has NE, NW, Obi has SE and SS. NC is a battle ground between the 3. Obi has the upper hand in NC because he is the only Christian candidate

The only thing working against obi is the population of voters in SE and this ipob rubbish that might disrupt elections there

Megabig:

Succinctly said, I told someone it’s a huge problem if Kwankwaso remains in the race because that will disrupt northern votes for Atiku at least, Northerners will not vote APC for presidency the way APC members are thinking,would have been a landslide and very low turnout if Obi wasn’t contesting because the choice of the people would have been limited to mostly two which will grant Atiku a quick win, this election will be tough on everyone.
1.There is a large turn-out mostly for Obi
2.Economic failure against APC favors Obi and Atiku
3. Large educated populace favoring Obi as well
4. New electoral law of direct upload and auto verification(Parties are left with option of vote buying if the people accepts.

It will indeed be a very interesting election

slivertongue:



would the North listen to their governors and vote again for APC?

Serious question

Aufbauh:



The problem with someone of you guys is that you'all use your emotion to make analysis.

The fact & record remains that:
1) Some people mostly the unedited rural voters who are in the majority will still vote along party line.

2) Every sitting Governor's party has
always come second at least in every general election.

3) Every sitting Governor has always manage to secure at least 40-45% vote for his party especially up north.

4) Presidential elections are won by mostly uneducated rural voters and not the noisy educated populace.

5) Election results are determined by what happened on the election day & not the perennial optics.

6) Nigeria politicians will always find their way around any new created law or act.

Aufbauh:



The problem with someone of you guys is that you'all use your emotion to make analysis.

The fact & record remains that:
1) Some people mostly the unedited rural voters who are in the majority will still vote along party line.

2) Every sitting Governor's party has
always come second at least in every general election.

3) Every sitting Governor has always manage to secure at least 40-45% vote for his party especially up north.

4) Presidential elections are won by mostly uneducated rural voters and not the noisy educated populace.

5) Election results are determined by what happened on the election day & not the perennial optics.

6) Nigeria politicians will always find their way around any new created law or act.

M4A1carbine:
He cant get even 15%...OBI will ganner more votes than Tinubu in the North.

In the SW he is not even sure of 100%...even OSUN State is a pointer, but zombies dont learn...

Zionmdde:
The truth is, northerners won't vote tinubu. That's what tinubu supporters don't know. I interact a lot with northerners they are very quiet in terms of their choice but if u enter them well, they will tell u they won't vote tinubu and leave it at that.

Atiku might have a higher chance of winning this election than tinubu. The only hope tinubu has is SW and Borno. Atiku has NE, NW, Obi has SE and SS. NC is a battle ground between the 3. Obi has the upper hand in NC because he is the only Christian candidate

The only thing working against obi is the population of voters in SE and this ipob rubbish that might disrupt elections there

tctrills:

You are wrong with your stats.
Let's look at 2015 election.
Gombe had a PDP gov yet the scored less than 20 percent in presidential.
Same with Jigawa, PDP had about 15%

Check also Kastina and kebbi
Kaduna, less than 30%
The opposite happened in Rivers state. APC governor yet APC had less than 5%.
Please get your facts right and stop being sentimental.

Hoelujohn:

Number 3 na rubbish oga. Please ask Northern PDP governors in 2015. Some of them couldn't give Jonathan 10%. Tinubu will struggle to get 20% in the North. Na dragging between him and Kwankwanso for 2nd position in the North
Check out the result

Aufbauh:


You must be one of the followers of the man with fake statistics Pitopi, who's ignorantly confident to tell us to go & verify.

So in 2015 Kwankwaso as the governor of kano state is a PDP member? Haba!
Go & check the presidential election result of Gombe state 2015 and find out it percentage of total vote cast.

I did my checking already so my record & fact is clear. However the zoning issue was a strong sentiment in the north 2015 which make some of the PDP governors there work against their party.

If through out the history of Nigeria presidential you could only isolate 2015 election then my fact is stronger than ur rebuttal.

I believed you could not fault or disproved that no sitting Governor's party come third in any presidential election in their respective state.

M4A1carbine:
He cant get even 15%...OBI will ganner more votes than Tinubu in the North.

In the SW he is not even sure of 100%...even OSUN State is a pointer, but zombies dont learn...

tctrills:
Tinubu needs to score more votes than Atiku and Kwankwaso in the north if he must win the upcoming election. Everything is possible in politics but how likely is this? He has about 14 APC northerner governors on his side. But would the North listen to their governors and vote again for APC?
No southerner has ever won the presidential election in about 11 of these states since 2003. Would Tinubu be able to change all that?
Also, would president Buhari be able to affect the election results? This would be an uphill task.

Megabig:

Succinctly said, I told someone it’s a huge problem if Kwankwaso remains in the race because that will disrupt northern votes for Atiku at least, Northerners will not vote APC for presidency the way APC members are thinking,would have been a landslide and very low turnout if Obi wasn’t contesting because the choice of the people would have been limited to mostly two which will grant Atiku a quick win, this election will be tough on everyone.
1.There is a large turn-out mostly for Obi
2.Economic failure against APC favors Obi and Atiku
3. Large educated populace favoring Obi as well
4. New electoral law of direct upload and auto verification(Parties are left with option of vote buying if the people accepts.

It will indeed be a very interesting election

Zionmdde:
The truth is, northerners won't vote tinubu. That's what tinubu supporters don't know. I interact a lot with northerners they are very quiet in terms of their choice but if u enter them well, they will tell u they won't vote tinubu and leave it at that.

Atiku might have a higher chance of winning this election than tinubu. The only hope tinubu has is SW and Borno. Atiku has NE, NW, Obi has SE and SS. NC is a battle ground between the 3. Obi has the upper hand in NC because he is the only Christian candidate

The only thing working against obi is the population of voters in SE and this ipob rubbish that might disrupt elections there

ItsTutsi:
Lol you guys desperately try to claim you know how northerns votes and keep failing woefully.. that's why each election circle u keep getting wrong and then u propagate election rigging!!

1- the north knows kwankwasso won't go far, hence, won't waste their votes on him. His best outing will be in kano and Kaduna, it stops there

2- the likes of Buhari, El-Rufai, shettima, zulum, ganduje, shekarau, yerima etc are top notch grass root politicians who are on ground

3- 70% of elections in the north are done and won in rural areas.. those villagers only know PDP and APC

you don't know anything about how northerners vote apart from what u hear and see from social media!! Don't let all that 1million March and burning of brooms deceive u.. just like SARKI, when jungle matures, everyone region will go back to its base

Abdu81:


The south east will vote massively without interference.

famouscargo4u:


Most of the outgoing governors are contesting to be a senator and they are guaranteed victory ti a large extent. Knowing that the action of the senate and president hold same day, it will be a plus for him. And he has been campaigning in the remote northern states. His major problem is Rabiu Kwankwaso and not even Atiku.

Megabig:

Succinctly said, I told someone it’s a huge problem if Kwankwaso remains in the race because that will disrupt northern votes for Atiku at least, Northerners will not vote APC for presidency the way APC members are thinking,would have been a landslide and very low turnout if Obi wasn’t contesting because the choice of the people would have been limited to mostly two which will grant Atiku a quick win, this election will be tough on everyone.
1.There is a large turn-out mostly for Obi
2.Economic failure against APC favors Obi and Atiku
3. Large educated populace favoring Obi as well
4. New electoral law of direct upload and auto verification(Parties are left with option of vote buying if the people accepts.

It will indeed be a very interesting election

ItsTutsi:
Lol you guys desperately try to claim you know how northerns votes and keep failing woefully.. that's why each election circle u keep getting wrong and then u propagate election rigging!!

1- the north knows kwankwasso won't go far, hence, won't waste their votes on him. His best outing will be in kano and Kaduna, it stops there

2- the likes of Buhari, El-Rufai, shettima, zulum, ganduje, shekarau, yerima etc are top notch grass root politicians who are on ground

3- 70% of elections in the north are done and won in rural areas.. those villagers only know PDP and APC

you don't know anything about how northerners vote apart from what u hear and see from social media!! Don't let all that 1million March and burning of brooms deceive u.. just like SARKI, when jungle matures, everyone region will go back to its base

Aufbauh:




The collective agitation for zoning among the northern elites & the commoners was a very strong sentiment in the north 2015 which make some of the PDP governors there work against their party. This is on record as some of them were accused after the election, so if you're ignorant of this then you're a baby in political analysis.

However If through out the history of Nigeria presidential election you could only isolate 2015 election then my fact is stronger than ur rebuttal.

I believed you could not fault or disproved that no sitting Governor's party come third in any presidential election in their respective state

ItsTutsi:
Lol you guys desperately try to claim you know how northerns votes and keep failing woefully.. that's why each election circle u keep getting wrong and then u propagate election rigging!!

1- the north knows kwankwasso won't go far, hence, won't waste their votes on him. His best outing will be in kano and Kaduna, it stops there

2- the likes of Buhari, El-Rufai, shettima, zulum, ganduje, shekarau, yerima etc are top notch grass root politicians who are on ground

3- 70% of elections in the north are done and won in rural areas.. those villagers only know PDP and APC

you don't know anything about how northerners vote apart from what u hear and see from social media!! Don't let all that 1million March and burning of brooms deceive u.. just like SARKI, when jungle matures, everyone region will go back to its base

tctrills:

It's obvious that you are not from the north and you have not been there in a long time. But you could at least call a friend to know 5he mood in the north.
Mention one northern state were Tinubu is popular? I am not counting Kwara.
Be asking people that live or do business there before writing these things.
You would hardly see a Tinubu supporter on the streets of Kano, Kastina or Kaduna