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Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election - Politics (4) - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election (4089 Views)

Daniel Bwala: Atiku Has Inherited Buhari’s 12 Million Northern Votes / Tinubu Needs Rivers Votes, Not Logistics Support, Umahi Woos Wike / 2023 Presidency: Atiku, Tinubu, Obi Begin Real Battle For Northern Votes (2) (3) (4)

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Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 10:53am On Aug 25, 2022
SU50:


A Buhari that has failed massively.

They don't care,they love him still
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 10:54am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Atiku needs to win massively in the north, that's the problem, because PO is playing spoiler in SE/SS where Atiku should have been a natural beneficiary of votes

Only buhari can win the north massively
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 10:55am On Aug 25, 2022
famouscargo4u:

Yes, he will. Rabiu will get the most votes from the north. Not like Atiku is walk over though but Tinubu will marginally get more votes than Atiku. In the rural villages,

Kwankwaso is not going anywhere, in as much as a big politician, he knows and northerners know that he is not going anywhere, so voting him is a waste of vote. He might win in a state or two, get some few thousand votes in other places, that's that. Kwakwaso won't even come near atiku, I doubt Tinubu too.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 10:57am On Aug 25, 2022
garfield1:


They don't care,they love him still

They care, I am one of them. At a time it was an abomination to say any negative against buhari but things have changed to the extent that people use buhari to form jokes and everything. Things have changed big time.

I know people that before won't even mention the name Atiku, but today they are die hards of Atiku.

Truth is, almost everyone dissatisfied with the current arrangement in the north will look at the PDP direction, and believe me, there are lots of them.

Thisdays, its even difficult to see a die hard of APC especially at the national levels, they may support governors, senators and rep members, but that's that for most people.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by tctrills: 10:59am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Atiku needs to win massively in the north, that's the problem, because PO is playing spoiler in SE/SS where Atiku should have been a natural beneficiary of votes
In the north, we have 3 voting blocks
1. The core north that would vote for a northern Muslim no matter what. They make up 60%
2. The northern Christians, make up 20 to 25%
3. The more political and swing votes make up 15 to 20%

APC would be lucky to score 30% of the votes in a free and fair election. The average Northerner is excited by an opportunity to rule.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by famouscargo4u: 11:02am On Aug 25, 2022
SU50:


Kwankwaso is not going anywhere, in as much as a big politician, he knows and northerners know that he is not going anywhere, so voting him is a waste of vote. He might win in a state or two, get some few thousand votes in other places, that's that. Kwakwaso won't even come near atiku, I doubt Tinubu too.

Na you dey think that way o, they're not. Did you see the crowd that met him in Bauchi? I agree with you in a way sha. Tinubu is not supposed to even get much votes but his advantage is inheriting the votes of strong APC candidates vying for senate and House of reps in the north.

1 Like

Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by Bomboiy: 11:04am On Aug 25, 2022
SU50:


Atiku will clear the north by not less than 3m votes, the battle ground is not even north but SS. North + NC is to a large extent decided, SW is decided, SE is split, SS will break the the tie.

SE is split between who and who?
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 11:04am On Aug 25, 2022
SU50:


They care, I am one of them. At a time it was an abomination to say any negative against buhari but things have changed to the extent that people use buhari to form jokes and everything. Things have changed big time.

I know people that before won't even mention the name Atiku, but today they are die hards of Atiku.

Truth is, almost everyone dissatisfied with the current arrangement in the north will look at the PDP direction, and believe me, there are lots of them.

Thisdays, its even difficult to see a die hard of APC especially at the national levels, they may support governors, senators and rep members, but that's that for most people.

Atiku does not have enough to win
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by Ibadanpikin: 11:05am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Atiku needs to win massively in the north, that's the problem, because PO is playing spoiler in SE/SS where Atiku should have been a natural beneficiary of votes
I know about more than 20 muslim people who reside in jos north from Talata mafara non of them is supporting tinubu.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by tctrills: 11:06am On Aug 25, 2022
famouscargo4u:


Na you dey think that way o, they're not. Did you see the crowd that met him in Bauchi? I agree with you in a way sha. Tinubu is not supposed to even get much votes but his advantage is inheriting the votes of strong APC candidates vying for senate and House of reps in the north.
That is actually APC's only hope. That other PC candidates would rub off on the presidential. It is not mostly like that. We have seen states vote for PDP governor and Buhari in the presidential. It happened in 2007, 2011, and even 2019.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 11:06am On Aug 25, 2022
garfield1:


He is too popular in kano compared to tinubu and atiku.it will be kwankwaso 1 mil,tinubu 600,@tiku 400

You've got to be joking, APC won't see that much votes, this battle will be between kwakwaso and atiku, Ganduje is fighting the political battle of his life, some of us saw that way back in 2019 when he was bringing dick and harry into the party and trying to make them relevant in order to defeat Abba Gida Gida. Now the party is on self destruct mode, everyone hacking at his brother's.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by tctrills: 11:06am On Aug 25, 2022
famouscargo4u:


Na you dey think that way o, they're not. Did you see the crowd that met him in Bauchi? I agree with you in a way sha. Tinubu is not supposed to even get much votes but his advantage is inheriting the votes of strong APC candidates vying for senate and House of reps in the north.
That is actually APC's only hope. That other PC candidates would rub off on the presidential. It is not mostly like that. We have seen states vote for the PDP governor and Buhari in the presidential. It happened in 2007, 2011, and even 2019.

1 Like

Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 11:09am On Aug 25, 2022
garfield1:


Atiku does not have enough to win

Atiku has more than enough, the only thing that will work against him in my opinion is his laid back approach, pulling strings from behind the scenes, he needs to be up and doing, cases study current rivers brouhaha. It should have been over a long time ago, country your chickens and move forward, not rely on the crackhead wike.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 11:12am On Aug 25, 2022
Bomboiy:


SE is split between who and who?

With all the noise and hype, PDP will still have a good outing there.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 11:13am On Aug 25, 2022
SU50:


You've got to be joking, APC won't see that much votes, this battle will be between kwakwaso and atiku, Ganduje is fighting the political battle of his life, some of us saw that way back in 2019 when he was bringing dick and harry into the party and trying to make them relevant in order to defeat Abba Gida Gida. Now the party is on self destruct mode, everyone hacking at his brother's.

Abba gida was strong because of kwankwaso.ganduje is not contesting for anything so he is relaxed and focusing on tinubu.shekarau that left apc is now regretting.pdp in kano is empty,they have two candidates. Infact,kwankwaso still has a large influence on kano pdp.in nigeria politics,popularity is not enough.you need strong structures.in kano,it is nnpp vs apc.pdp is dead
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 11:16am On Aug 25, 2022
Thing is, apart from a few States in the north like zamafara, borno and yobe, the rest of the north is quite radical in its voting approach, and once the sense failure, it will be very difficult for any Governor or big wig to influence their voting pattern. Most of these candidates are going to be all man for himself set, secure their seats and let other candidates do such for themselves.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by Bomboiy: 11:16am On Aug 25, 2022
SU50:


With all the noise and hype, PDP will still have a good outing there.

Your are a Northerner but you are telling me who will have a good outing in my state?


You better focus your attention on the north because there's no way Atiku is getting anything tangible from SE.

1 Like

Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by Ibadanpikin: 11:17am On Aug 25, 2022
SU50:


Atiku will clear the north by not less than 3m votes, the battle ground is not even north but SS. North + NC is to a large extent decided, SW is decided, SE is split, SS will break the the tie.
Do u mean south easterners are fools if atiku a fulani and tinubu could win their regions,then it is igbos in se who have 2% muslims within them that will split there votes when a christain and there son is competing.SS are christains,the will not leave a popular christain and then vote muslims whom the see as terrorists.2023 majority christains will vote a christain a muslim will not hand power to a muslim.Nigeria is not iraq or saudi arabia.

2 Likes

Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 11:18am On Aug 25, 2022
SU50:


Atiku has more than enough, the only thing that will work against him in my opinion is his laid back approach, pulling strings from behind the scenes, he needs to be up and doing, cases study current rivers brouhaha. It should have been over a long time ago, country your chickens and move forward, not rely on the crackhead wike.

He's laid back approach is why he wouldn't win.tinubu is never laid back,he is always in the front foot,always on the move.look at how he resisted pdp in 2003,formed acn,took over south west,helped to form apc and won the primaries with ease.look at how he aligned with magnus Abe in rivers and now negotiating with wike...
Atiku doesnt have enough.he is not popular like buhari,the talakawas dont like him like buhari and kwankwaso, he struggles to control Adamawa,doesbt have foot soldiers like tinubu,does not have alliances with other parties,his base in ss/se is being decimated by obi.he doesn't have as much funds as tinubu.in many parts of the north,pdp is weak.

1 Like

Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by Bomboiy: 11:19am On Aug 25, 2022
Ibadanpikin:
Do u mean south easterners are fools if atiku a fulani and tinubu could win their regions,then it is igbos in se who have 2% muslims within them that will split there votes when a christain and there son is competing.SS are christains,the will not leave a popular christain and then vote muslims whom the see as terrorists.2023 majority christains will vote a christain a muslim will not hand power to a muslim.Nigeria is not iraq or saudi arabia.

Don't mind him, imagine saying SE is split.

And that individual is from the north, person wey fit never cross river Niger before. It is election season everyone is giving permutations.

igbos are fools that will leave PO and vote for a Fulani to continue from another Fulani.

2 Likes

Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 11:21am On Aug 25, 2022
garfield1:


Abba gida was strong because of kwankwaso.ganduje is not contesting for anything so he is relaxed and focusing on tinubu.shekarau that left apc is now regretting.pdp in kano is empty,they have two candidates. Infact,kwankwaso still has a large influence on kano pdp.in nigeria politics,popularity is not enough.you need strong structures.in kano,it is nnpp vs apc.pdp is dead

The election the state level(in kano) is going to be Gida Gida and gawuna, while at the national level kwakwaso, atiku and tinubu. Kwakwaso is not in the presidential race to win, he knows it, his major aim is kano governorship which his candidate is quite likely to clinch.

As for PDP, they are not winning the state, they know that, but they will have good showing at the presidential and that's shekarau's bet, that's why he is giving up an almost automatic ticket (he is very likely to win hands down) to the senate to campaign for atiku.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by Ibadanpikin: 11:22am On Aug 25, 2022
SU50:


Kwankwaso is not going anywhere, in as much as a big politician, he knows and northerners know that he is not going anywhere, so voting him is a waste of vote. He might win in a state or two, get some few thousand votes in other places, that's that. Kwakwaso won't even come near atiku, I doubt Tinubu too.
We want kwankwaso there let him split muslim and northern votes while majority christains vote there popular candidate.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by Ibadanpikin: 11:24am On Aug 25, 2022
Bomboiy:


Don't mind him, imagine saying SE is split.

And that individual is from the north, person wey fit never cross river Niger before. It is election season everyone is giving permutations.

igbos are fools that will leave PO and vote for a Fulani to continue from another Fulani.
My brother don't mind that terrorist idiot.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by M4A1carbine: 11:24am On Aug 25, 2022
JAGADEATH of Borgu...oniranu ni. grin grin grin grin

9jii:

Sannu! OBItuary
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 11:26am On Aug 25, 2022
Bomboiy:


Your are a Northerner but you are telling me who will have a good outing in my state?


You better focus your attention on the north because there's no way Atiku is getting anything tangible from SE.

Just talking about antecedents.

Why do you think tinubu is not putting his mind to the south east and only giving mild attention to the SS?

SS is a PDP zone. Wike should try crossing to the APC to sell tinubu now. Where is akpabio? Despite osho and obaseki, APC couldn't win Edo in 2015 and 2019.

As for SE, there are still very strong PDP men there, and PDP is still popular in certain places there. Even if obi garners votes (assume majority), the next possible outcome is PDP will come second.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 11:27am On Aug 25, 2022
SU50:


The election the state level(in kano) is going to be Gida Gida and gawuna, while at the national level kwakwaso, atiku and tinubu. Kwakwaso is not in the presidential race to win, he knows it, his major aim is kano governorship which his candidate is quite likely to clinch.

As for PDP, they are not winning the state, they know that, but they will have good showing at the presidential and that's shekarau's bet, that's why he is giving up an almost automatic ticket (he is very likely to win hands down) to the senate to campaign for atiku.

Shekarau has not officially joined any party yet.he is still considering apc and pdp but he is not as strong as kwankwaso or ganduje.I believe Abba gida will win this time just as Ahmed aliyu will win sokoto.whether kwankwaso is serious about presidential or not,he will win kano.outside buhari,he is the most preferred.pdp cannot contend with the apc structure in kano plus kano is where Buhari always gets his highest votes.tinubu will take second. If kwankwaso was in apc or pdp,he will sweep the north like buhari but because nnpp is not strong,he cannot win.this is the problem pdp will face in zamfara,katsina,borno,yobe,kano,kebbi.on election day,you will be voting party symbols not names
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 11:29am On Aug 25, 2022
Ibadanpikin:
We want kwankwaso there let him split muslim and northern votes while majority christains vote there popular candidate.

Northerners are quite smart when it comes to these things, they are not given into hype and noise. Kwankwaso will get votes, but not enough to pose any threat, like I and others said on this thread, he might win in one state and get a few thousand votes here and there, nothing substantial. People know that he cannot win, so why waste votes on him?

In the north, its straight off between tinubu and atiku, nothing more.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by ItsTutsi(m): 11:33am On Aug 25, 2022
Lol may God spare our lives till election time, I'll remind u of this.. I like ur confidence, so defeat will be more shocking
SU50:


Atiku will clear the north by not less than 3m votes, the battle ground is not even north but SS. North + NC is to a large extent decided, SW is decided, SE is split, SS will break the the tie.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 11:33am On Aug 25, 2022
garfield1:


Shekarau has not officially joined any party yet.he is still considering apc and pdp but he is not as strong as kwankwaso or ganduje.I believe Abba gida will win this time just as Ahmed aliyu will win sokoto.whether kwankwaso is serious about presidential or not,he will win kano.outside buhari,he is the most preferred. pdp cannot contend with the apc structure in kano plus kano is where Buhari always gets his highest votes.tinubu will take second. If kwankwaso was in apc or pdp,he will sweep the north like buhari but because nnpp is not strong,he cannot win. 2. this is the problem pdp will face in zamfara,katsina,borno,yobe,kano,kebbi.on election day,you will be voting party symbols not names

A kano that has flipped already.

2. Buhari and apc is synanimous with public enemy number one. Most of those candidates for senate and reps will just fight their own battles, shikenan, APC wins presidential or not, not their problems.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 11:34am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Lol may God spare our lives till election time, I'll remind u of this.. I like ur confidence, so defeat will be more shocking

Mutumina kasan yadda voting pattern yake a dukka wuraren nan. By the way, mai sa kake supporting APC?
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by Ibadanpikin: 11:39am On Aug 25, 2022
SU50:


Northerners are quite smart when it comes to these things, they are not given into hype and noise. Kwankwaso will get votes, but not enough to pose any threat, like I and others said on this thread, he might win in one state and get a few thousand votes here and there, nothing substantial. People know that he cannot win, so why waste votes on him?

In the north, its straight off between tinubu and atiku, nothing more.
Then let atiku and tinubu destroy themselves with muslims vote in north we christains will vote our own.A muslim must hand power to a christain in 2023.Nigeria is not iraq nor saudi arabia

1 Like

Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 11:44am On Aug 25, 2022
SU50:


A kano that has flipped already.

2. Buhari and apc is synanimous with public enemy number one. Most of those candidates for senate and reps will just fight their own battles, shikenan, APC wins presidential or not, not their problems.

Kano cannot flip to pdp.it can only flip to a familiar person like kwankwaso because he is a factor in the state.atiku has never been a factors here.just as rivers,bayelsa,Enugu cannot flip to apc,kano,zamfara,katsina cannot flip to pdp...it will take years.
You said most of those candidates will fight for their local elections very true but the ones that are popular will still attract votes to apc.some of those voting for popular people like ado alhassan will vote tinubu by default.pdp does not have popular candidates like these that will attract votes for atiku.they only person they have is the guber candidate abacha who isn't very popular and he will only focus on his guber ambition.again,he has several court cases.ganduje is not contesting anything,he is focusing on gawuna and tinubu.nobody is fighting for atiku so you see atiku will fail here

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