Lagos - 7,075,192
Kano - 5,927,565
Kaduna - 4,345,469
Rivers -3,532,990
Katsina - 3,519,260
and Oyo - 3,275,045.

My analysis:
- All are APC controls states except Rivers and Oyo state.

River and Oyo state: are part of the G5 PDP states where the governors pulled out their support from Atiku's camp, thereby making it open-states.
But going by the gang leader of the G5 governors, Gov. Wike and also Gov. Seyi Makinde of Oyo state recent romance with the present government and APC as a party. APC is having 55% and 88% assurance of having majority votes from both River and Oyo state respectively.

Lagos- Home of the main presidential candidate Bola Tinubu, with 7million + voters registration. We should be expecting atleast 5million voters turnout in the state. It is all about protection of Pride this time. Going by Tinubu's political influence and the rate at which all opposition party suppporters in the state are aligning with his ambition. APC should be expecting 78% of the votes. That should be like approximately 4million votes from the 5million expected votes turn-out up for grab.

Kastina - Home of President Buhari, the majority votes here is non-negotiable. In 2019, out of 1.6m+ votes, Buhari took 1.2m+.
With buhari as the Chairman presidential campaign council for APC this time around, and also remember he made a pledge to be at the fore-front of it all. With his influence, APC should be expecting same outcome - over 85% of the votes are in the bag for APC already in thestate.e

Kaduna : will be a tight contest between PDP and APC. But with the political influence of El'rufai, and also with El'rufai knowing that him clinging on to the power he wields over there is paramount and also delivering Kaduna for Tinubu is all he have got left. 65% of the votes is expected from the state for APC.

Kano : votes will be shared between 3 parties - PDP , APC and NNPP. It is surely going to end up with APC 40% - PDP 35% and NNPP - 25% of the total votes cast.


All in all the expected voters turnout in each state should be approximately:
Lagos- 5m
kano - 3m
kaduna -3m
Rivers 2m
Oyo - 1.5m
Kastina - 2.5
Giving a total of 17m expected voters from across the 6 states.

We should be having an estimated vote return like this after voting across the 6 states.
SDP - 200k
APC - 9.5m
PDP - 3.8m
NNPP - 2.m
LP - 1.5m

Further Breakdown
NNPP - 2m votes across the 6 states will be coming from only kano, Kastina and kaduna... It will struggle for votes in River state, Oyo state and Lagos state.

SDP - 200k votes will be coming from OYO and part of Lagos. Relatively unknown in River state and in the Northern part (Kastina, Kano, kaduna)

PDP - 3.8m votes will be coming from all 6 states but majority of them from kano, Lagos and little from Kastina state. With issues ongoing in the PDP camp with Oyo and Rivers state governors involved, only few votes will be gotten from the two states.

APC - 9.5m votes will be coming from all 6 states, with majority from Kastina, Lagos, Kaduna, oyo and Substantial votes from Rivers... Kano will be tightly contested only few votes expected from there for the APC since the votes will be shared there across the three leading parties in the state ( APC ,PDP, NNPP)

LP - majority of the 1.5m votes will be gotten from Lagos, Rivers and southern kaduna only. The party is relatively unknown in the Northern region(Kano, kastina) and they will struggle to get any significant votes from OYO state, a southwest state.

kettykin:
Labor party is winning Rivers and Lagos State

kettykin:
Labor party is winning Rivers and Lagos State

Innocentman86:
Nonsense mummu post after eating Amala.
Who will vote for a sick theiff, kriminal,drug dealer,drug addict, illiterate and dying old foool who pee,vomit and pee on himself.

lhordspy:
Ahead of the 2023 general elections, analysis of the preliminary register reveals that six States of Lagos, Kano, Kaduna, Rivers, Katsina and Oyo have the highest registered voters.

Period007:
After Peter Obi massive show in Benue state today, Tinubu urchins are now doing analysis and statistics
This one na salt analysis

Period007:
After Peter Obi massive show in Benue state today, Tinubu urchins are now doing analysis and statistics
This one na salt analysis

post=118259330:

LP will win in Rivers and Lagos do credible well in Oyo go and mark it

post=118259358:
Kwankwaso will win in Kano, Kaduna and Kastina followed by Atiku, APC will be in third position in the three states

lhordspy:
Ahead of the 2023 general elections, analysis of the preliminary register reveals that six States of Lagos, Kano, Kaduna, Rivers, Katsina and Oyo have the highest registered voters.

kettykin:
Labor party is winning Rivers and Lagos State

buckeyemedia:
3 APC controlled States? Something is definitely wrong with you ipobians turned Obidients.

Kwankwaso will also win Enugu, Anambra & Abia State?

lhordspy:
Ahead of the 2023 general elections, analysis of the preliminary register reveals that six States of Lagos, Kano, Kaduna, Rivers, Katsina and Oyo have the highest registered voters.

lhordspy:


Mr man, you are dreaming. Forget Lagos state. With over 5million votes up for grab. You think tinubu will sit and watch some spoiler joke with it?

lhordspy:
Ahead of the 2023 general elections, analysis of the preliminary register reveals that six States of Lagos, Kano, Kaduna, Rivers, Katsina and Oyo have the highest registered voters.

buckeyemedia:
3 APC controlled States? Something is definitely wrong with you ipobians turned Obidients.

Kwankwaso will also win Enugu, Anambra & Abia State?

lhordspy:


You are free to dream.

StrongandMighty:
Junk analysis from the dustbin...

As you no see fake scanty photos to post about Obi's rally in benue today, you have to find something else to keep yourself busy

buckeyemedia:
The same people that voted for a dying Yaradua and a Mumu Jonathan.

buckeyemedia:
You will be residing in Awka and imagining nonsense?

Macphenson:


OP.u are pathetically delusional. Lagos state that Tinubu almost lost for Buhari last election is what APC is going to win?

Last Election, with Power of incumbency, both state and federal, Two bullion van and all the agberos, yet the difference between Buhari and Atiku is 100k votes

Gossipninja:


You know the m0ron very well

buckeyemedia:
Now ask yourself what is your idea of massive? You ipobians turned Obidients cannot stop deceiving yourselves.

buckeyemedia:
3 APC controlled States? Something is definitely wrong with you ipobians turned Obidients.

Kwankwaso will also win Enugu, Anambra & Abia State?

StrongandMighty:
Junk analysis from the dustbin...

As you no see fake scanty photos to post about Obi's rally in benue today, you have to find something else to keep yourself busy