₦airaland Forum

Justcul:
Because companies like TESLA, NIO, FCEL etc are utilizing Alternative energy and are changing the world

They are divesting smartly

locodemy:
Plz let's wait and see Transcorp results in the coming months. I will interested to gamble now because of the news and I will be interested to invest for long term when I see results.

One thing with political stocks is change of government always affect them negatively.

Let's see the bids and supply that follows this news from tomorrow . Above 100m bids signal strength while below 50m bids will not take it far.

Mcy56:
The move was very suspicious towards closing yesterday........
There's something brewing there......but some panicky itchy fingers rushed out to sell at 93-95.....
Whosoever wants to gamble should try and pick some units, let's see how it goes.......abeg note the word "gamble" there ooo.

Mcy56:
Transcorp again topped the volume chart for today.
2nd place to Zenith Yesterday.
So who are those buying this 'scam'?
Anyway, na Wetin I say make I come talk be that cos we dey monitor am.
Lol. Make Una no mind me o.

Mcy56:
TRANSCORP
Pre-market : 299M+ full bid @1.07 as at now......

I hope some Nsempas took the gamble when attention was called to it on Friday 15th..........

Danniee:
Me never see this kind bid oo, Transcorp 429M bid @ 1.07.
Dis don break roof oo.

Mcy56:
November 27, 2020.

longlife20:
264,852,740 bid this morning, thank God i bought some on thursday.

Danniee:
Me never see this kind bid oo, Transcorp 429M bid @ 1.07.
Dis don break roof oo.

samguru:
All of una in Transcorp bus, we wish you safe journey to your destinations.

Be generous to share your loots with us when you eventually get to your destinations.



I wish everyone bullish week.

Mcy56:
J-GOLD:. Almost full bid @1.67......FULL BID now!!

megawealth01:
We should see km3-5 soon... Hope una know say TONY sabi game... Check all his bags in NSE and see games

megawealth01:
We never reach the gold na... Abeg no allow people come attack us again

Heishere:
Has anybody received AIICO bonus?

Mcy56:
LIVESTOCK: @2.32 now......up with 21kobo!
Something must be happening in this stock!

SOVERNINS:. Full bid.......moved up.....
STI will move far in my opinion......

This is Penny Stock revolution......

The bids in TRANSCORP though!
30M, 40M, 50M, several 5M & 10M single bids!!!

Where is TradeRR ?

onegentleguy:
As @ Q1 2020, we mentioned on several occasions here that the insurance sector will be the next best place to be considering the positive impact recent policy shifts can have on it(planned recap exercise, CBNs dovish stand and other economic measures including the finance act of 2020)

I recall that was when I decided to gradually take position in some select names therein. A worthy move was accumulating 5M units each of AIICO, REGENCY ALLIANCE, MUTUAL BENEFITS and ROYAL EX and near 3.5M of LINKAGE for one chief I manage his portfolio seeing he was really quite liquid then. …with the middle 3 coys purchased @ a p/value of 20k, the 1st(aiico) @ a BEP of 61k and the last(linkage) @ 35k it was clear that capital yield can well come from cash flow accruals given they were broadly dividend paying assets.
With a few like REGENCY ALLIANCE having the best HPR with yield (@ circa 15% at the time) and healthy risk-reward ratio (BS position in view), there just couldn’t have been a better time!!
But more often than not, I was criticized each time I mentioned INSURANCE COYS. I remember how I had to leave a what’s-up forum following a rain of insult for daring to recommend 3 coys back then. I was called a chief MH for drawing folks attention to MUTUAL BENEFITS and LASACO after noticing that both coys had just witnessed a turning point(BS and CGP in view) and UNIONDAC for highlighting it as a possible rewarding buy-out candidate(EPA in view).
Most annoying was how the forum moderator (a member here) who was the one that 1st contacted me to join the said platform as an analyst/moderator also joined in the destructive criticism. Funny enough, none of those who criticized me could present proof to counter the analysis I had put up, so I had to leave. Time has since exonerated me!!

This is also part of the problems we face here. …it’s what some worthy members like mcy56, @rabbi, @megawealth and a few others face, and the reason I sometimes prefer to withhold certain sensitive information.
A case in point is JAPAULGOLD. After the coys much debated FP which saw a huddle with ACCESS BANK (then japauloil), I was asked for my opinion on the matter, to which I replied; No comment!!
In truth, I never covered the coy or had it on my watch list. ...but all that changed when a few lines in their report made me have a rethink and after an in-depth review, I reached out to several close pals and some members here(@bumba1234, @billtommy, @ekpotek, @charlesniper, @tradeinvestgal to mention a few) and told them to ACCUMULATE the coy after explaining the reason it was bound to appreciate in price. Most folks I know bought @ 20-23k. As I explained to them then, JAPAUL might not be healthy but 2 things stood out:

1) When u relate the coys current BS position to its SoI and benchmark it against its CF and CGPR potential, REWARD had overtaking RISK and was making a mockery of it.
2) There were some fine lines in between the then released poor financial print that highlights the need to raise funds(EFIR and CBR in view) and signals a strong possibility for a price rise to achieve that aim.

This was even before the name change was announced. I decided against putting it up here knowing what might well be the repercussion but still gave a hint back then. See one such post above with a hint(part in bold… a revert to @oracle)
Earlier today, I read from the sideline and observed some sharp criticisms targeted @mcy56, @megainvest and a few others and I just knew it could’ve been me!! …God, I would’ve been disappointed if after taking out time to put up a comprehensive analysis of JAPAUL here for gratis I got destructively criticized.
I am not highlighting these lines to prove any point or see myself as some sought of semi-god, but to underscore the fact that this forum, this platform CAN BE BETTER!!
We can all make it better and individually grow with it. Yes we can... if we can all stop it with the mockery, ridicule and toxic criticisms and start up building each other... particularly those who go out of their way to encourage, help and sometimes offer healthy and meaningful advice to others including the new ones in our midst without any form of pay/reward. Folks like @Oracle, @bigjay @mcy56, @currentprice, @Obagadafi, @rebakah, @Drawo, @fxuser and many others here deserve no less than a pat in the back and appreciated for all they do.

Understandably, a mix of emotion can take their toil on one and make them have extreme reservation towards certain select asset… perhaps because of their not-so-good experience playing such coys. But its NOT enough reason to hate it or find disgusting the mere mention of it. U can lose money in a coy today, and gain double ur invested capital in the very same coy tomorrow. Ur astuteness, doggedness and willingness to want to learn from the experience and lessons of that failed TRADE/INVESTMENT SETUP is what makes all the difference!!
We all wish to learn. It is often said that the day u stop learning, u stop living!! I personally love to learn. Engage and criticize me constructively and I will love u for it. …am sure the same can be said of many others here.

Some of us don’t like it when we see these bouts of negative comments.(even if it’s not directed at me, I hate it) Yes there might be some folks who give advise having ulterior/selfish motives, but u can tell that there are others who don’t tour that line. Some folks here mean well!!

Personally, I will NEVER put out any write-up with an intent to deceive. …it had, has and will never align with the basic principle that defines my person. For us, we respect and appreciate why the word INTEGRITY came before the duo of MONEY and SUCCESS in the dictionary. Before ever I advice or put up any post here or anywhere else, I must have put it through a thorough scrutiny drawing from several tested analytical models.
My last recommendation here (GSK) followed a proof-test of no fewer than 7 models, 4 of which I personally developed. …the highlight of the coys –EV was just one of the other known 3. As I stated here then; GSK would still be undervalued even @ N15!! (keep a close watch on that coy and do well to align if u are yet to do so)

While there is no such thing as ABSOLUTE CERTAINTY in the investment world, the INTENT 1st, and from there ur zeal/drive and investing strategy is what really matters !!

Now back to the talk on INSURANCE coys...
Let me quickly reiterate what I said here in times past; That sector is worth a % of ur investment capital. That said, a lot should depend on how well u do ur homework. It will require a case by case study of the coys in that index to ascertain the likely big winners in line with the recent recap policy by the regulatory body(Naicom)

A quick guide;
I covered about 20 quoted insurance coys on the NSE: 1- CUSTODIAN, 2- AIICO, 3- MANSURD INS 4- MUTUAL BENEFITS, 5- PRESTIGE, 6- NEM, 7- LASACO, 8- CORNERSTONE, 9- SOVEREIGN TRUST, 10- WAPIC, 11- ROYAL EXCHANGE, 12- VERITAS KAPITAL, 13- REGENCY ALLIANCE, 14- AFRICAN ALLIANCE, 15- NIGER INS, 16- SUNU INS, 17-CHI, 18- LINKAGE, 19- GUINEA INS and 20- UNIVERSAL INS to see how VALUE can be taped.

Of the 20, Nos 4, 2, 7, 9, 10 11, 12(yes I said 12) 13, 17 and 18, carries a greater weight of value drive/prospect given their MoS peg relative to CMP(risk-reward margin in view).

In view of the planned sector recapitalization exercise which will be 2-phased- 50% and 60% of the newly stipulated minimum paid-up capital for insurers and re-insurers respectively by 31st Dec 2020(expect a lot of activities from now till the release of FY2020 FPs to capture the 1st phase) and 100%/full compliance on or before 31st Sep 2021, I see 11 of them; Nos, 1,2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7,10, 12, 17 and 18 meeting both deadlines and remaining as standalone entities with a 65% probability of acquiring the other 9. …by implication, the other 9 might pass the 1st deadline but could end up been acquired by those 11 and/or other external forces(either from in-house core investors or new entrants) and/or end up merging amongst themselves to form a bigger entity on or before the 2nd/last deadline of Sep 31st 2021.

And Yes there are a few lines to draw these inferences by relating their individual CF stand and SoI to the BS position in their financial prints and bench-marking same against the guideline of the proposed recap exercise.
However, nothing is cast in stone!! …so it’s imperative to remain vigilant and not throw caution to the gallery.

On a side note, those with holdings in No 3 should do well to thread with caution. …especially if u aligned post the bonus issuance but waiting to partake of the planned split exercise. (i.e. If u missed out on the QD of the 1st and is yet to liquidate any % holding). If u fail to extrapolate ur figures well, u might incur a loss post the split. It might be best to gradually follow through with a structured exit plan in time.
Remember that the split will likely create an exponential EM effect (4x price mark up in view)
Like I always tell folks, the increased price peg that follows a split is 88% of the time an overblown reflection of a coys valuation… so there’s often a near 1 prob. that price will fall to mirror the true value of the asset relative to earnings and the perception of market participants thereafter.
The fall though, will depend on the assets proposed factor of X. …that of MANSURED requires a careful breakdown of ur trade/investment setup to avoid a loss.
Note that this is not to say that MANSURED is an unworthy play, but to accentuate the need for carefulness.
If I can elk out the time, I will do an article drawing from an extensive analysis/review of the insurance 20 to further help us with the quest to seek REWARD.

Disclaimer: The part in italics should only be viewed subjectively. …it is NO a license to any sought of recommendation. Due diligence still applies as always.
My advice? Pls follow ur instinct.

Selah

locodemy:
The stock will be in full bid through out this week. I am still expect more than 400m bids within this week. This news should bring permanent turnaround to Transcorp.

Good luck to all in the boat.
Ride on to #2 first bus stop and the journey continues to IPO price.

samguru:
I was at United Securities Ltd(registrar to AIICO) on Friday, I was told the company has not instructed them to credit shareholders accounts with the bonus issue.

9free:
Chai.......Make una remember Wapic and Multiverse-Gold biko oo

jideflash:
Japaul bull ride about to end. Watch Out.

jideflash:
Japaul bull ride about to end. Watch Out.

OBAGADAFFI:
Guys after the dust settle on Insurance coys, hold the ones with Value and sell the rest for Profits.

Mcy56:
Says who oga Jide?
We never discover gold o.

OBAGADAFFI:
Guys after the dust settle on Insurance coys, hold the ones with Value and sell the rest for Profits.