₦airaland Forum

bakila:
This result seals Yakubu's defeat in advance.

Hehehehehe. Dogara will win this result is a strong showing by opposition.

senatordave1:
They have been your allies since 2011.you have lost a better ally in apga

APGA is not with apc no matter how you try to twist it.

PHILipu1:
PDP can not rig NC again and you better wake up to this facts or you will cry after the election.
It will not be business like when PDP controlled aso rock.

One man one vote and buhari will be back to daura. QED.

senatordave1:
The truth is that the 2015 figures from the ss/se were their true figures.other years,figures were inflated ridiculously.you are now spoiling this discussion.the only pdp stalwart in ondo was mimiko,hes now in labour party.dont forget he lost ondo as a governor.by the way,i dont see any major defections in ondo.only ondo south will majorly vote pdp.

That was crisis Time. Labour is in alliance with PDP.

senatordave1:
He won because of votes from jos north,a perpetual buhari stronghold in plateau.apart from that,he won more lgas than pdp.pdp inflated votes fom barakin ladi and jos south done by jonah jang using his incumbency.the fg has largely neutralized him.lalong will still win plateau but buhari will lose narrowly

You can continue! Hehehehe.
PDP is majority in the state Assembly and the average plateau man is PDP.

I am essentially a plateau man and plateau is PDP. Plateau doesn't do core northern alliance rather it is the face of minority/middlebelt identity from inception.

senatordave1:
Your gradually now coming to terms.north central is 50 50.witb what happened in kogi yesterday,the only sure state for pdp is kwara which apc will get 25%.an apc loss in nc will be neutralized by a win in the sw

North central is not 50:50, it is now back to PDP! And by extension the middlebelt which has been the epicenter of the APc's implosion.

PHILipu1:
Lol.
No,in 2015 our elections became a little bit fairer thanks to Jega introduction of card readers and it was not easy for PDP to over rig the election like in the past.

Have you asked yourself why PDP and it's members were in court up to the eve of 2015/election asking the court to stop the use of card readers?

They discovered too late that with card readers over rigging the 2015 elections wouldn't be possible and that was why Jonathan also acted that script in his own polling unit to force Jega to discontinue the use of card readers on election day.

If our election continue like this in 2019,APC will take PDP to the cleaners again.

PDP defeated PDP simple as that.

Our electoral reform is kudos to PdP/GeJ. They always think ahead and nationalistic. Same way a corrupt obj brought efcc/icpc, due process etc.
PDP is a party of humans the bad the good and the best while apc is a gang of hypocrites!

PHILipu1:
When Buhari and APC are chopping away your PDP votes in the south?

Study Ondo,Ekiti, Anambra.

You should be more worried of the beating that APC will give your PDP in it's own strong hold of SE and SS.

Buhari/apc won ondo in 2015 mind you. Come 2015 PDP will win ondo. Defection upon defection will rock APC in Ondo. Ekiti will still be won by pdp in the presidential election even Anambra who by the way gave a poor showing for PDP in 2015.

In fact, the entie SE disappointed PDP in 2015 and they are now buzzing to show their true voting might in 2019.

senatordave1:
I will ignore the insult.i never argued with you concerning bogoro or pdp winning any lga or not.Pdp had 115,000 with with apc having 340,000.thats 25% for pdp.lets wait for today's margin

Apc has some inroads in the SS/SE no doubt but that will pale by the time NC is flipped back to PDP.

senatordave1:
I will ignore the insult.i never argued with you concerning bogoro or pdp winning any lga or not.Pdp had 115,000 with with apc having 340,000.thats 25% for pdp.lets wait for today's margin

Sorry, I am not referring to you. The ignoramus sabi himself.

PHILipu1:
Just have it at the back of your mind that PDP no longer control aso rock and it's rigging machines in the SS,SE has been dismantled and 2019 will be a different ball game.

Anambra governorship election irrespective of your excuse should give you a clue of what to expect in 2019.

That is why it is going to be an interesting election next year.

During the reign of PDP, a presidential election won't generate this much buzz cos it will be too clear, the PDP will win until the implosion of 2014 where PDP defeated PDP via massive defections!

bakila:
Dogara's followers voted AGAINST APC in this election. Dogara himself voted APC

No, nothing to support!

bakila:
There is also a man called Lalong.

Plateau is a deeply PDP state the emergence of Simon Lalong as gov (the miracle gov as he was termed then) was cos of imposition of GNS pwajok as candidate of PDP. A man who was the nephew of the Incumbent gov Jonah jang then. Thereby, violating the rotation arrangement.

He is a product of revolt even though he is equally PDP by DNA.

HE is either going to lose reelection or defect to pdp to save himself being termed buhari boy boy!

Buhari had an impressive showing in plateau in 2015 cos of that. 2019 he will be thrashed more convincely like always.

I am a josite.

senatordave1:
Tuniski,this buries this debate

That buries your lack of knowledge of the zone. I said earliest that pdp will win bogoro and one ignorant fellow went gaga explaining that 3 LGAs are in Dogara's constituency. Even though my submission said win Bogoro!

bakila:
Last time APC lost Bogoro in 2015.

Now you are talking. Bogoro is PDP deeply even dogara voted APC yet the party lost.
By the time Dogara brings his APC followers on board, PDP will win that constituency. QED

I like your sense of history on this.

apolonius:
I can see you are deluded and quite uneducated.

Too childish.

senatordave1:
How will 4000 out of 12000 not be troubling for pdp or magnus winning 125,000 to 30,000?

I don't get you. Make your submission clearer.

Afamed:
Do you know where Bauchi is located?

No I dont.
Remember I told you. Bogoro will be Won by pdp and you went gaga. Cos you thought you know what you don't.

Bauchii is next door to me as a josite with family and friends in that state.

kahal29:
I pity you my brother. It has been a terrible day for you trying to give hope to your dead Party called PDP

It is a celebration for opposition. Only those who are Ignorant of apc's decline will celebrate.

The aim is to see the margin go down in this preseason kinda election. That is clearly achieved.

Next time you people make the now buzz statement of nobody can defeat buhari in the north, just remember the aim Is to close the gap on him and that is being achieved at an impressive rate.

senatordave1:
Please,let me get the 2015 senate results and compare it with this one in the face of buhari's waning fame according to pdp

Please do.


How will 38k out of 83k not be a clearly troubling sign for buhari/apc in a supposedly stronghold of NE, how?

PHILipu1:
They don't even reason again that Buhari and APC now have ministers and political appointees from this zones too that will also work hard to make sure they deliver for their boss unlike in 2015,because if their boss lose,they lose too.

They don't even take into account again political heavy weights from this zones that were not in APC in 2015 but are now in APC.

They will just come online and reason one way to the side that will favour them and refuse to check the other side.

2019 election will be very easy for Buhari than 2015 that PDP controlled Aso rock.

Let me ask: what will Solomon Dalong do in plateau? Or Lai Mohammed in kwara?

Mention the minister from your state that is now an electoral asset to buhari in SS/SE?

apolonius:
What is?Telling me I don’t understand Bauchi politics for stating the obvious,or the fact that your party lost?

Is the fact that Dogara lost in 2 out of the3 LGAs he represents childish too?

I think lying to yourself despite evidence is childish.

Dogara is in APC and the last time I checked apc won!
Very childish!

DeOTR:
How APC supporters can't see what their leaders are seeing (that led to their desperation lately) beats me.
How even a 5year old would even think Buhari will win southern votes fairly and freely is the height of ignorance.

Only children will be analyzing next year's election as if buhari is still the challenger not disastrous incumbent, using a clearly declining fortune even in his backyard as a pointer to him winning next year.

Buhari will be defeated next year. 2.5m margin of victory has been wiped out since. The pdp is just watching them with many steps ahead.

apolonius:
With your ignorance called understanding,your party has been defeated. Hope you have checked your BP.

Childish!

shugabasbn:
Imagine the other small opposition parties form a consensus APC will be in soup. Seriously we need a strong opposition not that of PDP

PDP is the strongest opposition small time, the vote spoilers will fall in line As the caolittion takes shape.

DeOTR:
Who's talking about social media here?
Most APGA supporters are for Buhari because they told you so?
I've been monitoring voters registration and public opinion for 3 months now and I can tell you Buhari will poll lesser votes in all the southern zones plus the north central than he did in 2015. Mark this post.

You are very correct. They want to end voters registration cos the turnout is a bad omen for buhari. Thank God INEC is. Being challenged to extend it.


New voters are largely driven by desire to oust the Incumbent!

apolonius:
Keep consoling yourself.

A common House of Representatives member defeated former PDP Governor Yuguda of the GPN and PDP forces led by Dogara in the constituency he represents, and you are there arguing away your sorrows.

I hope you have checked your BP sha.

You don't understand bauchi politics at all.

apolonius:
This is one of the LGAs Yakubu Dogara is representing. So it is bad news for him.

The summation of all none apc votes is more than APc's that means the APC is a lame duck come 2019 in that zone.

Dogara will defect and win. If the PDP comfortably come 2nd in his constituency without him formally joining, that is a clear notice of his defection and victory.
The elections so far are good omen for PDP for those who know.

apolonius:
I see that you see things that don’t exist. PDP is alive in Ekiti or where in the South West? For your ignorant education, the faces of PDP there are all now in the APC. Obanikoro, Folarin and Akala in Oyo, Sola Oke and others in Ondo.Ekiti is already obvious.

Mimiko, Omisore, Ladoja and others are now in LP and ADC.

Abi na Bode George who never wins in his ward?

PDP is beyond name dropping like apc does here in the core north. They have to invoke buhari's name for their survival but, PDP is beyond that.

Oh left to you come 2019 buhari will win ekiti state abi? Hehehehehe you are very funny.

Lagos has the highest voting power in the SW and it is going to be 50:50 cos PDP is not a tribal party but, national party.

No state in the SW that PDP won't get 30%+.
SW is a swing region if you understand what that means!

Iamgrey5:
Doraga is no longer in APC be honest with your analysis

Why will APC win by a large margin in neighboring communities and fail to win in his community?

There are reasons given for those cancelations, it is not the only local government that suffered cancelations due to ballot stuffing.

Check cancelations in other local government as well.

Body language! That is the why.

Iamgrey5:
Apc won dass by 2000, he won his local government for PDP for just over 2500, they are yet to announce Tafawa Balewa lg

So he is up against it

10k votes canceled for over voting. And Dogara is still in APC nau by the time he formally adds his weight to the PDP, his constituency will fall in line.

His body language is what they follow while the rest are waiting for him to make that call!
I understand his constituency's politics well they have affinity with jos.

TrueLEADER:
Buhari have always won the north, but he never wins the presidency, by my calculation, as vilified and guilt-shamed as PDP is, they still poll a comfortable 25%, that's even before the electioneering campaign and the appeals started, I mean now that the only thing making wave in the north is Said baba, yet they could wrestle 25%.
Then APC is is not secured. Cuz when the election heat starts, they can't have it this easy, and believe me, Buhari cannot win Southwest like he did in 2015. Yorubas can make U-turn on anybody, even their very own when hunger bites.

Your understanding is right.