₦airaland Forum

The signing of that peace accord was just a jamboree. There was no penalty for any party that break the peace accord.

FFK is doing more damage to Tinubu.

Penguin2:
I will try to be as concise and straight to the point as possible….

As the 2023 elections approach, every supporter of the frontline candidates believes his candidate will win but only a few are able to practically, logically and empirically demonstrate their candidate’s road to victory.

But because I, and most other Obi supporters, am not in that category, I bring you Obi’s realistic and unexaggerated path to victory.

First, of all the 4 frontline candidates, Obi is the only one not contesting his region of Southeast with anyone. And when you consider the fact that the voting pattern of the Southeast and Southsouth has always almost been the same since the 60s, plus the results of several polls already conducted by different bodies, and with facts on ground in the different streets of the Southsouth region, you will agree that Obi is not contesting Southeast and Southsouth with anyone.

In the Southwest, different results of several polls, and facts from the streets of Southwest indicate that Obi is closely behind Tinubu in contest of votes of the region. Even with 2 sitting PDP governors in the region, Atiku seems to be unsurprisingly out of contest for the region’s votes. And even if he ends up garnering votes from the region, the votes he would garner might be too insignificant to be consequential.

In the North Central, even the oppositions have accepted that Obi will win Benue, Plateau and Abuja. He’s also expected to come second in Nasarawa and Kogi. A summation of these will give him victory as the overall winner of the North Central.

In the Northwest, Obi would not be expecting much here except from Southern Kaduna, Southern Kebbi and some votes from the brothers and sisters of Datti Baba-Ahmed in Zaria (yes, we are not expecting much from Datti).

In the Northeast, Obi is not expecting much, just like Northwest, but might do better here than in Northwest. With good showing, or even outright victory, expected in Taraba, then votes from Adamawa Christians, Southern Gombe, Southern Borno and Southern Bauchi, Obi will not do badly in this region.

In conclusion, I want you to realize that Atiku is contesting his Northeast region with Tinubu and even Kwankwaso and Obi. Because Borno and Yobe seem to be gone with Shettima while Obi is likely to take the votes of most Christians in the region while Kwankwaso is not bereft of supporters in the region as well. If anything, Kwankwaso’s outing in Maiduguri was so threatening that Borno government had to seal NNPP office until public outcry made them reverse the decision.

Similarly, Kwankwaso is contesting Northwest with Atiku and Tinubu. It is unarguably a three horse race in this region with none of them sure of victory in the region yet.

In the same vein, Tinubu is contesting Southwest with Obi as results of several polls have shown and as people on ground in the Southwest can testify. If anything, the Muslim Muslim ticket of Tinubu seems to have turned off a lot of Southwest Christians who would have ordinarily voted for him.

But not so with Obi; almost all of the candidates agrees that campaigning in the Southeast is a waste of time and resources because the region is gone with Obi; closely followed by Southsouth.

So, there you have it. Everything I’ve said here is verifiable facts devoid of emotions and exaggerations. And when you have digested it, you would be seeing Peter Obi’s victory staring at you in the face.

Meanwhile, I’d appreciate if respondents stick to countering my position with superior facts and postulation rather than degenerating into throwing illogical tantrums and insults.

Danke!

Penguin is a bird of reason.


Garfield1
Kyase
Tinubuadvocate
Ihordspy
Solvertongue
PandoraObi
NigeriaIsGreat
Okoroawusa
Tinsel
Moh247

south south is always PDP.
Your eyes go open after February.

SensetionalGoal:
The same weapons that Kasim Shettima supplied to his foot soldiers to make our nation insecure....

A vote for Tinubu is a vote for Boko Haram...

A vote for Tinubu is a vote for Insecurity....

A vote for Tinubu is a vote for Islamic extremists and fanatics to run the nation
aground

Copied;

I agree with you 100%

Agbegbaorogboye:
Since when did APC become evil party to you northerners?
Una well done o

since APC go for a Muslim Muslim ticket.

SensetionalGoal:
And so what

Is PDP and APC any different...

did I say so? I am only surprised of what I watched on TV today.

Ikea81:
He is just a hungry paid agent of Femi G

but they are your chairman and publicity secretary.
He has even petition the IG. I hope you will not blame Buhari if the police begin to do their work.

julaion:
You're suffering from ODS: Obi Derangement Syndrome.

Symptoms include always
* talking about Peter Obi morning, afternoon and night
* Obsessing about Peter Obi even when engaging in coitus with a partner
* Seeing Peter Obi everywhere you go, even in the toilet
*Looking for any opportunity to talk and criticize Peter Obi, even in the church or in the bedroom
*Seeing everything Peter Obi does as bad, while at the same time seeing everything an unrepentant mafia boss with dementia, does as fantastic
*Speaking and understanding tongues that are not known to the holy spirit eg: Babblu babla bubu.

If you're showing two or more of the aforementioned symptoms listed above, you should immediately seek help at Yabaleft; failure to do so can lead to extreme paranoia or mental breakdown after February 25.

Only if you watch Arise tv today morning, you wouldn't have posted this rubbish.
The labour party chairman and publicity secretary in ogun state was on air to elaborate on the corrupt practices going on in labour party.

Honourable1901:
Dogara and babachir lawal are overrated..

You think tinubu will pick dogara after is maradonan politics in 2015 or babachir that used 356m to cut grass . This folks aren't loyal they are noisemakers

go back and reach Babachir court case that set him free.
If the court say Babachir is innocent,who are you to call him a criminal?
Secondly, why didn't Tinubu pick Lalong as his running mate if he cannot trust Dogara and Babachir?

Dsalvo:
Lol. Northerners are a funny bunch. Nowhere is politics played like this in the world. You formally leave your Party to work against it in civilised climes.

Or you work silently in the background. You never declare open anti-Party engagement as Dogara, Babachir Lawal etal are doing.

Just confirms what everyone knows about the North but cannot put in perspective to guide their decision-making.

I.e the North is not interested in elevating Party democracy and development. They only want power for the sake of it and to use controlling Nigeria's wealth, resources and direction.

Whichever way the election goes Nigerians, if they are smart and visionary, will insist on more autonomy for States and regions so we can be free of regressive partners we did not choose but events beyond our powers lumbered us with.

say that to wike that endorsed APC candidate in Lagos

Moh247:
Weyrey... Why not back Obi so that you guys can scatter Atiku's vote

a senile man can never rule this country. Go and tell Tinubu

I was shocked to hear that 5 thousand is given to every member that attend labour party campaign
I never knew that the Oyo state campaign was actually south west campaign. 200k buses carried people from all the 6 states of South West to Ibadan until today.
I was surprised when I heard that labour party commit a serious crime of falsification.
The campaign DG Doyin Okupe said that northerners are incompetent.
Now I know that labour party is a party of liars and corrupt basterds.

pleasureosondu:
I'm yet to see a prominent Muslim like Atiku and Tinubu specifically condemn these Islamist jihadists, yet they want Obi to condemn IPOB that's fighting against marginalization or Niger Delta militants that's fighting against the crude oil wells owned by Muslims and stealing the oil revenue. Thunder sc$tter una

Google would have save you. Atiku even promise to wipe out Boko Haram and bandits if he is voted. Pls go and watch Gombe and Borno PDP presidential campaign.
Can Obi say same to bandits?

Penguin2:
Fantastic!

Now, there’s a candidate on the ballot to waste the votes of Southwest.

There’s a candidate on the ballot to waste the votes of Northwest.

And there’s a candidate on the ballot to waste the votes of Northeast.

What you folks fail to realize is that in 2011, these Northern states voted one way for Buhari but this time around, there are 3 different persons struggling for those votes.

Or do you still think the votes will be as significant for 3 persons as it was for one person?

hahahaaaa �. Don't forget that south east have the least number of votes.
The north have a consensus candidate,the north will vote for one person when time reach. I thought Tambuwal was supposed to teach you a lesson.

Penguin2:
GEJ didn’t win the core north in 2011 but became president.

Meanwhile, if Obi is so inconsequential as they claim, why is he causing them sleepless nights?

Why the fixation on him?

Why is Reno not attacking Sowore and Kachikwu who both don’t stand a chance like Obi?

Why is Obi the only one who doesn’t stand a chance but they can’t keep him off their mouths?

Ndi ala!

GEJ won the the whole south west, gej won kogi, plateau, Benue,kwara,Taraba, Adamawa. And he got significant number of votes from other northern states.

mrvitalis:
Kaduna south is core north
Taraba is core north
Southern gombe is core north
Southern Bauchi is core north
Southern brono is core north

100,000 well what do I know

you are making a mistake to think that northern Christians will prefer Biafra than a northerner.
Mind you, iam a northern Christian.

Penguin2:
GEJ didn’t win the core north in 2011 but became president.

Meanwhile, if Obi is so inconsequential as they claim, why is he causing them sleepless nights?

Why the fixation on him?

Why is Reno not attacking Sowore and Kachikwu who both don’t stand a chance like Obi?

Why is Obi the only one who doesn’t stand a chance but they can’t keep him off their mouths?

Ndi ala!

shut up, GEJ get significant votes in the north. Google is your friend.

Ezeama400:
Tinubu supporters are busy deceiving themselves thinking that northerners play party politics, No, average core northerner believes in regionalism/tribalism before political party affairs..

It's even reflecting on Buhari's appointments..

E.g., when Kemi was sacked as finance minister , It's expected that an indigine of Ogun State should replace her or someone from other SW state should fill Ogun State slot like Jonathan did during his time, but No, Buhari replaced her with a core northern Muslim..

Like I have said, average northerner places ethnicity ist above party affairs...

Don't be surprised that so many APC members will vote for Atiku at Fed level then vote APC at state level, that is why whenever they are holding rallies the banners of APC governorship candidates of northern states are more visible that their presidential candidate..
But since Batists so much love fantasies, they should keep enjoying their fantasies until the reality hits them in Feb

ipob terrorist shut up.

Agbegbaorogboye:
Since when did APC become evil party to you northerners?
Una well done o

since when APC presented a dead man.
Since when APC decided to go on Muslim Muslim ticket.
Sinc when APC refused to pick Osinbajo or Amaechi as their presidential candidate.

This is how the game is played. You are busy making noise while Buhari is planning for something.

Eriokanmi:
I see..so how many states did he win in 2019 in the north? I mean the atiku?

Google is your friend.

Eriokanmi:
I see..so how many states did he win in 2019 in the north? I mean the atiku?

as I said, Buhari was on the ballot and rice was not 50k.
Now the whole North is for Atiku

PureMe01:
Na so Una talk about Buhari for 2015 until e enter to deceive us about PDPs failure,then turn to demon. Em driver na Igbo,em cook na reverend sister blablabla until the Fulani man enter start em danfodio mission. Look here we are.


Fulani cannot hand over to Fulani. Enough of the scam. Na so if Atiku wins now,2031 another Fulani will come again

don't forget 2011. PDP rule for 16 years but the north only had 2 years.

Eriokanmi:
Which Peter obi joining hands with atiku? Joke of the week. The majority of the votes atiku got in the middle belt, South west, south south and south east were made possible because of Obi. Obi will secure thise regions , come February, including at least, one state in the south west. Before you react, how many states did they(apc) win in s/west in 2019?

when Buhari was on the ballot.
Atiku is the second most popular politician in the north after Buhari.

This is the best decision. We like Peter obi but he don't have the capacity to stop APC. I wish Peter Obi will join hands with Atiku so that we can stop these evil people that are pushing a dead man as president.

Indispensable85:
I watched it live. So I know what I'm saying.

then why are you castigating PDP for replying oshiomole?

Indispensable85:
PDP is unserious. How does that relate to the issues in the country? Mtcheeew .....

did you read what oshiomole said against Atiku?

The guy is sick.

MoneySEASON:
What do you expect from a president that sees black as white and left as right?

Buhari is a disaster not just to Nigeria, but to other African countries

But, I tell you, you all will miss Buhari should Tinubu grace that seat.

Vote Peter Obi and enjoy heaven on earth in Nigeria.

I won't talk much as if E get as E be, I go just japa leave una to suffer the consequences of voting in fresh clowns as president money no go be my problem Lai lai.

vote Atiku for president. The best ticket!

I said it. No reasonable Muslim will agree with Tinubu on this Muslim Muslim ticket. If Tinubu win this country will surfer religious war. Tinubu Muslim Muslim ticket will divide this country.
Power to the people!

I can swear that labour will go into hiding after 2023

And Tinubu want us to have a Muslim Muslim ticket.