₦airaland Forum

Drabeey:
Hmmn, i was here

mmsen:
Which governors? Where?

Are these hospitals of the same quality with the same goal of stopping Nigerians from leaving the country for operations? For stopping capital flight? As far as I am aware only this hospital and the one being built at Summit Hills (Calabar) are being built with the intention of stopping the exodus of Nigerian medical tourists.

crixtex:
Akpabio nice job, though u cud ve done more.. hope Udon continues...
Ds Nigeria is a complex country, u do dey complain, u no do dem complain... wat is it sef??

buchichukwu69:
what about human resources for health? how many doctors dey there?

aresa:
After 8 years in office and the largest yearly state budget in the history of Nigeria, not a single completed hospital. How long does it take to build 1 single hospital? 8 years and still uncompleted?

The only non road completed project by akpabio in 8 years =

1 Cinema

1 white elephant Football field with no single game played or event since commissioning.



What a sad shame...

ROSSIKE:
You're worse than a dunce. You support and praise 0 universities in 63 years (by white rulers) as ''progress'' while insulting 200 universities in 55 years (by black rulers) as ''mediocrity''. Doesn't that show your head is upside down? Your parents gave birth to a DONKEY thinking they gave birth to a human being.

Octaves:
I pity your parents for they are without a child. I'm sure u are one of those internet urchins bashing mr Ben Bruce for speaking the truth about our politicians. Keep supporting mediocrity. May be you attended one malnourished village school with no roof. Thats why you are so dumb. Even without independence (which i love with all my heart), i'd still be an educated muthafucka. Cant say the same about your miserable self. Bye bye.

Sooroptimist:
Lolo, Biko do not dabble into what is way beyond your comprehension

If you are open-minded and very thorough.........Buhari Presidency in this election cycle is being DELIBERATELY given a Southern flavour this time around to enable his brand gain traction with Southerners which you just allude to that Ndi Yorubas are now so besotted to him

That is the logic and game plan ab initio

The North from the creation of Adam and Eve have been on a lockdown for Buhari such that if he contests 50 times Northerners will always vote for him

So the assignment was to sell him aggressively down South, a situation which has worked effectively


You think Northerners are foolish by not making statements or granting interviews eulogising Buhari or laying claim to him like the Niger Deltans are doing with Jonathan......It is because his candidature is a done deal amongst them

They have been told not to make any incendiary statements or remarks so as not to jeopardize Buhari's chances and standing with the Southerners

Wait till next Saturday when you'd hear them speak with thunderous voice by voting massively as they always do

poundlander:
for your mind abi? today Buhari is having a town hall meeting, the other day Osibanjo is having a one-on-one meeting with community leaders, the next day Aisha Buhari and Osibanjo wife are touring the states to meet with their female colleagues. Fashola never cease campaigning for GMB in Lagos and you said they are not campaigning enough. if the opposition can do the above with the little time, i think they have tried enough. VICTORIA ASCERTA. SAI CHANGI

mandarin:
http://www.inecnigeria.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/REPORT-ON-PVC-COLLECTIONS-March-12-NET.xlsx

1 ABIA 1,396,162 1,177,520
2 ADAMAWA 1,559,012 1,381,571
3 AKWA-IBOM 1,680,759 1,587,566
4 ANAMBRA 1,963,173 1,658,967
5 BAUCHI 2,054,125 1,778,380
6 BAYELSA 610,373 546,372
7 BENUE 2,015,452 1,607,800
8 BORNO 1,934,079 1,407,777
9 CROSS RIVER 1,175,623 963,929
10 DELTA 2,275,264 1,921,627
11 EBONYI 1,074,273 848,392
12 EDO 1,779,738 1,218,734
13 EKITI 732,021 511,790
14 ENUGU 1,429,221 1,223,606
15 FCT 881,472 569,109
16 GOMBE 1,120,023 1,069,635
17 IMO 1,803,030 1,707,449
18 JIGAWA 1,831,276 1,756,320
19 KADUNA 3,407,222 3,174,519
20 KANO 4,975,701 4,112,039
21 KATSINA 2,827,943 2,620,096
22 KEBBI 1,470,648 1,372,630
23 KOGI 1,350,883 926,013
24 KWARA 1,142,267 884,996
25 LAGOS 5,822,207 3,767,647
26 NASARAWA 1,242,667 1,048,053
27 NIGER 2,014,317 1,682,058
28 OGUN 1,829,534 904,647
29 ONDO 1,524,655 1,110,844
30 OSUN 1,407,107 1,030,051
31 OYO 2,415,566 1,639,967
32 PLATEAU 2,001,825 1,508,585
33 RIVERS 2,537,590 2,127,837
34 SOKOTO 1,611,929 1,527,004
35 TARABA 1,340,652 1,270,889
36 YOBE 1,099,970 824,401
37 ZAMFARA 1,495,717 1,435,452
Total 68,833,476 55,904,272

I have been looking at the possible case scenario that can happen at the coming Presidential election next week based on the available data released by INEC as at 12th March 2015.
In all, 55,904,272 registered voters have collected their PVCs and let's look at some possibilities:
Lets take 80% voters' turnout across board which means we will take available figures as absolute voters per state although i foresee high, moderate and fair turn out across the states.

First : States according to the strength of each candidate - This is a general knowledge that ether candidates of PDP and the APC has their traditional states where they are strong and will capture at least 75% of votes cast.

JONATHAN
1. ABIA-1, 177,520
2. ENUGU-1,223,606
3. ANAMBRA -1,658,967
4. EBONYI - 848,392
5. IMO -1,707,449
6. RIVERS - 2,127,837
7. CROSS RIVER- 963,929
8. AKWA IBOM-1,587,566
9. BAYELSA-546,372
10. DELTA- 1,921627
11. BENUE- 1,607,800
12. 1,508,585
TOTAL - 16,879,650

BUHARI
1. SOKOTO-1,527,004
2. ZAMFARA- 1,435,452
3. KEBBI - 1,372,630
4. KATSINA- 2,620,096
5. NIGER- 1,682,058
6. KADUNA- 3,174,519
7. JIGAWA- 1,756,320
8. YOBE - 824,401
9. BORNO - 1,407,777
10. ADAMAWA- 1,381,571
11. BAUCHI-1,778,380
12. GOMBE - 1,069,635
13. NASARAWA-1,048,053
14. KANO- 4,112,039
15. KWARA - 884,996
TOTAL -26,074,931

SOME SOUTHWEST STATES
1. LAGOS - 3,767,647
2. OGUN - 904,647
3. OSUN - 1,030,051
4. OYO- 1,639,967
TOTAL - 7,342,312

SWING STATES
1. EDO -1,218,734
2. EKITI - 511,790
3. ONDO - 1,110,844
4. TARABA - 1,270,889
5. FCT - 569,109
6. KOGI - 926,013
TOTAL - 5,607,379

I have grouped these states according to the strength of each candidate. Now, many people will argue on these swing states but believe me both candidates have their strengths and weaknesses there which may compensate for each other. I will freeze some political factors and look at scenarios with these figures to see some possibilities.
1. if equal turn out is achieved across all states and voters vote according to strength of each candidate AND LETS SAY THE SWING STATES ARE SHARED 50% each include some southwest states as indicated above:

JONATHAN WINS = 16,879,650 + 3,671,156+2,803,689.5
= 23,354,495.5
BUHARI WINS = 26,074,931+3,671,156+2,803,689.5
= 32,549,776.5
VERDICT : BUHARI WINS outrightly

2. Supposing Jonathan has 25% of votes cast in Buhari's strong holds and Buhari has 10% in Jonathan's strongholds while Buhari wins 60% in some Southwest states and both share swing states 50-50 :

JONATHAN WINS =6,518,732.75+15,191, 685+2,936,934.8+2,803,689.5
= 27,451,042.05
BUHARI WINS = 19,556,198.25+1,687,965.5+4,405,387.2+2,803,689.5
= 28,453,240.45
BUHARI WINS by slim margin

3. Supposing Buhari wins 85% of votes cast in his strong areas, Jonathan win 90% in his own, Jonathan win majority in swing states say 60% and BUHARI wins 70% in some southwest states :
JONATHAN WINS = 3,911,239.65+15,191,685+3,364,427.4+2,202,693.6
= 24,670,045.65
BUHARI WINS = 31,234,226.35

A whole lots of scenario modeling can be done by you but realistically. If based on factors that can influence this election we can give
1. Buhari strong areas = between 80-90% of votes cast
2. Jonathan strong areas returning between 75-90% votes cast
3. Buhari wins at least 50% in some southwest states(realistically, he wont get less than 60%) of all votes cast
4. Jonathan and Buhari share swing states 50-50( Note, its not certain if Fayose's influence in Ekiti will matter, if it does, Jonathan wins but the total voting population is not sufficient to upturn results as Buhari is popular in Kogi and Taraba)

Low registration and PVC collection is not good for GEJ as pattern revealed Northerners can always endure long hours to vote unlike in the south where many wont do such thing.
Another factor is Lagos. THERE IS A STRONG INDICATION THAT OVER A MILLION PEOPLE MAY NOT VOTE FOR THE FOLLOWING REASONS
1. Some of registered voter actually registered close to their places of work and this affect a huge population of those that dwell in the outskirt towns of Ogun state
2. This is similarly going to affect alot of Igbo voters that registered close to their shops if they live far away means they wont be able to also vote.
3. Many Lagosians may not just vote anticipating violence or just indifference, sitting at home and watching television, this is where those who mobilized for registration in 2011 will likely have more votes.
Let me stop and read comments

olaxco2f:
nιgнт ғacт
вυнaripнoвιa dιd yoυ ĸnow тнaт ...
The PDP said Mr Buhari will Islamized Nigeria, market no sell, they moved to he doesn't have secondary school certificate, the military also corroborated. Now they are saying he will legalised same sex marriage, oh least I forget they are also clamoring that
Mr Buhari is too old and that some old people use pampers, he's brain is dead and so on.
Profile of the General: General Muhammadu Buhari was born on 17 December 1942 (age 72).
Buhari will only die at the destined time.
Let's see current leaders who are old:
*Ellen Johnson Sirleaf became President of Liberia at age 70 in 2006. She was 75 in 2011. She will remain president till 2016, at the age of 80 years
* President Jacob Zuma of South Africa is 72 years old. He will be president till 2019 at 77 years
* President Peter Mutharika of Malawi was 74 when he was sworn in on 31 May, 2014. He will be president till 2019 at 79
* Shimon Peres of Isreal was 90 at the time his term ended in 2014.
* President Abde Bourtefilka of Algeria is 77 years old, and will be
in office till 2020 and he will be 83 years old then.
* President Alasanne Quattara of Ivory Coast was 72 years in 2012, and will be president till 2016 that year he will be 76 years old.
* Mahmud Abbas of Palestine is 79 years old. He assumed office in 2005 at age 70
* President Jose Mujiaga of Uruguay was 75 years old when elected. He is 79 years now
* Nnamdi Azikiwe was 79 when he contested for presidency in 1983
They are many oo, but let me stop here.
Abeg free Buhari JOoooo, we are waiting for the next mad script to be played, we dey expect make PDP party to come out and say Buhari is not fit to become the President because he is too tall.
And lastly
The fear of Buhari is called "Buhariphobia"
If you are lover of truth and long for CHANGE, spread this far and beyond. Enough of ineptness, incompetency and deceit.
Sai BABA Insha Allaah
good nιgнт

tola9ja:
TRANSFORMATION OR TRANSCOMMOTION?

Ethiopia spent $475m to construct one of Africa's best electrified rail system while Nigeria under President Jonathan wasted $12b to refurbish and import expired locomotives and you called this TRANSFORMATION? My friend, you need deliverance! Uncommon

aresa:
Since commissioning,how many soccer games have they played in that white elephant waste and how much have generated back into the state's treasury. Zero.

$96 million is rotting away unused with zero benefits. .



Talk about a thoughtless government with zero sense of direction and purpose.