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Politics / Re: No Matter What Happen This Saturday, Buhari Won't Be Returning As President by Umarlawal(m): 7:01am On Feb 27, 2019 |
Binikingdowm:Stupid Nonsense |
Politics / Re: Can Buhari Still Win? by Umarlawal(m): 12:06pm On Feb 18, 2019 |
This was against reasonable analysis then that Chibok wouldn’t vote PDP because of how Jonathan’s wife treated the Chibok Girls’ parents. Also, the fact that attacks by Boko Haram has increased in last weeks wouldn’t change the minds of those who have decided to vote Buhari. Also, the fact that President Buhari consistently continues to appoint a northern Christian as Secretary to the Government of the Federation will not translate to any votes in his favour. So this factor too is not being considered. Those who think the religious tool PDP used in 2011 and 2015 can no longer sway should think again. Of course Atiku is Muslim too. But many see him as more liberal than Buhari. Other factors abound – but they’re also not being considered. If you disagree with this model – I know many will – let me know what you think. |
Politics / Re: Can Buhari Still Win? by Umarlawal(m): 11:58am On Feb 18, 2019 |
Explanations This looks neat enough and makes mathematical sense. If you grant my postulates P1 through P6 and PP, you must also grant my theorems T1 through T3 as valid consequences of them. T1 follows from P1, P3, P4 and P5. T2 follows from P2, P3, P4, P5 and P6. T3 follows from T1 and T2. Postulate P states that other factors are not being considered. But what other factors? For a critical consumption of this model, let’s plainly state the factors. Boko Haram is not going to have as much sway on the voting patterns of the Northeastern states with a sizeable population of Christians. Northern Christians who voted for Jonathan in 2015 from Northeast are likely to vote Atiku in 2019 – regardless of the Boko Haram phenomenon. Thus, Boko Haram is not being considered for some of the Northeastern states. Let me give one example. Do you know that there were people in Chibok who voted Jonathan in 2015? |
Politics / Re: Can Buhari Still Win? by Umarlawal(m): 11:56am On Feb 18, 2019 |
Theorems Theorem 1: Atiku will win all the states in the Southeast (7,665,859) and South-south (11,133,620) and Northcentral (6,610,827) except Niger State (2,014,317), Nasarawa State and Kwara State (1,142,267), giving him a total of 25,410,306. Theorem 2: Gen. Buhari will win all the states of the Northwest (17,620,436), all the states of the Southwest (13,731,090), Niger (2,014,317), Nasarawa and Kwara (1,142,267) states from Northcentral and all the states of the Northeast (6,208,197) except Taraba (1,340,652) and Adamawa (1,559,012) where he’ll share the votes with Atiku; giving Buhari a total of 40, 716,307 votes. Theorem 3: Gen Buhari will win the election with popular votes from 19 states or the equivalent of 40 million votes in percentage which is 59% of the votes. |
Politics / Re: Can Buhari Still Win? by Umarlawal(m): 11:56am On Feb 18, 2019 |
Postulate 4: The undecided voters will vote according to the states the PDP and the opposition parties won in 2015, except in Nasarawa and Benue. Postulate 5: All eligible voters will collect their permanent voter’s card (PVC) before the deadline and will vote. Postulate 6: Atiku will get 25% of votes from Northwest (because of Kwankwaso, Tambuwal, etc.) and from Niger State. Buhari will get 25% of votes from Southeast (because Gov Obiano campaigns for Buhari in Anambra and Ebonyi, Okorocha’s influence in Imo and former Gov Kalu’s popularity as APC senatorial candidate of Abia North). Postulate P: Other factors that may play a role in the result of the election are not being considered. |
Politics / Re: Can Buhari Still Win? by Umarlawal(m): 11:55am On Feb 18, 2019 |
The Postulates Postulate 1: Factors which influenced election victory have not changed since 2015. Such factors are: voting based on ethnicity and religion as well as Southeast and Niger Delta’s inclination to vote PDP. Postulate 2: Buhari will win the states he won in 2015 and PDP will win the states it won in 2015 except Benue and Nasarawa states. In 2015 winning Benue by Buhari was an anomaly. Therefore, in 2019, Benue will, as statisticians say, regress to the mean. It will go back to its normal position – to the PDP. The opposite will happen in Nasarawa State. Buhari has never won that state. But will win it this time, because all the PDP big shots have joined the APC. Postulate 3: Undecided voters (defined as those who didn’t vote in 2015) will vote in 2019. This model uses the voter register of 2015. |
Politics / Re: Can Buhari Still Win? by Umarlawal(m): 11:55am On Feb 18, 2019 |
So, I’m going to create a math model to explains this – even though a simple one. Do not mind its simplicity however. “In principle, it matters not whether the math methods employed to carry out math proof are simple,” wrote William J. Adams, author of ‘Slippery Math in Public Affairs’, “or the ultimate in technical sophistication.” In doing this, I do not guarantee reality, only validity. That is, a promise of (a perfect) accuracy of the prediction of voter behaviour is neither explicitly nor tacitly claimed. Based on my postulates (a crystallization of my assumptions) however, my theorems (conclusions) are valid. Another person could bring forth a different set of postulates (the hypothesis) and reach conclusions that are different from mine – keeping in mind the RIRO (if realistic input, realistic output) and the NINO (nonsense in, nonsense out). Now that I’ve turned in my excuse early, let’s move on to the model. First we’ll start with the postulates; in logic or rhetoric, these would be called premises. The theorems or conclusions followed the postulates. The theorems are drawn based on the postulates. |
Education / *ASUU STRIKE* *what You Need To Know About The Referendum.* by Umarlawal(m): 10:18am On Feb 07, 2019 |
To clear some doubts about ASUU
Referendum, ASUU as A Body has
75 Member Universities which
comprises of State and Federal
owned Universities..
On Tuesday this Universities and their members had their
referendum on whether to
Suspend the strike or not, this
included both Zonal and University
Chapters, About 50 universities of
the 75 members university voted for suspension, Source from Esut
Chapter pro and Delsu ASUU
chapter which comprises also of
the south South Zonal chapter..
The 200 Members that is being
Circulated has to do with South West Zonal ASUU members, They
came to UniIbadan and 50
Members voted firfor suspension
and 150 for continuation of the
strike
Please Note that also according to Pman ( Prof) and an ASUU Rep too
the 200 Members Is just that of the
Southwest Zone of ASUU and not
the general Results from other
chapters and Zone
The referendum was both for Zonal and Chapters , like south
East and South south Zone voted for Suspension
Let's wait today for the Final NEC 1 Like 1 Share |
Education / Re: The medical students and aspirants thread by Umarlawal(m): 2:29pm On Feb 04, 2019 |
aerozac:I recommend buk because I am in the system buk due consider kogi indigene in 200L alone more than 10 are from kogi |
Education / ASUU Vs FG Meeting Over,to Reconvent Thursday 7th February 2019 by Umarlawal(m): 4:23pm On Feb 01, 2019 |
Federal Ministry of Labour @LabourMinNG 7m Progress made, conciliatory
meeting with ASUU over to
reconvene on Thursday 7th
February 2019 |
Health / Re: 88 Doctors Quit Kogi Civil Service – NMA by Umarlawal(m): 9:47pm On Jan 30, 2019 |
encryptjay:Yeah exactly my guy we are enjoying oo o |
Health / Re: 88 Doctors Quit Kogi Civil Service – NMA by Umarlawal(m): 2:17pm On Jan 29, 2019 |
Nbote:You are dullard how can you compare kogi state and katsina state.Katsina state is far far better than kogi state even katsina state medical students are enjoying huge sume of money annually tackless of Doctors.For your own information I am 200L Medical student they give #304K annually for preclinical(100L,200L,300L) and #528K for clinical(400L,500L,600L) katsina state indigene medical students |
Education / Re: FG Is Not Ready For Fresh Renegotiation – ASUU by Umarlawal(m): 1:03pm On Jan 25, 2019 |
Education / Re: FG Is Not Ready For Fresh Renegotiation – ASUU by Umarlawal(m): 12:52pm On Jan 25, 2019 |
My source is Daily Trust education section |
Education / Re: FG Is Not Ready For Fresh Renegotiation – ASUU by Umarlawal(m): 12:50pm On Jan 25, 2019 |
asuustrike1: airminem: asuustrike1:My source is DAILY TRUST newspaper check education section 1 Like |
Education / FG Is Not Ready For Fresh Renegotiation – ASUU by Umarlawal(m): 10:03am On Jan 25, 2019 |
ASUU on thursday said the federal government has failed to make fresh offer on funding for the revitilisation of public universities in Nigeria. ASUU Prof Biodun Ogunyemi stated this on strike bulletin 9 sent to the branches on 24/1/2019 “At the meeting held on 21 January, 2017 between the Union and Government agents (the Minister of Labour and Employment and Representatives of relevant government agencies), government improved its earlier offer. “However, government has failed to address the crucial and critical issues of funding for the revitalisation of public universities in Nigeria and renegotiation of the 2009 FGN/ASUU Agreement. “To confuse the public about our struggle, agents of government and some haters of our principled and purposeful struggle are peddling all sorts of misinformation through various media. Members must disregard any media information unverified or not authenticated by the Union”. Lalasticlala Mynd44 |
Education / Re: The medical students and aspirants thread by Umarlawal(m): 10:51pm On Dec 07, 2018 |
Ximenez:Sir If I may ask are you also BUKITES? If yes which department and Level |
Education / Re: The medical students and aspirants thread by Umarlawal(m): 3:56pm On Dec 07, 2018 |
ISISs:Hi ISISs Can university paste result despite ASUU strike I am patiently waiting for my result BUK MBBS but I never think they can paste result with the current ASUU strike Pls shed more light for me 1 Like |
Education / Re: Total 2018/2019 Scholarship - Apply Immediately by Umarlawal(m): 3:23pm On Oct 31, 2018 |
Please send me the past questions Drumarlawal@gmail.com |
Education / Bayero University, Kano Releases 2018/2019 Admission List. by Umarlawal(m): 6:10pm On Oct 26, 2018 |
To Whom It May Concern. BAYERO UNIVERSITY, KANO
RELEASES 2018/2019 ADMISSION
LIST.
The management of Bayero
University, Kano has released the
2018/2019 Admission list. The list was pasted earlier today in various
departments and Faculties notice
board. The list will be available in BUK
official portal in due process.
Screening of successful candidate will
commence on Monday, 12th November 2018.
Copied! |
Education / Re: The medical students and aspirants thread by Umarlawal(m): 2:40pm On Oct 25, 2018 |
extrovertAishat:The creteria is that when your Aggregate meets the merit cut of mark you will be admitted irrespective of your state of origin. With regards to how they calculate their aggreagate is simple their post utme is 400 marks what ever your score add with your JAMB score and divide by 2 for example mine was JAMB 288 POST UTME 328 Aggregate 308 Here is my phone number for more clarification 08062775807 sorry for my late reply Busy preparing for my MB 1 coming up december |
Politics / Jafar Arrives Kano 2 Meet Lawmakers OVer His Bribery Allegations Against Ganduje by Umarlawal(m): 1:14pm On Oct 25, 2018 |
The publisher of news website Daily Nigeria, Jafar Jafar, has arrived in Kano for a meeting with a Kano House of Assembly Committee investigating the bribery allegation against Governor Abdullahi Ganduje, Channels Television reports. Jafar is expected to proceed from the airport to meet with the committee, which was set up on Monday, October 15, to investigate the authenticity of the video clip published by his website, allegedly showing the governor receiving bribe from contractors, a claim Ganduje has described as false. In view of his arrival, security was beefed up at the Assembly and a team of operatives were reportedly dispatched to the airport to escort him to the House complex |
Education / Re: The medical students and aspirants thread by Umarlawal(m): 8:43pm On Sep 28, 2018 |
[color=#990000][/color]@DJBESTJC I really sympatise with you,but dont relent on your effort,I am currently now 200L MBBS student at BUK Kano,why cant you try less competative university like BUK? I have alot of friends that were offered admission based on merit with 280+ aggregate score 1 Like |
Education / Re: From MBBS To Botany, Please I Need Suggestion! by Umarlawal(m): 6:47am On Dec 30, 2017 |
[color=#990000][/color]I am UMAR LAWAL indigene of katsina state I applied MBBS in BUK this year and I was given almost1122 check no.5 in the MBBS merit list I am the one,my jamb score 288 my post utme 328 average 308.0.My advice to u is that go for that BOTANY dont take it for granted and reapply for MBBS,dont deceive yourself in BUK there is no any means that u can cross from any course to MBBS even if u have perfect 5.0GP that is their policy may Allah help u too to get it next year 2 Likes |
Education / Re: The medical students and aspirants thread by Umarlawal(m): 10:55pm On Oct 19, 2017 |
Great doctors in the house i applied mbbs into bayero university kano any hope for me my jamb score 288 post utme score 328 Aggregate 308 any hope for me?i am an indigene of katsina state. |
Education / Re: FG Bilateral Education Agreement (BEA) Scholarship Awards 2017/2018 by Umarlawal(m): 2:31pm On Apr 17, 2017 |
[color=#990000][/color] Please has anyone from KATSINA state been call UG?? Please has anyone from KATSINA state been call UG?? Please has anyone from KATSINA state been call UG?? |
Education / Re: FG Bilateral Education Agreement (BEA) Scholarship Awards 2017/2018 by Umarlawal(m): 4:37pm On Apr 16, 2017 |
Whats app guys |
Education / Re: FG Bilateral Education Agreement (BEA) Scholarship Awards 2017/2018 by Umarlawal(m): 9:26am On Apr 16, 2017 |
Please what of those from north western part of nigeria any one that received call from fsb should help us and signify himself so that we shall know whether they call anyone from this region thanks... |
Education / Re: FG Bilateral Education Agreement (BEA) Scholarship Awards 2017/2018 by Umarlawal(m): 9:31pm On Apr 11, 2017 |
Steveobasi34:Please my friend tell us the full detail of what had happened... |
Education / Re: FG Bilateral Education Agreement (BEA) Scholarship Awards 2017/2018 by Umarlawal(m): 7:12pm On Mar 29, 2017 |
bash6:My friend dont get tired just keep on praying and seek for another alternative so that even if you were not awarded it wont hurt you my friend |
Education / Re: FG Bilateral Education Agreement (BEA) Scholarship Awards 2017/2018 by Umarlawal(m): 3:30pm On Mar 29, 2017 |
Meek75:They can change you the course that tally with your O level performance good luck |
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