₦airaland Forum

plaindealer:
Where is the sense and wisdom in shutting down business and commerce and depriving the LGAs and the state government IGR?

This is why investors don't go anywhere near the SE?

And you wonder why the SE is the poorest and the most unproductive region in Nigeria.

This is just too sad.

You are very very stupid, people all over the world remember their citizens that died during wars except in Nigeria where the government does not place value on human lives.

bjtinz:
But what I don't understand is why police always remove the shirts and trousers of the victims?

nonhuman:
Where are their guns to prove that they are ugm

truthfulparrot:
The people of the core north are smart. They know they cannot afford another civil war without the support of the middle belt and Southwest. They know that retaliation is not the best option now.
The agitation in the Southwest is giving them sleepi4ness nights.

MY candid opinion is that a united Nigeria where there is fairness and equity can be achieved if we go back to the regional government model. Let remove so much power from from the Federal government. Let each region control it's resources and contribute equally to the centre.

tamdun:
U don't understand yoruba people, he get reason why our leaders dey avoid violence, go and read about yoruba political history, u don hear operation wetie before?

helinues:
Those people can't be taken seriously..

There is no secession clause in Nigeria constitution, currently there is a review on Nigeria constitution which non of the secessionist ever table the their case..

kunkelhanspeter:
And we been using it for 22 years no complain
If not for Buhari nepotism and tribalism we won’t be here discussing this matter

ogbuefi677:
Qassim, a Muslim name,possibly a yorugba Muslim.

ednut1:
Nigerians just love to deceive themselves. The constitution is not the reason for corruption and wickedness we have from our leaders and citizen.

wpadmin:
How did the southern leaders agree to the 1999 constitution in the first place?

Whada:
Why do elders sound unreasonable sometimes? Let's change the constitution but if the people who swear to uphold the constitution, enforce it and review it are still these crop of Nigerian politicians, nothing will change.

Just like the arrival of a new boss makes everyone to sit tight until they understand him, the arrival of new nations, with new structures and new political enthusiasts will at least align every citizen to sit tight waiting for the new direction to go. That alone is a foundation for new and better things and it cannot happen with the so-called restructuring or constitution review. Stop deceiving yourselves old men. The future is for the youths you've lived in the past until now.

SangoOlukosoOba:
Secession has never been the solution

donbachi:
If the awareness that is in other regions.should get to the north.most of their men wont even marry 2 wives.talkless of 4..education in the north,is nothing to write about.in every 10 abokis,only 2 can speak pidgin english.and not fluently..its pathetic.

Poloyanabo2:
What about Bangladesh?

helinues:
These ones are criminals.

Good work from the police

Bialegend:
TRUTH IS GRADUALLY SETTING IN. HATE AGAINST IGBOS IS WHAT BROUGHT THIS CALAMITY TO NIGERIANS.

2023: BOLA TINUBU AND THE COST OF POLITICAL MISCALCULATION.


By Sanusi Muhammad

The godfather of Lagos politics, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, in 2015 led the South-West into an alliance with the North to birth the All Progressive Alliance (APC). His decision, evidently, was informed by the expectation that the two geopolitical regions will share power, invariably to the exclusion of the Eastern bloc. And ultimately that he, or the South-West, will take power by the time the North completes two terms in 2023. But it has proved to be a miscalculation.

Certainly, power play is about conspiracies and alliances. Tinubu is well within his right to do what he thought would best advance his political interest and that of his region. However, in backing President Muhammadu Buhari, he cut his nose to spite his face.

It may not have seemed obvious to many, but once Buhari took power in 2015, Tinubu’s political career was in jeopardy.

To navigate the presidency without bruises, the best Tinubu could have done was to retire from active politics and assume the role of an elder statesman. He did not, he stayed on, wanting to be president and pushing hard to remain at the centre of political discourse. But power is jealous, and if there is any holder of the highest office in the land who would tolerate a co-president, it is not Buhari. Things are beginning to unravel, fast.

Without Tinubu, and by extension the South-West, Buhari could not have been president today. This is one fact that president’s men who now dominate the political space and brook no opposition will hate to admit, but it remains true, regardless.

But being essentially Buhari’s kingmaker, it was political naivety to decide to hang around in the expectation that he would share power. The old Machiavellian advice is that the prince must first destroy the one who made him king. Reason? Because he could decide tomorrow to make another king.

Writing in The Prince, the legendary Niccolo Machiavelli noted “…he who is the cause of another becoming powerful is ruined; because that predominancy has been brought about by astuteness or else by force, and both are distrusted by him who has been raised to power.”

Of course, it should have been obvious that, in helping to make Buhari president, Tinubu was jeopardizing his political career and plunging the South-West, and by extension, Southern Nigeria, into political slavery whose only parallel in the country’s political history is the late Emeka Ojukwu leading the Igbo to war in 1967.

With respect to the Biafra War, blaming Ojukwu for embarking on it could earn one exile in the Igbo country. But if truth be told, the war was avoidable and could have been avoided if Ojukwu had not been too stiff to listen to the likes of Zik and other intellectuals who understood better international politics and diplomacy. This is not to say, nonetheless, that Ojukwu was not sufficiently provoked by the killings of the Igbo in the North in the aftermath of the July 1966 revenge coup that threw up Yakubu Gowon as head of state, and indeed the actions – or lack of it – of the Gowon-led federal side. Regardless, it was still in his hands to accept to fight or toe the path of diplomacy which, given the circumstances, was the best option and the only way to win international support for his secession quest. In the event, he went to war and only succeeded in sacrificing more Igbo lives and weakening the Igbo politically.

The consequence of that weakening is that it provided fertile ground for the emergence of hegemonic Northern power. The imbalance so created is largely responsible for the crisis of Nigeria’s national identity. One mistake many Nigerians, particularly in the South, make is the assumption that the country is already formed and settled as a secular state. It’s not the case. There is the ever-present quest to define the country right, of course, from the 1804 jihad.

Colonial rule put a stop to it, then in the post-war years, the Middle Belt soldiers who dominated the army acted as a wedge. Tinubu’s alliance with Buhari has served to reenact that quest. Buhari is now, apparently, out to define the country. The Jagaban’s political miscalculation could yet prove too costly.

The old generals who, I reckon, understand this are already raising the alarm. But of course, the horde of naive, ignorant online crowd of crumb eaters are blurring the resistance line.

As it concerns the 2023 presidency, it should be clear to anyone with a functioning brain that President Buhari’s North has no intention of relinquishing power to the South-West or any zone for that matter. What many may not have realised, however, is that for the next three decades at least, if ever, and should Nigeria remain one, power will not leave the North. But in projecting, one must always leave space for the law of unintended consequences and the God factor.

[b]But given Buhari’s antecedents, was there any grounds for the South-West, particularly, to have given him benefit of the doubt in 2015? Absolutely none in my reckoning. However, it would appear that emotion rather than sound political calculation informed their support for Buhari in 2015. It was, perhaps, more to spite the East than love for Buhari. I had been amazed when, in the heat of the moment in 2015, before the election, the news editor of my then media platform branded a fellow reporter who didn’t buy into the Buhari presidential project a “bloody b*stard who is following the Igbo people to betray Yoruba by supporting Jonathan.”

In the lead up to the 2019 polls, I had on several occasions engaged my landlord – a backer of Buhari’s second term project who loves to discuss politics with me – on who between Atiku Abubakar and the President would make a better leader. My insistence was, of course, that Atiku would. After we exhausted all manner of issues he raised against the former vice president, he said finally that he would still back Buhari because Atiku was an “Omo Igbo project” and that “after Buhari, Yoruba will take power and after Yoruba, Hausa will take power again.” According to him, “we will be rotating it like that, Igbo people will never smell that place.” I had more of pity for his ignorance. [/b]

When in 2003, Buhari joined presidential race, he did so, apparently, to stop the then president, Olusegun Obasanjo. Not because Obasanjo had performed badly as president, having taken power with the return of democracy in 1999, but because Buhari and the section of the North he represented believed that power had to return to the region.

In settling for Obasanjo in 1998/99, the intention of the Northern military class was for him to do four years as compensation for MKO Abiola – the Yoruba had become uncontrollably agitated – and hand power back to the North. But not long after Obasanjo took power, it became clear that he was never going to leave it for anybody. This realisation led to agitations; criticisms of the Obasanjo government was swift in the north, the climax of which was the Sharia crisis of 2000. To take power, however, the anti-Obasanjo forces in the North knew that ultimately, it was about going to challenge him at the polls. Buhari emerged as the arrow head of that challenge. And through speeches and actions that appealed to regional sentiments, he built a cult following that saw him win elections convincingly in the North right from 2003.

Until 2014/15, Buhari was a regional hero who believed he could become president by winning elections in the North and never thought seriously about campaigning in the South. However, in 2014/15, the Tinubu led South-West gave him an undeserved national platform, and through heavy media propaganda, dressed him in the robe of a born again democrat. But old habits die hard.
Once in power, Buhari did not hesitate to take off the borrowed garb of a nationalist and democrat to put on his original robe of sectionalism. Right from his first set of appointments, he made clear his intentions. And as it stands, he has completely consolidated power in the hands of the North.
Buhari is an idealogue; usually idealogues are very resolute and persistent people. Say what you will, he is doubling down on nepotism. Shout ‘Fulanisation’ or ‘Islamisation’ all you will, he will only look for a hate speech bill or social media bill to shut you up rather than re-examine his ‘hate’ policies.

Possibly, when Buhari is done with the country – if he has his way – no Southerner will, on the basis of an election, ever become president except at the behest of the North. By suppressing votes in the South and inflating figures in the North, the administration is only trying to establish a pattern - a dangerous pattern which supporters of his party in the South are evidently too blind to see.

It is clear to the discerning where the president is headed. But the question is whether he would succeed. I had pointed out elsewhere that the project would fail, ultimately, because Nigerians are too many to be subjugated.

It would seem, from the actions of those controlling the levers of power, that there is an attempt to precipitate a national crisis with a view to using force to take over the country. But, of course, this is a country of 200 million people. The advantage those who have a “legitimate” right to bear arms are enjoying at the moment would be lost if there is a total breakdown of law and order. And the country would break into fractions controlled by warlords, such that it would take a miracle to have it again as one stable country for anyone to control.


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NyamiriFlathead:
alaye make you keep your wailing till 2023, 2023 wailing will be baba wailing and 2015 will be a child's play to how you guys will wail, i still repeat it i am ready to vote a goat than voting for any nyamiri
Igbos are inconsequential, 5% people that are politically useless - Buhari 2015

IgweOfNnewi:
Kanu Nnamdi is setting the igbos against the government when he is miles away, unfortunately his followers are unreasonable and demented, I wish this was they are launching will not consume the innocent.