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Politics › Re: Statistics Indicate Obi's Victory & Why Rivers Is More Important Than Kano by Vote4Obi(op): 8:19pm On Oct 05, 2022

JoeNL22:
My Objective Analysis
How people might votes in the swing states

Lagos(7.2)
Atiku - 2.4
Obi - 2.4
Tinubu- 2.4

Kano(6.0)
Tinubu - 2.0
Atiku - 2.0
Kwankwanso - 2.0

Kaduna(4.4)
Tinubu - 1.1
Atiku - 1.1
Obi - 1.1
Kwankwanso - 1.1

Rivers(3.4)
Atiku - 1.7
Obi - 1.7

Kastina(3.6)
Tinubu - 1.2
Atiku - 1.2
Kwankwanso - 1.2

Delta (3.4)
Atiku - 1.7
Obi - 1.7

Oyo(3.3)
Tinubu - 1.6
Obi - 1.7

Benue(2.
Tinubu - 0.9
Kwankwanso- 0.9
Obi - 0.9

Bauchi(2.
Tinubu - 0.7
Atiku - 0.7
Obi - 0.7
Kwankwanso - 0.7

Anabram(2.
Obi - 2.8

Total
Atiku- 10.8
Obi- 13
Tinubu- 9.9
Kwankwanso- 5.9

Lol, I found it amusing when you allocate same number for Atiku, Obi and Tinubu in Lagos. Lagos is strictly between Tinubu and Obi, Atiku will come a very distant third.

Also, Atiku sharing Rivers with Obi in equal numbers is not realistic. Even if Wike decides to work fully with Atiku, Obi will still win Rivers decisively.

Delta 50-50 between Obi and Atiku? That's false, Obi is winning Delta by a wide margin. Haven't you heard of government appointees resigning or rejecting offers because they're Obi-dient? Such can only happen when a candidate is massively popular.

Tinubu will definitely win Oyo but Obi will get over 25% while Atiku won't get up to 10%.

Atiku will win Bauchi but Obi and Tinubu may get up to 25% each.

3 Likes

Politics › Re: 3000 Aggrieved NNPP And PRP Members In Katsina Defects To LB Party by Vote4Obi: 3:29pm On Oct 05, 2022

rolams:
No difference!

The first time we are seeing this type of news!

It has been happening since. Kwankwaso will lose all his followers and they will scatter and join LP, PDP and APC if he mistakingly drops his presidential ambition.

1 Like

Politics › Re: See How They Are Deceiving Tinubu Right Now In Owerri, Imo State(photos) by Vote4Obi: 3:24pm On Oct 05, 2022

[quote author= post=117294734]When they asked them to come forward for the camera grin

[/quote]Any crowd you see with majority of them wearing same fez caps or t-shirts just know they were mobilized with money.

The governor will simply tell each LGA chairman and commissioners to bring a specific number of people from their respective areas and also release cash for the mobilization. On that day, buses will bring them from rural areas.

They're only deceiving themselves.

1 Like

Politics › Re: Fully Packed Stadium Welcome Atiku As He Visits Bauchi (Videos & Pictures) by Vote4Obi: 3:19pm On Oct 05, 2022

Food for thought, anyone you have to pay for them to come and see you is most unlikely to vote for you. They're obviously not interest in you in the first place but had to come because of the money you gave them. Such person can only vote for you except you're ready to pay them on election day and also watch them.

However, anybody that walks the city or comes to the stadiums out of passion and personal desire to see you, would vote you 100% on election day.

In other words, I only rate Obi crowd, others are just for the camera.

31 Likes

Politics › Re: Fully Packed Stadium Welcome Atiku As He Visits Bauchi (Videos & Pictures) by Vote4Obi: 3:14pm On Oct 05, 2022

Some of you don't see to understand the difference between Obi-dient crowd and all these cash induced crowd.

Obi has no governor and no local government chairmen that can mobilize crowd in their domain yet he keeps pulling massive crowd in all parts of Nigeria. People in all those places come out on their own out of passion for him!

Those that walked for Tinubu in Lagos and Ibadan were mobilized and induced. This crowd in Bauchi are also mobilized and induced to come.

Again, these are their respective regions and shouldn't be extraordinary. Obi pulling crowd in Anambra or Enugu should be expected as well but when he pulls crowd in Jos, Kafanchan, Benin, Calabar, Zaria then it becomes extraordinary.

The question is, can Tinubu pull crowd in say Aba, Onitsha or P.H without politicians inducing the people with cash? Can Atiku pull crowd in Ogbomosho, Owerri, or Warri without paying PDP politicians to mobilize them?

87 Likes 7 Shares

Politics › Re: 2023: ’18 Nigerian Governors Are Backing Peter Obi’ by Vote4Obi: 1:15pm On Oct 05, 2022

Facts!!!!

Meanwhile, humans naturally identify with successful people and outcomes while they distance themselves from losers. The more it becomes clearer that Obi is going to win, the more Nigerians would be willing to back him and that's what is already happening and why the governor's are falling over themselves to identify with the movement.

This situation will also make the prospects of getting block votes in strongholds like SS and SE and Christian parts of North.

Meanwhile, here is another critical data that indicate Obi is already on his way to Aso rock: https://www.nairaland.com/7367725/statistics-indicate-obis-victory-why#up

1 Like

Politics › Re: Hausa Version Of Peter Obi Defending IPOB Terrorists Goes Viral by Vote4Obi: 12:59pm On Oct 05, 2022

QuotaSystem:
A translated Hausa version of Peter Obi defending proscribed IPOB terrorists is going viral on Twitter and many WhatsApp statuses & groups.

Take a listen…

Hausa Version of Peter Obi’s Video Defending IPOB!#TableShaker pic.twitter.com/XvLc2CDIwp
— Reno Omokri (@renoomokri) October 5, 2022

Cc: lalasticlala nlfpmod Seun mynd44

The joke is on you and Reno also known as Small Goat.

Trying to blackmail Obi among the Hausas won't achieve anything because it's a very stupid and myopic idea. If you like, take the message to every house in the NW, does it affect Obi? Where they going to vote him before?

The same areas Atiku, Kwankwaso and Tinubu are killing themselves over?

I laugh at your foolishness grin

Politics › Re: Presidential Election: South-West At Crossroads Over Tinubu, Obi by Vote4Obi: 12:32pm On Oct 05, 2022

When your opponent secures his own base 100% then enter your own base to share it equally with you just give up and accept defeat.

Meanwhile, here is another facts that prove Obi is on his way to Aso rock, just check the link and confirm yourself:

https://www.nairaland.com/7367725/statistics-indicate-obis-victory-why#up

8 Likes 1 Share

Politics › Re: Imo Women Arrive For Rally To Campaign For Tinubu, APC Candidates by Vote4Obi: 12:27pm On Oct 05, 2022

[quote author=wwwihy post=117290245]South East Women for Tinubu about to showcase their Love[/quote]Title says Imo women, the text says South East women. Regardless of your confusion, I can assure you that 99% of the women you're seeing there would vote for Obi.

Forcing civil servants to appear for campaign and actual voting on election day are mutually exclusive.

Continue celebrating your fake love. But always have it in mind that Tinubu is not rated here. Only Atiku can manage to get like 5% votes.

Meanwhile, here is proven statistics that indicates Obi's victory:

https://www.nairaland.com/7367725/statistics-indicate-obis-victory-why#up

13 Likes 2 Shares

Politics › Re: Statistics Indicate Obi's Victory & Why Rivers Is More Important Than Kano by Vote4Obi(op): 11:40am On Oct 05, 2022

Ekundayo7574:
You are just fooling yourself up and down we all knows that peter Obi can not win the election all this south east pigs should have brain a beg

Insulting your father won't change the reality on ground. It only shows you lack good parental upbringing. A normal person would have intelligently countered the facts above with superior logic if they think otherwise, but unfortunately, agbado urchins are subhumans.

Obi is your next president, so deal with it!

37 Likes 4 Shares

Politics › Re: 2023: States Atiku, Obi, Tinubu, Kwankwaso Will Win - Governor Ifedolapo by Vote4Obi: 11:36am On Oct 05, 2022

COFFINSELLER:
https://twitter.com/IfedolapoOsun/status/1577393717215957032?t=pZr1pDs0dChadPBvvixtLw&s=19[/quote]Fake news, people should disregard this trash... Only gullible fools will believe this rubbish.

Meanwhile, here is a link to the actual statistics that prove Obi is certainly Nigeria's next president.
https://www.nairaland.com/7367725/statistics-indicate-obis-victory-why#up

Politics › Statistics Indicate Obi's Victory & Why Rivers Is More Important Than Kano by Vote4Obi(op): 11:34am On Oct 05, 2022

You probably must have heard about the famed Kardashians or KKK states and how they determine election outcomes. Incidentally, that reality no longer holds because of current dynamics. Also, it has been variously stated that Kano is the most important state in terms of vote output but again, Rivers is now technically more important!

Firstly, here is the list of 10 states with the highest number of voters:

1. Lagos 7,155,920.
2. Kano 6,026,850.
3. Kaduna 4,411,723.
4. Rivers 3,689,197.
5. Katsina 3,570,740.
6. Delta 3,368,791.
7. Oyo 3,330,336.
8. Benue 2,832,087.
9. Bauchi 2,801,512.
10. Anambra 2,761,467.

Of the 10 most important states, 4 of them i.e. Rivers, Anambra, Delta, and Benue are likely to give Obi block votes. In addition to that, Obi may also pull a surprise by winning Lagos and Kaduna states!

Another remarkable point is that Lagos could go either to Obi or Tinubu. Kano may go either way to Kwankwaso or Atiku. Kaduna may go to Atiku, Tinubu or Obi. Oyo would have given Tinubu block votes but the governor is PDP and Obi-dient which dilutes the outcome. However, Rivers is absolutely certain to go to Obi with block votes. This makes the state more influencial Kano that would be devoured by up to 3 candidates, each grabbing high percentages.

What this means is that in absolute numbers, Obi is most likely to get the highest votes cast and also has a more assured base while Tinubu and Atiku are not sure of what they would get because of volatility and stiff competition in their supposed bases.

These 10 states cumulatively have about 40 million voters out of a total of 96 million and probably half goes to Obi.

These same factors are more or less same in the other 26 states and the FCT, which favours Obi.

Once again, congratulations to Obi, our incoming GCFR!!!!!!

31 Likes 4 Shares

Politics › Re: Peter Obi Road To Aso Rock,only 4 States Remain For Him To Meet The Requirement by Vote4Obi: 10:33am On Oct 05, 2022

Afamed:
All the votes he will get in SS and SE will be swallowed by the votes from Borno and Yobe. End of the Pandora Presidential ambition

Most of you Tinubu supporters are bereft of sound reasoning and logic. How can Borno and Yobr swallow SE and SS when those states would be split into parts?

Already, Anambra has more number of registered voters than Borno or Yobe. Anambra just like other SE states would likely give Obi block votes same with SS states that would give block votes. However, there is no single Northern states that can give block votes except maybe Benue and Plateau and they're remarkably for Obi.

Atiku, Tinubu and possibly Kwankwaso would checkmate themselves in the Muslim North while Obi enjoys a free ride in the Christian parts!

Rivers state alone may end up giving Obi more votes than Kano can give any candidate simply because while Rivers vote in block Kano would certainly split its own votes. In other words, Rivers is more important than any Northern state in this election.

Can you now see the joke is on you cheesy

Politics › Re: Peter Obi Road To Aso Rock,only 4 States Remain For Him To Meet The Requirement by Vote4Obi: 10:24am On Oct 05, 2022

thesicilian:
I didn't expect anything less. You sound like one of those the countless never-do-wells who have been sucked into the bandwagon of ideas you obviously have no mental capacity to grasp in a thousand years. Everything is reduced to for us and against us. I pity your offsprings.

Agbado have completely blocked your brain. You should rather pity your miserable offsprings. Mine already have the privileges you will never have the capacity to provide yours tongue

Politics › Re: Northern Nigeria Presidential Election Opinion Poll Result by Vote4Obi: 10:17am On Oct 05, 2022

mrvitalis:
Everything is here is correct the only place obi hopes to get votes in the north west is Kaduna that's all and I know 25% is sure ..might even win Kaduna if the majority of Christians vote for him while the rest share the Muslim votes

The issue is Kaduna , Kano and kastina would be so shared that their effect on the outcome would be reduced significantly

The north east obi would definitely perform well , taraba , Adamawa , Bauchi ,gombe are states I expect him to get 35%, 25% ,20% 20% respectively

The middle belt is key for Peter obi ... wining Jos , Benue, Abuja ...and being competitive in nassarawa is very important ,

kogi and kwara is where obi needs to focus on more in the south west ...they are exposed and need to just be shown the truth ...25% is achievable with enough efforts

Obi must as a matter of fact campaign massively in the south west ...spend time on radio stations , locally Yorubas do cluster settlement system ...so don't just campaign at the state capital ...go to the towns. ..spend 2 to 3 days per state ... campaign very very well

Because obi getting 25% in all south west states is his biggest hindrance from wining this election

Obi will do well in Kaduna, 25% is sure there and he might even win Kaduna if the south and central votes him massively while the Muslim candidate share the remaining.

In the NE, Obi will win Taraba, get 25% in Adamawa, and also get significant votes above 20% in Bauchi, Gombe.

In NC, Obi will win Benue and Plateau overwhelmingly. He might also win Nassarawa considering that Christians there will vote him massively and areas of the state close to Abuja will also vote Obi. Tinubu will win Kwara obviously & maybe Kogi but Obi will get over 25% in Kogi. The Igalas are majority here and they're likely to vote Obi. Atiku will win Niger. Overall, Obi will win NC.

In the SW, Tinubu will win overall but with about 55% margin due to Lagos where Obi might either win or come a very close second. Overall, Obi might get 30% in SW while Atiku gets less than 15%.

In the SE, Obi will win with 90% margin while PDP and APC shares the remaining 10%.

In the SS, Obi will win overwhelmingly with about 70% votes, PDP 25% & APC 5%.

Obi will easily get at least 25% in all 17 Southern states. With Plateau, Benue, Nassarawa, Kaduna, Taraba, Adamawa, and Kogi, he will scale through 2/3 requirements.

I think while it may be easier for Tinubu to get 2/3 requirements, Atiku would find it difficult.

Politics › Re: Peter Obi Road To Aso Rock,only 4 States Remain For Him To Meet The Requirement by Vote4Obi: 9:21pm On Oct 04, 2022

thesicilian:
On election day you'll learn the meaning of the proverb "Never count your eggs before they are hatched."

Most of you agbado urchins always argue nonsense. Opinion polls and intelligent analysis are part of elections everywhere in the world. So, I wonder why you're so angry over this realistic analysis.

5 Likes

Politics › Re: Peter Obi Road To Aso Rock,only 4 States Remain For Him To Meet The Requirement by Vote4Obi: 9:03pm On Oct 04, 2022

ENGINEERG:
As the 2023 election draws nearer, the chance of Peter obi winning is now so high.
He will win south south and south east.
He will do very well in south west.
And he will do well too in North Central.
North West and North East are not sure for him, but he will still get some votes.
But Apc, NNPP and PDP will majorly share the North West and North East.
With the above analysis, Peter obi will have the majority votes, but the next hurdle is the 25% in 2/3 of Nigeria states.
But it's sure he will get 25% in any four states from the 8 states he has chances too.
Congratulations in advance to all obidients.

Taraba is definitely green!
Taraba is fully Obi-dient just like Benue. Nassarawa too is sure for 25%.

2 Likes 1 Share

Politics › Re: Enugu: Labour Party Takes Over APC Secretariat by Vote4Obi: 8:41pm On Oct 04, 2022

Politics › Re: Tinubu Out ... Amaechi In ...? by Vote4Obi: 4:01pm On Oct 04, 2022

Validated:
There are strong indications that baring aby last minute changes, the APC may have to substitute her presidential candidate Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

Inspite of assurances from Tunubu's immediate family and close allies, the reality is that the Jagaban Borgu is down and may not be available for the 2023 campaign soon.

All the Videos of Tinubu purportedly riding stationary bicycle have been proven to be old vidoes.

Details loading ...

Southerners and Yorubas should never accept that!

Tinubu must contest, even if he is on wheel chair. Northern Muslims are cunningly trying to remove Tinubu and substitute with Amaechi so he can divide Obi's vote in the South thus making it easy for Atiku to win.

I repeat, we should never allow them remove Tinubu.

1 Like

Politics › Re: Ongoing Walk For Bola Tinubu In Ibadan (Pictures) by Vote4Obi: 3:55pm On Oct 04, 2022

[quote author= post=117264162]Make Tinubu no finish money for campaign in the name of competing with Obi in Southwest, Obidient rally is free grin

[/quote]No loud am bro. 200 million naira down the drain, just to organize one rally. I wonder how many billions he is going to spend to organize like 20 rallies. Meanwhile, Peter Obi rallies didn't cost him shishi yet they were all sold out. That's class!!!!

Politics › Re: TINUBU: It’s Massive, Ongoing Tinubu-shettima Rally In Ibadan (PICS ATTACHED) by Vote4Obi: 1:17pm On Oct 04, 2022

Authority1o1:
Okay...

No flag? No banner? No video? Which part of Ibandan?

You're now stealing pictures to prove a point.

Meanwhile, what am I hearing about Tinubu?

What are you hearing? Has the old man kicked the bucket?

God abeg o, preserve Tinubu's life because we need him to help us divide Atiku's votes in NW

Politics › Re: TINUBU: It’s Massive, Ongoing Tinubu-shettima Rally In Ibadan (PICS ATTACHED) by Vote4Obi: 1:08pm On Oct 04, 2022

Authority1o1:
Okay...

No flag? No banner? No video?

You're now stealing pictures to prove a point.

Meanwhile, what am I hearing about Tinubu?

Good observation!

On top of it, only a small picture was shown. Why not show drone pictures?

Few days ago, they were showing 2019 pictures as current Tinubu rally in Kogi state before they were exposed by vigilant Nigerian youths.

Politics › Re: TINUBU: It’s Massive, Ongoing Tinubu-shettima Rally In Ibadan (PICS ATTACHED) by Vote4Obi: 1:05pm On Oct 04, 2022

Moferere:
Obidients

There is absolutely nothing to gloat about here. This is Ibadan, SW. Yoruba Muslims are the only stronghold Tinubu has but unfortunately, it's not enough to make him win tongue

1 Like

Politics › Re: Eleyi Of Lagos Mistakenly Revealed Tinubu's Real Age (photo) by Vote4Obi: 1:02pm On Oct 04, 2022

Softmirror:
HIS DAUGHTER MUST BE SO BLESSED.

What point are you trying to make by gathering her old pictures together? Even one of those pictures show she is is already well advanced in age.

Politics › Re: Irrefutable Facts: Obi Is Nigeria's Next President!!! by Vote4Obi(op): 12:34pm On Oct 04, 2022

duro4chang:
May God bless Bola ahmed Tinubu may his time bring peace, progress and posterity. So shall it. Say a big amen!

God has already blessed Tinubu by allowing him to live up to 80 years, not minding his grievous sins.

However, Tinubu is now trying to mock God by wanting to destroy Nigerians while neglecting his sickness and old age.

1 Like

Politics › Re: Irrefutable Facts: Obi Is Nigeria's Next President!!! by Vote4Obi(op): 11:53am On Oct 04, 2022

duro4chang:
I forsee Bola Ahmed Tinubu as the next president. Akanbi Omo olodo ide.

You mean as president of Iragbiji village elders because there is zero chance of Tinubu winning the election now that rigging won't work.

Face reality my brother.

3 Likes

Politics › Re: Irrefutable Facts: Obi Is Nigeria's Next President!!! by Vote4Obi(op): 11:52am On Oct 04, 2022

centurionpapa:
You're deluded and daydreamer.
February 2023 will wake you up from your deep slumber

Insulting people can't make Tinubu president. Without rigging, Tinubu and his APC would be roasted on election day.

6 Likes 1 Share

Politics › Re: Kaduna Street Poll: An Eye Opener For Tinubu & His Supporters - David160 (Video) by Vote4Obi: 11:41am On Oct 04, 2022

oilykid:
The truth is that christian majority North like Southern Kaduna,plateau,Benue, Abuja,taraba,nassarawa,part of Bauchi, etc will likely go for obi while Atiku will get majority of the north. Obi should try and secure his SE, SS and Lagos base then work in the North Central and taraba

Obi is a smart man who understands how to achieve his objectives perfectly. These same 3 regions are already in the bag for LP. In the SE, no other party is rated here now except Labour Party. Same is happening in the SS. In the NC Bible belt, Obi penetrated them through the church. Recall how angry APC people were when Obi was visiting the churches there. Paul Enenche, El Buba and other influencial pastors there including those in the orthodox denominations are passionately backing Obi. The Christians here are massively for Obi.

Obi is the incoming GCFR!!!

2 Likes

Politics › Irrefutable Facts: Obi Is Nigeria's Next President!!! by Vote4Obi(op): 11:30am On Oct 04, 2022

The only thing that can stop Obi from succeeding Buhari in Aso rock is massive rigging. However, since that isn't going to be possible bearing in mind the BVAS and IREV changes made by INEC, it is safe to say that Obi is coasting home to a victory that will reverberate across Africa.

In the SE, Obi is most likely to win the region landslide with close to 90%.

In the SS, Obi is also going to win landslide although with reduced margin of 70%.

In the NC, Obi will win marginally with about 45%, while Tinubu and Atiku shares the remaining.

Atiku will win NW & NE but only marginally with 60% and 55% respectively. However, if Kwankwaso refuses to drop his ambition, the margins for Atiku will further drop to about 45% & 40% respectively. Except the APC governors and ministers from these regions openly campaign for Atiku, which I think is unlikely considering the damage it will do to Nigeria's continued existence as one nation, then Tinubu will still be able to get significant votes here too thereby splitting NW into two.

Tinubu will win SW without Lagos. Overall, he will get about 60% of SW votes while Obi gets 30% & Atiku less than 10%.

Now tally it, Obi gets:

90% in SE.
70% in SS.
45% in NC.
30% in SW.
25% in NE.
15% in NW.

Atiku and Tinubu won't get more than these numbers.

Congratulations to Obi, the next GCFR.

8 Likes

Politics › Re: Obi Unveils Agenda, Plans Reduction Of Governance Cost by Vote4Obi: 10:58am On Oct 04, 2022

God wants to use Obi in changing Nigeria permanently for good!

11 Likes 1 Share

Politics › Re: My God,jos Locked Down For Peter Obi Again! by Vote4Obi: 4:42pm On Sep 28, 2022

This election is going to be a cracker. It will reverberate across Africa!

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