₦airaland Forum

H100:
According to the trends data, using the past 7 (seven) days' filter 03-08-2022 to 10-08-2022.

OVERALL AVERAGE

Bola Ahmed Tinubu (49%)
Atiku Abubakar (26%)
Peter Obi (48%)
Rabiu Kwankwaso (3%)

There are still about 6 months before February 2023, but I can tell you that the significant contest will be between Bola Ahmed Tinubu, Peter Obi, and Atiku Abubakar.

There are also going to be lots of surprises, more swing states or battleground states are emerging.

Bola Ahmed Tinubu leads with about 15 states: Ekiti, Oyo, Osun, Ondo, Ogun, Kwara, Lagos, Jigawa, Plateau, Niger, Kogi, Kaduna, Bauchi, Borno, and Taraba.

It's good to share that in Lagos, Bola Ahmed Tinubu had 41%, while Peter Obi is at 38%.

Can Lagos be a swing state?

Next, Peter Obi leads with about 13 states: Edo, Delta, Benue, Nasarawa, Rivers, Akwa Ibom, Cross River, Imo, Bayelsa, Abia, Ebonyi, Anambra, and Enugu.

Do you know that the FCT will also be a battleground?

Bola Ahmed Tinubu 37% and Peter Obi 37% each, according to the trends at this time.

Next, Atiku Abubakar with about 8 states: Kebbi, Yobe, Katsina, Sokoto, Zamfara, Gombe, Adamawa and Kano.

Yes, I was equally surprised with the traction from Kano - Atiku Abubakar 33%, Bola Ahmed Tinubu 26%, Rabiu Kwankwaso 24%, and Peter Obi 17%.

It’s good to share that Kwankwaso’s highest traction is from Kano, but they also have been growing in Jigawa, Katsina, Yobe, Bauchi, and Borno State.

SWING STATES OR BATTLEGROUND STATES:

(a) Katsina State - Bola Ahmed Tinubu 40% and Atiku Abubakar 41%.

(b) Yobe State - Atiku Abubakar 47% and Bola Ahmed Tinubu 41%.

(c) Lagos State - Bola Ahmed Tinubu 41% and Peter Obi 38%.

(d) Kebbi State - Atiku Abubakar 51% and Bola Ahmed Tinubu 49%.

(e) Edo State - Peter Obi 43% and Bola Ahmed Tinubu 38%.

(f) Plateau State - Peter Obi 37% and Bola Ahmed Tinubu 39%.

(g) Jigawa State - Bola Ahmed Tinubu 40% and Atiku Abubakar 39%.

(h) FCT - Peter Obi 37% and Bola Ahmed Tinubu 37%.

(i) Borno State - Bola Ahmed Tinubu 37% and Atiku Abubakar 36%.

(j) Benue State - Peter Obi 41% and Bola Ahmed Tinubu 36%.

(k) Nasarawa State - Bola Ahmed Tinubu 36% and Peter Obi 39%.

(l) Taraba State - Bola Ahmed Tinubu 36%, Peter Obi 34%, and Atiku Abubakar 30%.

Data Spreadsheet:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xcoddwJ21tVzj9n0EtJgBPN-jrNWIPSzPp2ssxoC8os/edit?usp=sharing


Credit : Aderogba Otunla

I stopped at your plateau prediction..same Lalong that his people are angry with him over his recent comments about Christianity and the pope?
Same Lalong that rarely visits his people whenever bandits attack them..? Same middlebelt that bandits are having a field day?
In the history of plateau state, Lalongs government was the only government that had dead bodies abandoned in front of the government house in protest..
Even recently, plateau people took him to court over his desperation for a deal with Jaiz bank over terminus market..
And you made this person a DG of campaign and you feel he will win? Anyways, that's your cup of tea...
I'd like to wager a 100k bet with anyone...if plateau gives APC 39% of Votes..you win...
No be to dey make noise online..

beelon1020:
Words from the wise one!...

How is this man a wise man...?
A former governor that did nothing for his people?
Man is in the same sentence with the Theodore orjis, achike udenwas and the ekweremmadus when it comes to incompetence...an OBi is going national and a local champion is hating...

Wahala everywhere

Someone said...IT IS MY TURN...and Nigerian youths are hailing and supporting...
If you get money...Japa...

deeva2:
Peter Obi should go and celebrate or mourn those that perished at Orlu River in his peaceless state. We won't allow IPOB to burn Lagos again.

IT WILL NEVER HAPPEN AGAIN.

You're an insincere individual.
Lol...one sad thing about people like you is you feel anybody that supports Peter obi is ipob..it is always one derogatory statement or another...but I've not seen anyone of you clowns call out that veepee of your agbado god...man has more luggages than a Saharan camel..the reality you've failed to see is..people are tired of APC..
How you want a man that is clearly ill to lead is something that I try to wonder how your thought process works..someone that the current guy is even stronger than healthwise...

Wahala no dey finish...this one has to be based on snitching

Plus a working judicial system that will be on her toes...

These ones will be used as scapegoats... they'll be dismissed....rinse and repeat

Old taker done get new taker

What is a 16 year old doing in a marriage?...and funnily, this person that married her won't be probed

Omo...no be that oba wey boys took over his staff, crown and house during COVID-19 period?

Omo...so if I wan buy bread..na wheelbarrow I go use...Omo.. God abeg

daygee12:
Very soon u will chew it

I'm ready to chew it...as long as I don't vote the corn-ry man...I'm satisfied

[quote author=ZazziAkbar post=115254588][/quote]Kindly email me
dulochidiebere@gmail.com
I'd like to ask some questions

I don't listen to these guys.
But to be honest...I will vote Peter obi.

diadem10:
Says the Ipob miscreants.

First, it was even Obasanjo who brought him out in the first place. Secondly, The southwest supported him en masse.

Why is it that anyone that goes against una views is ipob?

freshpzy1:
leadership is not by religion



on TINUBU'S MANDATE I STAND



AN IGBO PRESIDENCY CAN NEVER & WILL NEVER UNITE THIS COUNTRY




IPOB IS ALL THEY WANT



AND IT WILL NEVER HAPPEN


NIGERIA IS God's project

Instead I will vote tinubu...I go chew my PVC..

Moferere:
When they enforce anti-trading ban in Kaduna, una go cry

If the Igbos there are constituting nuisance... kidnapping or destroying people's sources of livelihood..if the Igbos are grabbing lands using force, AK 47 and some religious books claiming it is God that gave it to them...then they should ban their activities too.

apache22b:
The power is in your hands, if you want to continue suffering in Nigeria vote Peter Obi.

If you want boost in our economy and Security,vote Tinubu.

Tinubu is the only Messiah we have to make things right again for us all in Nigeria.

Vote Tinubu wisely

Forget Peter Obi he's a nosie maker and that's where it all ends .

Tinubu 2023 all the Way for economic growth,peace and harmony

I'd rather chew my PVC than to vote that senile Man..

PremiumTech:
THE BUREAU | POLITICS

By Raphael M.

https://i0.wp.com/thebureau.com.ng/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/Adamu-Fanda.jpg?w=588&ssl=1

Former member House of Representatives and Chieftain of the All Progressives Congress(APC), Hon Adamu Fanda has condemned the visit of the Speaker, House of Representatives of the United States, Nancy Pelosi describing it as provocative.

In a Press Release, Fanda said:

"The visit of the House of Representatives Speaker of the US, Nancy Pelosi is a clear provocation and blatant violation of the UN Resolution 2758 of 1971 which firmly support One China Policy".

"I believe that the National sovereignty and territorial integrity of China should be respected. I support China's efforts towards National reunification and am against actions that interfere in other country's internal affairs", he stated.

https://i0.wp.com/thebureau.com.ng/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/Fanda-Pelosi-Statement-e1659701546472.jpg?w=420&ssl=1

Source: The Bureau

I would have said something...but his name is adamu.

Slowly, they're loosing the monopoly on media and journalism....this elections na wahala

Realist12:
Those tackling the APC ticket are infact the ones causing religious divide . All APC did is consider the demographics of the country .
Infact Northern Christian would love to vote Tinubu except they can't analyze the demographics of the country . You see those Babachir are just selfish people playing on the sentiments not like they don't know the right thing .
Because if you go by these sentiments it will only mean the northern Christian must choose a Yoruba Muslim to be the vice whenever they bring forth an influential Northern Christian or they go with the Christian-Christian ticket in the future.
Are we now saying the north central Christians who have almost equal populations of both faith are disqualified from the presidential race like wise south west Muslims?
Let's say an influential Ibo man who happens to be a Muslim must pick a Christian from the north rather than shopping for another competent candidate from the north.
We have to strive for a country that can be led by any tribe devoid of archaic sentiments. Lagos current and former governor are Christians but they are competent.

So in the full north...there's no competent Christian politician to select from?..

Africa's giant

Wahala.

Echoban:
But how come u elect so many useless men like this into power , that can't be said of SW, almost all our Governors are Brilliant fellow though.

The worst amongst us always tends to lead us..

FieldMarshall06:
If you still wondering how a man could be so tied to his ethnic group, then come in here. We are together in this bewilderment, as I struggle to find reasons for Buhari obsessive allegiance to fulani and Niger republic.

First, I am Yoruba. There are Yorubas in Benin Republic... but I care less about them. I have nothing with them and I cannot carry Beninoise Yorubas on my head. That is me. And that is millions of Yoruba as well. But Buhari, I cannot understand. To call him silly is an understatement. Buhari is an animal. He is far below a human. This is a man that voted a fulani man from Niger against Nigeria's Peter Onu because of ethnic group. I mean how crass, how vain and how animalistic can a president be to vote against his own country's candidate. Well, that is Buhari, the animal.

See people, there is no point looking far away. The sorry state of Nigerians today is directly traced to the animal in Aso rock. This is as clear as daylight. Unless you choose to ignore it, the man in Aso Rock doesn’t have the interest of the Nigerian people at heart.
Why?? I would explain. The unprecedented destruction of every aspect of our national life, under Buhari's watch, is a consequence of Buhari’s allegiance. It is a case of a foreigner ruling us and who doesn’t care about us the real Nigerians. Buhari allegiance is not to Nigeria. No. It has never been. His allegiance is tied to his fulani people. And that is the reason for the problems in Nigeria today.

After Buhari won in 2015, thousands of fulanis from Niger and Mali, flooded Nigeria at the behest of Buhari and the sultanate. Foreigners, who simply by being Fulani, were given unparalleled licence into the country to ravage the true indigenes of Nigeria. That is the reason we have fulani herdsmen and banditry plaguing the nation today; because Buhari allowed them come in. And the real northern indigenes suffer it most.

It is hard to understand how a man of Buhari age would be so tied to his ethnic stock. Muhammad Buhari would go down as the most useless, bigoted, ethnic irredentist president the world has ever known. In Nigerian history, he would be remembered with scorn and curses, far worse than Abacha. How would we justify spending over N1Bn to buy cars for another country that earns their own income. N1.1Bn can start 6 new industries and employ thousands of Nigerians.
Some things are inexplicable. Why not lease them cars. Why does Buhari think he can spend our commonwealth on frivolities. This same man donated $1m to Afghanistan. Why? Is he crazy? What is Buhari's interest in these countries? And the common denominator is that these are Muslim Arab countries. Why is the man so bigoted and tribalist. Why? Why is he so useless that his wife couldn’t stomach his stupidity and left the villa for him.

We Nigerians must learn our lesson. When power returns to the North in 2031, it should go to the Hausas and the middle belt people. Not a fulani man. The Hausas and middle belt must now lay claim to their rights as true indigenous Nigerians. Only then can they reclaim their lands and stop fulani herdsmen from butchering them. We cannot continue like this, allowing Fulanis who have no allegiance to Nigeria, to rule us. The Northern people must be very careful in the future. Their problems are their own making. Hausa and middle belt must cooperate henceforth and put the Fulanis in their place. They are migrants and shouldn’t hold power over indigenes. Until Hausas and middle belt people claim their rights, Fulanis herdsmen wouldn’t stop killing them. It is a continuous cycle. The Fulanis must not be allowed to toy with this country. In this life of Buhari’s rule, the Fulanis have bared their fangs. And they must not get an afterlife or next life at Aso Rock. Hausas themselves should rule in 2031 and Middle Belt in 2039. No next life for a fulani at Aso rock. As for Buhari, he would be a case study on why Fulanis wouldn’t ever rule Nigeria.

People still name their children buhari...omo

I wonder how APC will campaign next year...e go hard o...

Abeg make yoruba people come take hope uzodinma, ikpuazu, ekweremmadu, achike udenwa, ohakim, t.a orji, and just give us Seyi makinde...
If them pity us...make them add ambode for us...even rochas we go dash them...many igbo politicians are bunch of disappointing disappointments.

TonyeBarcanista:
During the period of electioneering ahead of the 2015 Presidential election, Muhammadu Buhari, a former army general with an unpleasant antecedent, was nominated by then opposition merger, All Progressives Congress (APC), as their candidate for the 2015 presidential election. Following his emergence, he was touted as the long-awaited messiah to take Nigeria to the path of greatness by his Party members. Aside members of the APC, Buhari was equally projected to Nigerians by a group of people disguising as 'apolitical intellectuals' as the man to rescue Nigeria from the 'misgovernance' of the Goodluck Jonathan led Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) administration, and restore Nigeria to eldorado.

These influencers and their followers employed emotional, psychological, ethnic and religious tools laced with propaganda to manipulate Nigerians into joining the Buhari train. Whenever you confront them with past records of Muhammadu Buhari, they will dismissed your observation entirely with the phrase "I have decided to vote change". Some go to the extreme of either labeling you a hireling of Jonathan/PDP or an enemy of good governance. When you remind them that Buhari, the man they tout as the 'Incoming Messiah", was dishonest about his academic records, truncated the democracy enjoyed in the second republic, caused Nigeria economic havoc while as military head of state, literally set Lagos state sixty years backwards with the truncation of the rail project of Lateef Jakande (due to gross ignorance), perpetrated rights abuses, jailed journalists for doing their job with his infamous decree, promoted sectionalism, tribalism and allegedly perpetrated graft as chairman of Petroleum Trust Fund (PTF), these influencers will shut you down. They justify the coup (calling it a child of necessity), and they downplayed his intellectual deficiency and dishonest academic record by saying that NEPA bill (electricity bill) is as good (if not better) than an academic or professional certificates. They justified his abuse of human rights saying that Nigerians need iron hand to behave decently, and adorned Buhari with the robe of "reformed democrat" to shoot down his dictatorial past. In fact, these influencers took advantage of some of shortcomings of the then Goodluck administration especially with respect to the growing insecurity in the Northeast and parts of the Northwest by Boko Haram insurgents. They manipulated the anger of Nigerians that arose from the ill-informed removal of fuel subsidy on 2012 New Year Day against the Jonathan's government just to force the Buhari agenda down their throat. They equally took advantage of the desperation of the north to return to power to boost their numerical strength and caused increase in Buhari electoral standing; at the end, Buhari won the 2015 presidential. But unfortunately, the entire country has been in flames ever since with hyperinflation and its resultant economic woes, banditry and other forms of insecurity, sectionalism, gross rights abuse and other forms of misgovernance.

Like the 2015 electioneering era, a group of influencers and their followers have "hijacked" the airwaves to force the aspiration of Mr. Peter Obi, the Labour Party (LP) presidential candidate down the throats of Nigerians. Similar to what transpired in the run-up to the 2015 election, these people, who have christened themselves as 'Obidients', have resulted to taking advantage of the epic failure of Buhari led APC administration to manipulate Nigerians to embrace Peter Obi - who they have already adorned with the messianic robe. They push the Obi candidacy through false claims, half truths and unverified facts, and are prepared to mobilize a media mob action against anyone that dares express contrary opinion about their audio messiah irrespective of their previous relationship with the person. Aside adorning Obi the messianic robe, his promoters equally elevated themselves to the status of 'heroes' of Nigeria, while engraving the 'villain' stamp on the foreheads of those who are not subscribed to Obi presidential aspiration. But how sincere are they?

While the Obi influencers' claim that the passion for a progressive Nigerian system with economic improvement, secuity of lives and property, respect for human rights, transparency and general good governance informed their position on Obi, they get angry, threatening and defensive when reminded them of Obi's antecedents. As Governor of Anambra State, Obi administration could not to grow Anambra State internal generated revenue beyond a meagre monthly 400 milion naira even when relatively poor Cross river State was generating 600 million naira monthly. The same IGR was raised to 1.4 billion monthly by Obi successor, Obiano, shortly after assuming office. Is that the man that can improve Nigeria's economic fortunes? When you confront Obi or these influencers with these facts, they will tell you that he saved N75 billion naira for the state; a claim described as false by his successor, Willie Obiano. In contrast, Obi was said to handover a debt burden of N185 billion and hurriedly recruited over 6000 employees into the State's Civil service on the eve of his exit; which Obiano administration was expected to cater for. Interestingly, Obi as Governor refused to pay workers the minimum wage and threatened to fire striking workers (Medical doctors and others) from the state service. In fact, Peter Obi administration was described by Anambra Indigenes on Ndigbo Facebook Page as a calamity that befell the state.
Read: Feedback from 2011 Ndigbo Facebook Page https://www.facebook.com/127503268408/posts/pfbid03gj1rhLPBy2a8qAevQ8NZ7b2FLf5pZH2XwnNP1eoJeJ1UPLuX2cdapftQiz69ALyl/

Furthermore, these Obi influencers, many of whom were active in the agitation against police brutality and other human rights abuses through the #EndSARS movement, are promoting the candidacy of a man that infamously ordered shoot-on-sight on MASSOB members in Anambra State even when the group was not declared a terrorist organisation during his time as governor (and extrajudicial order); most of the people killed as a result of that order were innocent traders and youths. When you point this to these influencers, they will not hesitate to betray themselves by either defending it or pretend like it never happened. These influencers usually claim Obi represents a new order, but when you look at some of the people Obi has sought endorsement from, you see members of the old blocks that have held Nigeria with Iron fists in the past decades and unwilling not to loose grip and are christened 'owners of Nigeria'; I mean the likes of Generals Ibrahim Babangida and Chief Olusegun Obasanjo - both men sold Buhari to Nigerians in 2015. Again, what new order is Obi bringing? The Obi influencers claim that "Nigeria should do away with PDP and APC" but when reminded that Obi himself was once a PDP Chieftain that even served in the eve of Jonathan's administration and ran as the running mate to Atiku Abubakar in the 2019 presidential election, while Datti Baba Ahmed his deputy has been a longtime ally of Buhari since 2003, a foundational member of APC and a member of PDP (from December 2017) where he was a presidential aspirant (2018) and Kaduna State 2023 gubernatorial aspirant (until May 2022), they will employ emotional tactics to save face. In fact, majority of the people that constitute LP are politicians that lost out in the politics of major Parties; this include Obi, Datti Ahmed and LP's VP Placeholder, Dr. Doyin Okupe . Penultimate to their exit from PDP, Obi lost to Chief Chris Uba power block in the battle to control Anambra PDP, while Datti was heading to defeat in in his gubernatorial quest under PDP because the odd favored Hon. Ashiru Kudan.

Like Buhari influencers of 2015 made opposition to Buhari to mean opposition to northern interests and punished people from the north that opposed Buhari, the Obi influencers are emotionally blackmailing everyone from to the South to join their project labeling southerners, especially those from southeast, that refused to be blinded by Obidient chant as saboteurs and enemies of southern/Igbo agenda/race.

Unlike 2015 where Buhari influencers pushed many into bringing the Buhari administration, Nigerians should refuse to be deceived by the antics of these Obi influencers. They should ask the right questions about Obi and insist on the right answers. Let no one deceive you!


May God bless Us All and Bless Nigeria
TonyeBarcanista writes from Abuja
I can be reached at: @TonyeBarcanista on Nairaland, Twitter, Facebook and Instagram

Oga, who are you going to vote for?

For balance..and maybe he's more comfortable around the Igbos...we all have our choices..