First of all, you need to secure 25% 24 states. Secondly, Southwest has history of voters apathy, even northcentral usually have more voters than southwest every election. Please verify.
Thirdly, This permutations means that Atiku and Obi may get th highest figures, sine Tinubu will perform poorly in northern central states with the highest voting bloc (plateau and Benue)
4thly, 50% of voters in NW are in kano and kaduna. Kwankwaso already took a huge chunk of that
Mr apathy.. the southwest are voting enmasse cuz TINUBU is on the table... Apathy was because buhari and atiku and Jonathan.. It's the southeast that will have apathy due to unknown gunmen issues and obi little chances..
You won't understand plateau is APC ruling state .. atworst lalong should deliver 38%, Benue Alia influence should deliver 30-35% Kwara 70% and kogi 55% Nassarawa 40% Niger 45%
No the follow this southerners argue about how the north vote .. They will never understand that.. they believe their hallucinations
Atiku no get Opposition.. but that’s what they won’t want to hear .. and call it sempe..😂
They’re yet to understand the difference between Arewa Christian’s and southern Christian’s .. they believe everything na Christianity.. and feel they can gbo gbo the north with noise .. not knowing the implication of economic hardship of Apc and how others view each candidate..
They wan force their views of others .. with out on owing politcal terrain .. and come to claim everyone is voting for individual
They will learn .. I do t support Apc.. but o know Bola Tinubu will come 2 nd with lots of margins of Obi.. is too sure
Another fallacy is Obi wining south.. this is a dream taken too far .. if you’re from south south or a southern minority .. you will know it’s a huge dream for Obi..
Obi will not win any state in the south.. it sure me die .. no be online noise
Even the southeast.. will count number of states Obi will win in his region .. among the five states Talk more of Yoruba states ..
North central is another place their dreams will dash..
Election no reach better 2 weeks again .. they will understand the benefits of traveling and moving round .. not just sitting and permutating dreams and hallucinations
But wetin we know ..
Their pain will be crushing .. because they will call south south betrayers and tag them the new enemies of Biafra
But who cares
Power to the people North 2023
E too sure
Walahi .. e too sure
Bro I'm an APC supporter TINUBU edge is the party structure Governor, Senate and House of Representatives and the influential shettima.. Overall northern votes APC should get atleast 35% Sha Atiku 45%-50% nnpp 15% lp5%
Trollronaldo: Taraba and and southern Adamawa and Kaduna are not going to vote for Atiku.
You know this deep down, they won't do it for religious reasons
Keep hiding under religious stuff.. adamawa is sure for atiku 60%.. Just telling TINUBU that Christian in Lagos won't vote him.. Bro overestimating obi.. you can do that in the south.. Most benue are going for APC just for their guber candidate and Yoruba Muslims are not radical shettima is not a Fulani pdp just that most strong wig politicians here are mostly PDP...
[quote author=TheCeasar post=120897459]what do you think of tinubu chances in the north?[/quote I won't overrate his chances in the north.. But mostly his party still hold more of the Senate and House of Representatives.. And also if the governor could try for him..
Overall northern votes
I gave atiku 45% TINUBU 35% Nnpp 15% Lp 5%
Labor party issues is no standard Senate and House of Representatives candidate And obi campaigning is not even in towns and villages...Just a strategic location around cities
Look at APC and pdp campaigning in each local government in northern States.. Even tanko the spokesman is mute Datti is not taking campaigns by himself in the north even in local governments
Mind you most Northerners speak hausa given a high edge.. TINUBU edge is just party structure and his influential shettima.. Stop overestimating obi chances..
Trollronaldo: This election has nothing to do with the old structure as long as BVAS exist.
People are voting individuals and not party. Christians in the north will not vote Atiku and Tinubu. You and I know this simple truth
Okay cheif Christian..
Kikiki na your eyes go clear.. Party wey no get standard Senate and House of Representatives candidate.. Dey dey.. As if northern Christians send you 😁😁
drlateef: OP mark me down, you have overrated LP in north generally. That’s where they waterloo is. Don’t you see Obi avoiding the mainstream towns and restricting himself to Christian area igbo dominated areas? And these are tiny minorities in the north. You will be shocked.
Mr lateef this dude overrate their party..
Even this mushrooms party have no standard Senate and House of Representatives candidate in the north..
I pity them... Most northern Christians are pro PDP and also they speak hausas .. Heart break for obidense go worse well well Atiku ticket is balanced
PointZerom: Power was in the South, Tinubu and his Urchins took power away from South (GEJ) and gave it to the North (Buhari). Today the same fools are crying that power should go to the South.
bigcasava1: who do you blame? I blame good luck for being stupid for allowing the gambari to vote instead of disenfranchised them. Now is their own turn you see how devilish they are. We in the south should learn, this people are not more than us in anyway.
Stanleyucee: No new registrants chose the polling units and no voters indicated interest to transfer to them during the last Continuous Voter Registration mainly for security reasons. This means that no elections will hold in these polling units,’’ Yakubu said. The polling units are new polling units...as yakubu said no one showed interest to vote there so is not disenfranchisement.
Tochj: In 2015 3 states in the North were no go area. Inec declared that there will be no Elections in those areas. GEJ said No No Nigerian should be disfranchised He postponed the election for 6weeks He used the time to clear those area of terrorists and held Elections. Buhari presidency is too useless.
I will be voting in Adamawa state, my entire street will vote Obi.
As per Northeastern Christian voting Atiku, that one na big fallacy.
Out of every 10 Northeastern Christians, 7 are for Obi.. Their enthusiasm towards Obi can be compared to the one they had for GEJ in 2011. I'm 2015 the enthusiasm died and they went for Buhari, that's more reason why PMB defeated GEJ then.. The northern Christian voted against him and not because of SW votes.
The enthusiasm is back now with Peter Obi.
I won't argue with you from alaigbo.. Atiku ticket is balanced And he speaks hausas and a liberal
Yeah.. Babachir Lawal brought flare into Adamawa state campaign.. Plus many of those in charge of Obi campaign in Adamawa are the loyalist of the governor..
Notwithstanding, Obi will still do better in Taraba than in Adamawa, just that more effort could have make him to win the state outrightly..
You too de overrate obi.. Those northern Christians will go for atiku cuz he is a liberal.. Mostly speak hausa language.. Honestly stop overestimating lp.. Lp have no substantial excos in adamawa
Now are you speaking for yourself, who brought 80% percent of your useless extended family into the equation, obi will win Lagos and on that day I will offer you rope to hang yourself
Mumu, Speak for yourself alone. 80% of your extended family in yoruba land will vote for Jagaban. Your senseless religion card has failed, I'm a born again xtian and my vote is for Tinubu
Those stomach infrastructure politicians you guys are relying on will be disgraced, I hope you guys see what's happening to Oshimole and Chimaroke Nnamani, you guys go no Nigerians are not Zombies in few days
Furthermore, considering the bulk of registered voters are youths - 39.65% (37 million) and middle aged - 35.75% (33.4 million) that are thoroughly disappointed with the brazen lies and maladministration of the APC in the past 8 years. They are looking for a change, hoping for a secure future.