The insurgency in the Niger Delta is at the lowest ebb today for two major reasons.
1. A Niger Deltan is in power
2. The boys are getting some piece from the "oil" cake (courtesy of No. 1)

but we see the rise of Boko Haram for two major reasons:

1. Islam is not practiced in Nigeria the way they fell it should'
2. Worst is, an infidel is in power.

If the table turns, and a President that Boko haram will respect is enthroned: Definitely from the North and sympathetic to the dream of Usman Dan Fodio.

1. Boko Haram will sheet their swords.. em sorry, i mean bombs.
2. MEND will resume operations because of two reasons:
i. The piece of "oil cake" will stop
ii. The Presido will come from an "enemy" zone.

The battle will leave the streets of Kano and endure at the creeks of Bayelsa and Rivers.


Economic Impact:

Crises in North cannot stop the flow of oil but crises in the ND cannot hamper oil exports.
If anything happen to the oil exports, the federal government will collapse.
The federal government will not want the oil to stop, so the Niger Delta crises will be worse than that of the North. Blood will flow!

My question is:
Let us make an assumption here: that we must choose either BH or MEND, which will it be?

Foood for thought.

Bravoo nice analysis but it seems we are stucked in between and in d end it's d masses dat suffers most

Tpave: Foood for thought.

Nigerians are scared of thinking or talking about the truth!

ninja4life: Bravoo nice analysis but it seems we are stucked in between and in d end it's d masses dat suffers most

Its not in the end. The masses are already suffering.
Each time Boko strikes or Boko and Army clashes, the masses suffer the most. Baga is an example.

And the masses will continue to suffer until the next civil war! If only we can sit down and talk now and avert taht war.