Governance poll results released by NOI Polls Limited
for the month of June have revealed that slightly
more than 4 in 10 Nigerians (44%) approve the
performance of President Goodluck Jonathan for the
month of June 2013. This rating has remained
constant when compared to last month’s ratings. The
results also indicate that 47% of Nigerians rate the
performance of the current administration as
average. These were the two key findings from the
poll conducted in the week of June 24th 2013.
The results presented are the sixth in the monthly
series of governance polls conducted by NOI Polls to
gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians
regarding three crucial elements – the approval
rating of the president, the performance of the
current administration, and the situation of
power supply in the country.
Averages over a six month period show the following
statistics; an average of 47% of Nigerians
approve of the president’s job performance over the
six month period, however GEJ’s approval ratings
have declined by 6 points over this period (Jan: 50%,
Jun:44%). His approval ratings have been most
affected in the months where power supply
have been perceived as bad, showing a
correlation between how Nigerians perceive
his performance and their power supply. His
ratings peaked in February at 54% when
Nigeria won the African Cup of Nations and
dipped at an all-time low to 42% in April, a
month where 51% of Nigerians reported their
power situation as bad.
Respondents to the poll were asked three specific
questions. The first question sought to gauge the
approval rating of President Goodluck Jonathan over
the past 1 month: Do you approve or disapprove
of the performance of the president in the past
1 month? Overall, a total of 44% of the respondents
(37% + 7%) approve the performance of the
president; while a total of 26% (23% +3%)
disapprove of his performance.
The majority (37%) stated that they approve of the
President’s performance, while 7% said they strongly
approve, followed by 30% who were neutral
saying they neither approved nor disapproved.
Also, 23% of the respondents polled said they
disapprove and 3% said they strongly disapproved.
What is clearly interesting is the second largest
group (30%) who are undecided about his
performance and are sitting on the fence. This group
is steadily increasing over the last 6 months with
May reporting the highest (31%).
When results are analysed by geo-political zone,
some important disparities emerge. The approval
rating of the President is highest in the South-South
zone (60% in total) and South-East zone (52% in
total). It is lowest in the North-East zone (29% in
total); the South-West and North-East zones also
have the highest proportion of respondents that
disapprove of the President’s job performance with
35% and 34% respectively. It is also pertinent to
point out the North-East and North-West zones
have the highest proportion (37% each) of
Nigerians who are neutral and neither approve
or disapprove of the Presidents job
performance.
Averages over a six month period show the following
statistics; an average of 47% of Nigerians approve of
the president’s job performance over the six month
period, however GEJ’s approval ratings have declined
by 6 points over the six month period (Jan: 50%,
Jun:44%). His approval ratings have been most
affected in the months where power supply have
been perceived as bad, showing a correlation
between how Nigerians perceive his performance and
their power supply. His ratings peaked in February at
54% when Nigeria won the African Cup of Nations
and dipped at an all-time low to 42% in April, a
month where 51% of Nigerians reported power as not
improved.
An average of 25% is currently neutral and sitting on
the fence, an interest group for early converting as
the race to the 2015 elections start while an average
of 28% disapprove of the President’s job performance
over the six month period.
Please see figure below for six month trend for GEJ’s
Job approval ratings.
The second question sought to gauge the opinions of
Nigerians regarding the performance of the entire
administration – the ministers at the federal level,
and the governors and their respective cabinets at
the state levels. Respondents were asked: How
would you rate the performance of this current
administration in the last month? In response,
overall the majority (47%) said the administration
has “performed averagely”, followed by 23% who are
of the opinion that “they have performed poorly”. In
addition, 19% said “they have performed well”, while
7% said “they have performed very poorly”, and 4%
said “they have performed very well.
Once again, results analysed in more detail show
some interesting highlights. The South-South zone
has the highest proportion of respondents that think
the current administration has performed well (34%
in total). The North-East zone has the highest
proportion of respondents that think the
administration has performed poorly (36% in total).
Averages over a six month period show the following
statistics; an average of 50% of Nigerians rate the
administration average over the six month period,
this has remained constant over this period (Jan:
52%, Jun:47%). An average of 22% rates them poorly
whilst the remaining 28% is shared between
performing well, very well and very poor.
An observation of all governance polls conducted
show that the approval ratings for the administration
(Executive cabinets, Ministers, Governors) do not
vary largely from the President’s approval ratings
(50% Vs 47%).
Please see figure below for the six month trend for
the administration’s approval ratings
Finally, the third question sought to establish the
state of power supply in the country. Therefore,
respondents were asked: How would you describe
power supply in your area where you live in
the last 1 month? Current results show that the
slight majority (26%) stated that their power supply
“has improved a little” and this is closely followed by
25% who claim “it is very bad and has gone worse”.
Furthermore, 22% of Nigerians said “it remains bad”
while 21% stated that “there’s no difference at all”. A
meagre 6% of the respondents were of the opinion
that power supply “has improved very much”.
Overall 47% perceive their power supply as
bad, 32% perceive their supply as improved
and 21% has seen no difference at all.
Looking across the geo-political zones, there are a
few differences that are worth noting. The North-
Central zone (41% in total) has the highest
proportion of respondents that think that power
supply has improved followed by the South-South
zone (39% in total). The majority in the North-West
zone (26%) claim that there has been no difference
at all in their power supply. The North-East zone
(57% in total) and South-West (56% in total) had the
highest proportion of respondents that claim power
supply remains bad in June and also that it is very
bad and has gone worse.
A comparison with results from the poll conducted in
May 2013 shows a considerable change in the power
supply situation in Nigeria. In June, more people
claimed their power supply was bad or had
worsened; 44% in May compared to 47% in June.
Also, the proportion of respondents whose power
supply had improved slightly or very much
decreased in June (32%) compared to 35% in May.
The percentage of respondents who observed no
difference in their power supply stayed the same
from May to June.
Averages over a six month period show the following
statistics; an average of 42% of Nigerians have not
seen an improvement in their power supply over the
six month period, 37% have seen an improvement
whilst 21% have seen no difference at all in their
power supply. An observation highlights a decline
beginning in March and moving downwards to June
with April peaking at 51%
Please see figure below for six month trend on power
supply.
In conclusion, the results from this current poll have
revealed that the majority of Nigerians approve of
the job performance of President Goodluck Jonathan
in the month of June 2013. His approval rating did
not change from May to June 2013. Also in June,
slightly less Nigerians think the current
administration is performing well compared to May.
Finally, More Nigerians have generally observed a
worsened situation in power supply to their
households in June compared to May 2013.
Please visit our NOI Polls Monthly Figures to see
ratings according to Gender, Occupation and
A

Here we go again..figures figures!! Figures!!! Rubbish