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a Detailed Analysis Of Watchtower Statistics ~UPDATED~ by Yooguyz: 5:33pm On Oct 15, 2013
Since 1995, statistics for the Watchtower Society have rapidly become less encouraging in almost every indicator. Most
dramatic have been the increase in people leaving and the number of hours preaching required to gain one additional
publisher.
American studies show that Jehovah's Witnesses now have the highest turnover of any
religion, as supported by
Watchtower figures presented in this section. This dramatic change in growth of Jehovah's
Witnesses coincides with the change of the generation teaching in 1995, and access to
information via the Internet.

In the 10 years from 1996 to 2005 there were 2,968,732 baptisms, yet the increase in average publishers was only
1,439,672. This shows 1,529,060 stopped publishing. Even
accounting for the average death rate, over 1 million Witnesses left
in a 10 year period.
There are limitations to how much can be read into each individual statistic. For instance
"hours preaching required per baptism" is limited in that it cannot be determined how many
baptisms were newly interested people from the territory, and how many were children raised as Jehovah's Witnesses. The figure for publishers includes those not yet baptised
("“Publishers” includes baptized Witnesses of Jehovah as well as
unbaptized ones who qualify to be Kingdom preachers." w11
8/15 p.22) and it cannot be determined how many that become publishers go on to be baptised.

Furthermore, the
Watchtower has changed criteria over the years, such as reducing the minimum time to be counted a publisher to just 15 minutes per month for some individuals and reducing the hours required to be considered a pioneer. What is readily apparent is that the trends show a significant drop in growth and increase in the percentages leaving.
TBC
Re: a Detailed Analysis Of Watchtower Statistics ~UPDATED~ by Yooguyz: 11:11am On Oct 16, 2013
AVERAGE PUBLISHERS

The most important statistics are percentage growth rates; these
show a significant drop since 1995.
In the 5 years prior to 1975 the number of publishers was increasing at an average of 15%
per year. During the 1980s and early 1990s growth continued at
over 5% per year. This has fallen to between 1 - 3%, hardly more than the world's population growth of 1.2%. A large number of new publishers are teenagers
that were raised as Jehovah's Witnesses. This indicates that almost 2 billion hours of preaching a year only brings
enough new people to the Watchtower Society to replace the children that leave.

Re: a Detailed Analysis Of Watchtower Statistics ~UPDATED~ by Yooguyz: 4:23pm On Oct 16, 2013
.

Re: a Detailed Analysis Of Watchtower Statistics ~UPDATED~ by Yooguyz: 4:24pm On Oct 16, 2013
Am having a problem uploading the other two graphs. Nothingless i will still keep you posted.
Re: a Detailed Analysis Of Watchtower Statistics ~UPDATED~ by Yooguyz: 4:50pm On Oct 16, 2013
The following graph highlights the consequence of such a
decrease on the number of Jehovah's Witnesses, and powerfully demonstrates the
effect of compounding growth.
The rate of growth of publishers has dropped from an average 5.64% per annum over the 15
years prior to 1995, to 2.55% in the 15 years after 1995. Had
growth remained above 5%, the 4,950,344 Witnesses in 1995
would have exceeded 11 million in 2010. Instead, there were only 7 million in 2010 - a difference of
4 million people. Factors on conversion and retention, such
as Internet education, resulted in growth of 2 million instead of 6
million, just one third of that expected in 1995.

Re: a Detailed Analysis Of Watchtower Statistics ~UPDATED~ by Yooguyz: 5:08pm On Oct 16, 2013
Note:

Publisher growth tends to spike in times of uncertainty, such as
after the events of September 11, 2001, earthquakes or global
recession, but these spikes are short lived.
The Watchtower Society
artificially increased numbers in 2002 by allowing publishers to
report 15-minutes preaching in one month.

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