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Watchtower Lies About 1914 Exposed! : Earthquakes.~updated~ by Yooguyz: 3:23pm On Dec 03, 2013 |
WATCHTOWER LIES Over its history, the Watchtower has regularly made statements and quoted figures to 'prove' an extremely significant increase in earthquakes since 1914, a sample of which follows. "There have been more natural earthquakes in the earth in the last four years than in any previous period in earth's history" World Distress Why? The Remedy (1923) p.26 "Even then, if the exaggerated figures of past centuries are accepted at full value, the above figures show the average annual death rate was greatly accelerated from and after 1914- from 4,000 killed per year it leaped to 40,000! Death and horror in concentrated form is mankind's portion since 1914." Watchtower 1951 Apr 1 p. 202 "Significantly, since 1914 there have been more major earthquakes than in any previous period of similar length in recorded history." Watchtower 1961 Oct 15 p.628 "On the average, about ten times as many have died each year from earthquakes since 1914 as in previous centuries." Life - How Did It Get Here? By Evolution or by Creation? p.225" "There will be great earthquakes, and in one place after another pestilences [disease epidemics] and food shortages." (Luke 21:11) That well fits events since 1914, as there has been a huge increase in the distresses from such calamities." Does God Really Care About Us? p.20 "From the time Jesus gave his prophecy until 1914, history records five earthquakes that each took 100,000 lives or more " Awake 1982 Jul 8 p.16 "But Jesus foretold "great earthquakes." (Luke 21:11) Has the frequency of these really changed? ... Since 1914 the yearly average of reported severe earthquakes has soared to over 11 times what it was during the thousand years before then. Is more than that required to fulfill the prophecy?" Awake! 1984 Oct 22 p.7 "This means that, in comparison with the previous 2,000 years, the average per year has been 20 times as great since 1914." Reasoning from the Scriptures (1985) p.236 (see below for a discussion of the full quotation) "Such an increase in earthquakes does not surprise Jehovah's Witnesses." Awake! 1995 Aug 22 p.27 "During the last 2,500 years, only nine earthquakes have each killed over 100,000 people. Four of these quakes have occurred since 1914." Watchtower 1998 Sep 15 p.7 |
Re: Watchtower Lies About 1914 Exposed! : Earthquakes.~updated~ by Yooguyz: 6:58pm On Dec 03, 2013 |
THE TRUTH With little effort it can be determined that the number of 'great earthquakes' has occurred consistently for thousands of years. A comprehensive source of data is http://www.intute.ac.uk/ sciences/hazards/Earthquakes-database.html As of April 2007 there were catalogued 5,800 destructive earthquakes since 2150.B.C. This is an average of over 1 great quake per year for the last 4,000 years, which is the same yearly average that the Watchtower has claimed makes the 20th century the most prolific for earthquakes in history. "Since 1948 the pattern has entered a new phase, with approximately one great quake a year." Watchtower 1961 Oct 15 p.628 Seismology is a new science with the first seismograph invented in 1880. For this reason accurate records of earthquakes measuring 7.5 on the Richter scale have only become possible since then. Accurate and complete seismological records are now readily obtainable. http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/eqlists/eqstats.html (July 2005) provided a list of earthquakes for this period resulting in over 1000 deaths. From 1902 to 2001 there have been 110 earthquakes that resulted in 1000 or more deaths,or 1.1 destructive earthquakes per year. The 12 years prior to 1914, (1902 to 1913) had a higher average of 1.25 per year than the average for the 88 years from 1914 to 2001, where the average drops to 1.08. This shows that during the time frame that we have accurate records the occurrence of earthquakes before and after 1914 has changed little. In a private email I received from Professor Glenn Biasi at the University of Nevada Reno Seismological Laboratory he wrote; "There is no significant increase in earthquakes since 1914. The record is better, so people are more aware of earthquakes, more seismometers, better communications, etc. The number of earthquakes varies from year to year, but is pretty constant once the detect ability increase is factored in. The number of earthquakes per year or the amount of energy released on average are expressions of the speed at which internal, gravity driven flows in the mantle act. Very hard to change, and no signs of disruption on any historical timeframe" It is accepted amongst seismologists that the number of earthquakes have remained relatively unchanged over many millenniums. "We continue to be asked by many people throughout the world if earthquakes are on the increase. Although it may seem that we are having more earthquakes, earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or greater have remained fairly constant. A partial explanation may lie in the fact that in the last twenty years, we have definitely had an increase in the number of earthquakes we have been able to locate each year. This is because of the tremendous increase in the number of seismograph stations in the world and the many improvements in global communications. In 1931, there were about 350 stations operating in the world; today, there are more than 8,000 stations and the data now comes in rapidly from these stations by electronic mail, internet and satellite. This increase in the number of stations and the more timely receipt of data has allowed us and other seismological centers to locate earthquakes more rapidly and to locate many small earthquakes which were undetected in earlier years. The NEIC now locates about 20,000 earthquakes each year or approximately 50 per day. Also, because of the improvements in communications and the increased interest in the environment and natural disasters, the public now learns about more earthquakes. According to long-term records (since about 1900), we expect about 17 major earthquakes (7.0- 7.9) and one great earthquake (8.0 or above) in any given year." http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learning/faq.php? categoryID=6&faqID=110 (27 Oct2009) The reason that the number of earthquakes changes little over time is because earthquakes take years to develop, and are the result of the shifting earth's mantle. This is how islands and mountain ranges have formed over millennium. The frequency of earthquakes is quite bewildering. It is estimated that there are 500,000 detectable earthquakes in the world each year. 100,000 of those can be felt, and 100 of them cause damage. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learning/facts.php (April 16 2008) The U.S. Geological Survey estimates that large earthquakes occur about once a year. Smaller earthquakes, such as magnitude 2 earthquakes, occur several hundred times a day and several million temblors happen every day. Google Maps identifies on a map of the globe earthquakes from the last 7 days at Google Real-time Earthquakes. For example, in just 7 days to October 15th 2011 there were the following earthquakes between 4 and 6.7. |
Re: Watchtower Lies About 1914 Exposed! : Earthquakes.~updated~ by Yooguyz: 7:10pm On Dec 03, 2013 |
To create a mountain system might take several million medium size earthquakes over tens of millions of years. www.encyclopedia.com stated 1 January 2005 "On average about 1,000 earthquakes with intensities of 5.0 or greater are recorded each year. Great earthquakes (intensity 8.0 or higher) occur once a year, major earthquakes (intensity 7.0-7.9) occur 18 times a year, strong earthquakes (intensity 6.0-6.9) 10 times a month, and moderate earthquakes (intensity 5.0-5.9) more than twice a day." As an example of the power of earthquakes, the 1994 earthquake in Northridge,California released energy equivalent to almost 2 billion kilograms of explosive, about 100 times the amount of energy that was released by the atomic bomb that destroyed Hiroshima during World War II. At magnitude 6.7 the Northridge earthquake is considered moderate in size, yet caused over $20 billion in damage. Earthquakes this size occur about 20 times each year worldwide. Dedicated seismologists and researchers, including R. Mallet, J.Milne, P. Verney, S. Duda and A.W. Lee have amassed a considerable volume of data on historical earthquakes. Earthquakes have been recorded as early as 2150 B.C. Four magnitude 6.8 or larger earthquakes and many magnitude 6 - 6.5 shocks occurred in the San Francisco Bay region alone during the 75 years between 1836 and 1911. Despite no increase in earthquake size or frequency,one could imagine that the increasing global population would have at least resulted in the most earthquake related deaths occurring in the 20th century. Surprisingly this too has not been the case, with prior centuries having more earthquake related deaths. The Encyclopaedia Britannica 2002 on DVD lists major historical earthquakes over the last 1,500 years. Of the 5 earthquakes with the most deaths, only 1 was since 1914 and it was by no means the most destructive. The most destructive earthquake was in 1201 in Syria with 1.1 million killed. In 1556, China had an earthquake with 800,000 killed. In comparison, the largest in the 1900's killed a relatively minor 240,000. |
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