It is now safe to assume that the 2015 Presidential election race has begun in earnest.
It is also safe to assume that it will be a two horse race between the incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan and APC's General Muhammadu Buhari.
Let us start to look at how the race will look like if the elections are free and fair.

South East:

2011 ELECTION RESULTS 2015 PROJECTION
STATE TOTAL Reg. Voters Voter Turnout PDP Margin APC Margin PDP PDP Margin APC APC Margin
ABIA 1,188,333 1,524,484 77.95% 98.96% 0.81% 1128916.35 95.00% 59416.65 5.00%
ANAMBRA 1,157,239 2,011,746 57.52% 98.96% 0.75% 1099377.05 95.00% 57861.95 5.00%
EBONYI 502,890 1,050,534 47.87% 95.57% 3.27% 477745.5 95.00% 25144. 5.00%
ENUGU 814,009 1,303,155 62.46% 98.54% 0.81% 773308.55 95.00% 40700.45 5.00%
IMO 1,409,850 1,687,293 83.56% 97.98% 1.77% 1127880 80.00% 281970 20.00%
TOTAL 5,072,321 7,577,212 65.87% 98.00% 1.48% 4607227.45 92.00% 465093.55 8.00%


My projection in the South East is that PDP will win by about 92%. APC can try to reduce the vote figures by having strong representation in every single polling booth to reduce the statistically doubtful voter turn out experienced in 2011 which is far higher than national average voter turn out.

omoalaro:
It is now safe to assume that the 2015 Presidential election race has begun in earnest.
It is also safe to assume that it will be a two horse race between the incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan and APC's General Muhammadu Buhari.
Let us start to look at how the race will look like if the elections are free and fair.

South East:

2011 ELECTION RESULTS 2015 PROJECTION
STATE PDP APC (CPC +ACN+ANPP) Others TOTAL Reg. Voters Voter Turnout PDP Margin APC Margin PDP PDP Margin APC APC Margin
ABIA 1,175,984 9,590 2,759 1,188,333 1,524,484 77.95% 98.96% 0.81% 1128916.35 95.00% 59416.65 5.00%
ANAMBRA 1,145,169 8,635 3,435 1,157,239 2,011,746 57.52% 98.96% 0.75% 1099377.05 95.00% 57861.95 5.00%
EBONYI 480,592 16,433 5,865 502,890 1,050,534 47.87% 95.57% 3.27% 477745.5 95.00% 25144.5 5.00%
ENUGU 802,144 6,619 5,246 814,009 1,303,155 62.46% 98.54% 0.81% 773308.55 95.00% 40700.45 5.00%
IMO 1,381,357 24,932 3,561 1,409,850 1,687,293 83.56% 97.98% 1.77% 1127880 80.00% 281970 20.00%
TOTAL 4,985,246 66,209 20,866 5,072,321 7,577,212 65.87% 98.00% 1.48% 4607227.45 92.00% 465093.55 8.00%

APC and PDP are two sides of the same coin....voting for either is a waste of time,,,,,we need a sewious revolution in this country that would reign in a new generation of leader who are fearful of embezling and also mindfull of the poor

South South:

2011 ELECTION RESULTS 2015 PROJECTION
STATE TOTAL Reg. Voters Voter Turnout PDP Margin APC Margin PDP PDP Margin APC APC Margin
AKWA IBOM1,232,395 1,616,873 76.22% 94.58% 0.43% 117077 95.00% 61619 5.00%
BAYELSA 506,693 591,870 85.61% 99.63% 0.14% 506693 100.00% 0 0.00%
CROSS/R 726,341 1,148,486 63.24% 97.67% 0.55% 690023 95.00% 36317 5.00%
DELTA 1,398,579 2,032,191 68.82% 98.59% 0.64% 1328650 95.00% 69928.95 5.00%
EDO 621,192 1,655,776 37.52% 87.28% 2.86% 310596 50.00% 310596 50.00%
RIVERS 1,854,116 2,429,231 76.33% 98.04% 0.71% 1390587 75.00% 463529 25.00%
TOTAL 6,339,316 9,474,427 67.96% 95.97% 0.89% 5397325 85.00% 941990.75 15.00%

My Projection for the south south is that PDP will win by about 85%. APC can try to reduce the voters figure by having very strong presence in every polling booth to reduce the statistically doubtful voter turn out in the region in 2011 elections which is far higher than the national average.