abu12:


You are talking as if igbo people will stand in polling unit to defend their votes, well it will be nice to see igbo people that day in kano, come out and defend your votes for jonathan

netoc65:

and what will you do if they come out?
only resort to violence which is an act of COWARDICE

WIZGUY69:


am fed up with there matter.
they are perfect online. the richest online, the most developed online. but offline reverse is the case.
30% population my ass. they think its only 3 tribes we have in Nigeria.

achi4u:
Guy,sincerely u've not tell us d problem(s) you have with NdiIgbo.
We all are guilty of this tribal sentiment but yours is eating deep inside ur brain.
Try to curtail it and free urself from the bondage of hatred.
Thanks.

agabusta:


I am a supporter of GMB but I don't support this subtle threat. We want a free and fair election at every corner of the country.

Icon4s:
It is statistics like these that make APC feel dat d SEners have little efect in the equation of d presidential election. They always forget dat atleast 30% of dat SW figure are Igbos.Atleast 30% of d SS population are Igbos. U need to know d population of Igbos in NC particularly Abuja and Jos. For NW nobody needs to tell u abt d high presence of Igbos particularly Kano and Kaduna. For NE BH activities have driven a large number of Igbos away, however dey are still in areas like Bauchi and Adamawa.

The election results will swing in d favour of who ever d Igbos throw their support for.If Buhari wants to b president he needs to seek how to win over d Igbos.

Iriruaga100:
Lagos state will be the main battle ground state for next yrs election. SS nd SE will definately vote for PDP. NW will vote for APC,with execption of southern kaduna. State in the NE, like borno nd yobe will for APC, but voters turnout will be low due to insurgency. PDP will win adamawa with little margin. Taraba will vote PDP nd jigawa will vote APC. State like benue, plateau nd kogi will vote for PDP. APC will take kwara, while nasarawa nd niger will be battle ground state. For south west, ekiti nd ondo will vote for PDP, while osun will vote for APC. Lagos, ogun nd oyo will battle ground state next year.

atlwireles:


The first real analysis on this thread. Kwara is going to be a battle ground too. Niger is APC and Nassarawa is PDP. Lagos and Ogun are battle grounds, with Lagos leaning PDP and Ogun APC. Oyo is going PDP.

mauriceju2:
Guy election is not win the way the Islamic goat are telling you, it is the number of state that you win that is the most important according to Nigerian law which they don’t know about, if you check this law you will discover that their hero Buhari will never never smell Aso rock:
If candidate Buhari have the highest number of total vote cast and candidate Jonathan win in 2/3 of the 36 states + FCT, candidate Jonathan wins the election according to Nigerian law. you don't talk about a lots of others things pdp will do behind the seen and apc will be helpless to do nothing.
Do you think that Buhari will win 2/3 of Nigerian state? Think again and again, the south is not supporting him and because of their goat brain they don’t see anything wrong, apc and Buhari hope is only in the north which will not give him up to 2/3 of Nigeria State

GEJ just needs 25 states to return for a second term. They will be very easy to get.
SS - 6 States confirmed (All)
SE - 5 States confirmed (All)
SW - 4 States at least (Ondo, Ekiti, Lagos & Oyo)
MB - 5 States sure (Plataeu, Kwara, Niger, Kogi & Benue)
NE - 3 States (Borno, Bauchi & Adamawa)
NW - 1 State (Kaduna)
Plus FCT - 1
I am sure he would pull the 25% votes in the remaining states.
Sweet victory for Mr President and PDP already. Is some one that said this truth above and it is a sure truth. My advice is that if you want to fight those on top, find your way to the top when you get there you change the rule , ask your people to joint pdp and find a way to the top and change the rule, as it stand now it will take more than Buhari, book haram and north and west propaganda to overturn pdp,
Ask God what it took him to remove Satan from Heaven, it took him a holy Angels not evil angel, Buhari /apc cannot do anything to pdp may be when apc are honest with Nigeria and are different from pdp they may dream of something like that

Nicklee:
Nigeria's electorate by numbers. Isn't it interesting how charts help accentuate trends, correlations and cluster behaviors? Interesting pop-ups:

1. Combined South East + South South registered voters make up 24% of total voters which is less than the 26% for North West alone.

2. Combined North West + South West voters make up 45% of total registered voters, greater than combined South South + South East + North Central voters which add up to 40% of voters.

I'm still trying to figure where the key battleground states are.

Ferdinandu:
you are wrong there. You must meet the 2 conditions to be declared Winner. 1, Gaining highest no of the valid vote cast(ie simple majority) and 2, Gaining at least 1/3 of the votes in 2/3 of the states (ie 24 States)+ FCT. Only one condition cannot win you the Presidency

Sunnybobo3:


Say whatever you like, Igbos still make up 45% of Lagos voters. This much was made known by ACN last year.

VirginFinder:


Igbos are experts in pulling stats out their anus.
Let your 45% count for once politically and let us see.

Haven't there been Igbo gubernatorial candidates in time past? Did they ever pose any threat? Were they even reckoned with?

Nonsense!

Sunnybobo3:
.

collynzo82:


Baba Dudu, Stop all this lies.

olapluto:
Extrapolating from the 2011 elections (i.e Jonathan losing SW support and Buhari gaining massive SW support, and NE despising GEJ, SE firmly GEJ, SS GEJ but Edo and Rivers boosting APC support)
1. Turnout figures from the SE and SS will be rejected! It is a blatant lie to say that turnout in those places will be 20% above the national average, while the SW is about 20% below the national average. We have states like ABIA with 78% turnout! That is ridiculous. Ogun had a 28% turnout. That is a difference of MILLIONS of votes. NO WHERE in the world do you ever get such results. EVEN more ridiculous is the %PDP votes. In some states you have 98%, 99.5% votes for PDP, with these states having ridiculously high turnout! The votes were rigged in the SS and SE surely!
2. Baring the above magomago, APC will get 25% or more in the following states
Adamawa**
Bauchi*
Benue**
Borno*
Edo**
Ekiti**
FCT*
Gombe*
Jigawa*
Kaduna*
Kano*
Katsina*
Kebbi**
Kogi*
Kwara*
Lagos*
Nassarawa**
Niger*
Ogun*
Osun*
Oyo*
Ondo**
Plateau**
Rivers**
Sokoto*
Taraba**
Yobe*
Zamfara*
* for states APC will win
** for states APC will have to work hard to win, but will get 25% of the votes. That is 28 states! I still think it will come down to vote counts, which is more reason I fear the abracadabra of SE and SS turnout in 2011.

ayuse:
Nigeria Presidential election is not won just by d number of pple who vote for u, the number of state u win also count. If candidate A have the highest number of total vote cast and candidate B win in 2/3 of the 36 states + FCT, candidate B wins the election.

BlackPeni5:
Very flawed, how can North be more than South...Surely there are millions of under-aged registered voters or the goats and cows there have been registered to vote.

I can say with 100% certainty that Kano, Kaduna and Katsina registered voters have been grossly overstated cos I've been to those states. The cities are empty only to be full when election results are announced. So do the people staying there live underground?

Icon4s:
It is statistics like these that make APC feel dat d SEners have little efect in the equation of d presidential election. They always forget dat atleast 30% of dat SW figure are Igbos.Atleast 30% of d SS population are Igbos. U need to know d population of Igbos in NC particularly Abuja and Jos. For NW nobody needs to tell u abt d high presence of Igbos particularly Kano and Kaduna. For NE BH activities have driven a large number of Igbos away, however dey are still in areas like Bauchi and Adamawa.

The election results will swing in d favour of who ever d Igbos throw their support for.If Buhari wants to b president he needs to seek how to win over d Igbos.

Icon4s:
It is statistics like these that make APC feel dat d SEners have little efect in the equation of d presidential election. They always forget dat atleast 30% of dat SW figure are Igbos.Atleast 30% of d SS population are Igbos. U need to know d population of Igbos in NC particularly Abuja and Jos. For NW nobody needs to tell u abt d high presence of Igbos particularly Kano and Kaduna. For NE BH activities have driven a large number of Igbos away, however dey are still in areas like Bauchi and Adamawa.

The election results will swing in d favour of who ever d Igbos throw their support for.If Buhari wants to b president he needs to seek how to win over d Igbos.

Gabbysky:
GEJ just needs 25 states to return for a second term. They will be very easy to get.
SS - 6 States confirmed (All)
SE - 5 States confirmed (All)

SW - 4 States at least (Ondo, Ekiti, Lagos & Oyo)

MB - 5 States sure (Plataeu, Kwara, Niger, Kogi & Benue)

NE - 3 States (Borno, Bauchi & Adamawa)

NW - 1 State (Kaduna)

Plus FCT - 1

I am sure he would pull the 25% votes in the remaining states.

Sweet victory for Mr President and PDP already.

Rogers210:
South east ➕ south south ➕ 1/2south west ➕ 1/2north central ➕ 1/4north west = 49%(victory for PDP.)......The leftover (51%) will be shared among other political parties.

Ferdinandu:
you are wrong there. You must meet the 2 conditions to be declared Winner. 1, Gaining highest no of the valid vote cast(ie simple majority) and 2, Gaining at least 1/3 of the votes in 2/3 of the states (ie 24 States)+ FCT. Only one condition cannot win you the Presidency

Gabbysky:
GEJ just needs 25 states to return for a second term. They will be very easy to get.
SS - 6 States confirmed (All)
SE - 5 States confirmed (All)
SW - 4 States at least (Ondo, Ekiti, Lagos & Oyo)
MB - 5 States sure (Plataeu, Kwara, Niger, Kogi & Benue)
NE - 3 States (Borno, Bauchi & Adamawa)
NW - 1 State (Kaduna)
Plus FCT - 1
I am sure he would pull the 25% votes in the remaining states.
Sweet victory for Mr President and PDP already.

EldaTimba:

Is Tunde bakare not a yoruba man? APC cannot win ANY election in Ekiti and Ondo state. Ekiti is even worse. APC can't even campaign there again. I am telling you the FACT. In Ondo state, APC has NO party structure. APC of course has technocrats but they lack POLITICIANS. Owo, Aketi's home town doesn't have a campaigner for GMB. Fasawe is a strong man there and he supports Atiku. If GMB wins primary, Atiku switches over to PDM.
For you information, PDM has started mobilization.
Least I forget, Elections are rigged always and PDP was the only party check mating LP before Iroko decamped.




Lastly, like Ngwakwe
said, the minority vocal Swesterners silencing the Majority non-vocal yoruba's love for GEJ.

atlwireles:


The first real analysis on this thread. Kwara is going to be a battle ground too. Niger is APC and Nassarawa is PDP. Lagos and Ogun are battle grounds, with Lagos leaning PDP and Ogun APC. Oyo is going PDP.

Curlieweed:


One clown even included Imo as one of Buhari's states.