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Why Buhari Will Never Be Nigeria's President by Raypawer(m): 12:28pm On Oct 22, 2014
ON Friday, 23rd August, 1985, the military
government of Major-General Mohammadu Buhari
decided to place me under arrest. My crime was
that I wrote, among others, an article entitled:
“Counter-trading Nigeria’s Future” in the National
Concord, exposing the government’s scam of
diverting public funds into private coffers through
barter-trade with Brazil. A man by the name of
Benson Norman was sent from the State Security
Services (SSS) to my office to get me. Not finding
me, he left a note that I must present myself
unfailingly at the SSS office at 15 Awolowo Road,
Ikoyi Lagos the next Monday morning.
However, on Sunday, 25th August, 1985, Lateef
Aminu came first thing in the morning to my house
to inform me that the government of Buhari/Idiagbon
had been overthrown. For this reason, I am fond of
telling people that God brought about a change of
government in Nigeria just because of me.

Coup-plotter
Under the Buhari/Idiagbon regime, once you ended
up at 15 Awolowo Road, you may never be heard of
again. Decree Number 2 of 1984 empowered Tunde
Idiagbon to arrest and detain anybody indefinitely
without trial and without legal reprieve. After Buhari
was overthrown, Mohammadu Gambo opened the
prison doors of 15 Awolowo Road on public
television, revealing people in various stages of
UnCloth and malnutrition that had been kept in the
dungeons without trial by Buhari’s hound-dogs.
As self-imposed Head of State, Buhari had no
regard for human rights. Immediately he seized
power, he announced that he would “tamper with”
the press. Soon, the infamous Decree Number 4
was promulgated which made even the publication
of the truth a punishable offence. Under this cover,
Buhari jailed innocent journalists, including Tunde
Thompson and Nduka Irabo. He abolished civil
liberties, promulgated retroactive decrees enabling
him to kill Nigerians through jungle justice,
proscribed civil society organizations and
professional groups and exercised “absolute”
power.

This same Buhari would now have us believe that
he has gone through some metamorphosis and has
become a democrat. I am sure you will forgive me
if people like me don’t believe him. Buhari is not,
has never been, and will never be, a democrat.
Only in Nigeria would a man with his track record,
who came to power through a military coup that
illegally overthrew a democratic government, now
be acclaimed as a democrat. It is on record that
Buhari’s military regime is the only one in Nigeria’s
history that failed to promulgate a programme for
return to civilian rule.

Facts and fiction
So what exactly qualifies Buhari as a democrat
today? Precious little! There is nothing democratic
about forming and joining political parties just in
order to be the presidential candidate. Little wonder
then that Buhari’s parties have a short shelf-life.
Buhari would like to be Nigeria’s head of state once
again. He can no longer achieve this through the
barrel of a gun. The only route now open to him is
through the democratic process. That is the
reason he now conveniently fashions himself as a
democrat. It is merely a means to an end; no more,
no less.

Buhari’s reputation as an anti-corruption crusader
is also a myth. As head of state, he did not make
any dent in Nigerian corruption. All we got was a
cosmetic “war against indiscipline.” The counter-
trade scam happened under his watch. Rather than
deal with it, he sent his hound-dogs after
nonentities like me who dared to expose it. That
scam was no different, in scope and scale, from the
petroleum subsidy and other corruption scandals
that have since plagued Nigeria. The Petroleum
Trust Fund (PTF) that Buhari headed under Abacha
was also a citadel of corruption. While Buhari
himself might not have enriched himself, his
cronies and those who worked under him did so
handsomely.

On three different occasions, Buhari has run for the
presidency. On three different occasions he has
failed. That should really be enough. If, as seems
likely, he were to run for the presidency a fourth
time in 2015, there is no question that he would fail
yet again. Try as he might again and again,
Mohammadu Buhari can never be President of the
Federal Republic of Nigeria.

Buhari’s sectarianism
There is a fundamental reason behind this. Buhari
is a bad politician. He is an unbending former
military dictator and not a democratic consensus-
builder. Like his new ally, Bola Tinubu, Buhari is a
regional, sectional politician. Such politicians are
practically impossible to package and market
nationally in the ethnically-delicate Nigeria of today.
Former Minister of the Federal Capital Territory,
Malam Nasir El’Rufai, one of those Northerners who
deserve to be serious contenders for the
presidency of Nigeria, observed that Buhari remains
“perpetually unelectable” as a result of his
“insensitivity to Nigeria’s diversity and his parochial
focus.” This is an elegant way of saying that
politically, Buhari has an uncanny tendency to put
his foot in his mouth. He talks before thinking of the
political implications of his words. He shoots from
the hip.

The strength of Obasanjo, which enabled him to
capture the presidency on two different occasions,
was that he was perceived as a broadminded
politician, not overly partial to his people in the
South-West. As a matter of fact, in his first election,
his people did not want him. The strength of
Goodluck Jonathan, which propelled him to win the
presidency, was that he was able to string together
a coalition that stretched both north and south of the
Niger. The weakness of Buhari is that he is totally
unacceptable to people outside his region.

Buhari is a Northern regional champion. As head of
state in the 1980s, his government was
unapologetically Northern. No attempt was made to
balance the ticket at the top. It was the only regime
in Nigeria’s history headed by two Northerners.
When he seized power, Buhari put Shagari, the
Northern head of state he overthrew, under house
arrest. But then he jailed Alex Ekwueme, the
Southern vice-president. You may well ask what
makes Shagari less culpable for the misdeeds of the
Second Republic than his number-two man. The
simple fact was that Buhari was Fulani as was
Shagari; but Ekwueme was Igbo.

Impolitic words
At the height of the Sharia debate during the
Obasanjo administration, Buhari declared that
Muslims should vote only for fellow Muslims. This
was politically suicidal for a man seeking national
office. He became an advocate for implementation
of Sharia all over Nigeria. He protested to the Oyo
State governor, in the context of a dispute between
Fulani herdsmen and indigenous farmers in the
state, that “your people are killing my people.” This
turned out to be unfounded and perhaps the
reverse.
His threats during the campaign for the 2011
elections incited widespread violence in the North
after he lost. His supporters went on a rampage;
looting and killing; in spite of the fact that, by all
accounts, the elections were adjudged the most
free and fair in the history of Nigeria’s current
democratic experiment. By the time the mayhem
had subsided, over 1000 people had been
slaughtered in cold blood and some 65,000
displaced.
Forgetting that a statement made in Hausa would
readily be translated into English, Buhari later
declared unapologetically in a BBC interview: “If
what happened in 2011 should again happen in
2015, by the grace of God, the dog and the baboon
would all be soaked in blood.” These are the tokens
of an irresponsible politician, whose ambitions for
power supersede the national interest. Who then
are the dogs and baboons that Buhari has in mind to
soak in blood if and when he loses yet again come
2015? Are they his children or are they those of
others?
With the Boko Haram insurgency in the north,
Buhari played to the Northern gallery yet again,
calling the Jonathan government “the biggest Boko
Haram.” Wole Olaniyi was a fly in the wall at a
meeting in Kano Government House designed to
persuade PDP rebel governor, Rabiu Kwankwaso, to
decamp to the APC. Assuming that only Northerners
were present, Buhari declared the Boko Haram was
a “strategic plan” by the government of Goodluck
Jonathan to “destroy the North.” When Jonathan
declared a state of emergency in Yobe, Borno and
Adamawa states, Buhari still saw this with Northern
goggles, insinuating that the President is waging
war on the North.

President of the North
Without a doubt, Buhari has massive support in the
North. Indeed, he is the most popular Northern
politician in the North today. But that precisely
remains his undoing at the centre. The more he has
been identified as a Northern champion, the less
attractive he has become as a national choice.
Even in the North, his support base is limited to the
Muslim population. He does not appeal to Northern
Christians. Then there is the added factor of the
opposition of his implacable opponents among the
Northern elite. Men like Babangida and Atiku would
rather die than allow Buhari get to Aso Rock.
One thing is certain, the South-South and the
South-East will not vote for Buhari in 2015. Not only
that; there are no buyers for Buhari’s sectarian
politics in the South-West. No matter what Tinubu
might be telling him, the people of the South-West
will not vote for Buhari in 2015. We already had the
template in 2011, when Buhari tried to sell himself,
first by balancing his ticket with a Yoruba man; and
then by making sure the Yoruba man is a Christian;
a pastor no less. But it just did not wash. It will not
work in 2015.

The worst thing that can happen to Northern
presidential aspirations in 2015 is for Buhari to be
on the APC ballot. That is a sure guarantee that the
North will not be providing the next president.
Buhari would be a shoo-in in an election for
president of Northern Nigeria. But in an election
encompassing the entire country, the best he can
envisage is to be a kingmaker. He cannot be king.
The nearest Buhari will get to Aso Rock in 2015 is
by attending the Council of State meetings.

source
http://www.vanguardngr.com/2014/01/buhari-will-never-president-nigeria/
Re: Why Buhari Will Never Be Nigeria's President by olu77(m): 3:12pm On Oct 22, 2014
In a nutshell, you are saying it will be easier for the camel to pass through the eye of the needle than for Buhari to enter Aso rock
Re: Why Buhari Will Never Be Nigeria's President by Raypawer(m): 3:31pm On Oct 22, 2014
olu77:
In a nutshell, you are saying it will be easier for the camel to pass through the eye of the needle than for Buhari to enter Aso rock

camel z too small, its easier for 10 cows to pass through eye of the needle @the same time sef

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