Welcome, Guest: Register On Nairaland / LOGIN! / Trending / Recent / NewStats: 3,195,034 members, 7,956,830 topics. Date: Monday, 23 September 2024 at 08:13 PM |
Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not (3999 Views)
Leave Tompolo Or We Will Help America Fulfill Its Prediction-Buhari Warned / Musa Ayeni: I Will Defeat Jonathan And Buhari- APA Presidential Candidate / Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan, Amaechi Boasts (2) (3) (4)
Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by BizBooks(m): 7:33pm On Jan 19, 2015 |
If the presidential elections were held today, Buhari will most likely become the next president of Nigeria. This prediction will hold true unless a cataclysmic event occurs between now and February 14. If such event happens, I will come back and update this thread as necessary. But as it stands now, Buhari is heading for victory and here is why: A state by state analysis of likely winners of each of the 36 states shows Buhari winning 20 states with Jonathan winning 16. Below is the list as it stands at the moment: BUHARI STATES: 1. Adamawa – Buhari 2. Bauchi – Buhari 3. Borno – Buhari 4. Edo – Buhari 5. Ekiti – Buhari 6. Gombe – Buhari 7. Jigawa – Buhari 8. Kaduna – Buhari 9. Kano – Buhari 10. Katsina – Buhari 11. Kebbi - Buhari 12. Lagos – Buhari 13. Nasarawa - Buhari 14. Ogun – Buhari 15. Ondo – Buhari 16. Osun – Buhari 17. Oyo – Buhari 18. Sokoto – Buhari 19. Taraba – Buhari 20. Yobe – Buhari 21. Zamfara - Buhari JONATHAN STATES: 1. Abia – Jonathan 2. Akwa-Ibom – Jonathan 3. Anambra – Jonathan 4. Bayelsa – Jonathan 5. Benue – Jonathan 6. Cross River – Jonathan 7. Delta – Jonathan 8. Ebonyi – Jonathan 9. Enugu – Jonathan 10. Imo – Jonathan 11. Kogi - Jonathan 12. Kwara - Jonathan 13. Niger - Jonathan 14. Plateau – Jonathan 15. Rivers – Jonathan P.S: SaharaReporters is reporting that IBB has endorsed Buhari. If that is confirmed, I will move Niger State from Jonathan to Buhari's column. Disclosure: I consider myself a Jonathan supporter. However that support is largely ethnocentric (read: tribal). 3 Likes |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by BizBooks(m): 7:55pm On Jan 19, 2015 |
The report by SaharaReporters that IBB has endorsed Buhari has no basis in fact. On their website, they wrote "New details today suggest that former military president Ibrahim Bademasi Babangida has endorsed the presidential candidature of Muhammadu Buhari, the All Progressives Congress candidate". They did not reveal the "new details" they referred to or the source. The fact that Buhari visited IBB does not mean IBB endorsed has him. Such visits happen all the time across all political spectrum. |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by Jorussia(m): 8:04pm On Jan 19, 2015 |
BizBooks:I live in Edo,i can categorically tell you its buhari here. 6 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by Gogetta(m): 8:06pm On Jan 19, 2015 |
BizBooks:Remove Ekiti from Buhari's list and kogi,Niger from Jonathan. Buhari won Niger in 2011. As for kogi I presume you didn't watch the rally last week. Buhari will also score at least 25% in Benue, Plateau,Edo,Imo and Rivers states. Buhari will also win the FCT. Buhari:22, GEJ:15. #myanalysis 5 Likes |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by BizBooks(m): 8:14pm On Jan 19, 2015 |
@ Jorussia & @Gogetta, If Edo, Kogi and Niger are moved to Buhari's column, that will increase his margin of victory. I'm looking for people who have contrarian views (ie those who think that I gave Buhari states that Jonathan will win). P.S: Despite the best efforts of Rochas, I do not think that Buhari will get up to 25% of the votes in Imo State. 2 Likes |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by Nobody: 8:28pm On Jan 19, 2015 |
ok |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by BizBooks(m): 10:33am On Jan 20, 2015 |
From feedbacks received, it appears Buhari will win Edo State. So I have removed Edo from Jonthan's column and moved it to Buhari's. As it stands now, Buhari may win 21 states and Jonathan 15. |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by Olaolufred(m): 11:37am On Jan 20, 2015 |
BizBooks: KINDLY TRANSFER 5. BENUE 11. KOGI 12. KWARA 13.NIGER TO BUHARI'S KINGDOM. PDP MESSED UP. BUT EBELLE MADE IT SO OPEN. CLUELESNESS ALREADY RE-DEFINED. 4 Likes |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by heywhytech1(m): 12:17pm On Jan 20, 2015 |
BizBooks:kwara is Buhari. Are underestimating political power of Saraki? 4 Likes |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by heywhytech1(m): 12:17pm On Jan 20, 2015 |
BizBooks:kwara is Buhari. Are underestimating political power of Saraki? even Benue is for Buhari 2 Likes |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by BizBooks(m): 2:17pm On Jan 20, 2015 |
Olaolufred: I still believe GEJ will win Benue. Although I gave Kogi, Kwara and Niger to GEJ, they are actually up in the air if one wants to be precise. |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by BizBooks(m): 2:19pm On Jan 20, 2015 |
heywhytech1: Bukola Saraki and his sister are not as powerful as their late father. Moreover, Kwara is a PDP state. The fact that Bukola left the PDP and joined APC does not change that. 1 Like |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by Adminisher: 2:37pm On Jan 20, 2015 |
BizBooks: PDP is a destroyed party in the state. Wrong governorship candidate, wrong officers. APC is taking the stage very easily. Who says Bukola Saraki is not powerful in the state?. Buhari' s name also opens doors here and it'm opens them wide. It is becoming rather pathetic that Jonathan is depending solely on ''party structures'' in the north. Even the Zanfara rally had speakers calling on the other PDP contestants more than Jonathan. Only one man carried GEJ's picture. 3 Likes |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by heywhytech1(m): 3:14pm On Jan 20, 2015 |
BizBooks:Says who? keep deceiving yourself, all elective position in kwara are now in APC 3 Likes |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by BizBooks(m): 7:16pm On Jan 21, 2015 |
As I said in my initial post, Buhari will win this election unless something cataclysmic happens. The Buhari certificate scandal is shaping up to be such cataclysmic event. For some reason, his supporters do not see this as a big deal. But Buhari himself does. The varied efforts he's been making to quell the controversy indicates that he understands the gravity. So far, he has not been able to conclusively put the issue to rest. His press statement today was a good start but he needs to do more. Until he or some relevant agency produces the certificate or certifies that it once existed, this issue will dog him from now till election day. |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by Nobody: 7:23pm On Jan 21, 2015 |
BizBooks: Oga have you seen nairaland's front page on the update? |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by BizBooks(m): 8:28pm On Jan 21, 2015 |
Keneking: There are so many things wrong with the result provided by Premium Times: 1. It was re-produced (probably in the past few days) 2. The year (where 1961 is written) has the prefix 20, instead of 19 for that period. 3. As others have said the header includes NECO which came into existence recently. 4. Buhari consistently writes his name as "Muhammadu". The result has "Mohamed". A lot of people have pointed out that this is just a reproduction of what is in the result. If that is the case, the question remains: where is the original or a photocopy thereof? Buhari or his school has never claimed that it was lost in a fire or something similar. 1 Like
|
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by raumdeuter: 8:32pm On Jan 21, 2015 |
Niger, Kwara for Buhari I see Edo and Ekiti going for Jonathan Kogi, Taraba, Nasarawa and Ondo are too close to call |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by BizBooks(m): 6:50pm On Jan 23, 2015 |
The certificate saga is still making front page and has knocked Buhari off track. He may not regain his footing until the issue is resolved. On the hand, easterners are fleeing the north (including Abuja) in droves in fear of election violence. Those that are left plan to flee before election day. This will be a big blow to Jonathan as a large percentage of those fleeing are his voters. |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by BizBooks(m): 7:06pm On Jan 23, 2015 |
US Secretary of State, John Kerry announced today that he will be visiting Nigeria. His official reason for coming is to address the Boko Haram issue. Could this help or hurt Jonathan? |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by yuio33: 7:17pm On Jan 23, 2015 |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by Jarus(m): 7:26pm On Jan 23, 2015 |
BizBooks: Jonathan can never win Kwara!!!! That I am sure of. Meanwhile, I see 18-18 in this election. Move Edo, Ondo, Adamawa and Taraba to Jonathan and Kwara and Niger to Buhari. (even in 2011, Buhari won Niger). |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by zekki: 7:27pm On Jan 23, 2015 |
BizBooks:pls move Kwara to Buhari list |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by BizBooks(m): 7:36pm On Jan 23, 2015 |
Jarus: It is becoming clearer that Jonathan will not win Kwara. So I will move Kwara from Jonathan to Buhari. But people in Edo are confident Buhari will win Edo. Also I don't see Jonathan winning Adamawa, Taraba or any other state living in fear of Boko Haram. |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by juman(m): 7:50pm On Jan 23, 2015 |
Soon, goodbye to pdp from aso rock. |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by BizBooks(m): 3:36pm On Jan 25, 2015 |
BizBooks: Kerry is now in Nigeria and has met with Jonathan. He will also meet with Buhari, (if he hasn't done so already). This means even the US thinks Buhari might win. 1 Like |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by Caseless: 4:27pm On Jan 25, 2015 |
Gogetta:ekiti is going to apc. Actions of Fayose in that state is giving the apc an indirect campaign. Ofcourse, you heard the reaction of his people- they regret ever voting him. I'm sure u saw apc rally in ekiti state. |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by Caseless: 4:31pm On Jan 25, 2015 |
Jarus:he should move taraba , adamawa and edo to jonathan? On what ground? |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by Caseless: 4:34pm On Jan 25, 2015 |
BizBooks:somebody saying gej will win adamawa, taraba appear funny to me. |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by Caseless: 4:37pm On Jan 25, 2015 |
BizBooks:any state that buhari is not going to win, he shall make 25% there. |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by bokohalal(m): 4:38pm On Jan 25, 2015 |
BizBooks:Edo state cannot be called for any party. The problem is Edo South. Many Binis support Oshiomole but Jonathan, not PDP, equally enjoys huge support as a southern minority irrespective of the fact that he has done nothing for the senatorial zone. |
Re: Prediction: Buhari Will Defeat Jonathan in the Presidential Elections (Maybe Not by Adminisher: 4:47pm On Jan 25, 2015 |
All this is unnecessarily sadomasochistically masturbatory. Every body knows Buhari will win the elections now. People who are supporters of Jonathan are just rehashing issues to suffer many times be for the event, which is just three weeks away. Sometimes they post nairaland threads asking for Likes and Shares for the candidates even when they know what the results already are going to be. There is a 75:25 percentage advantage Buhari over Jonathan online and 65:35 advantage Buhari on the street. I currently have only 8 states for Jonathan and some that have moved to Buhari will be a surprise on the election day. This will not be a close election. 1 Like |
I'm Becoming President Of Nigeria At The Wrong Time -buhari / Only Possible Under Buhari/apc Government. PICTURE. / Don’t Over-rate Your Contribution To 2015 Victory – Junaid Mohammed Tels SW.
(Go Up)
Sections: politics (1) business autos (1) jobs (1) career education (1) romance computers phones travel sports fashion health religion celebs tv-movies music-radio literature webmasters programming techmarket Links: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) Nairaland - Copyright © 2005 - 2024 Oluwaseun Osewa. All rights reserved. See How To Advertise. 64 |