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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election (1381 Views)
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A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by oladosuphemmy: 11:19pm On Feb 14, 2015 |
EMF'S PREDICTION OF MARCH 28 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION NOTE: This writeup is written based on the popularity of Our dear president Goodluck Jonathan and the former head of state Major Gen. Muhammadu Buhari in each states in the federal republic of Nigeria and the fct. It's a known fact that Gej has the south south, southeast and northcentral while GMB has the northeast, northwest, majority of the southwest and some part of the north central. It should be pertinent to note that, states in the north and southwest has majority of eligible voters. In view of this, the number of states won does not matter, what matters most is the popularity of states won barring any rigging. State GEJ%. GMB%. Misc. Abia state. 80. 12. 8 Adamawa State. 33. 64 3 Akwa Ibom State. 87 10. 5 Anambra State 71. 23. 6 Bauchi State 35. 62. 3 Bayelsa States. 88. 6. 6 Benue State. 62. 36. 2 Borno State. 12. 86. 2 Cross River state 81. 9. 10 Delta State. 82. 8. 10 Ebonyi State. 79. 6. 15 Edo State. 49. 47 4 Ekiti State. 51 45. 3 Enugu state. 80. 14. 6 Gombe State. 8. 85. 7 Imo State. 50. 47 3 Jigawa State. 10. 82. 6 Kaduna State. 43. 53 4 Kano State. 4. 88. 8 Katsina State. 4. 88. 8 Kebbi State. 48 47 5 Kogi State. 51. 45. 4 Kwara State. 35. 60. 4 Lagos State. 42. 53. 5 Nasarawa State. 8. 85. 7 Niger State. 23. 71 6 Ogun State. 38. 55. 7 Ondo State. 64. 33. 3 Osun State. 33. 64. 3 Oyo State. 44. 51. 4 Plateau State. 55. 42. 3 Rivers State. 47. 49. 4 Sokoto State. 25. 70. 5 Taraba State. 35. 62. 3 Yobe State. 24.70. 6 Zamfara State. 23. 71. 6 Abuja Federal. 49. 47. 4 Capital Territory With miscellaneous being total no of void votes and votes for other contestants Total number of states won under free and fair condition GEJ vs. GMB 17. 20 Just as we can see from last presidential election 2011 below from Wikipedia. Most of the northern states and western states are now being governed by APC. When GMB was a lone ranger 2011 he won most states in the north, why wouldn't he do more now that he has more fire power (i.e support) do you know that APC unofficially have the most sits in the green chamber Also, it is pertinent to note that most politicians in the north are now members of the APC notably amongst them being wamakko, tambuwal, kakwanso, umaru tanko almakura, fatai Ahmed, bukola saraki etc. You will not want to underestimate the threat this northern leaders pose. Also,the west isn't leftout. with obasanjo noticeable support for Buhari.
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Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by otbliz(m): 11:28pm On Feb 14, 2015 |
Nice prediction. But like you well noted, in the absence of rigging..i.e. everything being equal. But I know that you know that, free and fair will happen in Nigeria, but not in these elections |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by oladosuphemmy: 11:55pm On Feb 14, 2015 |
"Barring any rigging" |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by kestolove95(m): 12:00am On Feb 15, 2015 |
I hate predictions let's go to d. Field and march4BUHARI 1 Like |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by Nobody: 12:04am On Feb 15, 2015 |
Madness |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by bizlifelines(m): 12:09am On Feb 15, 2015 |
This is a wake up call for the Goodluck-Sambo presidential campaign team. May the best man win! |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by Nobody: 12:32am On Feb 15, 2015 |
Uninformed. Amateurish. Lol @ Taraba and Adamawa for Buhari. There are commissioners in Rivers and Imo states working for APC governors who tell people privately the will vote GEJ for president. In the case of Rivers many working for Amaechi say they will vote for Wike. OP is in political mastubation. Very ignorant of the complex religious and tribal mix in most northern states. In for a shocker. 2 Likes |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by morgang(m): 12:54am On Feb 15, 2015 |
Op.... u've a very nice prediction. May God bless u! |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by Nobody: 1:15am On Feb 15, 2015 |
op u are on ur own, GEJ till my scrotum stops producing spermatozoa |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by Ngwakwe: 1:47am On Feb 15, 2015 |
oladosuphemmy: Change Imo State to GEJ 95% Buhari 4.5% Stop using internet gossips in hypothesis. Leave your home, go around and take random samples. 3 Likes |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by caselessogbuagu: 10:05am On Feb 15, 2015 |
Ngwakwe:trash |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by caselessogbuagu: 10:55am On Feb 15, 2015 |
Let me read through again. |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by utytill(m): 11:02am On Feb 15, 2015 |
u for add akwa ibom and bayelsa join giv buhari. |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by bilalfarid(m): 11:31am On Feb 15, 2015 |
In 2011 GMB under CPC had no state governor, no house of reps member, no member in the senate, with a party barely 6 months old I'e CPC. Not even a campaign was done for GMB in the south, GMB still WORN most of the state in the north. Now ask ur self wat would happen now that he is under a formidable party I'e APC with about many governors, many house of reps member, many senators, has even gone round the whole 36 states 4 campaign |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by jimmayoy: 11:43am On Feb 15, 2015 |
morgang: Gmb ll do better than this,Benue for instance,Gmb ll walkover GEJ there.minus rigging GEJ cannot win in ekiti state. |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by jimmayoy: 11:44am On Feb 15, 2015 |
utytill: Check your BP. |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by oweniwe(m): 1:33pm On Feb 15, 2015 |
I think it'll end up like the Delta state governorship elections.... Though the PDP/Uduaghan was very unpopular during the period, they still managed to shove the DPP away.... Thats how the presidential election will turn out.... When PDP rolls outs its election day tricks, u'll be amazed at how figures will come up.... Forget about Goodluck, he doesnt control anything. The PDP is like a military+"associations"+cult+business community rolled into one. And forget Rivers, Imo, Taraba and Edo going to APC. APC cant win 23 in anambra. Give them 5.... The army will still be stationed in the North East during the elections.... Am not sure the army will sit and watch people there vote for APC... Overall, it'll be a narrow win for PDP.... Say pdp 56:44 apc 1 Like |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by UrennaNkoli(f): 1:39pm On Feb 15, 2015 |
Let's just hope for a free and fair election and that GEJ and PDP doesn't rig. This one that he's training shooters in south korea. |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by Engrdukechidi: 1:48pm On Feb 15, 2015 |
UrennaNkoli:say what you know |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by UrennaNkoli(f): 1:49pm On Feb 15, 2015 |
Engrdukechidi:Tell me what I don't know mr man ? |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by Engrdukechidi: 1:50pm On Feb 15, 2015 |
oladosuphemmy:you cannot give adamawa to buhari |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by oweniwe(m): 2:49pm On Feb 15, 2015 |
Engrdukechidi: thats it....!!... So if u add rivers, edo, adamawa, imo, taraba and anambra to GEJ's points, then he's won....!!... |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by gwales: 3:09pm On Feb 15, 2015 |
jerseyboy:I am frm adamawa and I know definitely buhari would hv not least than 70% of the votes. am surprised most of the time if I c pple saying gej would win in adamawa but it is mostly from people that are not in adamawa or doesn't hv the understanding of Wat is happening there. 1 Like |
Re: A Nairalander's Prediction Of The Outcome Of 2015 Election by Jesusloveyou: 3:27pm On Feb 15, 2015 |
oweniwe:d op miscalculate on 4 state,it suppose to be kebbi gej 30 gmb 65,kogi 40:55,jos30:68 and river 60:35, |
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