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Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD - Politics (7) - Nairaland

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Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by seeker121(m): 12:35pm On Mar 23, 2015
wake up south west is for buhari we are.not gullible and we are the most sophisticated and most educated tribebin naija.If u think gej has done something that will yield positive result na lie.

2 Likes

Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by Nobody: 12:37pm On Mar 23, 2015
Etruth:
Who r u deceiving? Urself or fellow TANmites? U really enjoy living in delusion. Northern Christians ke? STOP DIVIDING tthe body of Christ for political gains. If u belief people who live their lives daily not knowing when the next bomb is gonna go off on them and their belongings, while d elected C-in-C goes on jamborees, dancing Skelewu @ TAN rallies immediately after d incident, no culprit arrested. Instead d citizenry are abandoned to their fate and the presidency keeps accusing people without doing anything decisive. Then to score a political point, he suddenly understands his job description and magically summons d will to do what should have been done FIVE YEARS......after thousands of deaths, displacement of victims into countries like Niger, Chad, Cameroun, destruction of properties , sacking of entire communities and spending over N5,000,000,000,000 as security budget? Any Northerner, Christian or Muslim, who votes gej based on religious sentiment,should not blame GEJ for the attendant harsh realities post-election. If the insecurity subsists, and d person becomes a victim, pls don't blame GEJ. I will defend him gallantly @ that time. It wouldn't be GEJ's fault. The ignorant and foolish voter simply committed suicide

In the North.....that is actually what this election is all about.

They want to go back to their normal life....which the present government have denied them so far.......they are not really impressed with the little gains the Soldiers have recorded lately...to them....it's it too little..and too late......while most of them even hold firmly to the believe that the FG knows more about BH that they are telling people.

To them...this election is a referendum on GEJ achievement in the area of security and protection of their lives in the North......either a Muslim or a Christian....it matters little....or how do you expect a sane human being in Borno..Yobe...Adamawa to vote GEJ in this election?

4 Likes

Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by PassingShot(m): 12:38pm On Mar 23, 2015
unite4real:


looking at it neutrally, i think GMB will win even FCT and most of the too close to call states.

Of course it is safe to expect GMB to win Lagos, Adamawa, Nassarawa, Kogi and possibly FCT. What I have done is to analyse the article to prove that come what may, GMB wins.
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by hamingra: 12:40pm On Mar 23, 2015
viczing:
I still don't know what this write up implies but all I know is Gej till 2019

ha bros hope your certificate never loss! So u cant comprehend election projections?
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by stronger: 12:42pm On Mar 23, 2015
mrmetoo1:


I still think all these analysis are being very generous to GEJ. Kaduna too close to call?? C'mon!! From their table they actually have only 5 states as close to call, they left out FCT so I'll say 6

God bless you and your future generations!!

Kaduna!! LOL. . nothing to add. I think most GEJites are still deceiving themselves about Southern kaduna votes!
They will count but the Popularity of GMB and El Rufai is sweeping away anything!

Kaduna is Solid GMB. I can bet my certificate on it!
Lagos too is GMB straight! Ehn? After Occupy Nigeria, Lagos NEVER forgave GEJ!!

2 Likes

Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by Riodiao(m): 12:42pm On Mar 23, 2015
jpphilips:


You believe that God is in Nigerian churches? grin grin grin, If you were God, will you sit and watch a man of god telling his customers that Jehovah can be bribed with 10% to open the windows of heaven?
God actually left when those nonsense started in churches, you and I know that majority of Nigerian churches preach the same nonsense how do you expect God to be there? anyways, don't derail the thread, Nigerian churches are too filthy for God to dwell in.
YOU JUST IGNORANT LIKE APC SUPPORTERS
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by Coolcash1: 12:43pm On Mar 23, 2015
WisdomFlakes:


LOL. You're kidding, right? cheesy And what will Jonathan get? 65%? Joke of the millennium. grin grin

NO mind the guy him dey smoke weed and drink too much orijin...

Southwest is for BUHARI!!!

1 Like

Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by stronger: 12:45pm On Mar 23, 2015
WisdomFlakes:


LOL. You're kidding, right? cheesy And what will Jonathan get? 65%? Joke of the millennium. grin grin

Joke of the Millenium? As in, this millenium? Please please be careful!

THIS IS THE GREATEST JOKE OF ALL TIME!!! grin grin grin grin

1 Like

Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by mrmetoo1: 12:50pm On Mar 23, 2015
new2020:


Make sure you look at INEC PVC collection for SW, some states are below 50%. A lot of Yorubas don't care about this in their analysis. Makes me wonder if you people are analyzing this factually as your low PVC collection makes you guys irrelevant. ..I'm speaking factually now by INEC figures.

No state is below 50% anymore. I think Ogun which had the lowest is at 60% right now (anyone can correct me if I'm wrong with evidence). We're irrelevant yet GEJ can't stay out of the zone. He's visited SW more in the six weeks than he visited from May to December last year. We're not the one making ourselves relevant, it's GEJ insisting that we're relevant

3 Likes

Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by duwdu: 12:52pm On Mar 23, 2015
kahal29:
President Goodluck Jonathan, the presidential candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, and his major rival, Muhammadu Buhari of the All Progressives Congress, APC, have remarkably rewritten former assumptions putting the contest into what has become the most competitive election since the return of democratic rule in 1999.
It is a battle being fought on every inch of Nigerian territory. Buhari, who in his former contests practically ignored several areas, is going out meeting and soliciting for votes from all over the country. Besides the strategic meeting with governors, he is also expected to address the concerns of traders in Onitsha. President Jonathan, on the other hand, has practically laid siege on the Southwest with the prospect of winning over the people of the region. A state by state detail of the battle on the ground is presented hereunder.

By Our Reporters

Anambra State
2011: Jonathan 1,145,169 Buhari 4,223
Anambra was a state Jonathan won with more than 99 per cent in 2011 with 1,145,169 votes. The president is believably headed for another victory in the state in 2015, but only fools will believe that the president could get the kind of victory he got four years ago.
The momentum for Buhari has been tempered in Anambra by internal divisions within the Buhari campaign especially around the personality of the leaders of the campaign. Senator Chris Ngige, who is leading the campaign in the state, is not in the good books of a handful of many other supporters.
Dr. Jonathan is also boosted by the unqualified support he is receiving from the All Progressives Grand Alliance, APGA government in the state. Dr. Jonathan would win handsomely in the state, Buhari would not get 25 per cent but the bad news for the Jonathan campaign is that the swelled vote would not be obtained given the introduction of the card reader.

Ebonyi
2011: Jonathan 480,592 Buhari 1,025
Jonathan got more than 99.5 per cent of the votes he got in 2011 and was helped by the fact that Buhari practically did not have an organisation in the state and the state opposition leader, Senator Julius Ucha was drained of resources.
However, with the reinvention of the opposition and the internal discord in the PDP that led to the movement of Governor Martin Elechi’s supporters to Labour Party, the APC could be tempted to smell an opportunity. However, chances of that were as at weekend not viable given recent efforts by the president to keep Elechi from being impeached.
Unless Elechi decides to play a rascal, Buhari will not get 25 per cent in Ebonyi

IMO
Dr. Jonathan got almost the entire 1,406, 289 votes in Imo State in 2011. However, the defeat of Ikedi Ohakim in the governorship election that took place about the same time by 290,496 votes to 336,859 votes in the same constituency has led many to believe that the presidential election results may have been bloated. Given that less than 600,000 persons voted in the governorship election has resulted in questions about where the voters in the presidential election came from.
With the opposition in control of the state, Imo looks the brightest opportunity for Buhari in the Southeast, but he would yet be lucky to smile home with 40 per cent of the votes.

Enugu
Jonathan won here with 882,144 votes to Buhari’s 3753 while Ribadu went home with 1,755 votes. The major players in the state are Senator Ike Ekweremadu, the deputy president of the Senate and Governor Sullivan Chime who are both on the surface rooting for the president. But given the wounds that the governor received and the fact that he has no stake in the presidential election he could decide to pay back the president with bad coins so that both of them could retire from public life together.
Also to the advantage of Buhari is the presence of Father Ejike Mbaka, who has openly endorsed Buhari against the president.
The prospects of Buhari getting 25 per cent in Enugu are not impossible despite the efforts of Ekweremadu.

ABIA
Jonathan got 1,175,954 to the 3,608 votes Buhari received in 2011. Though with the introduction of the card reader the prospects of Jonathan getting that many votes have been seriously reduced, but there is little doubt he would easily trounce Buhari in Abia. The closest opposition is APGA which has interestingly adopted Jonathan as its presidential candidate.
The factors against Buhari could only be sentiments against the outgoing administration and the slowdown of the economy which has affected businesses in the state. Still, Buhari is not expected to get 25 per cent in Abia.
Remarkably, unlike the situation in many other states where losers in the PDP governorship primaries defected or went underground, many of those who lost out in the PDP including Emeka Wogu are fanatically working for the PDP.


DELTA
Jonathan won here with 1, 378, 851 in 2011. However, since then a number of political shifts and miscalculations have been made to cause a radical alteration of the permutations.
While the PDP remains almost unified the humiliation the governor, Dr. Emmanuel Uduaghan suffered even after surrendering his senatorial ticket and inability to position his own man as governor has led some to believe he could seek vengeance. However, the governor has almost remained steadfastl in support of the Jonathan project.
Anyway, other issues including the reported overbearing attitude of Jonathan’s Ijaw kinsmen which has led to the repeated postponement of the groundbreaking of the EPZ in the state, and the sidelining of the Urhobo may hurt Jonathan .
Buhari is, however, not helped by the fact that his governorship candidate in the state, Otega Emerhor was not universally accepted by the party leaders. That nonetheless, Jonathan is no longer looked at as “our brother” by the non-Ijaws, a situation that has put Buhari in good look to get at least 30 per cent of the votes in Delta.

EDO
2011: Jonathan 542, 173 Buhari 17,795
The results in 2011 would be of little consequence in 2015 given that Governor Adams Oshiomhole practically sat on the fence that year. In 2015 the comrade governor has taken the Buhari project as a personal one. The challenges that have faced the Jonathan administration make it a tempting ground for Buhari to pull away victory. However, the PDP is marshalling several personalities including Chief Tony Anenih, Chief Tom Ikimi among others to help the president. Edo is too close to call.

BAYELSA
504,811 691.
Buhari got only 691 votes last time. He is destined to do better given the internal discord in the state chapter of the PDP but it would be a foolish guess to say he could score more than 5 per cent of the votes in the state.

CROSS RIVER
2011 Jonathan 709,382 Buhari 4,002
Not much of change is expected for Buhari in Cross River given the absence of a strong internal party in the state. Jonathan should score a minimum of 80 per cent of the votes in Cross River. However, like in many other states the total number of votes is expected to be suppressed by the anti-rigging device, card reader.

AKWA IBOM
2011: Jonathan 1,165,629 Buhari 5,348
Jonathan is expected to be seriously challenged in Akwa Ibom by the support Buhari is getting from the machine transferred to him by the APC governorship candidate, Umana Umana. The popularity Umana is getting and the largely unexpressed attitude of the Ibibio population towards Governor Godswill Akpabio would pose serious dangers for the president.
If the election goes smoothly, the president will win but Buhari would get more than 25 per cent of the votes.

RIVERS
2011 Jonathan 1, 817, 762 Buhari 13,182
This is where the president’s political problems started and it would come to a head in six days time as the president again seeks the support of his in-laws.
The PDP has traditionally harvested an approximate two million votes in presidential and governorship elections in Rivers State and that was when the PDP was in control of the Government House, Port Harcourt, where many of the winning strategies were formulated. But with the APC now in control of the Government House the PDP’s leverage has been greatly diminished. The prospects of Governor Chibuke Amaechi delivering Rivers to Buhari are daunting as the president is expected to win again, but with a significantly suppressed number of votes. The votes will count if all goes well and the traditional two million votes will not be available to the PDP candidate. Buhari will smile home and be satisfied with at least 30 per cent of the votes.

LAGOS
Jonathan 1, 281, 688; Buhari 189, 983; Ribadu 427, 000
Buhari took third in 2011 largely on account of the support Ribadu got from the APC machine in Lagos. But with the same support now actively being shifted to Buhari and given the challenges of the president and the Osinbajo factor, the president is in danger of losing Lagos State to Buhari.
The president was politically shrewd to push forward a popular governorship candidate in the person of Jimi Agbaje, however, that is not going to be of much help to him given the erosion of the Islamic label on Buhari and the momentum he has received. Lagos is too close to call.
The president would be helped in Lagos by the sentiments of the vast Igbo population, majority of who are chorusing for him.


OGUN
This is a state the president won in 2011, but he would need a miracle to help him overcome the challenges against him in 2015. Besides the strong support Buhari is getting from Governor Ibikunle Amosun, the president is not helped by the disarray that is in the state chapter of the PDP. Even though he is not much of an asset on voting day, former President Olusegun Obasanjo is from Ogun State and would do everything to ensure the rejection of his one time political godson. Buhari is projected to win Ogun convincingly and the president would be happy going away with 40 per cent of the votes.

OSUN
This was the only southern state the president lost in 2011 and is headed towards the same direction in 2015 despite the increasing challenges facing the Rauf Aregbesola administration in Osogbo, notably the growing difficulties in payment of salaries. The APC is, however, telling whoever cares to listen that many of the challenges they are having are coming from Jonathan in Abuja. Dr. Jonathan is projected to score about 35 per cent of the votes in the state.

OYO
Jonathan 484, 758 Buhari 92, 396 Ribadu 252, 240
Jonathan won in Oyo with about 52 per cent of the votes in 2011 and that was when a PDP government was in office. With the reverse the case now and the challenges in office around the president, his ability to get the plurality of 2011 is in serious doubt. The president’s chances were not helped last week after a senior chief in Ibadan came out to endorse Buhari. Besides, the PDP seems to be doing well in covering its internal fractures, but that fact is obvious to many people.

EKITI
The chances of the president in Ekiti have been boosted by the fanatical support he is receiving from Governor Ayodele Fayose. However, the support is almost matched by the recent reconciliation between Dr. Fayemi and Hon. Opeyemi Bamidele who are both working for Buhari. Nevertheless, there are still mutterings that the old progressives allegedly shut out by Dr. Fayemi while in office are still to be fully reintegrated into the APC.
Whatever, Ekiti is too close to call.

ONDO
This is a state that ordinarily should go to Dr. Jonathan given the dominance of Governor Segun Mimiko in the affairs of the state. However, as with many second term office holders, the governor has caught the syndrome and his political invincibility once the subject of political folklore is no longer taken for granted. Dr. Jonathan will win handsomely in Ondo, but Buhari is in good position to get 25 per cent.

KWARA
The choice of a relatively unpopular governorship candidate has not done the PDP good in Kwara. Many of the governorship aspirants who were in better position to Marshall the votes for the president are looking from the sidelines and so, giving opportunity for Senator Bukola Saraki to handsomely deliver Kwara to the APC presidential candidate.

BENUE
Is a state that Buhari has never won in a presidential election, however, the troubles of the PDP administration and the choice by the APC of a grassroots governorship candidate has opened up the state to battle. Many voters could translate their fury at the non payment of salaries to the president.
Benue is too close to call.

PLATEAU
This is a traditional PDP state and Jonathan is expected to win convincingly. However, Buhari would for the first time make an inroad as he taps on the groundswell of misgivings against Governor Jonah Jang. Such grudges include irregular payment of salaries and the governor’s decision to discard the zoning principle in the choice of his successor.
Many leading political stakeholders on the plateau are seriously embittered by the outgoing governor’s decision to enthrone someone from his senatorial constituency and his Berom tribe as his successor. Should the misgivings translate fully into votes, Jonathan could be in trouble.

NIGER
Jonathan lost here in 2011 and despite the alleged schemes of some powerful generals in the state to stop Buhari and return the president, it would be a difficult task. The failure of the outgoing governor to adequately deliver democracy dividends is, of course, no help.
Governor Babangida Aliyu would be desperate for Jonathan to win despite his assertions in the past that the president signed a one term agreement. Victory for Jonathan would position Dr. Aliyu to run the presidential contest in 2019.
Given the judicial interpretation of the senatorial election that took place in Aliyu’s senatorial constituency that was won by the APC, the chances of Buhari winning are convincing.


NASARAWA
The president won in Nasarawa last time, but that was when a PDP governor was in office. Now with an APC governor in office, the challenges against the president are obvious. The unity in the PDP was recently broken with the defection of Labran Maku to APGA. But that nonetheless, Nasarawa is too close to call.

KADUNA
The president lost his running mate’s state last time. The same configuration is in place the only difference is that Buhari has a better organisation in 2015 than he had in 2011.
Kaduna, as ever, remains too close to call and it is expected that people may vote according to religious lines.
Kaduna too close to call.

KANO
Buhari won handsomely here in 2011 and is expected to do the same thing. The president’s recruitment of his 2011 rival, Shekarau would do little to change the tide against him.

KATSINA
This is Buhari’s homeland and he is expected to sail comfortably to victory here. Jonathan is not expected to get much from here.

JIGAWA
Governor Sule Lamido is working seriously to deliver Jonathan in Jigawa. In 2011, Jonathan narrowly missed getting 25 per cent in Jigawa. It is possible for the president to get that figure this time.

KEBBI
2011: Jonathan 369, 198; Buhari 501, 453
The president did well by scoring more than 25 per cent in Kebbi last time and he is projected to get about the same figure this time.

ZAMFARA
2011: Jonathan 238, 980 Buhari 624, 515
Buhari defeated Jonathan without much of an organisation in 2011 in Zamfara and he is expected to do the same this time.


SOKOTO
2011: Jonathan 309, 057; Buhari 540, 769
In 2011, Jonathan was helped by the sentiments of the ruling PDP in the state. But given the discord that followed and the parting of ways, the president would have to face the serious challenge to get the 36 per cent he scored last time in the state.

BAUCHI
Jonathan 258,000 Buhari 1, 300,000.
This was the state where the president’s convoy was pelted with stones and in the account of Governor Isa Yuguda, those who pelted him were renegade PDP members.
The president’s recent enthusiasm in other parts of the country is not helped by the division in the ranks of the PDP largely between the governor and the FCT minister, Senator Bala Mohammed. Though they claim to be working together, there are underground insinuations that one party is not putting all his eggs in one basket.

ADAMAWA
2011: Jonathan 508,314 Buhari 344,526
The president’s victory here in 2011 could ordinary be replicated given the fact that unlike 2011 when he did it Ribadu, a son of the soil is not running. However, the Boko Haram factor is an issue for many people who are questioning the rationale it took the president until election time to decisively rid the state of the terrorists.
Adamawa is too close to call.

GOMBE
2011: Jonathan 290,347 Buhari 459, 898
Buhari won in 2011 despite the presence of a strong governor, Danjuma Goje who at that time was against him. With Goje now seriously backing him, it ordinarily would be a plus for the APC candidate. However, the incumbent governor, Ibarahim Damkwambo is the Northeast coordinator for Jonathan and is expected to put up a hard battle for the president especially as his re-election battle comes up in two weeks time after the presidential election.
Buhari is expected to win and Jonathan should get more than 25 per cent.

TARABA
2011: Jonathan 451,354 Buhari 257,986
Jonathan won here in 2011 and is expected to win again despite the internal divisions that have lately arisen within the state chapter of the PDP.

YOBE
2011 Jonathan 117,128 Buhari 337, 537
Buhari won Yobe and is expected to win again. Sentiments against the president’s handling of the Boko Haram crisis will not be a good omen for the president in Yobe.
However, one serious challenge for Buhari is the perceived failures of the incumbent governor in providing morale to the people of the state in the face of the crisis.

BORNO
2011: Jonathan 207, 075 Buhari 909,763
Buhari won handsomely in 2011 and is expected to do the same despite the changed permutations that have seen the former governor, Senator Ali Sheriff (SAS) cross over to support the president in 2015.

http://www.vanguardngr.com/2015/03/polls-how-jonathan-buhari-will-battle-for-votes/

One of the better analyses; thanks, @OP. (I'm quoting the post verbatim, so I'll have it in my personal posts universe.)

P34c3
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Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by Etruth: 12:55pm On Mar 23, 2015
Riodiao:
GEJ'S TRANSFORMATION

SOUTH – EAST GEO | POLITICAL ZONE
ENUGU state:
Rehabilitation of the Enugu Airport (New international airport Terminal)
Ongoing Nsukka – Ayangba 132kv Double – Circuit
Sure – P Projects on Primary Health Care (PHC)
Enugu – PH – Maiduguri Rail Fixed.
University of Nigeria Teaching Hospital Enugu upgraded with new facilities to commence open – heart surgeries
Rehabilitation of Enugu – Port Harcourt Road
Ogrute – Umuida Road and Unadu to Odoru in Kogi State
Rehabilitation of Umuna – Ndiagu and Ebenebe Ezeagu Road, Agubuogu through Ebenebe to Iwolo road.
₦ 2.57 Billion Dam Project in Adada River Dam to provide Portable Water, Electricity and Irrigation for agriculture activities
Ada Rice Irrigation Project at Uzo – Uwani
Erosion control project
Export Crop preservation and Conditioning Centre in Enugu State (One of the 10 constructed nationwide )
e – wallet System in the distribution of agricultural inputs to the farmers and Dry Season Farming Project
Construction of Irrigation Facilities in Amagunze Rice Product farm Enugu
Establishment of Enugu State office of the National Productivity Centre.
In 2012, FG Commissioned a Cultural Industry Centre in Inyi Enugu State.
Reinstatement of washout at Km 6 + 750, Km 30 + 400 and Km 35 + 325 along Onitsha- Enugu Dual – Carriage way in Anambra and Enugu State.
Establishment of Maritime Institute at University of Nigeria Nsukka
Bros why are all this achievements ONLY felt on the internet and seen on NTA? Fear God now. You can deceive a blind man that there is oil in the soup, but you can't deceive him that the soup is salty too !! Saaaaaiiiii Baba Oyoyo

4 Likes

Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by dvee2: 1:12pm On Mar 23, 2015
jpphilips:



The South east have been a battle ground for political mischief over the years. Another election is around the corner and the power brokers are at it again, needless to mention the need for the actors and spectators to harmonize political interest.

It is no longer news that the subterfuge of President Jonathan has not only eroded reasoning but have equally failed logic of the average south easterner. Once is a while when the music gets to a crescendo, we pause to relieve our breath.

In many quarters of ignorance, however unimpressed pundits like us felt about Jonathan's presidency, a scan through of his touted achievements is a proof that the south easterners are living in denial.

ROADS:


Funny how Nigerians still bask in the euphoria of development when administrators at State and Federal levels resurface roads, this obligatory stride is magnified to an insulting proportion especially when it becomes a campaign slogan for politicians.

The South Eastern states in focus is made up of Imo, Anambra, Enugu and Ebonyi states, to travel from Imo to Anambra presents the Owerri-Onitsha road as the most plausible federal route option, no doubt, this road is resurfaced today, however,most South easterners are oblivious of the fact that the resurfacing of that road stems its history from OBJ through Yaradua but completed with Jonathan, however encouraging that may sound, I still ask, is there any other federal route apart from that one?
Anambra to Enugu is left with Onitsha to Enugu (in terrible shape by the way) and Enugu to Abakiliki through Enugu - Ph express way another death trap.

Based on the above facts, Jonathan has alienated two states out of four in the South east by virtue of terrible federal roads, the funny part is that the Enugu - Onitsha alternative is a state road which seems to be in a better shape than the federal road, never mind that the so called roads awaiting to be resurfaced by the Jonathan's administration were created by the military, mostly northerners by extension. Till date, Jonathan is yet to create a second federal route that will connect the South eastern states.



TRANSPORTATION:

Two significant events reshaped Jonathan's stewardship in the last 5yrs, upgrading of the existing Akanu Ibiam airport to international status and the repair of the Portharcourt to Enugu rail routes.
Each time I look at the average Igbo man and how this two projects would have changed his life forever, I cannot but pray for the igbo man to wake up from his slumber.

The Akanu Ibiam international airport sure will open the South east to the world, Ethiopian airlines is licensed to operate that route for now, I always wonder where Orji Uzor kalu and Authur Eze two Igbo sons that are stake holders in the aviation sector dissolved to when that license was granted? bearing in mind that Nigeria has no national carrier. I may not know whether or not they have the capacity to go international but the recent Skytrax rating of our "face me I face you" airport calls for serious concern.
After all the hype, noise and billions in resources spent, this Jonathan's Greek gift neither made it to the first 800 in the world neither did it make the 100 place in Africa, while poor Kenya made the 9th position in Africa, is this what the Igbos really deserve?.

President Jonathan's rail project was the biggest slap on the Igbos for those who understand the dynamics of the South east economy. If strategically positioned would have been the game changer for the Igbos in generations to come.
There are two economic hubs in South east Nigeria, Onitsha and Nnewi both in Anambra state. While Nnewi is drawing its blood from its robust manufacturing base, Onitsha is pulling its weight from it robust FOREX and importation strong holds.

Bearing in mind that whatever affects Onitsha easily affects Nnewi owing to their geographic proximity, I will beam my search light on Onitsha.
During the rail projects, I was expecting that President Jonathan being a lover of Igbos like he claimed would have prioritized APAPA to Onitsha rail route.

As I type, this route is non existent, meanwhile, this is the only route that would have been the economic game changer in the South East.
The absence of a rail line on this route is the reason Benin-ore road, Ore-Lagos routes don't last due to the intense, unabated use of heavy duty truck carrying containers on this route, cement distributors like Ibeto, Dangote and Lafarge have equally contributed to her woes.

During a field trip in the south east, a container cleared in APAPA enroute Onitsha will cost 400,000 naira on haulage alone, sundry expenditures could pull between 650k to 700k off the importer depending on the consignment, considering the nature of the road (especially the ore-Lagos route), there is a 50% chance the container will not arrive its destination, Jonathan the false Igbo messiah ran to the already existing PH-Enugu route, a route whose economic relevance stemmed from the days of the British, when coal was ferried from Enugu and exported through Portharcourt to do a quick fix for vain glory.
In other words, the president failed to connect one of Africa's busiest ports with West Africa's biggest market and igbos saw nothing wrong with that.

In 2011, Jonathan made a promise to South easterners that he will do a second Niger bridge (the latest victim of heavy duty haulage from Lagos to the east) 4yrs on, the Igbos are satisfied that the project is still at the pilling stage.


According to them, they said that Jonathan appointed the first Igbo chief of army staff, but immediately I ask, has the NDA and the Direct Short service quota for the SE increased? they hardly wait to give me an answer. Does it mean that a group of supposed intelligent and industrious people barely know where their interest lie?


ELECTRICITY

While I was expecting the SE to demand justice for the way interstate (a friend of the president by the way) muscled away viable competitors who had the capacity to turn around their power woes during the sale of EEDC, it never harped on the South easterners that Jonathan's administration did a great disservice to them. Do they care?

Not until Jonathan proposed a coal power plant for kogi state (Enugu's closest neighbor), a 1,200MW coal power plant in Itobe Kogi state, the project is expected to come alive in 2018, tell me, between Enugu (the coal city state) and Itobe Kogi state, who deserves a coal power plant?

If any Igbo man answers this question, I will have no need to continue this expose.


ECONOMY


Often times we wonder; who is the loser in Jonathan's abysmal handling of the economy? ans: South East.

The PDP strategy:

PDP before now has a way to keep the people happy in suffering, if asked, you will say that Nigeria is a near tax free nation but is it really true?
Jonathan's government knows that Nigeria is an import based economy and there is need to allow the pitiable manufacturing base to grow, so instead of taxing consumer goods at point of consumption, they are taxed at point of entry.

This strategy is the reason why most Igbo businesses have failed in recent times. Ask yourself, how many developing countries in the world do you pay duty higher than the cost of purchase especially cars? or does duty not qualify as a form of taxation?

In Jonathan's government, economic maneuvers with grave consequences are not meant to be mentioned:
Increase in pump price is called Subsidy removal.
Increase in taxation is called FIRS receipt etc, with such gimmicks the average Igbo man hardly realizes that Jonathan is his biggest economic

Nightmare.

Pay attention to these excerpt in the 2015 budget:






In an economy with high unemployment rate here is what Iweala is proposing for 2015 and they are keeping it quiet now because of elections.



What it means for the Igbo man is that 2015 will not be business as usual, even though you are deceived to vote as usual, Igbos should expect very high duty this year which will make your goods expensive hence lower your patronage, this is Jonathan's Greek gift for your 2015 patronage at the polls.

It is no longer news that 1 US dollar is exchanging for 225 naira under Jonathan, what it means to an average Igbo man is that if your 40ft container is worth $60,000 (9.3m naira) you will need 13.5m to order the same 40ft container you just bought last year. At the port, Jonathan will send you another message through Iweala, and if you don't have 4.2m to complete the balance, you better go back to your village or better still collect his fertilizer to start farming, or worse still, apply for a traffic warden job like he has proposed. God help you if you have kids studying abroad, Jonathan's incompetence has increased their tuition by 40%. These are the economic realities facing the South Easterner however ugly it presents itself.
Meanwhile, while Jonathan is draining your capital, he has not made any attempt whatsoever to cut down on the largess going on in Government, evidenced by his unwillingness to fight corruption.
Under Goodluck, Anambra state lost it's bid to being an oil producing state.

How can a group of hardworking legitimate people be scared of Buhari? the thieves are scared, the undisciplined is scared, what are you scared of?


ENERGY:

Since 2004, no South Easterner can boast of buying any petroleum product at the government approved rate always, while the Govt approved rate is 97naira, south easterners buy between 110-115 naira, have you guys bothered to ask why? Ans; Enugu Depot is not working.

This is how it works, Petrol used in Enugu, Ebonyi, and Anambra come from either Portharcourt or Warri, if the right thing is done, it is supposed to be coming from the Enugu depot, the increased transport fare (tanker hire) will be added to the products so it hardly sells for the Govt approved rate.

Now you know, for a pretty long time, you guys have suffered this and Govt after Govt including Jonathan your beloved didn't care as much as OBJ never cared, do you know what the problem is ?

There is a pipeline section at Okigwe, it is not like the whole pipeline have to be replaced but just the Okigwe section, that is the Genesis of your suffering. I am yet to understand the zombie follower ship Jonathan has in the South East, South- South his father land has already dropped him like a hot object (Rivers and Bayelsa), what is the SE waiting for?

According to Patrick Obahiagbon " there is no reason for Nigerians to pontificate the faucet origo of a presidential aspirant" whatever that means grin grin.

There is an Igbo adage that says that the Local dog follows a man with running stomach with the hope that if he doesn't vomit, he will defecate, so far, Jonathan as the man with the running stomach has refused to defecate nor Vomit, it is mind bugling why the South easterners are following him about.




Wow! Wish they will open their eyes. I know the Igbo's are intelligent
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by Asunmo555(m): 1:19pm On Mar 23, 2015
Surely,Buhari will bcom ngr president in 4tcomin election.

Up buhari 4president
Up oshinbajo 4rep
Up SIA 4 Ogun state governor
Up nigeria !,keep moving 4ward!!!!!!
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by ElFenomeno1: 1:19pm On Mar 23, 2015
stronger:

Kaduna!! LOL. . nothing to add. I think most GEJites are still deceiving themselves about Southern kaduna votes!
They will count but the Popularity of GMB and El Rufai is sweeping away anything!
Kaduna is Solid GMB. I can bet my certificate on it!
Lagos too is GMB straight! Ehn? After Occupy Nigeria, Lagos NEVER forgave GEJ!!
Nailed it!
GEJites are delusional..... Kaduna is APC in and out!
GEJ will be embarrassed there!

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by forkadict(m): 1:22pm On Mar 23, 2015
PassingShot:


I believe that too. I only proved that even with their analysis, Buhari still wins.

Okay Bro. Now I gat you.
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by hamingra: 1:24pm On Mar 23, 2015
kahal29:
President Goodluck Jonathan, the presidential candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, and his major rival, Muhammadu Buhari of the All Progressives Congress, APC, have remarkably rewritten former assumptions putting the contest into what has become the most competitive election since the return of democratic rule in 1999.
It is a battle being fought on every inch of Nigerian territory. Buhari, who in his former contests practically ignored several areas, is going out meeting and soliciting for votes from all over the country. Besides the strategic meeting with governors, he is also expected to address the concerns of traders in Onitsha. President Jonathan, on the other hand, has practically laid siege on the Southwest with the prospect of winning over the people of the region. A state by state detail of the battle on the ground is presented hereunder.

By Our Reporters

Anambra State
2011: Jonathan 1,145,169 Buhari 4,223
Anambra was a state Jonathan won with more than 99 per cent in 2011 with 1,145,169 votes. The president is believably headed for another victory in the state in 2015, but only fools will believe that the president could get the kind of victory he got four years ago.
The momentum for Buhari has been tempered in Anambra by internal divisions within the Buhari campaign especially around the personality of the leaders of the campaign. Senator Chris Ngige, who is leading the campaign in the state, is not in the good books of a handful of many other supporters.
Dr. Jonathan is also boosted by the unqualified support he is receiving from the All Progressives Grand Alliance, APGA government in the state. Dr. Jonathan would win handsomely in the state, Buhari would not get 25 per cent but the bad news for the Jonathan campaign is that the swelled vote would not be obtained given the introduction of the card reader.

Ebonyi
2011: Jonathan 480,592 Buhari 1,025
Jonathan got more than 99.5 per cent of the votes he got in 2011 and was helped by the fact that Buhari practically did not have an organisation in the state and the state opposition leader, Senator Julius Ucha was drained of resources.
However, with the reinvention of the opposition and the internal discord in the PDP that led to the movement of Governor Martin Elechi’s supporters to Labour Party, the APC could be tempted to smell an opportunity. However, chances of that were as at weekend not viable given recent efforts by the president to keep Elechi from being impeached.
Unless Elechi decides to play a rascal, Buhari will not get 25 per cent in Ebonyi

IMO
Dr. Jonathan got almost the entire 1,406, 289 votes in Imo State in 2011. However, the defeat of Ikedi Ohakim in the governorship election that took place about the same time by 290,496 votes to 336,859 votes in the same constituency has led many to believe that the presidential election results may have been bloated. Given that less than 600,000 persons voted in the governorship election has resulted in questions about where the voters in the presidential election came from.
With the opposition in control of the state, Imo looks the brightest opportunity for Buhari in the Southeast, but he would yet be lucky to smile home with 40 per cent of the votes.

Enugu
Jonathan won here with 882,144 votes to Buhari’s 3753 while Ribadu went home with 1,755 votes. The major players in the state are Senator Ike Ekweremadu, the deputy president of the Senate and Governor Sullivan Chime who are both on the surface rooting for the president. But given the wounds that the governor received and the fact that he has no stake in the presidential election he could decide to pay back the president with bad coins so that both of them could retire from public life together.
Also to the advantage of Buhari is the presence of Father Ejike Mbaka, who has openly endorsed Buhari against the president.
The prospects of Buhari getting 25 per cent in Enugu are not impossible despite the efforts of Ekweremadu.

ABIA
Jonathan got 1,175,954 to the 3,608 votes Buhari received in 2011. Though with the introduction of the card reader the prospects of Jonathan getting that many votes have been seriously reduced, but there is little doubt he would easily trounce Buhari in Abia. The closest opposition is APGA which has interestingly adopted Jonathan as its presidential candidate.
The factors against Buhari could only be sentiments against the outgoing administration and the slowdown of the economy which has affected businesses in the state. Still, Buhari is not expected to get 25 per cent in Abia.
Remarkably, unlike the situation in many other states where losers in the PDP governorship primaries defected or went underground, many of those who lost out in the PDP including Emeka Wogu are fanatically working for the PDP.


DELTA
Jonathan won here with 1, 378, 851 in 2011. However, since then a number of political shifts and miscalculations have been made to cause a radical alteration of the permutations.
While the PDP remains almost unified the humiliation the governor, Dr. Emmanuel Uduaghan suffered even after surrendering his senatorial ticket and inability to position his own man as governor has led some to believe he could seek vengeance. However, the governor has almost remained steadfastl in support of the Jonathan project.
Anyway, other issues including the reported overbearing attitude of Jonathan’s Ijaw kinsmen which has led to the repeated postponement of the groundbreaking of the EPZ in the state, and the sidelining of the Urhobo may hurt Jonathan .
Buhari is, however, not helped by the fact that his governorship candidate in the state, Otega Emerhor was not universally accepted by the party leaders. That nonetheless, Jonathan is no longer looked at as “our brother” by the non-Ijaws, a situation that has put Buhari in good look to get at least 30 per cent of the votes in Delta.

EDO
2011: Jonathan 542, 173 Buhari 17,795
The results in 2011 would be of little consequence in 2015 given that Governor Adams Oshiomhole practically sat on the fence that year. In 2015 the comrade governor has taken the Buhari project as a personal one. The challenges that have faced the Jonathan administration make it a tempting ground for Buhari to pull away victory. However, the PDP is marshalling several personalities including Chief Tony Anenih, Chief Tom Ikimi among others to help the president. Edo is too close to call.

BAYELSA
504,811 691.
Buhari got only 691 votes last time. He is destined to do better given the internal discord in the state chapter of the PDP but it would be a foolish guess to say he could score more than 5 per cent of the votes in the state.

CROSS RIVER
2011 Jonathan 709,382 Buhari 4,002
Not much of change is expected for Buhari in Cross River given the absence of a strong internal party in the state. Jonathan should score a minimum of 80 per cent of the votes in Cross River. However, like in many other states the total number of votes is expected to be suppressed by the anti-rigging device, card reader.

AKWA IBOM
2011: Jonathan 1,165,629 Buhari 5,348
Jonathan is expected to be seriously challenged in Akwa Ibom by the support Buhari is getting from the machine transferred to him by the APC governorship candidate, Umana Umana. The popularity Umana is getting and the largely unexpressed attitude of the Ibibio population towards Governor Godswill Akpabio would pose serious dangers for the president.
If the election goes smoothly, the president will win but Buhari would get more than 25 per cent of the votes.

RIVERS
2011 Jonathan 1, 817, 762 Buhari 13,182
This is where the president’s political problems started and it would come to a head in six days time as the president again seeks the support of his in-laws.
The PDP has traditionally harvested an approximate two million votes in presidential and governorship elections in Rivers State and that was when the PDP was in control of the Government House, Port Harcourt, where many of the winning strategies were formulated. But with the APC now in control of the Government House the PDP’s leverage has been greatly diminished. The prospects of Governor Chibuke Amaechi delivering Rivers to Buhari are daunting as the president is expected to win again, but with a significantly suppressed number of votes. The votes will count if all goes well and the traditional two million votes will not be available to the PDP candidate. Buhari will smile home and be satisfied with at least 30 per cent of the votes.

LAGOS
Jonathan 1, 281, 688; Buhari 189, 983; Ribadu 427, 000
Buhari took third in 2011 largely on account of the support Ribadu got from the APC machine in Lagos. But with the same support now actively being shifted to Buhari and given the challenges of the president and the Osinbajo factor, the president is in danger of losing Lagos State to Buhari.
The president was politically shrewd to push forward a popular governorship candidate in the person of Jimi Agbaje, however, that is not going to be of much help to him given the erosion of the Islamic label on Buhari and the momentum he has received. Lagos is too close to call.
The president would be helped in Lagos by the sentiments of the vast Igbo population, majority of who are chorusing for him.


OGUN
This is a state the president won in 2011, but he would need a miracle to help him overcome the challenges against him in 2015. Besides the strong support Buhari is getting from Governor Ibikunle Amosun, the president is not helped by the disarray that is in the state chapter of the PDP. Even though he is not much of an asset on voting day, former President Olusegun Obasanjo is from Ogun State and would do everything to ensure the rejection of his one time political godson. Buhari is projected to win Ogun convincingly and the president would be happy going away with 40 per cent of the votes.

OSUN
This was the only southern state the president lost in 2011 and is headed towards the same direction in 2015 despite the increasing challenges facing the Rauf Aregbesola administration in Osogbo, notably the growing difficulties in payment of salaries. The APC is, however, telling whoever cares to listen that many of the challenges they are having are coming from Jonathan in Abuja. Dr. Jonathan is projected to score about 35 per cent of the votes in the state.

OYO
Jonathan 484, 758 Buhari 92, 396 Ribadu 252, 240
Jonathan won in Oyo with about 52 per cent of the votes in 2011 and that was when a PDP government was in office. With the reverse the case now and the challenges in office around the president, his ability to get the plurality of 2011 is in serious doubt. The president’s chances were not helped last week after a senior chief in Ibadan came out to endorse Buhari. Besides, the PDP seems to be doing well in covering its internal fractures, but that fact is obvious to many people.

EKITI
The chances of the president in Ekiti have been boosted by the fanatical support he is receiving from Governor Ayodele Fayose. However, the support is almost matched by the recent reconciliation between Dr. Fayemi and Hon. Opeyemi Bamidele who are both working for Buhari. Nevertheless, there are still mutterings that the old progressives allegedly shut out by Dr. Fayemi while in office are still to be fully reintegrated into the APC.
Whatever, Ekiti is too close to call.

ONDO
This is a state that ordinarily should go to Dr. Jonathan given the dominance of Governor Segun Mimiko in the affairs of the state. However, as with many second term office holders, the governor has caught the syndrome and his political invincibility once the subject of political folklore is no longer taken for granted. Dr. Jonathan will win handsomely in Ondo, but Buhari is in good position to get 25 per cent.

KWARA
The choice of a relatively unpopular governorship candidate has not done the PDP good in Kwara. Many of the governorship aspirants who were in better position to Marshall the votes for the president are looking from the sidelines and so, giving opportunity for Senator Bukola Saraki to handsomely deliver Kwara to the APC presidential candidate.

BENUE
Is a state that Buhari has never won in a presidential election, however, the troubles of the PDP administration and the choice by the APC of a grassroots governorship candidate has opened up the state to battle. Many voters could translate their fury at the non payment of salaries to the president.
Benue is too close to call.

PLATEAU
This is a traditional PDP state and Jonathan is expected to win convincingly. However, Buhari would for the first time make an inroad as he taps on the groundswell of misgivings against Governor Jonah Jang. Such grudges include irregular payment of salaries and the governor’s decision to discard the zoning principle in the choice of his successor.
Many leading political stakeholders on the plateau are seriously embittered by the outgoing governor’s decision to enthrone someone from his senatorial constituency and his Berom tribe as his successor. Should the misgivings translate fully into votes, Jonathan could be in trouble.

NIGER
Jonathan lost here in 2011 and despite the alleged schemes of some powerful generals in the state to stop Buhari and return the president, it would be a difficult task. The failure of the outgoing governor to adequately deliver democracy dividends is, of course, no help.
Governor Babangida Aliyu would be desperate for Jonathan to win despite his assertions in the past that the president signed a one term agreement. Victory for Jonathan would position Dr. Aliyu to run the presidential contest in 2019.
Given the judicial interpretation of the senatorial election that took place in Aliyu’s senatorial constituency that was won by the APC, the chances of Buhari winning are convincing.


NASARAWA
The president won in Nasarawa last time, but that was when a PDP governor was in office. Now with an APC governor in office, the challenges against the president are obvious. The unity in the PDP was recently broken with the defection of Labran Maku to APGA. But that nonetheless, Nasarawa is too close to call.

KADUNA
The president lost his running mate’s state last time. The same configuration is in place the only difference is that Buhari has a better organisation in 2015 than he had in 2011.
Kaduna, as ever, remains too close to call and it is expected that people may vote according to religious lines.
Kaduna too close to call.

KANO
Buhari won handsomely here in 2011 and is expected to do the same thing. The president’s recruitment of his 2011 rival, Shekarau would do little to change the tide against him.

KATSINA
This is Buhari’s homeland and he is expected to sail comfortably to victory here. Jonathan is not expected to get much from here.

JIGAWA
Governor Sule Lamido is working seriously to deliver Jonathan in Jigawa. In 2011, Jonathan narrowly missed getting 25 per cent in Jigawa. It is possible for the president to get that figure this time.

KEBBI
2011: Jonathan 369, 198; Buhari 501, 453
The president did well by scoring more than 25 per cent in Kebbi last time and he is projected to get about the same figure this time.

ZAMFARA
2011: Jonathan 238, 980 Buhari 624, 515
Buhari defeated Jonathan without much of an organisation in 2011 in Zamfara and he is expected to do the same this time.


SOKOTO
2011: Jonathan 309, 057; Buhari 540, 769
In 2011, Jonathan was helped by the sentiments of the ruling PDP in the state. But given the discord that followed and the parting of ways, the president would have to face the serious challenge to get the 36 per cent he scored last time in the state.

BAUCHI
Jonathan 258,000 Buhari 1, 300,000.
This was the state where the president’s convoy was pelted with stones and in the account of Governor Isa Yuguda, those who pelted him were renegade PDP members.
The president’s recent enthusiasm in other parts of the country is not helped by the division in the ranks of the PDP largely between the governor and the FCT minister, Senator Bala Mohammed. Though they claim to be working together, there are underground insinuations that one party is not putting all his eggs in one basket.

ADAMAWA
2011: Jonathan 508,314 Buhari 344,526
The president’s victory here in 2011 could ordinary be replicated given the fact that unlike 2011 when he did it Ribadu, a son of the soil is not running. However, the Boko Haram factor is an issue for many people who are questioning the rationale it took the president until election time to decisively rid the state of the terrorists.
Adamawa is too close to call.

GOMBE
2011: Jonathan 290,347 Buhari 459, 898
Buhari won in 2011 despite the presence of a strong governor, Danjuma Goje who at that time was against him. With Goje now seriously backing him, it ordinarily would be a plus for the APC candidate. However, the incumbent governor, Ibarahim Damkwambo is the Northeast coordinator for Jonathan and is expected to put up a hard battle for the president especially as his re-election battle comes up in two weeks time after the presidential election.
Buhari is expected to win and Jonathan should get more than 25 per cent.

TARABA
2011: Jonathan 451,354 Buhari 257,986
Jonathan won here in 2011 and is expected to win again despite the internal divisions that have lately arisen within the state chapter of the PDP.

YOBE
2011 Jonathan 117,128 Buhari 337, 537
Buhari won Yobe and is expected to win again. Sentiments against the president’s handling of the Boko Haram crisis will not be a good omen for the president in Yobe.
However, one serious challenge for Buhari is the perceived failures of the incumbent governor in providing morale to the people of the state in the face of the crisis.

BORNO
2011: Jonathan 207, 075 Buhari 909,763
Buhari won handsomely in 2011 and is expected to do the same despite the changed permutations that have seen the former governor, Senator Ali Sheriff (SAS) cross over to support the president in 2015.

http://www.vanguardngr.com/2015/03/polls-how-jonathan-buhari-will-battle-for-votes/
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by majalisa(m): 1:43pm On Mar 23, 2015
stronger:


God bless you and your future generations!!

Kaduna!! LOL. . nothing to add. I think most GEJites are still deceiving themselves about Southern kaduna votes!
They will count but the Popularity of GMB and El Rufai is sweeping away anything!

Kaduna is Solid GMB. I can bet my certificate on it!
Lagos too is GMB straight! Ehn? After Occupy Nigeria, Lagos NEVER forgave GEJ!!
u must be from southern kaduna and i whole heartedly agree with u on this not to even mention kaduna north.also the unpopularity of the pdp govnor is a plus for GMB.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by osesthedon: 1:52pm On Mar 23, 2015
people when say buhari go win Edo. una dey dream. if buhari get reach 10% of vote there make I know wetin cause am. no be Edo when we dey
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by Obinnapat(m): 1:54pm On Mar 23, 2015
jpphilips:



[color=#990000]These are the transformations I witnessed
[/color]




FELLOW NIGERIANS, IS THIS THE PRESIDENT YOU DESERVE?

May the Judgment of God not befall us and our families if with our votes we deliberately return a Govt of Hunger, corruption and death to the Nigerian people. Kindly distribute through your BBM and Whatsapp contacts, enough is enough!!


December 2014: Nigeria stooped to the lowest of all lows to invite Chad, one of the poorest countries in the world to fight Boko haram.
Since their arrival, the Nigerian army under Jonathan's failed leadership has made unprecedented gains in a short time.


November 2014, Jonathan shocked Nigerians with the news that Boko haram has taken control of 16 towns in 9 LGA’s the height of incompetence in balkanizing the Nigerian state, a week later, Nigerians were blown away by series of austerity measures handed to them for their stupidity in 2011.

The naira was devalued at the pretext of drop in oil prices but Nigerians never asked why the Naira never appreciated when the oil price was increasing?
If the foreign reserve were not stolen, Nigeria would have weathered the storm for at least 6 months like we did during the global melt down of 2004 and 2008, unfortunately, the incompetence of the Jonathan administration has brought grave consequence on the Nigerian people, Inflation and high cost of energy are likely consequences. oh! there is fuel shortages already as we speak.

According to Will Ross of the BBC “He said he hoped a parliamentary investigation would also find out why the country's Excess Crude Account had fallen from $11.5bn to under $2.5bn in a year - arguing that Nigeria's savings are a vital buffer against any drop in the global oil price and without this "rainy day" account, the economy is vulnerable and exposed.

October 2014; Ladies and Gentlemen, the President of the Federal republic of Nigeria uses a militant Asari Dokubo for black market gun running, evident from the grounding and seizure of over $10m by the South African authorities.
September, 2014, The Nigerian Government admitted ferrying over $10m in a private jet for arms procurement, where do we draw the line between money laundering and arms procurement? I asked myself about the recent helos that was delivered by Russia recently if it was purchased in the same manner, agree with me or not, Jonathan is neck deep not just in corruption but money laundering.

August 2014: As a result of the unabated corruption in the Nigerian Military, Mutiny of July gave rise to Boko haram declaring a caliphate on Nigerian Soil, Gentlemen and Ladies, Jonathan Has once again made a history of Incompetence. Never in the history of Nigeria have we ceded territories to bandits.


July 2014: saw a president who went to sleep while neighboring West African countries battled with the Ebola virus, his negligence paid off when Patrick Sawyer brought the deadly virus to Nigeria unabated. Since August 2012, when the Ebola outbreak began, The Nigerian govt had no single emergency response plan in place.
$11m emergency fund and N480m budgeted for the control of infectious diseases in the 2013 budget never got to the Lagos state government, the Nigerian Ebola Epicenter.
Still in June, we saw the worst abuse of his Royal majesties powers when he barred APC Governors from attending a rally in Ekiti state with soldiers, meanwhile Boko Haram is still having a field day in the North.
The senate revealed to Nigerians how the president Mis appropriated over 685b kerosene subsidy fund


May 2014: [/b]left us with this shocking statement
“Jonathan, who was asked to comment on the allegations of corrupt practices leveled against some of his ministers, had said that nobody was above mistakes and that if he were to be acting based on reports on each of them, “no one will stay for more than six months in office.” [b]Mere stealing we call corruption"

Still in the same month after the corrupt tales of embezzlement and diversion of military budget, the clueless one finally offered Amnesty to a terrorist group, the first of its kind, in the world.
An Indication that the Jonathan’s administration is run by a den of thieves.

April 2014: reminded us the climax of Jonathan’s administration where he went on a jamboree while book haram held over 200 young girls, hostage,
April never ended before the Dizeani madueke’s 10billion naira scam reached a climax.

March 2014: just before the centenary celebration where Abacha of all people was a beneficiary, scores of Innocent school children were murdered in Adamawa sate.

Feb 2014: saw the illegal suspension of the CBN Gov.at a time the nation was in dire need of foreign direct investment, the Kidnap of the president’s foster father is a realistic score card on his strides on security.
January 2014, a presidential committee was set up to investigate the October scandal of stella odua who came with a guilty verdict, yet she kept her job.

December 2013: ushered the yuletide of Obasanjo’s “before it is too late”, several corruption allegations and the extremism of the Jonathan’s administration, the impunity of plundering the people’ s common wealth and the tenacity of talking drums like Abati who have earned a reputation in insulting the sensibilities of Nigerians.10 bullet proof vehicles purchased by DICON for its top brass

November 2013: the CBN Governor raised an alarm that under Jonathan’s watch, the NNPC diverted $49billion dollars, fellow Nigerians, are we not tired of condoning corruption?

October 2013: ushered a month of corruption coronation in Jonathan’s camp, where the Aviation minister coerced the NCAA to purchase 2 fairly used armored 2008 BMW to the tune of $800,000 each.

September 2013: President Jonathan took a record breaking 600 men entourage for the UN General assembly in New york

August 2013: After the billions of dollars spent in revamping the nation’s airports, skytrax world airport ranking for Africa showed Nigeria didn’t make it to top 10 in Africa neither did it make it top 100th place in the world. Whereas Ethiopia and Mauritania made it to position 9th and 8th respectively, what a shame.

July 2013: transparency international rated Nigeria as the 8th most corrupt country in the world.

June 2013: World Bank appraised him thus;

“Nevertheless, improvements in social welfare indicators have been much slower than would be expected in the context of this growth. Poverty reduction and job creation have not kept pace with population growth, implying social distress for an increasing number of Nigerians. Progress toward the fulfillment of many of the Millennium Development Goals has been slow, and the country ranked 153 out of 186 countries in the 2013 United Nations Human Development Index” the World Bank said.



May 2013: The president after wasting tax payer’s money on an entourage as long as the third mainland bridge went sleeping while his foreign affairs minister represented him in his presence during the AU summit in Addis ababa.
Just outside President Goodluck Jonathan's office sat 17 ambulances, just in case he or one of his aides fell ill. They were seldom if ever used.

No actual health-care facility nationwide had as many, and in fact a few still have none at all. But as soon as a Nigerian newspaper took a photo of the ambulances and published a story about them, they suddenly disappeared -- probably to an underground garage.

March, 2013: we witnessed the height of moral bankruptcy when Mr President granted presidential pardon to the biggest criminal in the history of our democracy, Alamesigha to prepare him for a senatorial seat.

February 2013: amidst the short fall in crude prices, the president smuggled into the 2013 budget a 2bn appropriation fund for the office of the first lady

February 2013: the office of the presidency denied vehemently that the first lady was on vacation in Germany only for them to organize a survival party with tax payer’s money. Is this the kind of leader you want to hold to his words?

In January 2013: the erst while madam due process and former minister for education challenged the charlatans of jonathans’ administration to a debate on accountability of $67b as expected, honorable cowards and pen thieves, absconded as usual


November 2012: President Jonathan approved 2.2bn naira for the construction of a banquet hall in the villa. At a time our debt profile was all time high

As commander in chief, he stood dumb while a military helicopter was used for "kabu-kabu" at oronto douglas father’s burial that error in judgment alone claimed the life of a sitting Governor. and the most brilliant NSA Nigeria has ever produced.

October 2012: blatantly refusing to appeal the ICJ’s decision on ceding bakassi, thereby throwing Millions of Bakkasi indigenes into pandemonium

refusing to cut down on foreign trips and cost of Governance, contrary to his Nationwide address of 7th Jan 2012.


October 2012: Mr president’s administration spent 1.5 billion to patch the 3rd mainland bridge, 4 months later, triple of that amount was expended again on maintenance alone, Talk about waste and incompetence

August 2012 : He said our foreign reserve is 42billion usd , is that not only on iweala's notepad?
How can you have external debt of 48bn usd and come home to deceive us that we have reserves?
How much services that 48bn plus interest annually? Nearly 25% of 48bn.


August 2012: Under his watch militants earn 10% of the Nation's revenue, $22.5m, $9m and $12.5m for tompolo, Ateke and Asari as national honors.

He twisted facts during the Independence Day speech on his fight on corruption, in contrast to what the transparency international claimed.
By august 2012, 2012 budget implementation was just 13%

over 5, ooo Nigerian lives gone, Mr president is still trading words and negotiating with boko haram, we remain grateful that a quasi state of emergency came to be, at least I cant imagine an SOE where the State Govs sit tight to control state funds while the FG fight their battle.

July 2012: its 3yrs gone and he is yet to commission from scratch a new power plant worst still fired the only human being in his cabinet who knows his onions in the power sector.

July 2012: Mr President earned a congratulatory message for implementing local content policy by importing 200 luxury brands at the cost of over 13.5 million each for a 4 day first ladies summit. While our manufacturing industries beg for patronage.

June 2012: Almost all teaching hospitals in Nigeria have no functional dialysis machine, the most sought of this equipment cost just 5m naira. Statistics has it that more than 60,000 Nigerians die yearly of a kidney related ailment, however, he jets out with his cohorts to seek medical help elsewhere.

ferma is seriously patching federal highways with a budget of over 80 billion naira, there is no coordination between, the MND, NDDC and Federal ministry of works on road maintenance, same contract is awarded over and over before the job is done.

JUNE 2012: Under his watch, the giant of oil and gas reserves is undergoing its worst energy crisis in the world.

tanker drivers alone can cripple his supply network as they wish not to talk of ordinary Niger republic coming to our rescue via imports.

In case you have not heard, Nigeria is very close to Afghanistan on security progress under Jonathan's watch.

June 2012: Education is in crisis. With adult literacy at 57 per cent, overall illiteracy at 66 per cent and more than 10 million out of the 30 million children of primary school age not in school, no serious government should be comfortable. When 40 million adults in a population of 170 million are illiterate, the country is ranked 161 out of 180 countries in the United Nations Comparative Index of Literacy 2012, and has an unemployment rate of 23.7 per cent,
it’s no longer news that only 26% of school leavers gain admission into the universities and only 5% are employed after school thanks to ASUU’s 6 months strike.

June 2012: Mr president’s economic blind men have blessed us with all time high of 37.5% inflation though his mickey mouse cbn governor is still claiming 28%, wondering what he will be claiming now that all bankers are at home, naira devalued, unemployment on the rise etc He still maintains a single digit inflation on paper, I dey laugh.


Mr president is the only Nigerian president that has not initiated a successful programme even Abacha did better with ptf while IBB with FSP and MAMSA, Mr president is still confused with ''YOU WIN''and SURE-P, with zero benefit to the Nigerian people.
on that same vein, Nigeria has the second record high job cuts within the last 2yrs, if in doubt ask the bankers and manufacturing industries.
before his ascension into power, the naira was in a sorry state of 150 to 1 dollar today, Jonathan has handed us an unstable 182 to 1 dollar

June 2012: The dana crash is a testimony that Mr president’s aviation is comatose, not even the attorney general could challenge the allegations of the dana staff in court, in a national disaster of that magnitude?
The girl could have served as a prime witness in a class action against dana
Less than 6months of inconclusive investigations, DANA air hit the Tarmac again.

Still on military, Nigeria has the most under educated junior military officers, before you ask how, Mr president is too lazy to ask him self why imo with highest national examination enrollments still have the least NDA and police academy enrollments, while borno and zamfara as educationally less privileged, have higher quota than Delta and Anambra put together in military enrollments. Nepotism and corruption at its best
Mr President is the only head of state in the world whose wife is a ministry of its own.



January 2012: Under Mr president’s watch, a 250bilion subsidy programme rose to 2 trillion naira yet no arrest, no conviction, no sack, the best miserable Nigerians could get was an AWOL attorney general after 7days of protests. Height of incompetence and corruption.

Mr President is the only president in the world whose parliament gulps 75% of the national budget as alleged by the CBN Gov. yet they still soak themselves in $625m bribery scandal.
Jonathan has not even initiated let alone fulfilling a single campaign promises except the one that he needs to surround himself with brain dead women in his cabinet.


Nigerians say thank you Sir, for your 6 wasted years of leadership.

VOTE PRESIDENT PROMISE JONATHAN AT YOUR OWN RISK!! AFTER VOTING HIM, DON'T COMPLAIN WHEN YOU VACATE YOUR DUPLEX TO LIVE IN A UNITED NATIONS PROVIDED TENT AS A RESULT OF INSECURITY.




Nawa! So all these things happened in Nigeria.

Ok na! It another time to decide, let us vote wisely!!!

1 Like

Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by ziccoit: 1:59pm On Mar 23, 2015
barcanista:
Buhari will make in-road in traditional GEJ's/PDP's stronghold but GEJ stand no chance in ALL pseudo APC stronghold according to vanguard. The problem of one sided and warped analysis that is the product of a Lazy journalist that wouldn't care to do little research nor follow both history and trend. APC will be shocked in the SW.

There is going to be no shock anywhere for APC in SW. Protest vote against APC in SW, if there is going to be something like that will mean people who would have voted APC would sit at home instead of going out to vote PDP/GEJ. You people don't know how much people loath the name GEJ. This is not 2011. GEJ is going to lose arms down in SW. I give in average of 35% there.
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by Nobody: 2:09pm On Mar 23, 2015
i disagree with ondo,plateau and rivers. Y? The people of plateau rather die than voting a muslim(i served der), buhari will almost win ondo cos jonathan is not popular dere at all(my state) abd buhari will get more than 35percent,fine jonathan may win due to ethnic bigotry but for bayelsa oooo,jonathan will win and buhari will get more than 5percent
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by duwdu: 2:09pm On Mar 23, 2015
aperture11:
Lagos too close to call. I am so laughing. Saturday is very close

My sentiments as well.

P34c3
.....
...
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by kay29000(m): 2:13pm On Mar 23, 2015
saintikechi:



Call buhari, he is a one minute man, he is good in losing elections, even in bed.

lol! Funny dude. I hope u will still be smiling on Sunday when the winner is announced.
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by Obinnapat(m): 2:17pm On Mar 23, 2015
jpphilips:



The South east have been a battle ground for political mischief over the years. Another election is around the corner and the power brokers are at it again, needless to mention the need for the actors and spectators to harmonize political interest.

It is no longer news that the subterfuge of President Jonathan has not only eroded reasoning but have equally failed logic of the average south easterner. Once is a while when the music gets to a crescendo, we pause to relieve our breath.

In many quarters of ignorance, however unimpressed pundits like us felt about Jonathan's presidency, a scan through of his touted achievements is a proof that the south easterners are living in denial.

ROADS:


Funny how Nigerians still bask in the euphoria of development when administrators at State and Federal levels resurface roads, this obligatory stride is magnified to an insulting proportion especially when it becomes a campaign slogan for politicians.

The South Eastern states in focus is made up of Imo, Anambra, Enugu and Ebonyi states, to travel from Imo to Anambra presents the Owerri-Onitsha road as the most plausible federal route option, no doubt, this road is resurfaced today, however,most South easterners are oblivious of the fact that the resurfacing of that road stems its history from OBJ through Yaradua but completed with Jonathan, however encouraging that may sound, I still ask, is there any other federal route apart from that one?
Anambra to Enugu is left with Onitsha to Enugu (in terrible shape by the way) and Enugu to Abakiliki through Enugu - Ph express way another death trap.

Based on the above facts, Jonathan has alienated two states out of four in the South east by virtue of terrible federal roads, the funny part is that the Enugu - Onitsha alternative is a state road which seems to be in a better shape than the federal road, never mind that the so called roads awaiting to be resurfaced by the Jonathan's administration were created by the military, mostly northerners by extension. Till date, Jonathan is yet to create a second federal route that will connect the South eastern states.



TRANSPORTATION:

Two significant events reshaped Jonathan's stewardship in the last 5yrs, upgrading of the existing Akanu Ibiam airport to international status and the repair of the Portharcourt to Enugu rail routes.
Each time I look at the average Igbo man and how this two projects would have changed his life forever, I cannot but pray for the igbo man to wake up from his slumber.

The Akanu Ibiam international airport sure will open the South east to the world, Ethiopian airlines is licensed to operate that route for now, I always wonder where Orji Uzor kalu and Authur Eze two Igbo sons that are stake holders in the aviation sector dissolved to when that license was granted? bearing in mind that Nigeria has no national carrier. I may not know whether or not they have the capacity to go international but the recent Skytrax rating of our "face me I face you" airport calls for serious concern.
After all the hype, noise and billions in resources spent, this Jonathan's Greek gift neither made it to the first 800 in the world neither did it make the 100 place in Africa, while poor Kenya made the 9th position in Africa, is this what the Igbos really deserve?.

President Jonathan's rail project was the biggest slap on the Igbos for those who understand the dynamics of the South east economy. If strategically positioned would have been the game changer for the Igbos in generations to come.
There are two economic hubs in South east Nigeria, Onitsha and Nnewi both in Anambra state. While Nnewi is drawing its blood from its robust manufacturing base, Onitsha is pulling its weight from it robust FOREX and importation strong holds.

Bearing in mind that whatever affects Onitsha easily affects Nnewi owing to their geographic proximity, I will beam my search light on Onitsha.
During the rail projects, I was expecting that President Jonathan being a lover of Igbos like he claimed would have prioritized APAPA to Onitsha rail route.

As I type, this route is non existent, meanwhile, this is the only route that would have been the economic game changer in the South East.
The absence of a rail line on this route is the reason Benin-ore road, Ore-Lagos routes don't last due to the intense, unabated use of heavy duty truck carrying containers on this route, cement distributors like Ibeto, Dangote and Lafarge have equally contributed to her woes.

During a field trip in the south east, a container cleared in APAPA enroute Onitsha will cost 400,000 naira on haulage alone, sundry expenditures could pull between 650k to 700k off the importer depending on the consignment, considering the nature of the road (especially the ore-Lagos route), there is a 50% chance the container will not arrive its destination, Jonathan the false Igbo messiah ran to the already existing PH-Enugu route, a route whose economic relevance stemmed from the days of the British, when coal was ferried from Enugu and exported through Portharcourt to do a quick fix for vain glory.
In other words, the president failed to connect one of Africa's busiest ports with West Africa's biggest market and igbos saw nothing wrong with that.

In 2011, Jonathan made a promise to South easterners that he will do a second Niger bridge (the latest victim of heavy duty haulage from Lagos to the east) 4yrs on, the Igbos are satisfied that the project is still at the pilling stage.


According to them, they said that Jonathan appointed the first Igbo chief of army staff, but immediately I ask, has the NDA and the Direct Short service quota for the SE increased? they hardly wait to give me an answer. Does it mean that a group of supposed intelligent and industrious people barely know where their interest lie?


ELECTRICITY

While I was expecting the SE to demand justice for the way interstate (a friend of the president by the way) muscled away viable competitors who had the capacity to turn around their power woes during the sale of EEDC, it never harped on the South easterners that Jonathan's administration did a great disservice to them. Do they care?

Not until Jonathan proposed a coal power plant for kogi state (Enugu's closest neighbor), a 1,200MW coal power plant in Itobe Kogi state, the project is expected to come alive in 2018, tell me, between Enugu (the coal city state) and Itobe Kogi state, who deserves a coal power plant?

If any Igbo man answers this question, I will have no need to continue this expose.


ECONOMY


Often times we wonder; who is the loser in Jonathan's abysmal handling of the economy? ans: South East.

The PDP strategy:

PDP before now has a way to keep the people happy in suffering, if asked, you will say that Nigeria is a near tax free nation but is it really true?
Jonathan's government knows that Nigeria is an import based economy and there is need to allow the pitiable manufacturing base to grow, so instead of taxing consumer goods at point of consumption, they are taxed at point of entry.

This strategy is the reason why most Igbo businesses have failed in recent times. Ask yourself, how many developing countries in the world do you pay duty higher than the cost of purchase especially cars? or does duty not qualify as a form of taxation?

In Jonathan's government, economic maneuvers with grave consequences are not meant to be mentioned:
Increase in pump price is called Subsidy removal.
Increase in taxation is called FIRS receipt etc, with such gimmicks the average Igbo man hardly realizes that Jonathan is his biggest economic

Nightmare.

Pay attention to these excerpt in the 2015 budget:






In an economy with high unemployment rate here is what Iweala is proposing for 2015 and they are keeping it quiet now because of elections.



What it means for the Igbo man is that 2015 will not be business as usual, even though you are deceived to vote as usual, Igbos should expect very high duty this year which will make your goods expensive hence lower your patronage, this is Jonathan's Greek gift for your 2015 patronage at the polls.

It is no longer news that 1 US dollar is exchanging for 225 naira under Jonathan, what it means to an average Igbo man is that if your 40ft container is worth $60,000 (9.3m naira) you will need 13.5m to order the same 40ft container you just bought last year. At the port, Jonathan will send you another message through Iweala, and if you don't have 4.2m to complete the balance, you better go back to your village or better still collect his fertilizer to start farming, or worse still, apply for a traffic warden job like he has proposed. God help you if you have kids studying abroad, Jonathan's incompetence has increased their tuition by 40%. These are the economic realities facing the South Easterner however ugly it presents itself.
Meanwhile, while Jonathan is draining your capital, he has not made any attempt whatsoever to cut down on the largess going on in Government, evidenced by his unwillingness to fight corruption.
Under Goodluck, Anambra state lost it's bid to being an oil producing state.

How can a group of hardworking legitimate people be scared of Buhari? the thieves are scared, the undisciplined is scared, what are you scared of?


ENERGY:

Since 2004, no South Easterner can boast of buying any petroleum product at the government approved rate always, while the Govt approved rate is 97naira, south easterners buy between 110-115 naira, have you guys bothered to ask why? Ans; Enugu Depot is not working.

This is how it works, Petrol used in Enugu, Ebonyi, and Anambra come from either Portharcourt or Warri, if the right thing is done, it is supposed to be coming from the Enugu depot, the increased transport fare (tanker hire) will be added to the products so it hardly sells for the Govt approved rate.

Now you know, for a pretty long time, you guys have suffered this and Govt after Govt including Jonathan your beloved didn't care as much as OBJ never cared, do you know what the problem is ?

There is a pipeline section at Okigwe, it is not like the whole pipeline have to be replaced but just the Okigwe section, that is the Genesis of your suffering. I am yet to understand the zombie follower ship Jonathan has in the South East, South- South his father land has already dropped him like a hot object (Rivers and Bayelsa), what is the SE waiting for?

According to Patrick Obahiagbon " there is no reason for Nigerians to pontificate the faucet origo of a presidential aspirant" whatever that means grin grin.

There is an Igbo adage that says that the Local dog follows a man with running stomach with the hope that if he doesn't vomit, he will defecate, so far, Jonathan as the man with the running stomach has refused to defecate nor Vomit, it is mind bugling why the South easterners are following him about.






Gbagan! Eye opener! I have decided to vote wisely for a better Nigeria!
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by yayankainuwa: 3:03pm On Mar 23, 2015
kasiem:
I think this represents a better analysis than that of punch. But seriously I don't see the president loosing any of the states he won in last election. This time I see Niger and jigawa states adding to the improvements gej will make

may b ur dreaming, Buhari comfortably won these states in 2011, when he ws in CPC wz less political tentacles, his chances hv increased wz ppl desire for change n security breaches particularly boko haram factor against GEJ . The incumbent Niger governor's performance is more on paper than reality as its being speculated, I can bet my last dime GMB will win these states wz over 70%.
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by emmajabah: 3:10pm On Mar 23, 2015
I have read a lot of responses to this election forcast . Most of the contributors,i observe are driven by sentiments, and not realities on the ground. Three newspapers ( ie Punch, Vanguard and The Nation ) are almost unanimous in their prediction. Note that these media houses have their men on ground in every state in Nigeria who feed them with reports on happenings in their areas of coverage. So their predictions are based on first hand assessment of the mood of voters in their domain.

The verdict of three media houses are more reliable than individual biased opinions of majority of Naira landers

2 Likes

Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by Wahala90: 3:22pm On Mar 23, 2015
Wait n see!

Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by babz11(m): 3:24pm On Mar 23, 2015
if u call urself a big tree, we are small axes ready to cut u down. We all want change PDPs bware!!!
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by popson1(m): 4:09pm On Mar 23, 2015
PassingShot:
The summary of this is given below:

PDP is projected to win in 13 states: Anambra, Ebonyi, Imo, Enugu, Abia, Delta, Bayelsa, Cross River, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, Ondo, Benue and Taraba

APC is projected to win in 16 states: Ogun, Osun, Oyo, kwara, Niger, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, Kebbi, Zamfara, Sokoto, Bauchi, Gombe, Yobe and Borno.

The following states (eight) are too close to call: Edo, Lagos, Benue, Plateau, Ekiti, Nasarawa, Adamawa and I will add FCT in the list.

Going by this analysis, GMB will win the election on the following facts:

1. He is expected to record outright win in 16 states while GEJ should win outrightly in 13 states.

2. The states GMB is projected to win have more votes than GEJ's states.

3. Even if GEJ wins all the eight too-close-to-call states, GMB will record at least 40% of the votes there. The win margin for GEJ (assuming he wins all of them) will be very narrow because they are states that can be won by either of them.

4. With six of the eight toss-up states marginally won by GEJ (big assumption), his total states won will be 19 (13+6) while GMB wins in 18 states with additional 40% to 50%% in the spring states. The implication of this scenario is that GMB will record more popular votes and will have equally secured more than 25% in 2/3 of the 36 states of the federation (i.e wins in 16 states, 40%-50% in 8 states, and at least 25% in Imo, Rivers, Ondo and Taraba which are projected for GEJ's win).

Therefore, however it turns out in the too-close-to-call states, GMB will be declared the president based on more popular votes.
Sound judgement! Sai Buhari!!!

1 Like

Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by Jorussia(m): 4:12pm On Mar 23, 2015
md4u2:
pls speak on what u no, apc cannt win governorship seat in Edo again....nor to talk of presidential election...u liar
I guess you don't reside in Benin. I am not a card carrying member of APC, but,base on the current massive grass root campaign that is currently be done by the gov for GMB, I am 100% certain that GMB will win Edo comfortably. Let's patiently wait for Saturday.
Re: Jonathan Vs Buhari: How They Stand In 36 States, FCT - VANGUARD by beetruth: 4:20pm On Mar 23, 2015
Can these analysts stop fooling GMB. Who in his right mind will assume osun will route for aregbe. Have u even seen a labourer ever supporting a wicked slave driver. Pls go to any market in osun and sample opinions generally. APC will be shocked with this civil servant state.

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