3 things that surprised me:

1 . The votes Ribadu got from the southwest. Then why the rumour of Tinubu sell out?

2 . More than 5 millions votes from the North West and the North East for Jonathan . Then why the hatred for the North? Why did he allow Boko Haram to fester? Why the christization of Nigeria?

3. Buhari total vote in the southwest with little or no political structure.

ojaydedon:



true talk...
aPC guys dnt really understand the politics been played..
Those supporting gej in the north has always supported him...
Its just the westerners been involved in the matter now...

But GEJ will still get alot of votes from the west..
And it wunt be suprising if he gets more votes in the west than gmb

Look at the voting pattern of the SW in 2007 and 2011. Look the number of votes that AC could pull for Ribadu in 2011 despite having Fola Adeola as running mate. If you live in the SW you will know that the AC/APC has even had a dip in political fortune. In 2012 they were rejected in Ondo despite their media noise. LP won the Governorship and Oke(PdP) was runner up. In ekiti we all witnessed how APC lost woefully despite having Governor incumbent, 3 Senators, All but one Reps and All members of state house of Assembly that were elected in 2011. In Osun they had everything but marginally won. The record is there.
Is it Oyo that all their members are running to Accord and PDp(note both parties are pro-GEJ) or is it in Ogun that their National Assembly members, Deputy Governor, and some Political Appointees left them for SDP(Another GEJ supporters)? I tell you that Buhari will score more votes than what he usually have but he will fall behind GEJ in SW. You need struxture on ground to mobilise votes, no be by noisemaking or twitter.

barcanista:
Look at the voting pattern of the SW in 2007 and 2011. Look the number of votes that AC could pull for Ribadu in 2011 despite having Fola Adeola as running mate. If you live in the SW you will know that the AC/APC has even had a dip in political fortune. In 2012 they were rejected in Ondo despite their media noise. LP won the Governorship and Oke(PdP) was runner up. In ekiti we all witnessed how APC lost woefully despite having Governor incumbent, 3 Senators, All but one Reps and All members of state house of Assembly that were elected in 2011. In Osun they had everything but marginally won. The record is there.
Is it Oyo that all their members are running to Accord and PDp(note both parties are pro-GEJ) or is it in Ogun that their National Assembly members, Deputy Governor, and some Political Appointees left them for SDP(Another GEJ supporters)? I tell you that Buhari will score more votes than what he usually have but he will fall behind GEJ in SW. You need struxture on ground to mobilise votes, no be by noisemaking or twitter.

lol...
Apc... Noise makers..
Structure matters alot than media though media is also important...

APC focuses on media.. And think by having most of the opinion polls in their favour, they
have won the election..

They will be shocked..

luvmijeje:
3 things that surprised me:

1 . The votes Ribadu got from the southwest. Then why the rumour of Tinubu sell out?

2 . More than 5 millions votes from the North West and the North East for Jonathan . Then why the hatred for the North? Why did he allow Boko Haram to fester? Why the christization of Nigeria?

3. Buhari total vote in the southwest with little or no political structure.

Contrary to rumors, there was nothing like sell out in the SW by then ACN. The party NEVER campaigned for GEJ but Ribadu. It was the PDP's Structure in SW that mobilised for GEJ. The structure is still in tact(and more has even be added). ACN won the governorship because of several facors.

2. Jonathan is not hating on any north. Truth be told the majority muslim northern polutation in NW and NE voted for Buhari, the majority 30-35%(or 40%) Christian population voted for Jonathan. Among the Northern Christians, Buhari's image is not favorable and has always been like that since 2003. The NC has always been PDP's stronghold. GEJ fought BH but GMB was complaining that ND Militants weren't fought with brute force forgeting that BH is terrorist group while Militants of ND aren't.

3. GMB support in the South West(without AC) has always been poor. However, AC has never won the SW in ANY Presidential election despite fielding in two elections and having 3 incumbents SW Governors in 2011. As at now, they have even lost in fortune.

barcanista:
firstly, you can only "RIG" where you are popular. As for SE/SS for you to say that GEJ's votes will shrink, it shows that you are yet to come to reality.

you are actually the one yet to come to reality. Have you forgotten that APC now has its tentacles in SE? They have imo state and also top politicians in other SE states, which wasn't the case in 2011. So, the SE won't be all GEJ, though he would win the region but GMB will have his desired 25%.

Stop acting like they aren't APC supporters in Igbo land. It makes it seem like all ibos exhibit the herd mentality

barcanista:
As for the SW, I will come back here on Sunday/Monday to do the analysis and voting pattern when GEJ carries SW.

you sometimes forget that it's the yorubas that got GEJ to the seat of power(occupy nigeria) and are thesame people that started the campaign against his corrupt government. It's so funny hhowyou believe GEJ will win SW when the region is not known to support corrupt governments. How can they support such when they have a better option that fields their son as VP against a party that marginalised them?

barcanista:
The funny thing about SW is that contrary to what APC are saying there are 3 groups ammong the Yoruba population. Group one will vote for GEJ, Group two will vote for GMB, while Group three will not participate in the Presidential election because they believe in non of them. Group one and two at present are going neck to neck with GEJ being at advantage.

I can see that it's almost month end and you really have to earn your pay.

The group 1 includes the corrupt buruji, fayose, mimiko, gani adams and those who are really benefiting from this corrupt government. So sad for you that they are few.

Group 2 are actually the true yorubas who want change and have giving buhari the mantle of leadership. So sad for you that they are very large

Group3, which is a group that exists in every region, whether you like it or not, has been reduced to its barest minimum over the past week due to GEJ's desperation, where he used a non-partisan group (OPC) that yorubas use to be proud of to disrupt the peace of yoruba land. Asides that, his bribing of Obas really angered the average yoruba man, cos they felt insulted by his thought of having the Obas who don't wield any power over their subjects help him persuade them to vote for him over Osinbajo.

Remember what awujale told him. Also, the scammers called Obas in osun state recently denied endorsing GEJ

barcanista:
But what will finally seal the fate of GMB is the 30-35% votes of non indigens in the SW(majorly the Igbo population).

remember majority of them are already travelling home for easter or perhaps fleeing.

Once again, you have successfully labelled Ibos as people who possess the herd mentality, who can't think for themselves. Sorry to disappoint you, APC is getting the reasonable ones in its bag, which are the educated ones who aren't bigoted. Have you ever seen polling booth bullying in the SW before?

barcanista:

Believe me bro, Jonathan Shall Lead Again! For the NC that one is no go area.

I don't blame you.

Do anything to get paid this month end.

[s]

egift:
1. Since 2011, a lot has changed.
2. Nigerians are now aware of the incompetence of Jonathan.
3. Unlike 2011, APC have a wider and stronger political structures than CPC.
4. More voters, politicians, international communities now embrace the candidacy of Buhari.
5. The 2015 Campaign of Buhari is better funded and has been issue based, unlike Jonathan who spent more attacking the person of Buhari.
6. Buhari has penetrated Jonathan's primary stronghold, while Jonathan has lost ground in where GMB's base.
7. Nigerians are not happy with how things have been handled under Jonathan. Everyone wants Change. Apart from improvements in few places, we can't see any transformation in Jonathan's cosmetics.
8. Buhari has better understanding to the problems facing Nigerian. Untill 2015 New Year Message, Jonathan never accepted Corruption was a big problem.
9. Buhari and his Team have ran a better Presidential Campaign than Jonathan, even with smaller fund. Same thing to expect in the incoming administration.

Therefore this 2015, it is Mathematically impossible for Buhari to lose.

Sai Buhari.

[/s]

barcanista:
firstly, you can only "RIG" where you are popular. As for SE/SS for you to say that GEJ's votes will shrink, it shows that you are yet to come to reality. As for the SW, I will come back here on Sunday/Monday to do the analysis and voting pattern when GEJ carries SW. The funny thing about SW is that contrary to what APC are saying there are 3 groups ammong the Yoruba population. Group one will vote for GEJ, Group two will vote for GMB, while Group three will not participate in the Presidential election because they believe in non of them. Group one and two at present are going neck to neck with GEJ being at advantage. But what will finally seal the fate of GMB is the 30-35% votes of non indigens in the SW(majorly the Igbo population).

Believe me bro, Jonathan Shall Lead Again! For the NC that one is no go area.

This guy is a clown that shouldn't be taken serious. The reality will down on you when the result is released.

[

quote author=barcanista post=32052252] Contrary to rumors, there was nothing like sell out in the SW by then ACN. The party NEVER campaigned for GEJ but Ribadu. It was the PDP's Structure in SW that mobilised for GEJ. The structure is still in tact(and more has even be added). ACN won the governorship because of several facors.

Hold it! What PDP structure? How come the structure didn't win the governorship election or even won one senatorial seat in Lagos? Jonathan won because we all thought he would be different, well he has prove us wrong.

2. Jonathan is not hating on any north. Truth be told the majority muslim northern polutation in NW and NE voted for Buhari, the majority 30-35%(or 40%) Christian population voted for Jonathan. Among the Northern Christians, Buhari's image is not favorable and has always been like that since 2003. The NC has always been PDP's stronghold. GEJ fought BH but GMB was complaining that ND Militants weren't fought with brute force forgeting that BH is terrorist group while Militants of ND aren't.

Are you saying out of the 5 millions votes Jonathan got from the Northeast and the North West majority are from the Northerner's Christian. That's the shit that brings Jonathan on his knees begging foolishly.

3. GMB support in the South West(without AC) has always been poor. However, AC has never won the SW in ANY Presidential election despite fielding in two elections and having 3 incumbents SW Governors in 2011. As at now, they have even lost in fortune.

I know you're intelligent than this. So AC=APC.

Bulganizer is doing the work of his paymaster...EVEN realFFK, reuben abati, doyinokupe, Pdpnigeria have all went AWOL on twitter.

barcadtsta is here doinng his usual thing...SMH

[s]

MzJackBaueress:
March 28 will be a shocker. I see GMB cruising to victory.
What happened in 2011 wil never happen again.

Its Sai Buhari!

[/s]Akpara-ino. Ebot.

@Barcanista,So your prayer is that the Southwest will record a low turnout?.....That seems to be the foundation of your analysis. Is there something we need to know? Are the soldiers planning to suppress votes in the Southwest? Whats your take on the Ondo state Deputy defection to APC? ......Sai Barcanista the Analyst.

[s]

Rilwayn001:
Bulganizer is doing the work of his paymaster...EVEN realFFK, reuben abati, doyinokupe, Pdpnigeria have all went AWOL on twitter.

barcadtsta is here doinng his usual thing...SMH

[/s]

NDPVF:
[s][/s]

go check twitter to confirm

barcanista:
Contrary to rumors, there was nothing like sell out in the SW by then ACN. The party NEVER campaigned for GEJ but Ribadu. It was the PDP's Structure in SW that mobilised for GEJ. The structure is still in tact(and more has even be added). ACN won the governorship because of several facors.

if an ACN could win the region's gubernatorial elections, why do you think they couldn't capture a pinch of that same amount of votes in the presidential election? Have you forgotten about tinubu's flight to aso rock? Oh, you don't know he knew ribadu had no chance that's why he sold out to secure the region's states? Perhaps, you think PDP's phantom mobilisation made them win the presidential election and lost all the gubernatorial seats.
The Noise went round few days to the 2011 elections in SW was for people to vote for PDP in the presidential election cos they saw no hope in buhari and vote them out in the gubernatorial race. That noise came from tinubu who rejected a merger with CPC after the aso rock visit.

barcanista:
2. Jonathan is not hating on any north. Truth be told the majority muslim northern polutation in NW and NE voted for Buhari, the majority 30-35%(or 40%) Christian population voted for Jonathan. Among the Northern Christians, Buhari's image is not favorable and has always been like that since 2003. The NC has always been PDP's stronghold. GEJ fought BH but GMB was complaining that ND Militants weren't fought with brute force forgeting that BH is terrorist group while Militants of ND aren't.

haven't the christians up north also lost people to shekau?

So they'll still prefer to vote for the man who couldn't protect them because he's a christian that kneels before pagan obas and also ogbonis. Not everyone is a fool

barcanista:
3. GMB support in the South West(without AC) has always been poor. However, AC has never won the SW in ANY Presidential election despite fielding in two elections and having 3 incumbents SW Governors in 2011. As at now, they have even lost in fortune.

how can they win when they had only 3 governors in the whole nation? The people they fielded in both elections had no political structure as much as GMB enjoys now. No governors, senators, honourables, tentacles in all regions etc has GMB enjoys now. When GMB had no such support, he still pulled half of what an incumbent pulled. Imagine what will happen now that he.......



Pls accept reality

Segeggs:
you are actually the one yet to come to reality. Have you forgotten that APC now has its tentacles in SE? They have imo state and also top politicians in other SE states, which wasn't the case in 2011. So, the SE won't be all GEJ, though he would win the region but GMB will have his desired 25%.

Stop acting like they aren't APC supporters in Igbo land. It makes it seem like all ibos exhibit the herd mentality you sometimes forget that it's the yorubas that got GEJ to the seat of power(occupy nigeria) and are thesame people that started the campaign against his corrupt government. It's so funny hhowyou believe GEJ will win SW when the region is not known to support corrupt governments. How can they support such when they have a better option that fields their son as VP against a party that marginalised them? I can see that it's almost month end and you really have to earn your pay.

The group 1 includes the corrupt buruji, fayose, mimiko, gani adams and those who are really benefiting from this corrupt government. So sad for you that they are few.

Group 2 are actually the true yorubas who want change and have giving buhari the mantle of leadership. So sad for you that they are very large

Group3, which is a group that exists in every region, whether you like it or not, has been reduced to its barest minimum over the past week due to GEJ's desperation, where he used a non-partisan group (OPC) that yorubas use to be proud of to disrupt the peace of yoruba land. Asides that, his bribing of Obas really angered the average yoruba man, cos they felt insulted by his thought of having the Obas who don't wield any power over their subjects help him persuade them to vote for him over Osinbajo.

Remember what awujale told him. Also, the scammers called Obas in osun state recently denied endorsing GEJ remember majority of them are already travelling home for easter or perhaps fleeing.

Once again, you have successfully labelled Ibos as people who possess the herd mentality, who can't think for themselves. Sorry to disappoint you, APC is getting the reasonable ones in its bag, which are the educated ones who aren't bigoted. Have you ever seen polling booth bullying in the SW before?
I don't blame you.

Do anything to get paid this month end.

I am telling you with respect to the reality on ground and you are talking about your assumption. Buhari will not get up to 70,000 votes in SE( you see I am trying to be generous here) and his SS votes won't be up to 200,000(like I said I am being generous). In 2011 AC won Senatorial seat in Anambra(Ngige) but lost WOEFULLY in the same Senatorial district. In fact, the deportation done by Fashola sealed APC's fate in the SE (not to talk of other factors). Rochas won't help Buhari's cause, not even amaechi. If you understand politics of the SS and SE, Buhari will lose Woefully in Amaechi and Rochas polling Units and wards. Ogbonaya Onu since 2003 has not been able to win his ward or polling unit in Ebonyi for Buhari nor Shekarau. For the SW, I have said it repeatedly that APC will be floored. If you like call Bode George, Fayose, Daniel etc as rogues, the fact remains that they control certain political blocs. Call OPC as rogues or bastards, facts remains that Gani and Fasheun have their own followers. Call Ladoja a criminal, Osoba a convict or Akala a bleach, it won't change the fact that they control respective political blocs. Is it Mimiko and Oke?
The Problem with APC is that you take your assumption to be reality. So sad! With respect of Awujale, he said he won't endorse anybody because he won't be involved in politics. This I believe never mean "Buhari" is my man except the meaning of words has changed. Ooni endorsed GEJ publicly, some of his supporters will thumbprint for Goodluck for the sake of that endorsement. There are Yorubas that won't participate in the Presidential election. Osinbajo candidacy won't change anything even in his Ogn State. If that of Fola Adeola and Bakare never helped their party so much in 2011, nothing will change. The non indigens (about30-40%) will determine the SW region as they will come out en mass to vote and they seem to have their candidate- which we all know.

Jonathan Shall Lead Again>>>2019

There is no need for any unnecessary argument.

Tomorrow is around the corner, it will be like film trick as Buhari will triumph with a wide margin.

There is no need to bank on any past election result.

This is 2015.

#GMB is winning this time. no more, no less!

luvmijeje:
[

Hold it! What PDP structure? How come the structure didn't win the governorship election or even won one senatorial seat in Lagos? Jonathan won because we all thought he would be different, well he has prove us wrong.


Are you saying out of the 5 millions votes Jonathan got from the Northeast and the North West majority are from the Northerner's Christian. That's the shit that brings Jonathan on his knees begging foolishly.



I know you're intelligent than this. So AC=APC.

1. PDP in Lagos has always been divided since 2005 (between Koro Group and Bode George). Bode Group never supported Koro in 2007(they voted for Fash and Agbaje of DPA), while Koro Group never voted for Dosunmu in 2011. In 2007 and 2011, majority of South South and South Easterners living in Lagos Voted AC/ACN at Governorship level but Jonathan at Federal. But the story is different now. In Oyo and Ogun there was division in PDP at State level that led to the exit of the Party in the various government houses (See the Governorship results and margins in these states). However, at Federal level they have always spoken in one voice. Even the ACN votes in the SW region plus CPC wouldn't have given GMB victory. A divided Ekiti PdP in 2007(and 2009 re-run) gave AC Fayemi the Governorship but a united Ekiti PDP kicked him out in 2014. Check the Presidential result. LP has always been ally of PDP and it was easier for GEJ because Mimiko ably supported him in 2011. Mind you PDP has always been second best in Ondo since 2007 behind Labour (until now that they are First). AC/ANPP/CPC or whatever has always trailed .
This time Ogun PDp is united, ACN/APC had split with SDP taking virtually all prominent APC members. Both PDP and SDP in Ogun are pro-GEJ. In Oyo, Accord is the strongest with APC, SDP, Labour and PDP trailing. Accord, Labor, SDP and PdP are pro GEJ. PDP will lose Oyo Governorship(I'm predicting Accord) but GEJ will sweep Presidential vote.

2. I said "Majority" of GEJ's votes in NE and NW came from the Christian population. Of course some Muslims voted but their percentage among muslim population is low.

@ barcanista, it's less than 24hrs away. Let's wait and watch.

Segeggs:
if an ACN could win the region's gubernatorial elections, why do you think they couldn't capture a pinch of that same amount of votes in the presidential election? Have you forgotten about tinubu's flight to aso rock? Oh, you don't know he knew ribadu had no chance that's why he sold out to secure the region's states? Perhaps, you think PDP's phantom mobilisation made them win the presidential election and lost all the gubernatorial seats.
The Noise went round few days to the 2011 elections in SW was for people to vote for PDP in the presidential election cos they saw no hope in buhari and vote them out in the gubernatorial race. That noise came from tinubu who rejected a merger with CPC after the aso rock visit.
haven't the christians up north also lost people to shekau?

So they'll still prefer to vote for the man who couldn't protect them because he's a christian that kneels before pagan obas and also ogbonis. Not everyone is a fool

how can they win when they had only 3 governors in the whole nation? The people they fielded in both elections had no political structure as much as GMB enjoys now. No governors, senators, honourables, tentacles in all regions etc has GMB enjoys now. When GMB had no such support, he still pulled half of what an incumbent pulled. Imagine what will happen now that he.......



Pls accept reality

Tinubu never campaigned for GEJ in 2011, forget those rumors. I've always been following happenings and events. On why PDP lost Governorship but won SW Presidential, I have addressed (just look up)!

The same APC Governor incumbent that was roundly defeated in Ekiti? Political followers of the SW know what led to the exit of PDP in Ogun, Oyo (both 2011) and Ekiti(2009) government houses. The ACN couldn't win Lagos for Atiku in 2007 and Ribadu in 2011. The answer is "Politics is local". PDP won Kano Guber but CPC won the Presidential. CPC won Presidential in many northern states (NW and some NE) but only won One Governorship. Like I said, Politics is local! Different factors determines different outcome and influence voting pattern.

The greatest asset of AC/ACN and now ApC is noise. If you follow the process of 2007 and 2011 you will understand. Unfortunately, noisemaking has never made anybody President. The AC/ACN has never won the SW in the two previous Presidential election. This time won't be different. As for having incumbent Govs, Atiku was VP and had incumbent 8years Governor in his adamawa but couldn't even win Adamawa. He was roundly defeated by Buhari who had noo Governor. The same Buhari was defeated by GEJ in Adamawa state in 2011.

Political structure and not noisemaking or bragging wins election!

Jonathan Shall Lead Again

luvmijeje:
@ barcanista, it's less than 24hrs away. Let's wait and watch.

Of course! We just hope that some APC supporters won't cause trouble after GEJ has been declared winner. Well, Military has bEen ordered to Shoot at sight.

barcanista:
Of course! We just hope that some APC supporters won't cause trouble after GEJ has been declared winner. Well, Military has bEen ordered to Shoot at sight.

i will so laugh at u starting frm 2mao evening.

barcanista:

1. What has changed in the South in GMB's favor? Even in the north East and North West the 30-40% Christian population [/b]are yet to embrace Buhari. [b]The violence by his supporters in 2011 never helped matters..

2. In 2007 AC/ACN in partnership with renegade PDP led by Atiku and some Governors(Boni Haruna of Adamawa) couldn't secure the SW for Atiku neither could they win Adamawa State. Atiku only had a meagre 2million votes(compare with ribadu 2011), lost Adamawa despite having incumbent Governor. Buhari had incumbent Governors in Kano, Zamfara, Borno, Yobe but couldn't score up to 20% in the poll. He even lost in his Katsina and (I think KD). All the Noise of AC never materialised into votes for Atiku, neither did the ANPP noise. The so-called APC Governors will not make much effect.

3. Lol @ international support. Do they have PVC? Did international community support Yaradua in 2007 and Nantayahu in 2015? Or Mugabe of Zimbabwe?

4. Atiku spent money in 2007 but couldn't get up to 3million votes. Even Buhari that spent less had more votes than him. Note Atiku rode on Tinubu's struxture in the SW. Edo for instance voted Oshiomole in 2007 because of personality but voted Yaradua because of PDP structure at the Presidential level. Money without political structure is ZERO!

Like I said, nothing has changed for Buhari's favor.

Wow! You are SOOO DELUDED!!!!!!

What has changed in the south for GMB's favour? Did you really ask that with a straight face?
Did you really lie to yourself with a straight face?

Okay I will humour you? What has changed in the south?

(1) Last time Buhari's party (CPC) was basically a Northern party. This time he is APC, a national party with solid roots in the South west? Is that change?

(2) What has changed in the south. Last time, Edo, Rivers and Imo supported the PDP presidency! This time, they are FULLY SUPPORTING a GMB presidency. Is that change?

(3) In 2011, Jonathan recorded 1,381,357 [/b]votes in Imo state. But the total number of voters for the gubernatorial election in Imo was [b]750,964. If you have contrary data, I DARE YOU to present them. So you see another change? GEJ can not accumulate the magical votes he had in the south the last time. The card readers are there plus we all have fully updated records of the number of PVCs and estimates of voter turn-out! So no rigging for your god! Is that change?

Of course you know all these things, but you decide to deceive yourself so outrageously.

Look at the highlighted in your (1). NW & NE christian population is 30-40%?? Just how deluded are you on a scale of 1 to full-blown retard? Why don't you just increase it to 80%?? kai.
And you say they have not forgiven him for what his supporters did in 2011.
And I take it they have forgiven GEJ for what HE did in 2015, neglecting his major duty to protect them until elections came and he started shitting his pants.
Let me ask you a personal question (and I don't mean to pry). Are you married? Do you lie this much (even to yourself) in real-life or is this just your online persona? Because if this is you in real life, I would be very scared if I were your wife.

Now listen, wake up!!

Your god (GEJ) has and will be rejected by the Nigerian people because he has failed and he is a FAILURE!
GMB will trounce him in the SW and go on to win the elections and shut you guys up forever.

When this happens, I will troll you so bad with the words I have highlighted in RED.
If this doesn't happen, I give you the permission to do the same!

By Felicia!

barcanista:
Of course! We just hope that some APC supporters won't cause trouble after GEJ has been declared winner. Well, Military has bEen ordered to Shoot at sight.

you knw nothing abt south west Politics, Jonathan wining southwest is just fiction and not reality, Mind you, GMB shall win and I will make sure you deactivate ur acct.

barcanista:
I looking at the trend I doubt if the voting pattern in the SW, NE and NC will be anyway different from that of 2011. The only difference will be that Buhari will get more votes in SW and NC than he had in 2011 but Jonathan will still win the regions. The NW has been traditional Buhari slaughter ground except Kaduna where it is usually 51-49 in favore of Buhari(Thanks to the Southern Kaduna Christian Population). The election will come and go and Jonathan will again be re-elected. The Reality on ground favors him.

Ogbeni stop deceiving yourself. Nigerians are not gullible. you think 2015 is 2011?

stronger:


Wow! You are SOOO DELUDED!!!!!!

What has changed in the south for GMB's favour? Did you really ask that with a straight face?
Did you really lie to yourself with a straight face?

Okay I will humour you? What has changed in the south?

(1) Last time Buhari's party (CPC) was basically a Northern party. This time he is APC, a national party with solid roots in the South west? Is that change?

(2) What has changed in the south. Last time, Edo, Rivers and Imo supported the PDP presidency! This time, they are FULLY SUPPORTING a GMB presidency. Is that change?

(3) In 2011, Jonathan recorded 1,381,357 [/b]votes in Imo state. But the total number of voters for the gubernatorial election in Imo was [b]750,964. If you have contrary data, I DARE YOU to present them. So you see another change? GEJ can not accumulate the magical votes he had in the south the last time. The card readers are there plus we all have fully updated records of the number of PVCs and estimates of voter turn-out! So no rigging for your god! Is that change?

Of course you know all these things, but you decide to deceive yourself so outrageously.

Look at the highlighted in your (1). NW & NE christian population is 30-40%?? Just how deluded are you on a scale of 1 to full-blown retard? Why don't you just increase it to 80%?? kai.
And you say they have not forgiven him for what his supporters did in 2011.
And I take it they have forgiven GEJ for what HE did in 2015, neglecting his major duty to protect them until elections came and he started shitting his pants.
Let me ask you a personal question (and I don't mean to pry). Are you married? Do you lie this much (even to yourself) in real-life or is this just your online persona? Because if this is you in real life, I would be very scared if I were your wife.

Now listen, wake up!!

Your god (GEJ) has and will be rejected by the Nigerian people because he has failed and he is a FAILURE!
GMB will trounce him in the SW and go on to win the elections and shut you guys up forever.

When this happens, I will troll you so bad with the words I have highlighted in RED.
If this doesn't happen, I give you the permission to do the same!

By Felicia!

You forgot that Buhari has been contesting elections since 2003. In 2007 when he ran against Yaradua, he had 6 Governors that were with him. Yet, he got a meager 6.7 million votes.
In 2011 he lost out of favor with ANPP but polled his usual 12million votes that he polled against Christian candidate Obasanjo in 2003. For the Governorship, his CPC though winning popular votes up North could only win 1 State-Nasarawa. Note that GEJ won the same Nasarawa during the Presidential election.
As for SW Governors noisemakers, they couldn't deliver SW to Atiku in 2007(Note Atiku lost Lagos with Tinubu as incumbent) despite the noise. Then Governor of Adamawa Boni Haruna couldn't deliver Adamawa to Atiku Abubakar. In 2011 Fashola/Tinubu and Fayemi couldn't deliver Lagos and Ekiti to Ribadu despite having adeola as deputt to Nuhu. Only Aregbe delivered but GEJ made in-road in Osun. The SS ans SE we all know. SW AC/ACN/APC has always bEen about noise and blabbing. They have never delivered for their candidates in previous elections. You need more than noise to win SW. On Monday we shall come here to laugh at APC.

Btw: you wan marry me?

Mr. barcanista spare us all these your last minute attempt to presume you can deceive Nigerians with the your living in the past. Am sure a child given birth to in 2011 should be walking now, all things been equal. If you think what happened in 2011 will happen again, I think you're in for a big shock.

BTW , some of your assertions have been bookmarked.

" APC will not get up to 70,000 votes in the south east " - Barcanista.

We are indeed waiting for tomorrow. May God spare our lives.

ShehuAba:
Mr. barcanista spare us all these your last minute attempt to presume you can deceive Nigerians with the your living in the past. Am sure a child given birth to in 2011 should be walking now, all things been equal. If you think what happened in 2011 will happen again, I think you're in for a big shock.

BTW , some of your assertions have been bookmarked.

" APC will not get up to 70,000 votes in the south east " - Barcanista.

We are indeed waiting for tomorrow. May God spare our lives.

Goodluck Jonathan Shall Lead Again

Are these factors still going to work for President Jonathan?

1, His name 'GOODLUCK'

2, I'm voting for Jonathan not PDP

3, Make them rule too ( southern minority from oil producing region)

4, I have no shoes

5, Not a military dictator like Gen buhari

6, First President with Phd

7, Gen buhari is a tribal bigot and wants to islamis Nigeria

8, North vs South

9, Regional parties (ACN, ANPP & CPC) VS National party PDP



note; no offence pls



5,

barcanista:
If you compare the voting pattern of 2003, 2007 and 2011 with respect to Buhari, you will see that nothing has really changed. In 2007 Buhari had 6.6million when he contested against his fellow Northerners scoring 18.72%. Atiku had 2.64m votes (7%), while Yaradua had 24.64m votes (about 70%). In 2003 Buhari contested against a Southern Candidate Obasanjo, he had the same 12 million votes, while Obasanjo had 24.5 million votes. In 2007 AC(Tinubus) supported Atiku yet they couldn't even win the SW... I wonder whether the APC's follow trend...


Jonathan Shall Lead Again

What u fail to factor into ur aspersion is things has change base on the present situation of the country...Under those years u listed, the country was a bit safe and the economy a bit better..No card reader to checkmate rigging etc...I can't say for sure who will win but I hope GEJ lose

lol

barcanista keep dreaming, it is allow. this is why i love TANIANS. 'they love living in denial' like nigerians are now enjoying electricity, and u claimed 2011 is the same as 2015, indeed much as change. no more tales by the moonlight like i grow up without a shoe. he go be like film trick for your eye. no need to quote me, because tanians has something in common,"living in denial". enough of this dramas.

Op olodo, go and first compare PVC collection to the 2011 results before talking nonsense. Gonori analysing yoruba vote. The south east has less than 85% pvc collection, how will they record 95% votes for jonathan