WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election - Politics

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WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by davodyguy: 10:50am On Mar 31, 2015

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nigerian_general_election,_2015

Presidential election

Article 134 (2) of the Nigerian Constitution stipulates that a presidential candidate will be duly elected after attaining both the highest number of votes cast; and has received at least a quarter of the votes at each of at least two-thirds of all the states and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) of Abuja. If no candidate satisfies the requirement, a second election will be held between the two leading candidates within seven days from the pronouncement of the result

Lets analyze the above quote

1) PDP of APC candidate must first score or record the highest number of votes from the ballots caste. i.e one of GEJ and GMB must have out performed the other based on number of votes.

Scenario 1 GEJ 14,556,889 votes GMB 13,556,767votes
Scenario 2 GMB 14,556,889 votes GEJ 13,556,767votes

2) Who so ever wins in 1, should have scored 25% of those votes in 24 States + FCT out 36 States.

It means if GEJ scored/ recorded 14,556,889 votes, he must have done so based on 25% of those votes in 24 States + FCT out 36 States. on the other hand,

if GMB scored/ recorded 14,556,889 votes, he must have done so based on 25% of those votes in 24 States + FCT out 36 States.

3) In the event that neither 1 and 2 happens, the 3rd thing that will happen is a rerun within 7 days. A rerun means another fresh general election, this time between Buhari and Jonathan alone, leaving aside other candidates that didn't perform well. This happened in Liberia between Goerge Weah and Sirleaf Johnson, in which Sirleaf Johnson emerged.

Finally, 1 and 2 must happen as 1 and 2 are mutually nonexclusive for both GEJ and GMB.

It is not negotiable

2 Likes

Re: WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by socialmediaman: 10:56am On Mar 31, 2015

davodyguy:
..

Re: WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by Jokay07(m): 10:57am On Mar 31, 2015

Thanks bro, but I don't really understand that 25% of a thing as regards to the constitutional provision. I would be glad if you can help me with that.

Re: WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by Osyxcel(m): 10:58am On Mar 31, 2015

Yeah

Re: WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by Nobody: 10:59am On Mar 31, 2015

Hum

Re: WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by sugarvallly(f): 11:00am On Mar 31, 2015

I no book space o

Re: WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by davodyguy: 11:03am On Mar 31, 2015

Jokay07:
Thanks bro, but I don't really understand that 25% of a thing as regards to the constitutional provision. I would be glad if you can help me with that.

very simple

Either GEJ or Buhari must must win a minimum of 25% of votes cast in 24 states + FCT in Nigeria.

Take for example if total number of votes cast in Oyo was 400,000 votes and GeJ won 250,000 and Buhari won 150,000, it simply mean that from 400,000, Buhari had 37.5%, whilst GEJ had 62.5%.

This must happen in 24 states and FCT

Votes 400,000 =100%
GEJ 250,000 = 62.7%
GMB 150,000= 37.5%

Re: WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by davodyguy: 11:11am On Mar 31, 2015

This simply means if BUHARI wins 21 states, it will appear like this

Buhari won 21 states = 25% in 21 states
Buhari Lost in Nasarawa but scored at least 25%
Buhari Lost in Taraba but scored at least 25%
Buhari lost in Edo but scored at least 25%
Buhari lost in Ekiti but scored at least 25%

Therefore 21 states plus numbers from Edo, Ekiti, Nasarawa and Taraba means at least 25% in 25 states

What he needs now is to score the highest number of votes in 36states +FCT to be declared winner Today

Re: WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by Rhozabeth(m): 11:13am On Mar 31, 2015

I forsee a runoff!!

1 Like

Re: WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by davodyguy: 11:15am On Mar 31, 2015

Rhozabeth:
I forsee a runoff!!

run off is highly impossible. One of them will win

Its either GEJ or GMB

Re: WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by Osyxcel(m): 11:23am On Mar 31, 2015

The truth is that both GEJ and GMB would score 25% in at least 24 states of the federation and the F.C.T

Re: WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by henrychubayo: 11:28am On Mar 31, 2015

Really. It means this election have not even started. I see a rerun. Guys please take it easy with one another. Am so confused with news I receive here and there. As am not around, I feel the tension not for any candidate but the matter in which ppl want this power by all means. Am scared more troubles will emerge. Take it easy with one another please.

Re: WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by pimplucious: 11:37am On Mar 31, 2015

Osyxcel:
The truth is that both GEJ and GMB would score 25% in at least 24 states of the federation and the F.C.T

In that case, the candidate with the highest number of votes cast will be declared winner so therefore, however, meanwhile I see the people's general being declared winner. Anything short of this will probably result to anarchy. The oracle has spoken.

Re: WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by Jokay07(m): 12:00pm On Mar 31, 2015

davodyguy:

very simple

Either GEJ or Buhari must must win a minimum of 25% of votes cast in 24 states + FCT in Nigeria.

Take for example if total number of votes cast in Oyo was 400,000 votes and GeJ won 250,000 and Buhari won 150,000, it simply mean that from 400,000, Buhari had 37.5%, whilst GEJ had 62.5%.

This must happen in 24 states and FCT

Votes 400,000 =100%
GEJ 250,000 = 62.7%
GMB 150,000= 37.5%

thanks broda.

Re: WHAT The Nigerian Constitution Says About Declaring A Winner After An Election by davodyguy: 1:59pm On Mar 31, 2015

Jokay07:
thanks broda.

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