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2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction - Politics - Nairaland

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2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by drtwist(m): 8:00am On Apr 10, 2015
Using a trends similar to 2011 elections, with few condition remain unequal, based on current landscape, we will make the following preliminary projection.
NOTE
* There are 29 gubernatorial seats up for grab in 2015.
* 10 incumbents are contesting. For a second term.
(3 PDP state)
(7 APC state)
*19 vacant seats
( 15 are in PDP Controlled states)
( 4 are in APC controlled state)
NOTE Also
Many factor were consider before arriving at final result to view factor for each state visit( Greater Nigeria ChannelC0033AAD7).

ABIA STATE
(Expect too many court case leading to nothing after the election PDP winning 57% sure Second by APGA)
PDP- DR. OKEZIE IKEAZU

ADAMAWA STATE
( Not minding the outcome of march 28 result and also the Atiku influence expect PDP to win in a close contest)
PDP- MALLAM NUHU AHMED RIBADU

AKWA IBOM STATE
(Umana might try to pull something but expect the PDP structure to deliver again with 63% guaranty second by APC)
PDP- EMMANUEL UDOM GABREIL

BAUCHI STATE
( This is a state that will be closely contested considering the outcome of March 28 result, expect the PDP Structure to deliver and the tribunal later being busy. Don't forget leaders of these state refuse to work with PDP because they want to deliver their Son. Second APC)
PDP- HON. JATAU M. AUWAL

BENUE STATE
(This is the state whereby the wind of change cannot be interfered, PDP govrt long let them self down with Suswan losing his Senator seat and Mark the only PDP surviving *Column* expect APC to see this one through with 57%)
APC- ORTOM SAMUEL IORAER

BORNO STATE
(PDP have no chance of seeing this out expect APC winning with 62% sure second by. PDP)
APC- KASHIM SHETTIMA

CROSS RIVER STATE
(APC lack the political muscle to seeing this out considering the PDP strong political structure. Expect PDP winning 61% sure)
PDP-AYADE BENEDICT B

DELTA STATE
(This is one of the state that will be closely contested not considering the March 28 result, but expect the PDP to see this Through follow by the LP candidate( OGBORU ) then APC (OTEGA). Expect the tribunal to be busy after the election )
PDP- SENATOR(Dr) OKOWA IFEANYI ARTHUR

EBONYI STATE
( LP will try to pull something out of this but expect PDP to be seeing this through. PDP 62% sure of winning followed by LP)
PDP- NWEZE DAVID UMAHI

ENUGU STATE
( This is the state that even if nobody is represent PDP, APC as the nearest candidate will still be losing to PDP. A no go area to APC. Expect PDP 80% sure winning)
PDP-UGWANYI IFEANYI(Gburu-Gburu)

GOMBE STATE
(Not minding the outcome of March 28 result were the PDP refuse to work against their Son, expect them to be seeing this one Through slightly followed by APC)
PDP- IBRAHIM H DAMKWMBO

IMO STATE
(Though many will disagree with this but expect APC to be seeing through followed by PDP.
APC- OWELLE ROCHAS ANOYO OKOROCHA

JIGAWA STATE
(Not minding the outcome of March 28 result were PDP leaders refuse to work for the party because the Governor is being held back by EFCC, expect LAMIDO deliver with 56% sure this time around second by APC)
PDP- MALLAM AMINU RINGIM

KADUNA STATE
( Many will disagree with this but base on the outcome of March 28 expect PDP to be edging this out follow by El rufai
APC but expect the tribunal to be busy later)
PDP- MUKHTAR RAMALAN YERO

KANO STATE
(No go area to the PDP candidate even though the death of the state REC is suspicious expect APC to be winning this with 60% second by PDP)
APC- DR ABDULLAH UMAR GRANDULE

KATSINA STATE
( This is a state that even the PDP candidate are is afraid of campaigning with his party name. The home of the General. So expect APC to be winning this clean)
APC- AMINU BELLO MASARI

KEBBI STATE
APC ABUBAKAR ATIKU BAGUDU

KWARA STATE
(This is a state that ordinarily no citizen will want APC to come out victorious, but the SARAKI factor will be what always determine the outcome so expect APC winning)
APC- ALH. DR ABDULFATAH AHMED

LAGOS STATE
( This is the state that will be keenly contested most. Many factor will determine the out come but expect the PDP to pull a shock victory)
PDP- JOSEPH OLUJIMI AGBAJE (JK)

NASARAWA STATE
(The state governor escaped impeachment last year but will not escape that of the masses this time around. Though APGA will try to pull something out but expect the PDP to come out victorious)
PDP- YUSUF M AGABI

NIGER STATE
(Not minding the outcome of the March 28 election were ditto Jigawa took place the PDP will be pulling a shocked victory 57% followed by APC)
PDP- UMAR NASKO

OGUN STATE
( The PDP in divided home will give room to APC coming out victorious with SDP coming far 3rd. Note the OBJ factor will work very well here. So expect APC to be winning with 58% sure follow by PDP)
APC- SEN IBIKUNLE AMOSUN

OYO STATE
( History will be reckon in this state as the APC candidate will be the first to win a second term mandate, expect APC winning with 56% sure followed by LP,PDP)
APC- ABIOLA AJUMOBI

PLATEAU STATE
(the APC lack the political strength the muscle the PDP candidate. Expect the PDP winning with 58% sure followed by the APC.)
PDP- SEN GYAN NYAM SHOM PWAJOK

RIVER STATE
( Amenchi knows if there is any hope of him winning this Election, it must be at the Tribunal. Expect PDP to be winning because WIKE is the major candidate that will be leading the fight against APC fed government as a governor. PDP winning with 60% sure followed by APC)
PDP- WIKE EZENWO NYESOM

SOKOTO STATE
( No chance to the PDP with the caliber of candidate fed by the APC, so expect the APC winning with 63% sure followed by PDP)
APC- AMINU WAZIRI TAMBUWAL

TARABA STATE
( The APC will Try to pull something Out but expect. The PDP to see this through with 59% Sure of victory)
PDP- DARIUS DICKSON ISHAKU

YOBE STATE
(Expect the governor to be re-elected)
APC-IBRHIM GAIDAM

ZAMFARA STATE
( Ditto as YOBE)
APC- ALH ABULAZEEZ ABUBAKAR


With the prediction above Expect the PDP to win 17 state while the APC go home with 12 state. Also in states that are keenly Contest were % sure was not indicated note result might likely swing to other side. (Note Election prediction is almost like football match were until 90mins before u are sure of ur prediction)


COMR ISHANI OBAKPORORO
BUILDERTWIST@YAHOO.COM
08067871456
Many factor were consider before arriving at final prediction to view factor for each state visit( Greater Nigeria ChannelC0033AAD7).
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by drtwist(m): 8:38am On Apr 10, 2015
Drop ur comment on any contradiction
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by donphilopus: 9:05am On Apr 10, 2015
[s]
drtwist:
Using a trends similar to 2011 elections, with few condition remain unequal, based on current landscape, we will make the following preliminary projection.
NOTE
* There are 29 gubernatorial seats up for grab in 2015.
* 10 incumbents are contesting. For a second term.
(3 PDP state)
(7 APC state)
*19 vacant seats
( 15 are in PDP Controlled states)
( 4 are in APC controlled state)
NOTE Also
Many factor were consider before arriving at final result to view factor for each state visit( Greater Nigeria ChannelC0033AAD7).

ABIA STATE
(Expect too many court case leading to nothing after the election PDP winning 57% sure Second by APGA)
PDP- DR. OKEZIE IKEAZU

ADAMAWA STATE
( Not minding the outcome of march 28 result and also the Atiku influence expect PDP to win in a close contest)
PDP- MALLAM NUHU AHMED RIBADU

AKWA IBOM STATE
(Umana might try to pull something but expect the PDP structure to deliver again with 63% guaranty second by APC)
PDP- EMMANUEL UDOM GABREIL

BAUCHI STATE
( This is a state that will be closely contested considering the outcome of March 28 result, expect the PDP Structure to deliver and the tribunal later being busy. Don't forget leaders of these state refuse to work with PDP because they want to deliver their Son. Second APC)
PDP- HON. JATAU M. AUWAL

BENUE STATE
(This is the state whereby the wind of change cannot be interfered, PDP govrt long let them self down with Suswan losing his Senator seat and Mark the only PDP surviving *Column* expect APC to see this one through with 57%)
APC- ORTOM SAMUEL IORAER

BORNO STATE
(PDP have no chance of seeing this out expect APC winning with 62% sure second by. PDP)
APC- KASHIM SHETTIMA

CROSS RIVER STATE
(APC lack the political muscle to seeing this out considering the PDP strong political structure. Expect PDP winning 61% sure)
PDP-AYADE BENEDICT B

DELTA STATE
(This is one of the state that will be closely contested not considering the March 28 result, but expect the PDP to see this Through follow by the LP candidate( OGBORU ) then APC (OTEGA). Expect the tribunal to be busy after the election )
PDP- SENATOR(Dr) OKOWA IFEANYI ARTHUR

EBONYI STATE
( LP will try to pull something out of this but expect PDP to be seeing this through. PDP 62% sure of winning followed by LP)
PDP- NWEZE DAVID UMAHI

ENUGU STATE
( This is the state that even if nobody is represent PDP, APC as the nearest candidate will still be losing to PDP. A no go area to APC. Expect PDP 80% sure winning)
PDP-UGWANYI IFEANYI(Gburu-Gburu)

GOMBE STATE
(Not minding the outcome of March 28 result were the PDP refuse to work against their Son, expect them to be seeing this one Through slightly followed by APC)
PDP- IBRAHIM H DAMKWMBO

IMO STATE
(Though many will disagree with this but expect APC to be seeing through followed by PDP.
APC- OWELLE ROCHAS ANOYO OKOROCHA

JIGAWA STATE
(Not minding the outcome of March 28 result were PDP leaders refuse to work for the party because the Governor is being held back by EFCC, expect LAMIDO deliver with 56% sure this time around second by APC)
PDP- MALLAM AMINU RINGIM

KADUNA STATE
( Many will disagree with this but base on the outcome of March 28 expect PDP to be edging this out follow by El rufai
APC but expect the tribunal to be busy later)
PDP- MUKHTAR RAMALAN YERO

KANO STATE
(No go area to the PDP candidate even though the death of the state REC is suspicious expect APC to be winning this with 60% second by PDP)
APC- DR ABDULLAH UMAR GRANDULE

KATSINA STATE
( This is a state that even the PDP candidate are is afraid of campaigning with his party name. The home of the General. So expect APC to be winning this clean)
APC- AMINU BELLO MASARI

KEBBI STATE
APC ABUBAKAR ATIKU BAGUDU

KWARA STATE
(This is a state that ordinarily no citizen will want APC to come out victorious, but the SARAKI factor will be what always determine the outcome so expect APC winning)
APC- ALH. DR ABDULFATAH AHMED

LAGOS STATE
( This is the state that will be keenly contested most. Many factor will determine the out come but expect the PDP to pull a shock victory)
PDP- JOSEPH OLUJIMI AGBAJE (JK)

NASARAWA STATE
(The state governor escaped impeachment last year but will not escape that of the masses this time around. Though APGA will try to pull something out but expect the PDP to come out victorious)
PDP- YUSUF M AGABI

NIGER STATE
(Not minding the outcome of the March 28 election were ditto Jigawa took place the PDP will be pulling a shocked victory 57% followed by APC)
PDP- UMAR NASKO

OGUN STATE
( The PDP in divided home will give room to APC coming out victorious with SDP coming far 3rd. Note the OBJ factor will work very well here. So expect APC to be winning with 58% sure follow by PDP)
APC- SEN IBIKUNLE AMOSUN

OYO STATE
( History will be reckon in this state as the APC candidate will be the first to win a second term mandate, expect APC winning with 56% sure followed by LP,PDP)
APC- ABIOLA AJUMOBI

PLATEAU STATE
(the APC lack the political strength the muscle the PDP candidate. Expect the PDP winning with 58% sure followed by the APC.)
PDP- SEN GYAN NYAM SHOM PWAJOK

RIVER STATE
( Amenchi knows if there is any hope of him winning this Election, it must be at the Tribunal. Expect PDP to be winning because WIKE is the major candidate that will be leading the fight against APC fed government as a governor. PDP winning with 60% sure followed by APC)
PDP- WIKE EZENWO NYESOM

SOKOTO STATE
( No chance to the PDP with the caliber of candidate fed by the APC, so expect the APC winning with 63% sure followed by PDP)
APC- AMINU WAZIRI TAMBUWAL

TARABA STATE
( The APC will Try to pull something Out but expect. The PDP to see this through with 59% Sure of victory)
PDP- DARIUS DICKSON ISHAKU

YOBE STATE
(Expect the governor to be re-elected)
APC-IBRHIM GAIDAM

ZAMFARA STATE
( Ditto as YOBE)
APC- ALH ABULAZEEZ ABUBAKAR


With the prediction above Expect the PDP to win 17 state while the APC go home with 12 state. Also in states that are keenly Contest were % sure was not indicated note result might likely swing to other side. (Note Election prediction is almost like football match were until 90mins before u are sure of ur prediction)


COMR ISHANI OBAKPORORO
BUILDERTWIST@YAHOO.COM
08067871456
Many factor were consider before arriving at final prediction to view factor for each state visit( Greater Nigeria ChannelC0033AAD7).
[/s]

The person who compiled this balderdash should go see a Medical Doctor ASAP. If you think the good people of Bauchi State would disrespect the People's General and vote (for) PDP, then you need to have your brain examined.

The People's General has urged the people of Bauchi State alongside other core Northern States not to leave any Seat (be it Councillorship Seat) for the PDP. PDP can never win Jigawa, Gombe, Kaduna (were you drunk when you said Umaru Tanko Almakura would win?) and other Northern States you listed for them. It's practically possible. If you feel otherwise, bet your life on it.

I don't know of Rivers, but if you think Tinubu would just sit down and see Lagos go to the opposition, then you need to have your brain formatted. How many Igbos voted (for) Buhari in Lagos during the Presidential Election? With or without Igbo votes, APC would still emerge victorious. You can take that to the bank.

It's obvious the OP is a PDP sympathiser. If you ain't one, you wouldn't have posted or predicted this gibberish!

15 Likes

Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by Kingkamal(m): 9:06am On Apr 10, 2015
Na pdpiig guy wrote all this nonsense

2 Likes

Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by donphilopus: 9:11am On Apr 10, 2015
He's even saying PDP would win Niger, Nasarawa, Adamawa and Plateau. If at all PDP would have a chance in any of these States, it should be Plateau. APGA is gonna share the original PDP's votes with Agabi. Niger is a no-go area, even the incumbent Governor lost his Senatorial bid to the APC Candidate. Adamawa? Ribadu's close allies have all deserted him, so tell me how he would win.

OP, seriously, you need to visit a Psychiatrist ASAP!

3 Likes

Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by hayordelevic(m): 9:25am On Apr 10, 2015
OP wake up from ur dreams fast b4 its too late cos dis sleep can lead to madness in fact u need a doctor fast!
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by usbcable(m): 9:29am On Apr 10, 2015
AMBODE FOR GOVERNOR

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by bobmalu83(m): 9:46am On Apr 10, 2015
This prediction is 70% right, just watch n see many surprises unfolding herself in this gubernatorial election
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by CharlesPhc: 9:50am On Apr 10, 2015
Noted. I will revisit this trend on the Morning after the April 11th Election...!!!
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by adeoladrg(m): 9:59am On Apr 10, 2015
Jaykay we know. Jaykay we want.
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by project8(m): 10:21am On Apr 10, 2015
op thunder fire u for ur devilish wish for kaduna pple.ramalan is dead on arrival.d only governor that promote hate and thuggery have no place in kaduna govt house.#elrufaiweknow

2 Likes

Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by Samfigo1(m): 10:25am On Apr 10, 2015
I dont know for other states o, as for OYO state, it is Rasheed Adewolu 'Ladoja
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by Nobody: 10:43am On Apr 10, 2015
@op, You are likely wrong on Imo. Nice job though.
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by doctokwus: 10:53am On Apr 10, 2015
Soon as I saw d first 3 predictions for abia,Adamawa and bauchi,I didn't bother reading again. I knew d op must either b a die hard PDP agent or is under d influence of origin + alomo bitters.

2 Likes

Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by Bashirfuntua(m): 11:11am On Apr 10, 2015
op
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by Raypawer(m): 11:55am On Apr 10, 2015
next tomorrow we shall see... i will remaind u that this prediction is false!
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by drtwist(m): 12:03pm On Apr 10, 2015
donphilopus:
[s][/s]

The person who compiled this balderdash should go see a Medical Doctor ASAP. If you think the good people of Bauchi State would disrespect the People's General and vote (for) PDP, then you need to have your brain examined.

The People's General has urged the people of Bauchi State alongside other core Northern States not to leave any Seat (be it Councillorship Seat) for the PDP. PDP can never win Jigawa, Gombe, Kaduna (were you drunk when you said Umaru Tanko Almakura would win?) and other Northern States you listed for them. It's practically possible. If you feel otherwise, bet your life on it.

I don't know of Rivers, but if you think Tinubu would just sit down and see Lagos go to the opposition, then you need to have your brain formatted. How many Igbos voted (for) Buhari in Lagos during the Presidential Election? With or without Igbo votes, APC would still emerge victorious. You can take that to the bank.

It's obvious the OP is a PDP sympathiser. If you ain't one, you wouldn't have posted or predicted this gibberish!
I would have respond to ur post if you didn't add insult

2 Likes

Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by drtwist(m): 12:06pm On Apr 10, 2015
donphilopus:
He's even saying PDP would win Niger, Nasarawa, Adamawa and Plateau. If at all PDP would have a chance in any of these States, it should be Plateau. APGA is gonna share the original PDP's votes with Agabi. Niger is a no-go area, even the incumbent Governor lost his Senatorial bid to the APC Candidate. Adamawa? Ribadu's close allies have all deserted him, so tell me how he would win.

OP, seriously, you need to visit a Psychiatrist ASAP!

I would have respond to ur post if u didn't add insult at last.
The three state u call its only Niger that would be a bit difficult to predict.
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by drtwist(m): 12:07pm On Apr 10, 2015
Raypawer:
next tomorrow we shall see... i will remaind u that this prediction is false!
good
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by drtwist(m): 12:08pm On Apr 10, 2015
doctokwus:
Soon as I saw d first 3 predictions for abia,Adamawa and bauchi,I didn't bother reading again. I knew d op must either b a die hard PDP agent or is under d influence of origin + alomo bitters.
U make sense somehow but can u explain why u feel the prediction is wrong
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by sonofjos(m): 12:43pm On Apr 10, 2015
Indeed this writer sat in his room and started reciting " abia - umuahia, adamawa -Yola, akwa ibom -..." and writing rubbish. Im in plateau and opposition has never been this fierce. Start composing apology letter to submit 2 niralanders after the election.

2 Likes

Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by Olofintoto(m): 1:09pm On Apr 10, 2015
Thanks bro, d guy is high on weed.
Ajimobi ko, Ajimopa ni.
Sai Ladoja all the way
Samfigo1:
I dont know for other states o, as for OYO state, it is Rasheed Adewolu 'Ladoja
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by hazyfm: 1:18pm On Apr 10, 2015
[size=88pt]TRASH[/size]

1 Like

Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by gabng(m): 3:34pm On Apr 10, 2015
You are wrong on kebbi. There is no way the people of that state will vote in a kleptomaniac in the person of Senator Atiku Bagudu as Governor. The people know what he did with the abacha family in Laundering almost 5billion Usd. They are not ready to give the mandate to such a man to pilfer their commonwealth.

Just do a goggle search on the man and see his documented sins.

The PDP candidate in the person of Major General Sarkin Yaki Bello (rtd) stands a better chance. He has a track record of performance and is from the Zuru Emirate that has never ruled the state. Bagudu is from the same zone as the present governor dakingari.

1 Like

Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by aspirebig: 7:45pm On Apr 10, 2015
This is getting interesting.
Re: 2015 Gov Election Survey And Prediction by drtwist(m): 12:23pm On Apr 11, 2015
gabng:
You are wrong on kebbi. There is no way the people of that state will vote in a kleptomaniac in the person of Senator Atiku Bagudu as Governor. The people know what he did with the abacha family in Laundering almost 5billion Usd. They are not ready to give the mandate to such a man to pilfer their commonwealth.

Just do a goggle search on the man and see his documented sins.

The PDP candidate in the person of Major General Sarkin Yaki Bello (rtd) stands a better chance. He has a track record of performance and is from the Zuru Emirate that has never ruled the state. Bagudu is from the same zone as the present governor dakingari.
U are right bro, Kebbi was the most difficult state to predict because the people there hate the name PDP and the candidate fed by the APC is good as useless to them. So the major factor to determine victory will be how the federal might and traditional rulers sway their power to. Which of course u knw what the answer is.

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