Yesterday in Maitama, a good friend of mine was intimating me on the power struggle and cold war brewing in the APC between the Tinubu led ACN and some nPDP led by Saraki and from what he said, it may snowball into serious cracks.

The power struggle is for the Senate Presidency. Nigerians may wish to know why Tinubu wants to influence the choice at all cost. The game for 2019 has commenced since all available indications point to the fact that Buhari would not seek a second term.

There are four blocs in APC, which are the Tinubu led ACN, Buhari led CPC, ANPP, nPDP and one strong person in Atiku. Of the 4 + 1 blocs, only 2 currently control things. Tinubu and Buhari hold sway. The exit of Sherif crippled the ANPP, there is no unity in nPDP because Kwankwaso has a separate agenda.

From his analysis, Tinubu is plotting to prevent Saraki from using the position of Senate President and the power of the National Assembly to build a cohesive national platform for 2019. Tinubu wants Tambuwal for President in 2019, while the Buhari group prefer El-rufai. Saraki, Atiku, Kwankwaso are all interested in becoming the president of Nigeria by 2019 as well.

At the moment, the CPC faction of the APC have the President, ACN has the Vice President, ANPP is rumoured to have been allocated the slot of SGF, nothing juicy for nPDP and Atiku yet. Saraki is therefore using Senate President as bargain for nPDP.

Tinubu got advantage of reciprocity against Buhari for 2019 or fight 1 enemy. It would be difficult for Buhari to fight 2 camps if Saraki gets the Senate Presidency. Tinubu’s reported withdrawal of interest in Akume for Ahmed Lawan is part of the all-cost desperation to deny Saraki of the Senate Presidency.

Meanwhile, Saraki has the backing of Amaech’s financial war chest as well as that of the nPDP except Kwankwaso and Wamakko who are not committed. Definitely all about interest. Tinubu’s support for Lawan may include a bargain for Deputy Senate President for his wife, meaning the South West may not get the Speakership of the House of Assembly. Tinubu the sharp man.

While all these are going on, the PDP who are now the minority in the Senate can help to install Saraki to spite Tinubu and make APC 2019 projection very clumsy. With 42 Senators under PDP out of 109 Senate seats in the next Assembly, PDP will determine the next Senate President.

The option of Lawan if all the APC Senators were to buy it, makes the faint hope and thought of David Mark’s return non-existence. But then, anything is possible in politics and I would be watching with keen interest on June 6 to see who get elected as the new Senate President.

With the way the cold war is going, Tinubu has elected to be a spoiler than to be the king maker. His reasoning is simple. Deny me my choice, I deny you Senate President.

God Bless Nigeria.

Oke Umurhohwo @stalyf

.

..

Tinubu, Senator Kashamu role model. #datzall

We are on d fence watching

Yeye dey smell

April 04, 2015

When the joy of electoral victory is over and the business of governance set in from May 29, the real intention of the Buhari backers will begin to emerge though the manifestation may take some months or up to a year. The battle to control the machinery of the party(APC) and the government among the political oligarchs will emerge on one hand. On another hand there will be the inevitable confrontation between overbearing party leaders and elected/appointed officials. The in-fighting will directly or indirectly have effect on the government performance because there will be lots of sabotage from government officials(moles) that are loyal to the kingmakers within the party. All these coupled with unrealistic proposed social policies of Buhari's incoming government, the masses expectations are bound to erode and discontent brew as a result.

https://www.nairaland.com/2236507/arise-o-pdp-future-bright

I am not surprise one bit to see their in-fighting over the spoils.

May God spare Jagaban's life.

As hard as it might be for anyone to accept it, leave the picking and instalation of officials to him, he always does a good job at picking serious and capable people.

The others vying for position........no comment

Lies!!!!

However, if the write-up happens to be true, then I would say they have nothing to worry about. I was initially rooting for the Senate Presidency of Saraki, but after some researches, I've decided to support Senator Ahmed Lawal from Yobe State. Reason being that he's capable being a Senior Legislator and to appease the 4 groups in the Party.

Ie,

The President (Muhammadu Buhari) is from the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC), Vice President (Yemi Osinbajo) is from the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN). It would only be fair if someone (Ahmed Lawal) from the All Nigeria People's Party (ANPP) is made the Senate President, while a member (Rotimi Amaechi) of the new Peoples Democratic Party (nPDP) is made the Secretary to the Government of the Federation (SGF)!

My humble opinion though!!!

Thanks OP, much of your stuff agrees with snippets I have and my own thinking too. Please keep sharing if any updates on this.

zik4ever:
Thanks OP, much of your stuff agrees with snippets I have and my own thinking too. Please keep sharing if any updates on this.

You are welcome. I definitely would