maclatunji:
PDP is confused, the '3rd Force' lacks a sense of direction. A vocal minority is either whining or exhibiting signs of frustration and bitterness on social media with no clear plan to influence the electoral process in favour of any particular political candidate.

People that are anti-Buhari just throw anything into their attempt at opposition and hope something will stick- it is the same people that will support IPOB, PDP, 3rd Force, Former Vice President Atiku, Dr. Obasanjo etc at different times.

They simply lack principles, direction and political acumen.

maclatunji:
PDP is confused, the '3rd Force' lacks a sense of direction. A vocal minority is either whining or exhibiting signs of frustration and bitterness on social media with no clear plan to influence the electoral process in favour of any particular political candidate.

People that are anti-Buhari just throw anything into their attempt at opposition and hope something will stick- it is the same people that will support IPOB, PDP, 3rd Force, Former Vice President Atiku, Dr. Obasanjo etc at different times.

They simply lack principles, direction and political acumen.

faceURfront:
You must be confused to say the opposition is in disarray. An opposition that has held an elective national convention successfully?

Let APC hold a national convention let's see who is in disarray.

AZeD1:
This was the same mindset the PDP had in 2013 but we know how it turned out for the PDP.

The PDP believed in the power of incumbency, a merger they hoped will fail and Buhari's failure, now the APC is believing the the same power of incumbency, Buhari's popularity (which is shrinking by the day), and their perceived failure of the PDP.

GEJ came into power in 2011 with Nigerians voting for him because they believed he was one of the "people" chosen by God to eradicate corruption and lead Nigeria to the promised in land, in 2015, that Messiah was Buhari.
I should state that GEJ wasn't directly accused of corruption, it was the people around him (his wife PEJ, Allison Maduekwe, Stella Oduah) and events (Fuel subsidy, Boko Haram) that contributed to his election loss. This is exactly what is happening to Buhari, the people around him(SSG, NIA chairman, Maina) and Herdsmen, Fuel scarcity, (his supporters had told the masses PMS would be N45) that would be his downfall.

It is also important to note that the difference between GEJ and MB was about 2 million.
The North which is MB stronghold recorded greater than 70% voter turnout while the Southeast and South South recorded about 30% or less.
MB also won the Southwest by 55% to 45 for GEJ.

Based on this (2014) data, if the Southeast and South South get their act together, MB will lose the election. He's definitely not winning the Southwest and Benue State.


People who fail to learn from history repeat the mistakes of the past.

The PDP taunted APC, claimed the APC only won on social media but we know how the election turned out.

When APC was using Boko Haram to campaign, the PDP ignored it now, 2013's Boko Haram is 2018's Fulani herdsmen and the APC is following the PDP's play book.


You can go through the 2013 threads on here and you'll see the similarities between then and now.

Note: Election data used is not 100% accurate and I couldn't be arsed to find the 2014 data.

Similar threads from the past
https://www.nairaland.com/1467234/why-gej-anti-north

https://www.nairaland.com/1466713/rumours-sacrifice-agagu-stella-oduah Fani Kayode still his mumu self. Good to know his stupidity is consistent.

https://www.nairaland.com/1467235/reasons-goodluck-jonathan-re-elected

https://www.nairaland.com/1468137/nobody-stop-jonathan-gov-orji

https://www.nairaland.com/1498619/apc-headquarters-corruption-nigeria-metuh

https://www.nairaland.com/1227253/alamieyeseigha-contest-election-in2015-presidency Maina is the new Alams.

https://www.nairaland.com/1205880/catholic-bishops-blast-jonathan-governors Buhari got his own recently.

https://www.nairaland.com/1199391/nigerians-should-interest-beg-jonathan Sycophants deceiving GEJ...

https://www.nairaland.com/1195518/marginalisation-presidency-worried-meets-west. Buhari recently said he'll address his "loop sided" appointments.


I'll update as I find them.
Lastly just as you are upbeat about MB's chances, you should remember the people you argued with in 2014 about GEJ's chances. The likes of beaf, sincere9erian, tomakint et al.....

maclatunji:


You are not appreciating the fact that the opposition back then coalesced into the APC effectively. What do you have now? A weakened and divided PDP and a 3rd Force weakening the opposition as the PDP itself has pointed out.

PaChukwudi44:


Bros Fulani herdsmen has done more damamge to Buhari than PDP and other opposition parties put together.The way it is the only region Buhari will likely win will be the NW or may be parts of the NE.Even the Tinubu factor might not even be enough to save in theSW this time around.Herdsmen are killing people in Ogun,Ekiti,Oyo,Osun etc and Tinubu is not saying anything about it.The

middle belt,SS and SE ARE already lost

seunowa:


Do u think Herdman killing will stop if Buhari is no longer in Aso rock?

Who is pdp bringing on board?
It is not anoda fulani man?

PaChukwudi44:


Bros Fulani herdsmen has done more damamge to Buhari than PDP and other opposition parties put together.The way it is the only region Buhari will likely win will be the NW or may be parts of the NE.Even the Tinubu factor might not even be enough to save in theSW this time around.Herdsmen are killing people in Ogun,Ekiti,Oyo,Osun etc and Tinubu is not saying anything about it.The middle belt,SS and SE ARE already lost

seunowa:


Are u sure middle belt is already lost?
Ur conclusion is laughable..ok sha
May be self delusion is wat make u happy..
Just enjoy it sha

PaChukwudi44:


Bros Fulani herdsmen has done more damamge to Buhari than PDP and other opposition parties put together.The way it is the only region Buhari will likely win will be the NW or may be parts of the NE.Even the Tinubu factor might not even be enough to save in theSW this time around.Herdsmen are killing people in Ogun,Ekiti,Oyo,Osun etc and Tinubu is not saying anything about it.The middle belt,SS and SE ARE already lost

maclatunji:


Even by your calculation, 3 regions with limited numbers are "Lost". How does this prevent any candidate that can win the other 3 from winning?

By the way, social media noise does not translate into electoral votes.

Too many learners trying to analyze politics.

Cromagnon:
did you think pdp could survive outside abuja?
no
opposition will come from within apc

PaChukwudi44:


Yaradua was also Fulani but he was not a bigot.Buhari has no business near the leadership of any sane society

PaChukwudi44:
7
buhari won 4 out of 6 regions in 2015 and yet led GEJ with barely 3m votes.Continue dreaming!!! You call the rampant killings by Fulani herdsman social media noise? Are you for real?

Who even told you that Buhari will win the SW in 2019? With the rampant killings of people in the region.You hardly comment on topics where this people unleash mayhem.Nothing is more serious than safety of lives and property

maclatunji:



Who even told you what the result will be in the regions you cited? #LOL

I don't comment on those threads because there is too much idiocy and lack of understanding of issues on display.

seunowa:


And u think there was no fulani killing during Yaradua era..

maclatunji:


You are not appreciating the fact that the opposition back then coalesced into the APC effectively. What do you have now? A weakened and divided PDP and a 3rd Force weakening the opposition as the PDP itself has pointed out.

AZeD1:
This was the same mindset the PDP had in 2013 but we know how it turned out for the PDP.

The PDP believed in the power of incumbency, a merger they hoped will fail and Buhari's failure, now the APC is believing the the same power of incumbency, Buhari's popularity (which is shrinking by the day), and their perceived failure of the PDP.

GEJ came into power in 2011 with Nigerians voting for him because they believed he was one of the "people" chosen by God to eradicate corruption and lead Nigeria to the promised in land, in 2015, that Messiah was Buhari.
I should state that GEJ wasn't directly accused of corruption, it was the people around him (his wife PEJ, Allison Maduekwe, Stella Oduah) and events (Fuel subsidy, Boko Haram) that contributed to his election loss. This is exactly what is happening to Buhari, the people around him(SSG, NIA chairman, Maina) and Herdsmen, Fuel scarcity, (his supporters had told the masses PMS would be N45) that would be his downfall.

It is also important to note that the difference between GEJ and MB was about 2 million.
The North which is MB stronghold recorded greater than 70% voter turnout while the Southeast and South South recorded about 30% or less.
MB also won the Southwest by 55% to 45 for GEJ.

Based on this (2014) data, if the Southeast and South South get their act together, MB will lose the election. He's definitely not winning the Southwest and Benue State.


People who fail to learn from history repeat the mistakes of the past.

The PDP taunted APC, claimed the APC only won on social media but we know how the election turned out.

When APC was using Boko Haram to campaign, the PDP ignored it now, 2013's Boko Haram is 2018's Fulani herdsmen and the APC is following the PDP's play book.


You can go through the 2013 threads on here and you'll see the similarities between then and now.

Note: Election data used is not 100% accurate and I couldn't be arsed to find the 2014 data.

Similar threads from the past
https://www.nairaland.com/1467234/why-gej-anti-north

https://www.nairaland.com/1466713/rumours-sacrifice-agagu-stella-oduah Fani Kayode still his mumu self. Good to know his stupidity is consistent.

https://www.nairaland.com/1467235/reasons-goodluck-jonathan-re-elected

https://www.nairaland.com/1468137/nobody-stop-jonathan-gov-orji

https://www.nairaland.com/1498619/apc-headquarters-corruption-nigeria-metuh

https://www.nairaland.com/1227253/alamieyeseigha-contest-election-in2015-presidency Maina is the new Alams.

https://www.nairaland.com/1205880/catholic-bishops-blast-jonathan-governors Buhari got his own recently.

https://www.nairaland.com/1199391/nigerians-should-interest-beg-jonathan Sycophants deceiving GEJ...

https://www.nairaland.com/1195518/marginalisation-presidency-worried-meets-west. Buhari recently said he'll address his "loop sided" appointments.


I'll update as I find them.
Lastly just as you are upbeat about MB's chances, you should remember the people you argued with in 2014 about GEJ's chances. The likes of beaf, sincere9erian, tomakint et al.....

omowolewa:
I don't know what PDP is doing but they should wake up

buharitill2023:
how did you expect them to wake-up so early after overfeeding for the past 16yrs

PaChukwudi44:


where Fulani killings this rampant then?Buhari has been a bigot from time immemorial.In 2001 He confronted then governor Lam Adesina on behalf of this same herdsmen.

https://www.vanguardngr.com/2012/11/day-lam-adesina-clashed-with-buhari-marwa-others/