with just about 3 months to the general elections, its increasingly becoming clearer, the strenght of each party in variuos regions and states. Barring a monumental turn around in electoral fortunes of the 2 major political parties, this is the true reflective outcome of the 2019 elections. if you dont agree, give me your opinion please without insults please. please no emotional bias opinion and mature argurment.


NORTHEAST.

Bornu APC - 1,297,659. PDP. 94, 392.

Yobe. APC - 879, 231. PDP. 79, 053.

Adamawa. APC - 498, 563. PDP. - 324 506.

Taraba. APC - 279, 835. PDP. 335, 965.

Bauchi. APC - 1,124, 547. PDP. 229, 094.

Gombe. APC - 318, 985. PDP. 175, 213.

NORTHCENTRAL.

Kwara. APC - 218, 890. PDP - 227, 310.

Plateau . APC -. 320, 429. PDP - 618, 645.

Benue. APC .- 198, 687, PDP - 434, 678.

Nassarawa. APC. -274, 093, PDP - 246, 713.

Niger. APC. - 763, 401. PDP. -112, 953.

Kogi. APC. - 446, 791. PDP.- 315, 472.

SOUTHWEST.

Ondo. APC- 375, 672. PDP. - 401, 493.

Ogun. APC - 395, 254. PDP - 361, 850.

Osun. APC. - 553, 321. PDP - 367, 371

Oyo. APC - 538, 096. PDP - 256, 743.

Ekiti. APC- 218, 094. PDP . 154, 675.

Lagos. APC. 1,009, 371. PDP. 876, 381.

SOUTHEAST.

Imo. APC -. 94, 947. PDP - 591, 298.

Ebonyi. APC - 85, 409. PDP. - 297, 301.

Enugu. APC - 44, 836. PDP. 459, 217.

Anambra . APC. 97, 964. PDP. 536, 731.

Abia. APC. - 48,452. PDP. - 331, 439.

NORTHWEST.

Kebbi. APC. - 804, 430. PDP. - 95, 087.

Jigawa. APC - 847, 761. PDP - 240, 371.

Kaduna. APC - 986, 407. PDP- 583, 975.

Kano. APC - 2,189, 901. PDP. 353, 864.

Sokoto. APC, - 834, 973. PDP. - 237, 075.

Zamfara,. APC. - 632, 405. PDP. - 176, 913.

Katsina,. APC. - 1,425,731. PDP - 79, 947.

SOUTHSOUTH.

Delta. APC.- 225, 781. PDP. -875, 962.

Akwaibom. APC. - 489, 364. PDP. - 780, 431.

Bayelsa APC .- 38, 942. PDP. - 314, 753.

Edo . APC. - 356, 753. PDP.- 355, 652.

Rivers. APC. - . 403, 274. PDP. 784, 327.

Crossriver. APC.- 98, 963. PDP 356, 548.


APC. -- 19, 319, 987.

PDP. 13, 063, 398.



Omooba77 4601CE, senatordave, butterflyle0, shukuokukobambi Kenekingisback SternProphet, raumdeuter, SarkinYarki, resurgent4oodua famology TonyeBarcanista,doctokwus:

This is so accurate !

Prophet Op

As conducted in your dream. Imagine how dumb the lifeless followers are to take this serious. Just keep throwing figures around to give your members hope.

dotcodotuk:
with just about 3 months to the general elections, its increasingly becoming clearer,

OP While I can see reasons with your numbers. This calculations what was it based on? Was it on some percentage for you to come with figures to the nearest unit not an estimate

Then the Ondo part going for PDP, who are the strong PDP men in Ondo that will deliver for the party, know the last time PDP ruled Ondo was like 10yrs ago with Agagu

4601CE:
This is so accurate !

I Other accurate except u are planning to doctor the results to be this next year.

Buhari may win but he won't get up to 19m votes.
Atiku may win too. The election next year is too dicey that nobody can get a close call at this stage.
I also think Lagos votes margin will be wider than that as most of them will go for their son, Osinbajo.

I also think Buhari will lose Kwara and Adamawa with a wider margin than u think.
Predictions will be getting more accurate from January, not now.

I can't vote for both of them sha.

E b like say u don go smoke dat nonsense wey una dey like take.

heaven know say dat ur lifeless party no go even fit gather 50 vote for 2019 general election.

wake up gambler no go use ur fada house go gamble bcoz e go clear 4 ur eye. u supporter of doom.

kingkakaone:

I Other accurate except u are planning to doctor the results to be this next year.

Buhari may win but he won't get up to 19m votes.
Atiku may win too. The election next year is too dicey that nobody can get a close call at this stage.
I also think Lagos votes margin will be wider than that as most of them will go for their son, Osinbajo.

I also think Buhari will lose Kwara and Adamawa with a wider margin than u think.
Predictions will be getting more accurate from January, not now.

I can't vote for both of them sha.

I think OP was generous to APC in Kwara Adamawa AkwaIbom and the SouthEast APC will get votes way lower than he projected

Also I dont see a situation where Bayelsa will have over 400k votes, What is the total population of Bayelsa?

Also in the SS voters turnout will be lower, There is no SS man on the ballot like the last time

Ekiti total votes will be lower than that

Use the 2015 elections as the benchmark for turnout

raumdeuter:

OP While I can see reasons with your numbers. This calculations what was it based on? Was it on some percentage for you to come with figures to the nearest unit not an estimate

Then the Ondo part going for PDP, who are the strong PDP men in Ondo that will deliver for the party, know the last time PDP ruled Ondo was like 10yrs ago with Agagu

its based on approximate figures of votes expected. if i do it by percentage it may not show the true reflection in term of voting strenght. for example. PDP can score 99% ib bayesla but the number of votes might be 400k while APC can score 70% in kano and have 2million votes. so percentages doesnt show the true picture.

for ondo Gov. Akerodolu is not performing well and he has problems with NWC of APC so it may affect APC adversely in the general elections. see Imo also for similar circumstances

kingkakaone:

I Other accurate except u are planning to doctor the results to be this next year.

Buhari may win but he won't get up to 19m votes.
Atiku may win too. The election next year is too dicey that nobody can get a close call at this stage.
I also think Lagos votes margin will be wider than that as most of them will go for their son, Osinbajo.

I also think Buhari will lose Kwara and Adamawa with a wider margin than u think.
Predictions will be getting more accurate from January, not now.

I can't vote for both of them sha.

yes you are correct, by january it will be very clearer. i dont think Atiku will win Buhari in Adamawa, write it down somewhere. yes atiku might win Kwara with wider margin, but, it wont exceed 50-60k. kwara has a very small number of votes and wont affect the general result. one thing is certain, buhari will run PDP very very very close in Kwara

Your forecast is very realistic, not in the figures but in percentage margins. The only state I'll dispute is Kwara state where the APC will win. Kudos.

dotcodotuk:
with just about 3 months to the general elections, its increasingly becoming clearer, the strenght of each party in variuos regions and states. Barring a monumental turn around in electoral fortunes of the 2 major political parties, this is the true reflective outcome of the 2019 elections. if you dont agree, give me your opinion please without insults please. please no emotional bias opinion and mature argurment.


NORTHEAST.

Bornu APC - 1,297,659. PDP. 94, 392.

Yobe. APC - 879, 231. PDP. 79, 053.

Adamawa. APC - 498, 563. PDP. - 324 506.

Taraba. APC - 279, 835. PDP. 335, 965.

Bauchi. APC - 1,124, 547. PDP. 229, 094.

Gombe. APC - 318, 985. PDP. 175, 213.

NORTHCENTRAL.

Kwara. APC - 218, 890. PDP - 227, 310.

Plateau . APC -. 320, 429. PDP - 618, 645.

Benue. APC .- 198, 687, PDP - 434, 678.

Nassarawa. APC. -274, 093, PDP - 246, 713.

Niger. APC. - 763, 401. PDP. -112, 953.

Kogi. APC. - 446, 791. PDP.- 315, 472.

SOUTHWEST.

Ondo. APC- 375, 672. PDP. - 401, 493.

Ogun. APC - 395, 254. PDP - 361, 850.

Osun. APC. - 553, 321. PDP - 367, 371

Oyo. APC - 538, 096. PDP - 256, 743.

Ekiti. APC- 218, 094. PDP . 154, 675.

Lagos. APC. 1,009, 371. PDP. 876, 381.

SOUTHEAST.

Imo. APC -. 94, 947. PDP - 591, 298.

Ebonyi. APC - 85, 409. PDP. - 297, 301.

Enugu. APC - 44, 836. PDP. 459, 217.

Anambra . APC. 97, 964. PDP. 536, 731.

Abia. APC. - 48,452. PDP. - 331, 439.

NORTHWEST.

Kebbi. APC. - 804, 430. PDP. - 95, 087.

Jigawa. APC - 847, 761. PDP - 240, 371.

Kaduna. APC - 986, 407. PDP- 583, 975.

Kano. APC - 2,189, 901. PDP. 353, 864.

Sokoto. APC, - 834, 973. PDP. - 237, 075.

Zamfara,. APC. - 632, 405. PDP. - 176, 913.

Katsina,. APC. - 1,425,731. PDP - 79, 947.

SOUTHSOUTH.

Delta. APC.- 225, 781. PDP. -875, 962.

Akwaibom. APC. - 489, 364. PDP. - 780, 431.

Bayelsa APC .- 38, 942. PDP. - 314, 753.

Edo . APC. - 356, 753. PDP.- 355, 652.

Rivers. APC. - . 403, 274. PDP. 784, 327.

Crossriver. APC.- 98, 963. PDP 356, 548.


APC. -- 19, 319, 987.

PDP. 13, 063, 398.



Omooba77 4601CE, senatordave, butterflyle0, shukuokukobambi Kenekingisback SternProphet, raumdeuter, SarkinYarki, resurgent4oodua famology TonyeBarcanista,doctokwus:

McMay112:
E b like say u don go smoke dat nonsense wey una dey like take.

heaven know say dat ur lifeless party no go even fit gather 50 vote for 2019 general election.

wake up gambler no go use ur fada house go gamble bcoz e go clear 4 ur eye. u supporter of doom.

social media rants and wishes dont win elections, party structures win elections. if Amaechi, Akpabio, Adams oshiomole and delta APC will have the backing of the security agencies. PDP will be heavily shocked in the Southsouth

I can see your brain is not accurate

How did you arrive at the figures?

With what algorithm?

With what statistics?

What register?

raumdeuter:


I think OP was generous to APC in Kwara Adamawa AkwaIbom and the SouthEast APC will get votes way lower than he projected

Also I dont see a situation where Bayelsa will have over 400k votes, What is the total population of Bayelsa?

Also in the SS voters turnout will be lower, There is no SS man on the ballot like the last time

Ekiti total votes will be lower than that

Use the 2015 elections as the benchmark for turnout

generous to APC in southeast? did you see the figures at all ? its 13% for APC in imo and 19% for anambra. let me tell if care is not taken APC might poll 25% in each of the states. mind you both Anambra and imo, the biggest in SE, cant turn out more than 650k votes each. i am from the southeast.
Imo. APC -. 94, 947. PDP - 591, 298.
Anambra . APC. 97, 964. PDP. 536, 731.


my forecast didnt give Ekiti above 400k. you might be right for Akwaibom, but with the recent decampings and akpabio senatorial zone effect. the margin in akwaibom for PDP might not be more than 500k

Awol1:
How did you arrive at the figures?

With what algorithm?

With what statistics?

What register?

estimated voters turnout, of approximately 55% across all states. All river state and akwaibom state will not turnout 2015 figures. there will be violence in Akwaibom state.

KATSINA01:
Your forecast is very realistic, not in the figures but in percentage margins. The only state I'll dispute is Kwara state where the APC will win. Kudos.

saraki will deliver kwara to PDP. his candidate, atunwa will be governor.

OP please recheck Rivers state again. I don't want to speak on states i know nothing about, let me speak on my state.

PDP can not defeat APC in Rivers state now that Amaechi is on ground and has the APC structure.

APC will defeat PDP in Rivers state just mark it, 2015 went the way of PDP because of the role Goodluck Jonathan and his wife played, INEC commissioner of Rivers state Kesila Khan was from Bayelsa a relation to GEJ.

Army, DSS, SARs and police were PDP armed wing then, re-run and by-election in Rivers after 2015 has proven that PDP will fight the battle of their lives in Rivers.

FORGET ABOUT ALL 1.SOMETHING VOTES IN TEH NORTH AGAINST A PALTRY 100,000-200,000 DO YOU THINK BUHARI IS CONTESTING AGAINST A SOUTHERNER? ABEGI!!

dotcodotuk:
with just about 3 months to the general elections, its increasingly becoming clearer, the strenght of each party in variuos regions and states. Barring a monumental turn around in electoral fortunes of the 2 major political parties, this is the true reflective outcome of the 2019 elections. if you dont agree, give me your opinion please without insults please. please


NORTHEAST.

Bornu APC - 1,297,659. PDP. 94, 392.

Yobe. APC - 879, 231. PDP. 79, 053.

Adamawa. APC - 498, 563. PDP. - 324 506.

Taraba. APC - 279, 835. PDP. 335, 965.

Bauchi. APC - 1,124, 547. PDP. 229, 094.

Gombe. APC - 318, 985. PDP. 175, 213.

NORTHCENTRAL.

Kwara. APC - 218, 890. PDP - 227, 310.

Plateau . APC -. 320, 429. PDP - 618, 645.

Benue. APC .- 198, 687, PDP - 434, 678.

Nassarawa. APC. -274, 093, PDP - 246, 713.

Niger. APC. - 763, 401. PDP. -112, 953.

Kogi. APC. - 446, 791. PDP.- 315, 472.

SOUTHWEST.

Ondo. APC- 375, 672. PDP. - 401, 493.

Ogun. APC - 395, 254. PDP - 361, 850.

Osun. APC. - 553, 321. PDP - 367, 371

Oyo. APC - 538, 096. PDP - 256, 743.

Ekiti. APC- 218, 094. PDP . 154, 675.

Lagos. APC. 1,009, 371. PDP. 876, 381.

SOUTHEAST.

Imo. APC -. 94, 947. PDP - 591, 298.

Ebonyi. APC - 85, 409. PDP. - 297, 301.

Enugu. APC - 44, 836. PDP. 459, 217.

Anambra . APC. 97, 964. PDP. 536, 731.

Abia. APC. - 48,452. PDP. - 331, 439.

NORTHWEST.

Kebbi. APC. - 804, 430. PDP. - 95, 087.

Jigawa. APC - 847, 761. PDP - 240, 371.

Kaduna. APC - 986, 407. PDP- 583, 975.

Kano. APC - 2,189, 901. PDP. 353, 864.

Sokoto. APC, - 834, 973. PDP. - 237, 075.

Zamfara,. APC. - 632, 405. PDP. - 176, 913.

Katsina,. APC. - 1,425,731. PDP - 79, 947.

SOUTHSOUTH.

Delta. APC.- 225, 781. PDP. -875, 962.

Akwaibom. APC. - 489, 364. PDP. - 780, 431.

Bayelsa APC .- 38, 942. PDP. - 314, 753.

Edo . APC. - 356, 753. PDP.- 355, 652.

Rivers. APC. - . 403, 274. PDP. 784, 327.

Crossriver. APC.- 98, 963. PDP 356, 548.


APC. -- 19, 319, 987.

PDP. 13, 063, 398.



Omooba77 4601CE, senatordave, butterflyle0, shukuokukobambi Kenekingisback SternProphet, raumdeuter, SarkinYarki, resurgent4oodua famology TonyeBarcanista,doctokwus:

no emotional bias opinion and mature argurment.
Op,your figures are very accurate,more accurate than my projections.it looks as if it was the real results while reading it,so exhilarating.its almost perfect.the real results will not be just fractionally different from this.your a top class analysis.i wish atikulooters can analyze like this...

PaChukwudi44:
FORGET ABOUT ALL 1.SOMETHING VOTES IN TEH NORTH AGAINST A PALTRY 100,000-200,000 DO YOU THINK BUHARI IS CONTESTING AGAINST A SOUTHERNER? ABEGI!!

Atiku is weak in the north.the masses know buhari not atiku.out of every 100 northerners,less than 10 like atiku

KenOne:
OP please recheck Rivers state again. I don't want to speak on states i know nothing about, let me speak on my state.

PDP can not defeat APC in Rivers state now that Amaechi is on ground and has the APC structure.

APC will defeat PDP in Rivers state just mark it, 2015 went the way of PDP because of the role Goodluck Jonathan and his wife played, INEC commissioner of Rivers state Kesila Khan was from Bayelsa a relation to GEJ.

Army, DSS, SARs and police were PDP armed wing then, re-run and by-election in Rivers after 2015 has proven that PDP will fight the battle of their lives in Rivers.

In other to avoid controversies,lets just give rivers,delta and aks narrowly to pdp

senatordave1:

Atiku is weak in the north.the masses know buhari not atiku.out of every 100 northerners,less than 10 like atiku

you don't have any idea abut what goes on in the north

senatordave1:

In other to avoid controversies,lets just give rivers,delta and aks narrowly to pdp

akuko mike ejagha.

raumdeuter:


I think OP was generous to APC in Kwara Adamawa AkwaIbom and the SouthEast APC will get votes way lower than he projected

Also I dont see a situation where Bayelsa will have over 400k votes, What is the total population of Bayelsa?

Also in the SS voters turnout will be lower, There is no SS man on the ballot like the last time

Ekiti total votes will be lower than that

Use the 2015 elections as the benchmark for turnout

Correct

Awol1:
How did you arrive at the figures?

With what algorithm?

With what statistics?

What register?

All electoral indices and stats support a buhari.let me even add my own.total registered voters now is 84 million,52% average turnout.total votes will hover between 35-40 million.total pvcs collected should be 70 million.
According to the 2018 inec record,south east has 9 million voters with 7 million pvc collected.turnout should be 3.5 million with pdp polling 2.5 million,apc 500k,apga 500k.
Ss total registered voters is 13 million,11 million pvcs collected and a projected 5.5 million turnout.pdp 4 million,apc 1 million,other parties 500k.
Sw total votes is 18 million,pvc collected is 13 million.projected turnout is 6.5 milliion.apc 3 million,pdp 2.5 million,other parties 1 mil.
For nc,total voters is 13 million,pvcs collected is 11 million.both apc and pdp will poll 2.5 million each.others will get the remaining votes.
For north east,total voters are 10 million.pvc collected is 9 million while turnout is 5 million.apc 3.5 million,pdp1.5 million.
Northwest total registered voters is 20 million.pvc collected 18 million.projected turnout 9 million.apc 7 million,pdp 2 million.
All this will happen with the strict use of card readers.it can be lower in regions that dont like voting like ss/se.

PaChukwudi44:

you don't have any idea abut what goes on in the north

I think your referring to yourself

senatordave1:

All electoral indices and stats support a buhari.let me even add my own.total registered voters now is 84 million,52% average turnout.total votes will hover between 35-40 million.total pvcs collected should be 70 million.
According to the 2018 inec record,south east has 9 million voters with 7 million pvc collected.turnout should be 3.5 million with pdp polling 2.5 million,apc 500k,apga 500k.
Ss total registered voters is 13 million,11 million pvcs collected and a projected 5.5 million turnout.pdp 4 million,apc 1 million,other parties 500k.
Sw total votes is 18 million,pvc collected is 13 million.projected turnout is 6.5 milliion.apc 3 million,pdp 2.5 million,other parties 1 mil.
For nc,total voters is 13 million,pvcs collected is 11 million.both apc and pdp will poll 2.5 million each.others will get the remaining votes.
For north east,total voters are 10 million.pvc collected is 9 million while turnout is 5 million.apc 3.5 million,pdp1.5 million.
Northwest total registered voters is 20 million.pvc collected 18 million.projected turnout 9 million.apc 7 million,pdp 2 million.
All this will happen with the strict use of card readers.it can be lower in regions that dont like voting like ss/se.

you can even give Buhari 50m in your projections.It just would not affect the outcome of the elections on that day.You will only be giving yourself false hope

senatordave1:

no emotional bias opinion and mature argurment.
Op,your figures are very accurate,more accurate than my projections.it looks as if it was the real results while reading it,so exhilarating.its almost perfect.the real results will not be just fractionally different from this.your a top class analysis.i wish atikulooters can analyze like this...

Thank you very much. I

senatordave1:

In other to avoid controversies,lets just give rivers,delta and aks narrowly to pdp

I was very generous to PDP in Ondo, Akwaibom, Imo and Kaduna

dotcodotuk:
with just about 3 months to the general elections, its increasingly becoming clearer, the strenght of each party in variuos regions and states. Barring a monumental turn around in electoral fortunes of the 2 major political parties, this is the true reflective outcome of the 2019 elections. if you dont agree, give me your opinion please without insults please. please no emotional bias opinion and mature argurment.


NORTHEAST.

Bornu APC - 1,297,659. PDP. 94, 392.

Yobe. APC - 879, 231. PDP. 79, 053.

Adamawa. APC - 498, 563. PDP. - 324 506.

Taraba. APC - 279, 835. PDP. 335, 965.

Bauchi. APC - 1,124, 547. PDP. 229, 094.

Gombe. APC - 318, 985. PDP. 175, 213.

NORTHCENTRAL.

Kwara. APC - 218, 890. PDP - 227, 310.

Plateau . APC -. 320, 429. PDP - 618, 645.

Benue. APC .- 198, 687, PDP - 434, 678.

Nassarawa. APC. -274, 093, PDP - 246, 713.

Niger. APC. - 763, 401. PDP. -112, 953.

Kogi. APC. - 446, 791. PDP.- 315, 472.

SOUTHWEST.

Ondo. APC- 375, 672. PDP. - 401, 493.

Ogun. APC - 395, 254. PDP - 361, 850.

Osun. APC. - 553, 321. PDP - 367, 371

Oyo. APC - 538, 096. PDP - 256, 743.

Ekiti. APC- 218, 094. PDP . 154, 675.

Lagos. APC. 1,009, 371. PDP. 876, 381.

SOUTHEAST.

Imo. APC -. 94, 947. PDP - 591, 298.

Ebonyi. APC - 85, 409. PDP. - 297, 301.

Enugu. APC - 44, 836. PDP. 459, 217.

Anambra . APC. 97, 964. PDP. 536, 731.

Abia. APC. - 48,452. PDP. - 331, 439.

NORTHWEST.

Kebbi. APC. - 804, 430. PDP. - 95, 087.

Jigawa. APC - 847, 761. PDP - 240, 371.

Kaduna. APC - 986, 407. PDP- 583, 975.

Kano. APC - 2,189, 901. PDP. 353, 864.

Sokoto. APC, - 834, 973. PDP. - 237, 075.

Zamfara,. APC. - 632, 405. PDP. - 176, 913.

Katsina,. APC. - 1,425,731. PDP - 79, 947.

SOUTHSOUTH.

Delta. APC.- 225, 781. PDP. -875, 962.

Akwaibom. APC. - 489, 364. PDP. - 780, 431.

Bayelsa APC .- 38, 942. PDP. - 314, 753.

Edo . APC. - 356, 753. PDP.- 355, 652.

Rivers. APC. - . 403, 274. PDP. 784, 327.

Crossriver. APC.- 98, 963. PDP 356, 548.


APC. -- 19, 319, 987.

PDP. 13, 063, 398.



Omooba77 4601CE, senatordave, butterflyle0, shukuokukobambi Kenekingisback SternProphet, raumdeuter, SarkinYarki, resurgent4oodua famology TonyeBarcanista,doctokwus:

Lol. Op is joking. Dullhari will not win Yobe, Adamawa, bornu, Zamfara and kaduna.

Op you must be high to think that dulhari will score a single vote in southeast. Afonja muslims might vote him sha