Cross river: with apc zoning back to the south,they should win here
Akwa ibom: pdp should win except the court disqualifies pdp
Rivers: it is 50 50
Delta: pdp has a slight advantage
Abia; it will remain pdp except a miracle occurs
Enugu; pdpfied
IMO; uzodinma has the advantage
Ebonyi: apc has this in the bag
Lagos; sanwoolu all the way
Ogun: dapo has no rival
Ekiti: APC has the advantage
Osun: oyetola has the advantage
Oyo: makinde
Niger: apc has the advantage
Nasarawa: ombugadu is on a frolic
Kwara: gov abdulrahman has the key
Kogi: bello will install the next governor
Plateau: muftwang of pdp has a slight advantage
Benue: Rev alia is the next gov barring any miracle
Kebbi: nasiru idris has this
Sokoto: nothing will stop Ahmed aliyu
Zamfara: matawalle it is
Katsina: dikko radda has this
Kano: Abba Yusuf and the red caps have the advantage
Jigawa; mustapha lamido is on a vain move
Kaduna: sen uba sani has this
Taraba: pdp owns here
Adamawa: fintiri should be reelected.
Bauchi: rtd air chief sadiq abubakar has the advantage with dogara's backing
Gombe: gov yahaya gets a second term
Borno: zulum is contesting with himself
Yobe: walkover for buni.does pdp exist here?

Note: This two last States will bury atiku as usual




Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Kyase
Penguin2
Canal
Famology
Falseprophet
Tutudesz
Ojuntana
Oghenaogie
Helinues
Kahal
Passing shot
Noethnicity
Ogidigboigbo
Anigbajumo

garfield1:
Cross river: with apc zoning back to the south,they should win here
Akwa ibom: pdp should win except the court disqualifies pdp
Rivers: it is 50 50
Delta: pdp has a slight advantage
Abia; it will remain pdp except a miracle occurs
Enugu; pdpfied
IMO; uzodinma has the advantage
Ebonyi: apc has this in the bag
Lagos; sanwoolu all the way
Ogun: dapo has no rival
Ekiti: APC has the advantage
Osun: oyetola has the advantage
Oyo: makinde
Niger: apc has the advantage
Nasarawa: ombugadu is on a frolic
Kwara: gov abdulrahman has the key
Kogi: bello will install the next governor
Plateau: muftwang of pdp has a slight advantage
Benue: Rev alia is the next gov barring any miracle
Kebbi: nasiru idris has this
Sokoto: nothing will stop Ahmed aliyu
Zamfara: matawalle it is
Katsina: dikko radda has this
Kano: Abba Yusuf and the red caps have the advantage
Jigawa; mustapha lamido is on a vain move
Kaduna: sen uba sani has this
Taraba: pdp owns here
Adamawa: fintiri should be reelected.
Bauchi: rtd air chief sadiq abubakar has the advantage with dogara's backing
Gombe: gov yahaya gets a second term
Borno: zulum is contesting with himself
Yobe: walkover for buni.does pdp exist here?

Note: This two last States will bury atiku as usual




Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Kyase
Penguin2
Canal
Famology
Falseprophet
Tutudesz
Ojuntana
Oghenaogie
Helinues
Kahal
Passing shot
Noethnicity
Ogidigboigbo
Anigbajumo

PDP will lose more states in 2023

Kyase:

PDP will lose more states in 2023

Unfortunately or fortunately.it seems so.

Garfield is high on kwale weed this morning.keep it up

Isokiscool:
Garfield is high on kwale weed this morning.keep it up

What of isoko weed? Which state am I wrong? Even your state,I gave to pdp

Garfield APC can never win cross river state and Abia will fall for APC. Bala Mohammed will retain his position as Governor.

mbaboy:
Garfield APC can never win cross river state and Abia will fall for APC. Bala Mohammed will retain his position as Governor.

No,cross rivet will fall.power is supposed to go back to the south but pdp zoned to the central while APC picked a popular person from the south.the governor will deliver the north for apc.even in the central,apc is strongest...

Same thing should happen in abia but apc is divided with two candidates...

Bala will find it hard to retain his seat.he won narrowly with the help of dogara and people in apc.dogara is now in apc and the party is united behind sadiq abubakar

Op, your analysis is wrong, Taraba and Plateau vote on religious line.... They will never vote for ATIKU and TINUBU.. Obi will win in those two states

IamANigerianMan:
Op, your analysis is wrong, Taraba and Plateau vote on religious line.... They will never vote for ATIKU and TINUBU.. Obi will win in those two states

Taraba and plateau always give buhari45% so tinubu won't be different

garfield1:


Taraba and plateau always give buhari45% so tinubu won't be different

Apc always win all your analysis as usual, same way you predicted Andy Uba to win Anambra

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Apc always win all your analysis as usual, same way you predicted Andy Uba to win Anambra

he’s on Ijaw weed

garfield1:


No,cross rivet will fall.power is supposed to go back to the south but pdp zoned to the central while APC picked a popular person from the south.the governor will deliver the north for apc.even in the central,apc is strongest...

Same thing should happen in abia but apc is divided with two candidates...



Bala will find it hard to retain his seat.he won narrowly with the help of dogara and people in apc.dogara is now in apc and the party is united behind sadiq abubakar

Who is DOGARA in Bauchi politics? You don't know anything. Sadique might win but not because of Dogara. Sadique is not from Bauchi metropolis which is a disadvantage for him.

IamANigerianMan:
Op, your analysis is wrong, Taraba and Plateau vote on religious line.... They will never vote for ATIKU and TINUBU.. Obi will win in those two states

Garfield1 is talking of gubernatorial not the presidential race

garfield1:


Taraba and plateau always give buhari45% so tinubu won't be different

What kind of always? Say in 2015 & 2019 cos before that he hardly got 25% in plateau in 2011. Let Tinubu name his vice & you would see how politicians would avoid him like a plaque

Thought u are a fantastic Analyst..
ABIA will go to labour party (Alex Oti)
IMO Election is 2024
Osun will go to PDP
Ekiti certainly will go to APC
Ebonyi will go APC cuz Dave is loved there
RIVERS will fall back to APC ( unless Wike uses The court to disqualify him)
Delta will be a close contest but PDP will have it's way
Kano obviously will go to NNPP

majole:


What kind of always? Say in 2015 & 2019 cos before that he hardly got 25% in plateau in 2011. Let Tinubu name his vice & you would see how politicians would avoid him like a plaque

2003,2011,he got at least 30% in those states.I thought you said after apc congress,the party will fall

majole:


Who is DOGARA in Bauchi politics? You don't know anything. Sadique might win but not because of Dogara. Sadique is not from Bauchi metropolis which is a disadvantage for him.

Oga,in 2019 dogara led the apc cabal that removed gov abubakar.bala and Muhammed were tied until results from dogara LGA gave bala the victory.bala won 7 LGAs against 13 by APC.ex governor Muhammed is from bauchi metropolis yet he lost his LGA due to a gangup across party lines.

Isokiscool:
Garfield is high on kwale weed this morning.keep it up

. No be small thing, him and kyase, that one Na national dream, imagine ebonyi and Cross rivers APC? Hahahaha, chai funny analysis to masturbate on

garfield1:


Oga,in 2019 dogara led the apc cabal that removed gov abubakar.bala and Muhammed were tied until results from dogara LGA gave bala the victory.bala won 7 LGAs against 13 by APC.ex governor Muhammed is from bauchi metropolis yet he lost his LGA due to a gangup across party lines.

Bala's reelection is sure
Remember serving members of APC on the state house has defected to PDP.
Coupled with powers of incumbency

Aiel123:

Bala's reelection is sure
Remember serving members of APC on the state house has defected to PDP.
Coupled with powers of incumbency

His failure is sure.those members that defected are those that joined with pdp to elect his stooge as a speaker.apc controls all the reps and senators.bauchi have always voted buhari and dogara is with apc

You people are so daft.

Labor has zero political structure except some 5% noise maker Ibos. It has zero political structure in Obi land.

It has no house of rep
No senator
Not even 1 councellor
No governor
Yet you mumu want to bring one greater Mumu thru such party to become president. Una weed Dey strong oh continue smoking

It depends on Tinubu running mate. Muslim-Muslim tickets will make things difficult for APC in SS/SE and Northern states of Nasarawa, Taraba, Plateau, Benue and even Adamawa.
Protest votes.
Buhari presidency has caused division along religious and tribal lines. Tinubu will cause confusion along religious and tribal lines.

garfield1:


His failure is sure.those members that defected are those that joined with pdp to elect his stooge as a speaker.apc controls all the reps and senators.bauchi have always voted buhari and dogara is with apc

Buhari won't be on the ballot
Dogara's defection is a blow to PDP
But his efforts wii be minimal
Remember the Dass constituency election which is Dogara's stronghold and APC could barely win with 1k votes.This was after Dogara defected y to APC oo
Let's just say bauchi gubernatorial election could swing any way giving Sadique's clout and APC unity.
I see a slight victory for Bala

garfield1:


What of isoko weed? Which state am I wrong? Even your state,I gave to pdp

APGA or Labour Party is taking Abia State..

Aiel123:

Buhari won't be on the ballot
Dogara's defection is a blow to PDP
But his efforts wii be minimal
Remember the Dass constituency election which is Dogara's stronghold and APC could barely win with 1k votes.This was after Dogara defected y to APC oo
Let's just say bauchi gubernatorial election could swing any way giving Sadique's clout and APC unity.
I see a slight victory for Bala

Dogara stronghold are mainly bogoro and tafawa and they made bala governor.

garfield1:




Dogara stronghold are mainly bogoro and tafawa and they made bala governor.

Okay till March we'll see

You got no point at all! Bauchi to APC? I laughed. Osun to Oyetola? Matawalle in Zamfara? Yayaha bello to win Kogi? Ekiti to APC?

Well, I don't know what makes you come to this conclusion.

garfield1:


No,cross rivet will fall.power is supposed to go back to the south but pdp zoned to the central while APC picked a popular person from the south.the governor will deliver the north for apc.even in the central,apc is strongest...

Same thing should happen in abia but apc is divided with two candidates...

Bala will find it hard to retain his seat.he won narrowly with the help of dogara and people in apc.dogara is now in apc and the party is united behind sadiq abubakar

APC I'll not win a single state in South East & south south

garfield1:




Dogara stronghold are mainly bogoro and tafawa and they made bala governor.

Just one LGA & that's the person you are calling his name? Go find out about Bauchi elections. If the last governor from Bauchi metropolis an incumbent could be defeated in Bauchi what more of Sadique from Katagum axis? Sadique might win but not because of Dogara. Stop giving Dogara too much importance here. With what percent did he win reelection in 2019?

Ezmans:
APC I'll not win a single state in South East & south south

Garfield1 did quiet a good analysis. I believe Ebonyi looks 50/50 and might move slightly to PDP if Tinubu picks a Muslim Vice.

A lot of APC Candidates would avoid Tinubu like a plaque if he chooses a Muslim as Vice for them to win.
Taraba might go APC in Gubernatorial

Ezmans:
APC I'll not win a single state in South East & south south

Oga,ebonyi and IMO will remain apc.stop the nonsense hatred.apc will win at least two states in ss.people no longer care about party.you guys said buhari won't get 25% in ss/se

Aiel123:

Okay till March we'll see

Yes,if he can win an incumbent,he too can lose as an incumbent