OboloMAN:


In as much as the rivers people would resist another Ikwerre Governor if WIKE emerges PDP flag bearer...
But we will Totally Vote for Jonathan.
The South South....is Totally GEJ wen it comes to National issues.

Nctrice:


Tell Him!

Omimah:
I have no problem in Buhari picking Okorocha or any South Easterner as his Running Mate, but politics being a game of number will make him advise him and APC not to. The South East is bent on voting for Jonathan of PDP. This ordinarilly makes the VP slot worthless, because the sloth itself is supposed to bring more votes from the geo-political zone.

barcanista:
Thank You. But sadly, Falae is in DPA, he is the DPA Chairman. I am sure he will agree to fly the VP ticket of APC if approached. But the APC have Aregbesola and Raji Fashola to work with if they must pick from SW(Though I prefer Aregbe)

barcanista:
That is a ridiculous claim my friend. Jonathan may win Rivers(not disputing) but He will not win by more than 70%. In fact the Wike issue may reduce his vote the more. As for EDO state PDP won't have an easy ride there, especially with a Fashola or Oshio on the ticket. APC will get a few vote from Delta but again PDP will win. however, the Plan is to encroach into Jonathan's territory while securing APC's North and Protecting SW. We all know SE, CRS, AKS and Bayelsa is PDP

aljharem2:


Forget aregbesola. Dead on arrival

Fashola will do but better as president not VP to a 74 yrs old ex head of state.

Olu falaye will get ALL SW vote whether PDP or APC

barcanista:
It is like you don't know the electoral populations of each of the 36 States. Bayelsa votes is not even up to that od Alimoso LG, the Whole of SS votes is just a little higher than that of Kano State, combine with Borno State and the SS votes is overshadowed. However, the plan is to further encroach into Rivers/Edo and Delta States.

OboloMAN:


My broda ... judging from experience the south will go for Jonathan and will vote based on regional intrest irrespective of party.
we may have different views in the state level but for presidency its 100% jonathan..

I don't see the APC Giving the V.P slot to the South... and a Muslim/Muslim ticket via GMB/FASHOLA will not sell.

There is also the power of incumbency.

Omimah:
I have no problem in Buhari picking Okorocha or any South Easterner as his Running Mate, but politics being a game of number will make him advise him and APC not to. The South East is bent on voting for Jonathan of PDP. This ordinarilly makes the VP slot worthless, because the sloth itself is supposed to bring more votes from the geo-political zone.

BlackTechnology:




The problem with you is that you don't think deeply


The North and West have the highest number of non indigenes due to lopsided allocation of FG resources during the military era.


So not everyone living in Kano is an indigene of kano

barcanista:
The SE has always been voting incumbents even against their Son, unlike the North and SW

tit:
Barcanista,
you conveniently analyzed 2007 twice and forgot all about 2011.
Well, i shall do the honor.
Buhari tried your gambit: A Yoruba vice-presidential candidate and he failed woefully in the SW.
Gbadamasi Buhari chose Tunde Bakare as his running mate to rapturous applause from the likes of you.
Even the litte known Ribadu even got some votes than Buhari in the SW.
What does this tell us?
That Buhari is very unpopular outside his core constituency.

Even the NURTW and market women of the SW solidly reject having a murderer (the extra-judical execution of a bartholomew Owoh and co),
a thief (millions missing from NNPC in 1978
and a liar (Abacha did not steal)
as president!
And so shall it be in 2015!

Omimah:

I don't support APC VP slot going to the South West. The continued membership of Fashola, Aregbesola, Tinubu, Akande, etc and the feat they achieved in that part of the country are enough for Yoruba people, believed to be sophisticated, to vote for APC. I will rather have the APC give the VP slot to the South South, Amaechi in particular. This will help in breaking the votes of Jonathan in the South South, his strongesthold.

barcanista:
What is the population of non-indigen in Kano state? And do you follow the voting pattern in Nigeria past elections? You Jonathanians gotta asked Obj why he made a pact with AD Govs and AD in 2003.

barcanista:
Which experience are you judging from? First, SS is relative and it is not of any particular tribe. The Binis and Itsekiris for instance are more closer to the Yorubas than the Ijaws or Ikwerres. Even in Rivers State, tribal sentiment is not really a deciding factor. Like I said, GEJ will win the majority vote of SS but will not enjoy super-majority in Edo(especially) and Rivers State.
As for incumbency, wakeup bro, APC and PDP will attempt to rig, but you can only rig in your stronghold or a neutral ground. You can't rig in opposition stronghold. Incumbents lose election, even Akala of Oyo State in 2011 and the PDP in Edo in 2007.

barcanista:
Which experience are you judging from? First, SS is relative and it is not of any particular tribe. The Binis and Itsekiris for instance are more closer to the Yorubas than the Ijaws or Ikwerres. Even in Rivers State, tribal sentiment is not really a deciding factor. Like I said, GEJ will win the majority vote of SS but will not enjoy super-majority in Edo(especially) and Rivers State.
As for incumbency, wakeup bro, APC and PDP will attempt to rig, but you can only rig in your stronghold or a neutral ground. You can't rig in opposition stronghold. Incumbents lose election, even Akala of Oyo State in 2011 and the PDP in Edo in 2007.

BlackTechnology:



Do you know how many non indigenes that exist in the North and West


Son


There are in millions

barcanista:
My friend the 1993 poll was not between Hausa and Yoruba but between the Military holding on to power at all cost and democratic struggle. In fact it was an Igboman in the Name of Arthur Nzeribe that went to court to stop the announcement of MKO as Winner, not the Hausa. As at then, Atiku Abubakar, Shehu Yar Adua and the PDM were members of Abiola's SDP

Nctrice:
hahahahaaaa! You chose the part of history that favours your line of agurmrnt

barcanista:
You brought the 1993 poll into this

barcanista:
Which experience are you judging from? First, SS is relative and it is not of any particular tribe. The Binis and Itsekiris for instance are more closer to the Yorubas than the Ijaws or Ikwerres. Even in Rivers State, tribal sentiment is not really a deciding factor. Like I said, GEJ will win the majority vote of SS but will not enjoy super-majority in Edo(especially) and Rivers State.
As for incumbency, wakeup bro, APC and PDP will attempt to rig, but you can only rig in your stronghold or a neutral ground. You can't rig in opposition stronghold. Incumbents lose election, even Akala of Oyo State in 2011 and the PDP in Edo in 2007.

OboloMAN:


My Interests are in APC But for the presidency I will sure vote Jonathan.

[s]Buhari is only popular among core Muslims.[/s]
[s]And Christains who make up 70% of the west will vote along religious devide.[/s]

His Only problem would be the North.

And am sure his PDP generals will do a good work there.

barcanista:
In 1999 it was between Obj and Falae. Falae as AFenifere Chief was the Top Choice. Most of Obj's vote came from the North and the

South East and South South(Actually SS was heavily rigged)

. Obj was supported in the North because he preferred Shagari over Awolowo in 1979, same reason he is loathed by the Yorubas.
In 2003, it was majorly between Obj and Buhari. Obj had to make a Pact with AD to support him for President and they will be supported for Governor, NASS and co. AD openly campaigned for Obj's PDP in 2003(which also cost AD governors except the smart Tinubu). If not, Obj would have lost woefully in 2003

barcanista:
Politics is a game of numbers. I don't really like tribal politics, but Jonathan and PDP introduced it, we must use it against them

Barcanista!!! your hatred for the Igbos, I hope it won't cause cardiac arrest oh!

datolee:

Barcanista!!! your hatred for the Igbos, I hope it won't cause cardiac arrest oh!
1. Yorubas always voted their son, yet they didn't vote for Pastor Tunde Bakare?
2. You said Gani Fawehinmi is very popular across the Niger and a Yoruba too.. please what is the result of 2003 election he contested? even Jim Nwobodo had more numbers than him!..
3. According to you, when PDP won both SE and SS convincingly, it was because SS was massively rigged while SE wasn't rigged
4. Until recently, all but 1 state in SS was in control of PDP!!! (Edo was won in court) please which region is any government in power AGIP??
5. Maybe you don't know, as at 2007 election, out of 5 states in SE, PDP only had control of 2, Enugu and Ebonyi, Imo and Abia went to PPA while Anambra was Apga... Why do people still call SE AGIP??
6. PDP was voted out in Anambra and Imo state despite their power of incumbency! have such happened in your region barcanista?
7. Before defection of late, how many member of the national assembly from SS were from the opposition and how many from SE?
8. Discuss politics but please put your hate for the Igbos aside. you cannot hate them and expect them to vote you in power
9. If GMB wants the Igbo vote, maybe he should this time try to campaign in Igbo states!! otherwise, Igbos will give 100% to GEJ
10. Ka chineke mezie okwu m

bakynes:
You people are just deceiving yourself. This is Africa Incumbent presidents don't loose elections either by votes or by crook. JONATHAN WILL WIN 2015. I voted him in 2011 but he disappointed me just like he disappointed my Yorubas and will not vote him in 2015. Until the body INEC is truly independent like it name implies Jonathan the incumbent will win. Abi no be president go release funds for election.