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Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region - Politics (4) - Nairaland

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Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Mogidi: 2:47pm On Mar 27, 2015
demandtruth:



You are insinuating that the PDP supporters are not computer literate?

Going by your submission, only APC have access to the internet, right
What stops PDP from making a noise. Is this not part of ways you
announce your presence.

So, all the polls conducted were partisan?
Buhari won in all polls and you are telling me that PDP people like
yourself don't know how to click a on your choice

I pray that all PDP members like you make the same misatke tomorrow

Am saying APC won overwhelmingly against Fayose on the internet, but we all know who won the actual election.
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by DancingSkeleton(m): 2:48pm On Mar 27, 2015
All dis one na wash 29th march go tell cool
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by MRLINGTON(m): 2:49pm On Mar 27, 2015
It's not gon be dis way anymore



Mr.President nd he's wire has decided to divide their votes...its a pity





GMB/PYO. Vote wisely

1 Like

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Mogidi: 2:50pm On Mar 27, 2015
barcanista:
We all know about the issue of underaged voters and the intimidation stuff that took place in 2011. Funny enough, security is now tightened and the intimidation of corp members will be highly minimal. As for the SE, I wonder whether CPC was expecting more than they got in 2011 grin

We've also closed our borders, Buhari won't have Chadians, Malians etc trooping to the north to vote.

1 Like

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by emmatok(m): 2:50pm On Mar 27, 2015
barcanista:
Make them de deceive themselves say them go wing 75% north.
2003:
Buhari got 12m when he contested against Obj under ANPP. ANPP had about 8 Governors that time.

2007:
Buhari got 6.6m votes when he ran against Yaradua under ANPP. Anpp had 6 Governors as incumbents.

2011:
He sran against GEJ and Got 12million votes.

Notice that he always score 12m against Christian Candidates but less against Muslim/Northern Yaradua.

This time, the vote will not be any much different. He doesn't even come close in all previous elections. He de depend on Old ACN wey no fit win SW for Atiku(
2007) and Ribadu(2011). Na loser jare!!!

Lol@NL analyst.
You forget that Buhari will get lots of voters from SE/SS.
The SW has changed from 2011, the candidates the for 2011 elections was Ribadu.

This is the first time Buhari will be getting lots of voters from the SW.
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by emiye(m): 2:51pm On Mar 27, 2015
Mogidi:


Am saying APC won overwhelmingly against Fayose on the internet, but we all know who won the actual election.

State election being accessed via internet is quite different from Presidential election for obviuos reasons.

In state election, APC supporters in other states might have voted for the APC candidate for a local election, not the same for a presidential election
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by labykago: 2:51pm On Mar 27, 2015
PDP SAK!
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by melvin0004(m): 2:51pm On Mar 27, 2015
egift:
1. Since 2011, a lot has changed.
2. Nigerians are now aware of the incompetence of Jonathan.
3. Unlike 2011, APC have a wider and stronger political structures than CPC.
4. More voters, politicians, international communities now embrace the candidacy of Buhari.
5. The 2015 Campaign of Buhari is better funded and has been issue based, unlike Jonathan who spent more attacking the person of Buhari.
6. Buhari has penetrated Jonathan's primary stronghold, while Jonathan has lost ground in where GMB's base.
7. Nigerians are not happy with how things have been handled under Jonathan. Everyone wants Change. Apart from improvements in few places, we can't see any transformation in Jonathan's cosmetics.
8. Buhari has better understanding to the problems facing Nigerian. Untill 2015 New Year Message, Jonathan never accepted Corruption was a big problem.
9. Buhari and his Team have ran a better Presidential Campaign than Jonathan, even with smaller fund. Same thing to expect in the incoming administration.

Therefore this 2015, it is Mathematically impossible for Buhari to lose.

Sai Buhari.
smbody is sleeping on a moving bicycle, pls wake up frm ur dreams. ......

1 Like

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Mogidi: 2:52pm On Mar 27, 2015
Best non partisan analysis I've seen in a long time

1 Like

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by sammyj: 2:52pm On Mar 27, 2015
Wow, this is creativity from another change movement !!!!
IbnSultaan:
G=Goodluck
M= Moves to
B= Bayelsa
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by emmatok(m): 2:53pm On Mar 27, 2015
Mogidi:


We've also closed our borders, Buhari won't have Chadians, Malians etc trooping to the north to vote.

What borders, go to the North and see open borders between Nigeria and other countries.
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by gascoign1(m): 2:54pm On Mar 27, 2015
JUDGE FOR URSELF

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Mogidi: 2:54pm On Mar 27, 2015
emiye:


State election being accessed via internet is quite different from Presidential election for obviuos reasons.

In state election, APC supporters in other states might have voted for the APC candidate for a local election, not the same for a presidential election

Lets see what you'd all blame it on tomorrow. Please don't even think of blaming it on rigging.
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by babasanti: 2:55pm On Mar 27, 2015
Gej has already won, tomorow its just a mere formality

2 Likes

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by sparkleRed(f): 2:55pm On Mar 27, 2015
egift:
1. Since 2011, a lot has changed.
2. Nigerians are now aware of the incompetence of Jonathan.
3. Unlike 2011, APC have a wider and stronger political structures than CPC.
4. More voters, politicians, international communities now embrace the candidacy of Buhari.
5. The 2015 Campaign of Buhari is better funded and has been issue based, unlike Jonathan who spent more attacking the person of Buhari.
6. Buhari has penetrated Jonathan's primary stronghold, while Jonathan has lost ground in where GMB's base.
7. Nigerians are not happy with how things have been handled under Jonathan. Everyone wants Change. Apart from improvements in few places, we can't see any transformation in Jonathan's cosmetics.
8. Buhari has better understanding to the problems facing Nigerian. Untill 2015 New Year Message, Jonathan never accepted Corruption was a big problem.
9. Buhari and his Team have ran a better Presidential Campaign than Jonathan, even with smaller fund. Same thing to expect in the incoming administration.

Therefore this 2015, it is Mathematically impossible for Buhari to lose.

Sai Buhari.


Egift I hardly quote u, but come march 28 abi on monday anytym wen they call d result I will, and I hope u don't get 2 insultive

1 Like

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by OLISASDEJI(m): 2:55pm On Mar 27, 2015
egift:
1. Since 2011, a lot has changed.
2. Nigerians are now aware of the incompetence of Jonathan.
3. Unlike 2011, APC have a wider and stronger political structures than CPC.
4. More voters, politicians, international communities now embrace the candidacy of Buhari.
5. The 2015 Campaign of Buhari is better funded and has been issue based, unlike Jonathan who spent more attacking the person of Buhari.
6. Buhari has penetrated Jonathan's primary stronghold, while Jonathan has lost ground in where GMB's base.
7. Nigerians are not happy with how things have been handled under Jonathan. Everyone wants Change. Apart from improvements in few places, we can't see any transformation in Jonathan's cosmetics.
8. Buhari has better understanding to the problems facing Nigerian. Untill 2015 New Year Message, Jonathan never accepted Corruption was a big problem.
9. Buhari and his Team have ran a better Presidential Campaign than Jonathan, even with smaller fund. Same thing to expect in the incoming administration.

Therefore this 2015, it is Mathematically impossible for Buhari to lose.

Sai Buhari.




A well thoughtout analysis. U have said it all. Only someone who is deluded will not concur with u.
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by roymary: 2:56pm On Mar 27, 2015
Firefire:
As of today Dr. Goodluck Ebele Jonathan has 73% Nigerians vote. If you are not aware please wait and see.

Dey deceive yourself. E go do you like magic grin
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by synergycom19: 2:56pm On Mar 27, 2015
That's was the time I voted and campaign for GEJ
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by eminikansoso(m): 2:56pm On Mar 27, 2015
check out my own

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by ceejayluv(m): 2:57pm On Mar 27, 2015
IbnSultaan:
We have endured six (6) horrendous years of the
current administration. Our redemption date is
near. No matter the frustrations or obstacles, we
MUST endure whatever it takes to make sure we
exercise our right to vote. March 28, 2015 is the
day when we have all the power to change our
situation.
Ensure you get accredited within the specified
time frame in order to ensure you can vote.
Six years??

1 Like

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by demandtruth: 2:57pm On Mar 27, 2015
Mogidi:


Am saying APC won overwhelmingly against Fayose on the interbet, but we all know who won the actual election.

This is not about Fayose

This is about figures and region base figures
Statistics is what determines the process of this election for
tomorrow.

This is what you should be looking at:

NW & NE PVC = 22.5M (of this 80% will cast their votes)

SE & SS PVC = 14M (of this 80% will cast their votes)

EXAMINE:

SW PVC = 9M (of this 65% will cast their votes)

NC PVC = 7M ( of this 70% will cast their votes

Do the maths
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Mogidi: 2:57pm On Mar 27, 2015
emmatok:


What borders, go to the North and see open borders between Nigeria and other countries.
If you're relying on Chadians in this election, you got another think coming.

1 Like

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by roymary: 2:58pm On Mar 27, 2015
babasanti:
Gej has already won, tomorow its just a mere formality

Only mumu people go vote for GEJ... undecided
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by roymary: 2:58pm On Mar 27, 2015
demandtruth:



This is not about Fayose

This is about figures and region base figures
Statistics is what determines the process of this election for
tomorrow.

This is what you should be looking at:

NW & NE PVC = 22.5M (of this 80% will cast their votes)

SE & SS PVC = 14M (of this 80% will cast their votes)

EXAMINE:

SW PVC = 9M (of this 65% will cast their votes)

NC PVC = 7M ( of this 70% will cast their votes

Do the maths


Yes we all know who rigged the election- clueless people undecided
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by ayusco85(m): 2:59pm On Mar 27, 2015
barcanista:
wetin change? Bros, if anything changed then it is for GEJ's favor. Contrary to APC's postulation, the NW and NE has never voted in bloc for Buhari(ie 75%) since 2003. What wins election is political structure not political noise. I hope Buhari is ready to come to terms when reality will dawn on him tomorrow.

Hide ur face in shame barcanista. Goodluck will loose. U chose the wrong team bro

1 Like

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by fairheven: 2:59pm On Mar 27, 2015
tongue
egift:
1. Since 2011, a lot has changed.
2. Nigerians are now aware of the incompetence of Jonathan.
3. Unlike 2011, APC have a wider and stronger political structures than CPC.
4. More voters, politicians, international communities now embrace the candidacy of Buhari.
5. The 2015 Campaign of Buhari is better funded and has been issue based, unlike Jonathan who spent more attacking the person of Buhari.
6. Buhari has penetrated Jonathan's primary stronghold, while Jonathan has lost ground in where GMB's base.
7. Nigerians are not happy with how things have been handled under Jonathan. Everyone wants Change. Apart from improvements in few places, we can't see any transformation in Jonathan's cosmetics.
8. Buhari has better understanding to the problems facing Nigerian. Untill 2015 New Year Message, Jonathan never accepted Corruption was a big problem.
9. Buhari and his Team have ran a better Presidential Campaign than Jonathan, even with smaller fund. Same thing to expect in the incoming administration.

Therefore this 2015, it is Mathematically impossible for Buhari to lose.

Sai Buhari.
Gud one.also in addition.. The votes that Bihari lost in favour of ribadu an shekarau will rebound in favour of Bihari also the use of PVC has virtual ly eliminated PDP's rigging prowess
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Nobody: 2:59pm On Mar 27, 2015
mrmetoo1:


Ok let's forget that majority of the people believe this president has failed. Let's talk structure, what structure are you talking about that'll win PDP these votes in the SW. You think GEJ's grassroots reach in Lagos can match Tinubu's, are you joking. APC controls almost all districts in Lagos, so what structure is more solid than that? The elites love APC controlled Lagos, the working class does. They have deep roots in the SW grassroots and you're here talking about structure because of Bode George and Gani Adams. Tinubu that told his guys to return to their constituencies after the postponement, you think he doesn't know what he's doing?? Where has your underestimation of Tinubu gotten you?? He's here making your incumbent president sweat. The fact is APC has gotten a lot stronger and PDP a lot weaker. PDP chances in the SW is from slim to performing magic.
Tinubu's structure? A structire that had to rig LG election in Ikoyi and Badagry? Who are the APC Senators or Reps that Controls their constituency? You never hear say Tinubu de fight seriously for his political future that will come to an end Aprill 11 after JK win Lagos and Remi kicked out of Senate? Tinubu hold the ace in APC but a formidable, united and resurgent PDP with popular candidate and federal backing is coming to sweep him out. The OPC and Ohanaeze Ndigbo that supported Lagos State AC/ACN in 2007 and 2011 are now fully PDP. Oga, no even go there abeg. Even among the other Yorubas, some see BAT as greedy maniac. Ur eyes go clear

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Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by habibabdul(m): 3:00pm On Mar 27, 2015
barcanista:
looking at the trend I doubt if the voting pattern in the SW, NE and NC will be anyway different from that of 2011. The only difference will be that Buhari will get more votes in SW and NC than he had in 2011 but Jonathan will still win the regions. The NW has been traditional Buhari slaughter ground except Kaduna where it is usually 51-49 in favore of Buhari(Thanks to the Southern Kaduna Christian Population). The election will come and go and Jonathan will again be re-elected. The Reality on ground favors him.
In your dreams abi? even kaduna is apc SW will be 80 20 in favour of buhari and mind u,buhari will gt more votes in the north than the former election and Gudluk will not get the votes he got in the north last election
Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by eminikansoso(m): 3:01pm On Mar 27, 2015
sparkleRed:



Egift I hardly quote u, but come march 28 abi on monday anytym wen they call d result I will, and I hope u don't get 2 insultive
check it out my own opinion

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by PassingShot(m): 3:01pm On Mar 27, 2015
barcanista:
wetin change? Bros, if anything changed then it is for GEJ's favor. Contrary to APC's postulation, the NW and NE has never voted in bloc for Buhari(ie 75%) since 2003. What wins election is political structure not political noise. I hope Buhari is ready to come to terms when reality will dawn on him tomorrow.

Are you sure you're based in Lagos? Why do you engage in self denial on the fact that GMB will win SW?

1 Like

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by eminikansoso(m): 3:02pm On Mar 27, 2015
STATE CAPITAL PARTY % CHANCE OF WINNING WINNER
1 Ebonyi State Abakaliki 75% PDP 25 % APC PDP
2 Ogun State Abeokuta 20% PDP 80% APC APC
3 Ekiti State Ado-Ekiti 55 % PDP 45 % APC PDP
4 Ondo State Akure 58 % PDP 42 % APC PDP
5 Delta State Asaba 81% PDP 19 % APC PDP
6 Anambra State Awka 79 % PDP 21% APC PDP
7 Bauchi State Bauchi 22% PDP 78% APC APC
8 Edo State Benin City 42% PDP 58% APC APC
9 Kebbi State Birnin Kebbi 19% PDP 81% APC APC
10 Cross River State Calabar 83% PDP 17% APC APC
11 Yobe State Damaturu 18.5 % PDP 81.5% APC APC
12 Jigawa State Dutse 17% PDP 83% APC APC
13 Enugu State Enugu 72% PDP 28% APC PDP
14 Gombe State Gombe 29% PDP 71% APC APC
15 Zamfara State Gusau 20% PDP 80% APC APC
16 Oyo State Ibadan 31% PDP 69% APC APC
17 Lagos State Ikeja 37 % PDP 63% APC APC
18 Kwara State Ilorin 24% PDP 76% APC APC
19 Taraba State Jalingo 25% PDP 75% APC APC
20 Plateau State Jos 45% PDP 55% APC APC
21 Kaduna State Kaduna 33% PDP 67% APC APC
22 Kano State Kano 9% PDP 91% APC APC
23 Katsina State Katsina 11% PDP 89% APC APC
24 Nasarawa State Lafia 19 % PDP 81% APC APC
25 Kogi State Lokoja 39% PDP 61% APC APC
26 Borno State Maiduguri 18% PDP 82% APC APC
27 Benue State Makurdi 55% PDP 45% APC PDP
28 Niger State Minna 27% PDP 73% APC APC
29 Osun State Oshogbo 22% PDP 78% APC APC
30 Imo State Owerri 49% PDP 51% APC APC
31 Rivers State Port Harcourt 49.5% PDP 50.5% APC APC
32 Sokoto State Sokoto 23% PDP 77% APC APC
33 Abia State Umuahia 82% PDP 18% APC PDP
34 Akwa Ibom State Uyo 88% PDP 12% APC PDP
35 Bayelsa State Yenagoa 93% PDP 7% APC PDP
36 Adamawa State Yola 39% PDP 61% APC APC
37 Federal Capital Territory Abuja 63% PDP 37% APC PDP
PDP will claim 10 states plus fct Abuja while APC will claim 26 states and emerge the winner.
note this above datas is base on my opinion, no external polls or datas but based on information gathered.
Thanks

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