Naija's Population Figs Analysed

Hi Forum
i thot some analysis of the recent population figs will be academically beneficial , thus i copied the figs unto an MS Excel format and did some analysis, which i think some of u guys might want to look, i.e distributions by states, zones sex percentages and some bar charts representations

Toni

Well Done

I can't find it on your site.

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I can't find it on your site.

Hi Mariory

i have not pasred it on my site yet, but check the base of the thread, u'll see an attached MS excel file, just click it, and

NigeriaONE

Here is why the census 2006 is a fraud  While the Fulani/Hausa who live around and close to the desert have a population density of 163.4859 person for every kilometer you travel.
Which is higher than the rest of Nigeria all put together have 146.8367 person for every kilometer you travel.
The middle belt and Kanuri area have 71.5388 person for every kilometer you travel. This is why it is a fraud. I have no hate for fulani/Hausa people,  Just the census figure is a fraud,


see calculation below

The 9 fulani/hausa state of Sokoto,kebbi,zamfara, kaduna,kano,gombe,bauchi,katsina and Jigawa in the desert area of nigeria, which satellite picture show is less populated is said to have 42,817,288

Their population census 42, 817,288 divided 261,902 = 163.4859 square kilometer per person.


The rest of Nigeria has 97,186,254 with area of 661,866

Rest of Nigeria population density

= 97,186,254 divide 661,866= 146.8367  square kilometer per person.


The Middle belt and Kanuri area without the 9 Fulani/hausa state in the desert  has 32, 207 878 with area of 450,215

The Middle belt and Kanuri area(32, 207 878) population density =

32, 207 878 divide 450,215= 71.5388  square kilometer per person.




Rest of Nigeria without lagos population density

= 88 172 720 divide 658 521= 133.895 person for every kilometer you travel.

The rest of Nigeria has 97,186,254 with area of 661,866

Rest of Nigeria population density

= 97,186,254 divide 661,866= 146.8367 square kilometer per person.


The Middle belt and Kanuri area without the 9 Fulani/hausa state in the desert has 32, 207 878 with area of 450,215

The Middle belt and Kanuri area(32, 207 878) population density =

32, 207 878 divide 450,215= 71.5388 square kilometer per person.

My Broda

NIGERIA = The more u see the less u understand

Let just 4get the who;e issue and forge ahead, i believe when this generations of OBJ etc passes away, Naija will be a better place

Dozman not to forget I am an engineer. and really I design software, so I should know about this thing than you,


NigeriaONE

Nigeriaone, this population density point is the best you have made and it has me thinking. Hmm!

Now if you use the middle belt and Kanuri population density to calculate the Fulani/hausa population since they live just abit below the fulani/hausa and culture and other been equal,

here is the calculation, 

Fulani/hausa population= 261,902  multiple 71.5388 = 18, 736,155 people, 


Instead of 42, 817,288




Fulani/Hausa who live around and close the the desert have a population density of 163.4859 person for every kilometer you travel.

Rest of Nigeria without lagos  population density

= 88 172 720 divide 658 521= 133.895 person for every kilometer you travel.

even if you remove lagos and Oyo from the South Benue Niger(SBN) the Fulani/hausa population density is till higher than the south benue Niger of Nigeria, So you know this is 419, They should arrest Mr Makawa.

see more analysis on our website   NigeriaONE

If you remove Lagos from the rest of Nigeria population, The density of the rest of Nigeria apart from the Fulani/hausa , would be about 130 person per kilometer, which is is nearly 40 less than the Fulani/hausa ,

I think the senate and the national Assembly should look and analysis this figure before they reject the figure,

Even if you remove Lagos from the rest of Nigeria, the population density drop to about 130 person per kilometer and you also remove kaduna from the fulani/hausa  because of the minority in that area, 

The fulani/hausa population density goes up to about 171 person per kilometer while the rest of Nigeria is 130,   if you remove oyo and river state,  the rest of Nigeria population density become 119 while the fulani /hausa population per kilometer would remain about 171 person per kilometer,     My people is that possible if you have travelled nigeria,  that they are 40 people more than the rest of Nigeria in density,  against i said 419,  Mr makawa should be arrested,  He should have learn 419 from some expect,  now what did this man study in school,  his maths most be really BAD,   I am working on the figure he present,  I notice a style. which my explain all this,  may be I would derive a formular. that  everybody can use,  to get their state,   This Mr Makawa maths was BAD,  Please note from the name Makawa I think he is from Kano state,

My people Igbo man don suffer for Nigeria, Notice that if they do not cancel this census. In 2016 with the same growth rate ,  the fulani/hausa where mr Makawa comes from, would be about 50% of the population of Nigeria,   How is it possible that the fulani/hausa had about 16 million children in the last 15 years, which is the population of the south east,  and the igbo only had 4.9 children in 15 years, and the yoruba only had 5 million children.

16 million children is too high for the fulani/hausa  while the rest of Nigeria only had 35 million,  so for every 3 children born in Nigeria in the last 15 years,   1 out of 3 is a fulani/hausa child,  that can not be possible,  see our nigeriaone for more detail. as I analysis the figure.

nigeria1:

My people Igbo man don suffer for Nigeria, Notice that if they do not cancel this census. In 2016 with the same growth rate , the fulani/hausa where mr Makawa comes from, would be about 50% of the population of Nigeria, How is it possible that the fulani/hausa had about 16 million children in the last 15 years, which is the population of the south east, and the igbo only had 4.9 children in 15 years, and the yoruba only had 5 million children.

16 million children is too high for the fulani/hausa while the rest of Nigeria only had 35 million, so for every 3 children born in Nigeria in the last 15 years, 1 out of 3 is a fulani/hausa child, that can not be possible, see our nigeriaone for more detail. as I analysis the figure.

I see nothing wrong with the Hausa/Fulani having 1 out of every 3 children born in Nigeria for the past 15 years. Go to the north and see what the birth rate is inspite of poverty and unemployment. People have said that the predominant religion in the North allows for up to 4 wives which translates to tons of kids. My driver has about 3 wives and more than 15 kids. He is about 50 now. He is still making more!

@ Nigeriaone,

Nice analyses. But my concern here is that since the figures has been made official, by the council of state where do we go from here because it will certainly be used for allocation of resources and also for allocation of more seats in the federal seats.

It such a sad thing that the lazy hausa-fulani's are a drain pipe to this nations's resources.

I think we are due for a revolution.

Dan, so Yoruba did not have childre for 15 years and the middle belt were close to been childless only the fulani/hausa had all the babies abi,  Ask MR president how many children Obasanjo had,  Dont forget yorubas have many wivies too,  Even look at kwara where they have many wivies , but their many wivies where childless for 15 years abi,  mr Dan, 

So Kanuri people do not have many wivies abi but since 1963 their growth rate have not multiple by 3 times sha,  only the fulani/hausa,  Mr Makawa is a lier. If he had no figure for us,  we can understand is position but to lie to us,  is another thing.

How if Mr Makawa census figures are correct,  It means that
for every  6 children a fulani/hausa family as,  the average Igbo family have 1.9 children while the an average yoruba family have 1.8 children,  I do not want to talk about the middle belt ,  Mr Makawa believe this middle belt people are childless, 

Average fulani/hausa family      6.0 children
Average Igbo family                  1.9 children
Average Yoruba family              1.8 children

It is Mr Makama people, not makawa and He is not Hausa/Fulani so i see no reason why he should be altering figures!

[/quote]I am working on the figure he present, I notice a style. which my explain all this, may be I would derive a formular. that everybody can use, to get their state,[quote]

nigeria 1

Good u are an engineer, i am an engineer too and we think analytical, when i was doing this analysis on Excel(see my analysis once again) i noticed a sinister constant linearity in the figures from state to state, as if the figs were computed from a specific equation .

But, as an engineer and one schooled in advance computations am not hitting the nail on the head yet, unless verified.

Let u and I, including other engineers & mathematicians in the house) look at the figs again, work it backwards, extrapoliate and see if the figs follow a particular defined formula, i'll suggest we use either variance analysis or any other methods suitable.

look at the ratios of MALE/FEMALE for the various state, then the various zones, u can do that from my data, now re transpose backwards?, something seems fishy, I am busy now, but i can assure u i will derive fron 1st principles the ojoro formula used by NPC, I am from Kogi state, born and lived all my live in Lagos, i reject the figs for my two states?

It is a linear graph,  This mr makawa must be joking,  no nation have a linear graph,  only part thatis not linear is abuja,
Now use 1.5 to multiple the 1991 census,  you should get the 2006 census +_ 100,000

Note that in 1963, the Middle belt and the Kanuri people had about the same population even more than the fulani/hausa group, but in 2006 Mr Makawa is claim that his group have over taken then and have 42 million,

Also note than in 1963, the fulani/hausa group had just 300,000 more than the Yorubas,   but he claim they now lead the yoruba with about 15 million more , that funny,


Note that Kwara state and ondo state have been close to been childless in the last 15 years,  from his calculation they had just a little above 1 child per house hold,

We at NigeriaONE are ready to pay for the ticket of a google engineer to come to nigeria and address the Nigeria senate and National assembly,  so that they can see the satellite picture themself and now judge for themself, before they reject the figure,  it should clearly that Mr Makawa is a lier,

Here is a list of all the Africa country Mr Makawa claim his Fulani/hausa tribe is more that,  49 countries,  And his fulani/hausa women had 16 million children in the last 15 years, which is more than 38 country in Africa,  that look funny,

6  Sudan 40,187,486
7  Tanzania 36,766,356
8  Kenya 33,829,590
9  Morocco 32,725,847
10  Algeria 32,531,853
11  Uganda 27,269,482
12  Ghana 21,029,853
13  Mozambique 19,406,703
14  Madagascar 18,040,341
15  Côte d'Ivoire 17,298,040
16  Cameroon 16,380,005
17  Burkina Faso 13,925,313
18  Zimbabwe 12,746,990
19  Mali 12,291,529
20  Malawi 12,158,924
21  Niger 11,665,937
22  Zambia 11,261,795
23  Angola 11,190,786
24  Senegal 11,126,832
25  Tunisia 10,074,951
26  Chad 9,826,419
27  Guinea 9,467,866
28  Somalia 8,591,629
29  Rwanda 8,440,820
30  Benin 7,460,025
31  Burundi 6,370,609
32  Sierra Leone 6,017,643
33  Libya 5,765,563
34  Togo 5,681,519
35  Eritrea 4,561,599
36  Central African Republic 3,799,897
37  Liberia 3,482,211
38  Mauritania 3,086,859
39  Congo-Brazzaville 3,039,126
40  Namibia 2,030,692
41  Lesotho 1,867,035
42  Botswana 1,640,115
43  The Gambia 1,593,256
44  Guinea-Bissau 1,416,027
45  Gabon 1,389,201
46  Mauritius 1,230,602
47  Swaziland 1,173,900
48  Comoros 671,247
49  Equatorial Guinea 535,881
50  Djibouti 476,703
51  Cape Verde 418,224
52  Western Sahara (SADR) 273,008
53  São Tomé and Príncipe 187,410
54  Seychelles 81,188

I stayed In Kano for 2months My brodas there is no way Kano can be highly populated than Lagos. It is a forged cencus.


I pity the Igbos

The lazy northerners has done again. They have decided that since they cannot do anything useful with their hands and brains they will resort to all means necessary to steal, kill and destroy southerns, shame upon them all. Their sinister motive will not work.

Do you know in 1963 that the middle belt and the kanuri had just abit more population than Mr makawa people,  But now Mr Makawa is claiming that his people are 42 million that the middle belt and the Kanuri are just 34 million,  While his people live close to the desert,  the others do not,  Even satellite picture shows that the Middle belt and the Kanuri have more villages, town, and cities more than the Fulani/hausa,  MY BROTHER WONDERS WOULD NOT END. It is well know fact the the fulani/hausa have the higest of children die in Nigeria, due to sickness. Also mr Makawa is claiming that Nobody died in the last 15 years,

IF they senate fail to reject the census figure they are laying a ground for a civil war,  because in 2016,  at the same population growth rate 1.32,  Mr Makawa is claiming that his fulani/Hausa group would be 50% of Nigeria,  In 1963, They were 18% of Nigeria,  in 2006 Mr Makawa is claiming that the Fulani/hausa people are 30% of Nigeria . This is fraud and the senate need to reject it.

NigeriaONE are willing to fly an international expert to address the senate and show them the satellite picture of Nigeria and they can be a better judge of Mr Makawa census figure. Mr Makawa is a 419.

Nigeria 1, Know ur facts before u utter words or write anything. U falsely claim Mr Makama is a Hausa/Fulani which he is not. He is from Plateau state. this is excatly how people go about giving facts based on lies. People are watching, not everyone is stupid!

If you use the 1963 census to run a estimated population, Kastina state should be  4.1 million .   Please not that why the fulani/hausa  got far more than their population,  The rest of Nigeria got less,  here below is data if you use the 1963 figure at a population of 140 million,

Abia state 3.5 million
Ogun 4.4 million
Adamawa 3.7 million
taraba 2.7 millions
borno 4.7 million
Oyo state 8.0 million
yobe 2.7 million
benue 4.6 million
Ondo state 4.5 million
kwara state 3.1 million
cross river 3.8 million
osun state 4.7 million

see that is what you do not know. Mr Makama is a christian from Mangu local government in Plateau state. there are no Hausa fulani there. Because he has a Hausa souding name doesnt mean he is one. I have an arabic name and not hausa. Dont go making conclusions.

He may be a descendant  of the fulani/hausa which is common in that area,


Here below is a list of villages and town in that local govt and I also want you to please tell us which villages because some of the vilages are fulani/hausa,  and some Fulani/hausa are christian so please do not bring religion into it,  I do not want to hear that divided and rule method. I do not care what religion he is, if he likes he can jew, hindu or sango worshipper, that is business.

MANGU
LOCAL  GOVERNMENT

MANGU
Bunga
Chakfem
Jipal
Kantoma
Mairana
Mangu
Mangu Halle
Sabon Gari

LANGAI
Babban Rinji
Kadunun
Langai

GINDIRI
Chanso
Cinbun
Janaret
Kasuwan Ali

PANYAM
Daika
Kombul
Kopal
Poyam

KUMBUL
Bwai
Dari
Kumbul

VODNI
Bwonpe
Garkun
Kambring
Kopshir
Puka
Pushit
Telengpat
Vodni

KERANG
Ampang
Sabon Kerang

JIPAL
Kaper
Katual
Kundun
Zuwahai






Koba ka ba  Mr Dan

Let not go away from the really issue,  which is the census,  at least mr dan you live in USA,  and you have a computer,  tell your people what do you see in the USA on google satellite picture of your area,   Do you see the 42 million that your Mr Makawa claim your people have on it,  TELL THEM THE TRUTH. or do you also love lies too, 

If you use the 1963 census to run a estimated population, Kastina state should be  4.1 million .   Please note that why the fulani/hausa  got far more than their population,  The rest of Nigeria got less,  here below is data if you use the 1963 figure at a population of 140 million,

Abia state 3.5 million
Ogun 4.4 million
Adamawa 3.7 million
taraba 2.7 millions
borno 4.7 million
Oyo state 8.0 million
yobe 2.7 million
benue 4.6 million
Ondo state 4.5 million
kwara state 3.1 million
cross river 3.8 million
osun state 4.7 million

Nigeria 1, u keep posting figures and details not relating to my issues with you. Simple, Mr Makama is not Hausa/fulani. Take it from me and move on! Peace

You can claim he is not fulani/hausa , I do not care where he is from,  He can be from Jutachigababa for all I care,  That does not change my view and the fact that  the census figure are wrong,  and are falsified,  period.

We have all seen the satellite picture of Nigeria,  if mr makawa have not seen it , please send it to him,  He should explain to the world, how come his figure are different from what the rest of the world is doing, 

How long would people like mr Makawa keep disgrace Nigeria,  If he chop the census money and had no figure for Nigerian, let him tell us , than start telling us lies, 

what does he think, he thinks we are still in the 1960's where information can not be verify,  IF mr president doubt my fact,  Mr president should tell me where his house is in Ota, I would point to it on satellite picture. 

I can point to the kano state house of assembly if you tell me , where it is in kano,  or nay house in kano,  so Mr makawa should know this, that even in his house where he is sitting today,  that with science known the exact longtitude and latitude,  The USA , UK, Japan can bomb the place without a need to enter nigeria.

Technology as pass the level they have in Nigeria Mr Makawa,  You people are still in the stone age,  so stop the lie and withdraw the census figure,  Mr makwa should know this that we have access to information act over here,  and if mr Makawa own any properties abroad , even his bank account, people can force the court to get sure information.

we are running at a high technology over here than Nigeria,  The USA can monitor Nigeria mr Makawa  vehicles from the USA. And calculate the right projection and right degree and bomb it.

This is what Nigerian should use their brains for , not 419 census fraud .

Nigeria1, there is one thing you are missing or haven't considered in your analysis. Not everyone living and counted in the six regions in Nigeria originates from the region where they reside. The Igbos travel more than any other ethnic group in Nigeria and that is why the South East came last in the census but there are millions of Igbos living in the Hausa/Fulani states and other regions of the country. So you should not see the census figures from the Hausa/Fulani states as being of Hausa/Fulani origin because it is posible that up to 50% of that figure are people who migrated there from other regions.

The Hausa/Fulani were against including Tribe or ethnicity in the census and so they have no right to claim they are the majority, their region may be the majority but their ethnic group can't be said to be the majority. The census may indeed be valid but the Obasanjo government made a big mistake by not counting ethnic groups and if they had it may have made anylysis, understanding and acceptance of the figures a lot easier. I am more convinced now than ever that the Hausa/Fulani regions/states populations is made up of a very larger percentage of Southerners, and they can't refute this because they refused the counting of ethnicity.

I personally think this census figures are more beliveable than the 1993 one which said there were only 88.5m Nigerians at a time when the population was thought to be at least 100m. To those who say Kano is not as populated as Lagos, remember Kano is about 6 times as large as Lagos in terms of land mass, so Lagos would seem more populated.

@Revolution

I think your write up makes lots of sense, since ethnicity was'nt consider.

at this stage i want to declare a truce btw Nigeria 1 and Dan, we are the future of Nigeria and we should not fight, i believe that all this are developmental problems, with time when the old generations passes away, Nigeria will shape up, u see the UK, USA etc also had this same problem we are going thro in thier early stages of nationhood, they fought wars, but by his grace we have seen our own last war amen

I am sorry, tell that to a fool,   the census figure is a fraud,  I live abroad and we have better technology to work on than even Mr Makawa,  We can see the whole of Nigeria over here,  Mr Makawa is a lier,  The figure are wrong,  And the idea that those in the Fulani/hausa are Igbo,, Nonsense, 

You see if the senate approve that census, Nigeria would go to war,  because in 2016, Fulani/hausa who were just 18% in 1963, which mr Makawa now claim is 30% would be 50% of Nigeria population,  All this fraud stop now,  Like I said I have nothing against the fulani/hausa,my problem with this issue is the census figure.

My generation is not ready to take that again. Look,   the only fear we fear does not exist. we are a generation of June 12 election,  believe me, if they dare us,  and approve that census,  The north would either not be part of Nigeria. you see  that national cake they want so badly , they would not eat anything from it,  take my word,  You see Niger delta is small play,  they have to pick to get some or get nothing,  And I tell you they would not get any, the way they are going. even Yar Adua would not be president, if they approve the census figure,  and their would not be any election.  Orkar coup is child play. So it better for the senate to do the right thing, by rejecting the census figure and we now plan how our children future would be, but if some people believe they want to cheat others forget it, it would not work.



  Let the senate dare to approve it. You would see what would happen. I pray we would all be around to live to tell the story. We would want a Nigeria were our child would be, we should do right. And tell the truth and our life would be better, but running 419 on other nigeria just for the sake of allocationis run. My brother when I saw mr makawa figures I just know this man have not feeling for the truth. You see I love Nigeria and the various culture but what i hate is the cheating, if cant stand fraud, that the way God made me, either against the Igbo or hausa or fulani or Niger delta, I believe in the bible and I get upset seen other cheated, that is me,


This is Ibadan from satellite,  you can compare it to kano and katsina , 
http://wikimapia.org/#y=7380000&x=3930000&z=15&l=0&m=s

Lagos
http://wikimapia.org/#y=6642112&x=3279419&z=17&l=0&m=s


Kano satellite picture.
http://wikimapia.org/#y=12000000&x=8520000&z=13&m=s

Katsina  satellite picture.
http://wikimapia.org/#y=13000000&x=7600000&z=13&m=s

Again Nigeria1, Mr Makawa never said the hausa/Fulani are 30% of the entire population. He never mentioned 'Hausa/Fulani'. Your arguement is like saying there are 9million Yorubas in Lagos because of the census figure, when we all know there millions of non-yorubas in Lagos.

You obviously don't know Nigeria very well, because if you did you would know that there would be no WAR when (not if) the census is approved. There won't even be riots, anything goes in Nigeria. There are many worse things that have happenned in our history yet there were no resulting wars.