raumdeuter:


APC will win Lagos and get like majority, Normally without Obi. Lagos would have been 60-40 in favor of APC, but now with Obi gathering a lot of it

Dont be surprised to see Lagos ending up APC 60, LP 20 PDP 20. When you look at the Math, you will realize that Obi is APC secret weapon to winning this election

raumdeuter:


APC will win Lagos and get like majority, Normally without Obi. Lagos would have been 60-40 in favor of APC, but now with Obi gathering a lot of it

Dont be surprised to see Lagos ending up APC 60, LP 20 PDP 20. When you look at the Math, you will realize that Obi is APC secret weapon to winning this election

raumdeuter:


There are 6 states in the NC Kogi Kwara Niger and Nasarawa are predominantly Moslems and I guess will not have a problem with a Moslem Moslem candidate. Only Benue and Plateau will fall under the NC Christian dominated states

Now the option in Benue and Plateau is do you want an APC Southerner with Moslem-Moslem, Or you want a PDP Fulaniman the same Fulani you have been complaining about but with Moslem-Christian

Which other Northern state has a predominantly Christian population? I can only say Taraba

SE and SS were never on the table for APC nor Tinubu even if he picked CAN president as Vice. Buhari picked a Redeemed Pastor as Vice and he didnt win a single state in the SE-SS.

So picking a Christian to pander to a region that wont vote you regardless is like dropping Salah for Willian vs Burnley. You are weakening your strong point

Oasis007:




Ward for ward will be monitored and ensured they heavily delivered for Tinubu. This is Presidential Election we are talking about not Governorship Election.

Tinubu must make clear Statement with Lagos Result and he will.

izzou:


They won't get majority sir.

Very laughable that you think Obi would reduce Atiku's votes, but not Tinubu.

God keeping us alive, we would revisit this in 2023

izzou:


Kogi and Nasarawa has a large population of Christians. I wonder where you're getting the predominantly Muslims data.

Benue and Plateau is definitely not going to APC.

I once suggested that Tinubu might end up with a Muslim, and Larride said its a lie. I'm glad he's seeing it for himself.

2023 is still far sha. Anything can change before then

raumdeuter:


The demographics of those who are Obi supporters do not like APC nor Tinubu and most of them will never vote APC under any condition and not Tinubu.
Anyone who liked Obi now probably voted the Atiku-Obi ticket in 2019. So they are not really APC voters

izzou:


And all those who voted APC would vote them again?

None of them got disappointed with the party abi?

raumdeuter:


Predominantly Moslem since most of their governors since their creation have been Moslems that will show that the Christian there are not in the majority
They might have a large number but not the majority
If Christians are the majority they would be producing governors regularly

izzou:


My point exactly. So if APC is winning with a 15000 margin, Atiku can comfortably swallow it in the SS/SE

raumdeuter:


2015 was the time someone can claim they were deceived by APC, Anyone or let me say most people who voted APC in 2019 after seeing 4yrs of APC is a dedicated APC voter and will not start voting another party unless their principal decamped from APC

izzou:


My point exactly. So if APC is winning with a 15000 margin, Atiku can comfortably swallow it in the SS/SE

raumdeuter:


Do you think Atiku will show big numbers in SS/SE when Obi is already stealing his dinner?

Once again say 100 voters in a typical SS SE state, Tell me how many would have gone for APC and for PDP before Obi and now tell me how many will go for all 3 parties after Obi

I think you will realize it better when you attach numbers to it. Just use 100 voters as the basis

raumdeuter:


Tinubu will get more numbers and a bigger margin than Buhari did in the SW vs 2019, Tinubu will likely get the same Buhari numbers of 2019 from SS/SE, but Atiku 2019 numbers will be split

izzou:


In 2019, the SW didn't even give APC block votes. APC won the election with 3 million votes, and the SW gave a difference of less than 550,000 votes. Do the maths. Even PDP won in Ondo, a SW state.

The moment Tinubu confirms a Muslim as his vice, Game Over.

These NC states you're counting would be off the table. Northern states with large number of Christians would be off too. SE and SS automatically disappears

If you ask me, Atiku has all the advantage of the three.

izzou:


APC will win Lagos, but I can assure you the difference won't even be up to 100,000.

Meanwhile, see the reaction of the same Bornu you said is in the Bag when Zulum brought the BATified gospel to them.

Like I said, una dey underestimate Atiku


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wcqxm_gZmOg

larride:


Tinubu was not on the ticket in 2019. The SW will deliver bloc votes for Tinubu in 2023. You can take it to the bank.

larride:


Do you want to stake on the bolded? Tinubu will win Lagos with more than 500k votes. Confirm.

izzou:


Atiku has a structure in the SE and SS. His VP is from the SS. Apart from Cross River, Imo, Anambra and Ebonyi, his party controls the rest

So, Obi winning does not mean he won't get a good percentage. That's my point.

We can't sat the same for APC, especially when it's a Muslim Muslim ticket

izzou:


I like this confidence. I wish it were true

izzou:


Yes sir.

That's not news naa

larride:


The result you will see from SW will shock you.

God keep us alive.

izzou:


How much sir?

I am ready to stake that Tinubu will not win Lagos with more than 500,000 votes

larride:


50k?

Once we know election date, we pick a board man and send the money to him a week before the election and if its gentleman agreement you want, I'm game.

larride:


Do you want to stake on the bolded? [b]Tinubu will win Lagos with more than 500k votes[/b]Confirm.

izzou:


Game. Please note that this is what you typed



If e no pass 500,000 you lose oh.

If registered voters no reach 500,000, you still lose.

Let's hold on with the mode of payment. Boardman fit die before we vote sef

larride:


Yes. Tinubu will win Lagos with more than 500k votes. If he wins with 499k votes, you win.

izzou:


God bless you, man of God

larride:


Witnesses - raum.dueter, jo.dera, Oa.sis007

larride:


Witnesses - r.aumdueter, j.odera, O.asis007

Oasis007:




Bro.... 500k? Not 50k o.

Cc

Oasis007:
Tinubu will definitely win Lagos but that 500k seems too much o.